Championship Round Queries for our braintrust

[bleeker]

cc
had bye
home
op:turnover margin >=0
p:points >=30
fav <=7 or dog

3-0 (26.33)

31/31/17

total a few points below smallest,which I don't like, but the line closest to that one also which makes up for it somewhat


https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


bal -3.5



.

[bleeker]

cc
had bye
home
op:turnover margin >=0
p:points >=30
fav <=7 or dog

3-0 (26.33)

31/31/17

total a few points below smallest,which I don't like, but the line closest to that one also which makes up for it somewhat


https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


bal -3.5



.

also think in a small sample it's good to have the games not go back too far in time..while these weren't the last few years at least it's not 15 +

[bleeker]

cc
had bye
home
p: TOM >=2 or <=-2 **
fav 3-14
total <=56


** had >= 2 more or less turnovers than opp in previous game


11-0 o/u (6.73)


have a hunch not going to use this one but posting it anyway


https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


(sf)/det over 51.5

[rolltide]

1 seeds are 14-1 SU vs 3 seeds winning by avg of 26-15

https://sports.yahoo.com/does-histor...mbers%20league.

[rolltide]

ex-jock ESPN shit stirrer who's in love with Lamar Jackson said the league has figured out Brock Purdy

i get that Purdy was dogshit in their h2h meeting this year but he led the league in QB Rating, 3rd in TD passes, and 5th in yards. And the Baltimore loss was his only lost start in 2nd half of season where he's gone 8-1. In those 8 wins he threw 20 TD passes and 2 INT with a 70%+ completion rate in 6 of them.

I wish the Steelers had a QB that the NFL has figured out so well

[bleeker]

got a good subset for the over from a system rider did favoring kc as a side...post 13


https://www.customcappers.com/forum/...38038-cc-games



.

[bleeker]

bal/(kc) over 44.5

posts 5,7,12,22 were if line was 3
posts 24,29,36 weren't contingent



bal -3.5

posts 31,32




sf -7

post 5



(sf)/det over 51.5

post 33..not playing

[Riderx]

1 seeds are 14-1 SU vs 3 seeds winning by avg of 26-15

https://sports.yahoo.com/does-histor...mbers%20league.

"The Bills and Chiefs will be the first to try and re-shape history when they faceoff before the 49ers and Lions on Sunday."

LOL

[rolltide]

"The Bills and Chiefs will be the first to try and re-shape history when they faceoff before the 49ers and Lions on Sunday."

LOL

first eh?

hard to read the modern sports journalist. yesterday Ian Rappaport tweeted out that Raheem Morris' elevation to a head coach has been overdue. Morris has been a head coach for 59 NFL games including 3 full seasons with Tampa and even 11 games with the Falcons

Ian Rapoport

@RapSheet
Raheem Morris should've been a head coach before this. Now, it's the #Falcons who benefit.

[Riderx]

Yeah...I guess the Ravens aren't playing tomorrow...it's the Bills vs the Chiefs again.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Glenn...I really don't like it that I opposite you on both the side & total in KC/Balt...that's usually not a good sign for me...

[Riderx]

Home favs of more than -5, off a playoff game in which they had a bye beforehand, team lost their last playoff game on the road by more than -7pts:

KillerSports.com

2-0 s/u
&
2-0 ats

'14...Patriots...45-7
'16...Falcons...44-21

49'ers-7
&
Over 51'

[Riderx]

Home favs w/a total less than 47 & less than 15 wins, off a playoff game in which their opponent had 0 red-zones made, opponent was not a dog of +3 or more 2 games back:

KillerSports.com

0-2 s/u & 0-2 ats

17-24 & 10-27

Turnovers were a killa'...3.5 vs 0.5

Opps led all 4 Qtrs

KC+4', Under 44', KC +175 m/l

[Riderx]

I have to give Glenn some credit for this one. He pointed out a mistake I made in the initial search. I tightened it even further...

WC teams on the road in the CC game, team has a neg ats margin avg vs opp has a pos ats margin of more than 6pts per game:

KillerSports.com

3-0 s/u
&
3-0 ats
&
0-3 o/u

23-20, 20-17 & 28-13

KC+4'
Under 44'
KC +175 m/l

btw...2 of the 3 games went to OT...so expect OT in KC/Balt

[rolltide]

NFC away team won at home last week and either covered or nearly covered while home team didn't win by 31+ = OVER
conference=NFC and p:ats margin>-2 and p:playoffs=1 and A and p:H and op:margin<31 and season>2008

home team wins 33-24 on avg

5-13-0 (-9.39, 27.8%) 6-11-1 (-4.69, 35.3%) avg line: 4.7 +6: 11-7-0 (61.1%) -6: 2-15-1 (11.8%) +10: 13-4-1 (76.5%) -10: 1-17-0 (5.6%) 17-1-0 (8.56, 94.4%) avg total: 48.2 +6: 8-8-2 (50.0%) -6: 17-0-1 (100.0%) +10: 5-12-1 (29.4%) -10: 18-0-0 (100.0%) 21.0 85.3 39.0 275.8 24.8 2.3 4.7 6.4 3.7 8.7 23.7 30.7 150.0 34.7 266.1 21.8 1.1 7.9 9.6 5.3 9.9 33.1 Jan 28, 2024 view Sunday 21 2023 Lions Fortyniners away 7.0 51.5

[rolltide]

yikes

Ravens after a dominant defensive game allowing <12 points and <122 rush yards and aren't a 2+ dog = 0-20 ATS

team = Ravens and po:points < 12 and po:rushing yards < 122 and line < 2 and date>20170923

8-12-0 (-3.70, 40.0%) 0-20-0 (-9.35, 0.0%) avg line: -5.7 +6: 11-9-0 (55.0%) -6: 0-20-0 (0.0%) +10: 14-6-0 (70.0%) -10: 0-20-0 (0.0%) 12-8-0 (6.50, 60.0%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 11-9-0 (55.0%) -6: 16-4-0 (80.0%) +10: 7-12-1 (36.8%) -10: 19-1-0 (95.0%) 28.9 139.9 34.7 230.7 21.1 1.1 4.5 8.2 3.6 6.0 22.9 27.9 123.2 34.0 250.2 21.4 0.9 4.0 6.3 5.3 10.9 26.6 Jan 28, 2024 view Sunday 21 2023 Ravens Chiefs home -4.5 44.5