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Championship Round Queries for our braintrust

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  • #46
    Originally posted by rolltide View Post
    yikes

    Ravens after a dominant defensive game allowing <12 points and <122 rush yards and aren't a 2+ dog = 0-20 ATS

    team = Ravens and po:points < 12 and po:rushing yards < 122 and line < 2 and date>20170923

    [

    and the 3rd biggest margin [25.5] was the lone playoff game 4 years ago ..wish you hadn't found this lol
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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    • #47
      Ravens jumped to 4.5 fav this morning with heavy public backing. Ravens since 2021 season the Ravens are 3-14 as a 3.5+ fav after game 1 and playing on Sun/Mon. They have won most of them though

      11-6-0 (3.24, 64.7%)
      3-14-0 (-3.56, 17.6%) avg line: -6.8 +6: 11-6-0 (64.7%) -6: 2-15-0 (11.8%) +10: 14-3-0 (82.4%) -10: 2-15-0 (11.8%)
      6-11-0 (-0.50, 35.3%) avg total: 44.1 +6: 6-11-0 (35.3%) -6: 12-5-0 (70.6%) +10: 4-12-1 (25.0%) -10: 12-5-0 (70.6%)
      31.2 154.9 33.0 220.1 21.4 1.4 3.5 7.0 4.5 7.5 23.4
      25.9 103.3 32.5 216.4 20.6 1.1 2.7 4.4 4.8 8.1 20.2
      Jan 28, 2024 view Sunday 21 2023 Ravens Chiefs home -4.0 44.5

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      • #48
        granted most of these were opponent's throwing because they were losing but pretty wild streak that opposing QBs are having against the Lions

        In the last five games the Lions allowed 411 and 396 yards to Nick Mullens, 345 to Dak Prescott, 367 to Matthew Stafford and 349 to Baker Mayfield

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        • #49
          Chiefs vs great rushing teams that don't have an exceptional rush defense = OVER, by avg of 15ppg

          team = Chiefs and A and oA(RY) / oA(TY)>.313 and oS(O)>0 and date >= 20131200 and otA(punts)>3.75 and oA(o:RY)>78

          16-8-0 (7.04, 66.7%)
          11-11-2 (3.17, 50.0%) avg line: -3.9 +6: 18-6-0 (75.0%) -6: 7-15-2 (31.8%) +10: 22-2-0 (91.7%) -10: 5-19-0 (20.8%)
          23-1-0 (14.88, 95.8%) avg total: 47.7 +6: 18-5-1 (78.3%) -6: 23-1-0 (95.8%) +10: 14-9-1 (60.9%) -10: 23-1-0 (95.8%)
          26.9 128.8 35.4 293.4 24.3 1.2 8.9 9.7 8.5 7.5 34.8
          25.3 122.7 37.5 261.0 22.9 1.4 4.8 8.3 6.2 8.5 27.8
          Jan 28, 2024 view Sunday 21 2023 Chiefs Ravens away 4.5 44.0

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          • #50
            BOL Today, Guys...

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            • #51

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              • #52
                These next 2 are weird but true...

                Since the '02 re-align, any dog of more than +6 off an ats win as a fav, the line is more than each of their last 6 games, opp off a prev bye:

                KillerSports.com

                '19...GB lost s/u 20-37 vs SF...SF had 42 rushes for 285ry & threw only 8 passes for 69py

                & on the flip side...

                Since the '02 re-align, any dog of less than +6 off a road win as a dog of less than +3, the line is more than each of their last 6 games, opp off a prev bye:

                '20...TB won s/u 31-26 vs GB...teams combined for 84 passes & almost 600 pass yards, total rush yards combined by both teams of 143

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