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  • #1

    bowls

    int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and F and streak >= 6 and o:streak < 7 and total > 47 and not (day = Friday or day = Monday)

    bowls
    before christmas
    favorite
    6+ game win streak
    opp streak <=6
    not friday or monday *
    total > 47

    * only 1 game each of those days.. all others (tue, thu and sat) were 2+ games

    8-0 (23.00) huge

    https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


    fresno state - 3 (saturday @ 3:30)
    Last edited by bleeker; 12-16-2022, 04:52 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2

    Comment

    • #3
      post 1 play is on


      int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and F and total < 45 and opo:INT < 2


      pre christmas bowl games
      favorite
      opp previous opp <2 interceptions
      total <45

      5-0 (18.60)

      like the 9 year layoff then comes back and produces it's two biggest margins


      wont be playing marshall on monday as the line is way out of range and on a lesser note there's no other monday game in the system


      https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


      louisville -2
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4
        found something really good on boise st..put up system and make it official or no play tomorrow..doubt the latter
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #5

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
            found something really good on boise st..put up system and make it official or no play tomorrow..doubt the latter

            int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1223 and month = 12 and game type = BG and F and o:site streak = -1 and wins >7 and total >55 and line <-3


            bowl games before 12/23
            favorite
            opp away last and home 2 back
            wins >7
            favorite >3
            total > 55


            7-0 (28.79)

            these teams cover by an avg of 4+ touchdowns



            https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


            saturday only

            3-0 (36.33) lowest 29




            boise st -10.5


            Last edited by bleeker; 12-17-2022, 07:30 AM.
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #7

              Comment

              • #8
                int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and F and o:site streak = - 1 and o:wins = 7 and streak!=2


                bowl game
                before christmas
                favorite
                opp away previous home 2 back
                opp wins =7
                not on a 2 game win streak *

                * 1-2 in that scenario


                7-0 (15.57)

                boise st also a play


                https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                smu -4.5
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    have a system that has today's and tomorrow's game ..nice numbers but up close to game time now so just picks

                    going to go opposite of the system play on today's..it's the 2nd highest line and 2nd lowest total and feel i should pass ..so going 1 step further and fading it..will play tomorrow's

                    marshall over 42 (the fade)
                    sjs under 53


                    half unit parlay

                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #11

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        amazing thing is I came up with this one almost immediately..looked at toledo's last game and saw it went under by about 30 pts..put in the pre-Christmas bowl parameter and first number I chose previous o/u margin was -25..turned out that -24 was optimal


                        int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and p:ou margin <-24 and season > 2008


                        0-7 o/u (-17.29)


                        https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                        toledo under 53


                        don't think I'll be on either of the other qualifiers late in the week..definitely not air force at 43 and the other is also 4 points below and the 2nd highest total by a lot
                        Last edited by bleeker; 12-20-2022, 10:32 AM.
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment

                        • #13
                          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                          amazing thing is I came up with this one almost immediately..looked at toledo's last game and saw it went under by about 30 pts..put in the pre-Christmas bowl parameter and first number I chose previous o/u margin was -25..turned out that -24 was optimal


                          int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and p:ou margin <-24 and season > 2008


                          0-17 o/u (-17.29)


                          https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                          toledo under 53


                          don't think I'll be on either of the other qualifiers late in the week..definitely not air force at 43 and the other is also 4 points below and the 2nd highest total by a lot


                          had it as 0-17 o/u (extra "1"..it's 0-7) ..corrected above in post 12 ..sorry
                          Last edited by bleeker; 12-20-2022, 10:35 AM.
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment

                          • #14
                            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                            amazing thing is I came up with this one almost immediately..looked at toledo's last game and saw it went under by about 30 pts..put in the pre-Christmas bowl parameter and first number I chose previous o/u margin was -25..turned out that -24 was optimal


                            int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and p:ou margin <-24 and season > 2008


                            0-7 o/u (-17.29)


                            https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                            toledo under 53


                            don't think I'll be on either of the other qualifiers late in the week..definitely not air force at 43 and the other is also 4 points below and the 2nd highest total by a lot
                            messed with that a bit, very interesting. on a nice run of unders
                            10-12-0 (-1.91, 45.5%)
                            10-12-0 (0.30, 45.5%) avg line: 2.2 +6: 14-7-1 (66.7%) -6: 6-16-0 (27.3%) +10: 18-4-0 (81.8%) -10: 6-16-0 (27.3%)
                            1-20-1 (-12.95, 4.8%) avg total: 56.0 +6: 1-21-0 (4.5%) -6: 5-17-0 (22.7%) +10: 1-21-0 (4.5%) -10: 8-11-3 (42.1%)
                            39.0 163.2 30.4 209.7 17.5 1.5 5.4 4.3 5.5 5.3 20.5
                            39.4 167.7 29.9 196.5 17.0 2.0 7.6 5.7 5.0 4.2 22.5
                            Dec 30, 2022 box Friday 18 2022 OHU WYO neutral -1.0 43.0
                            Dec 24, 2022 box Saturday 17 2022 SDSU MTEN neutral -7.0 49.0
                            Dec 22, 2022 box Thursday 17 2022 AIR BAY neutral 4.0 43.5
                            Dec 20, 2022 box Tuesday 17 2022 TOL LIB neutral -3.5 53.0
                            Dec 23, 2021 box Thursday 17 2021 CFL FLA neutral 0-7 9-3 17-7 3-0 29-17 7.0 56.0 12 19.0 -10.0 4.5 -14.5 W W U 0
                            Dec 29, 2018 Saturday 18 2018 SCAR VIR neutral 0-7 0-7 0-7 0-7 0-28 -4.0 54.0 -28 -32.0 -26.0 -29.0 3.0 L L U 0
                            Dec 20, 2017 Wednesday 17 2017 LTCH SMU neutral 21-3 21-7 6-0 3-0 51-10 4.0 71.0 41 45.0 -10.0 17.5 -27.5 W W U 0
                            Dec 30, 2015 Wednesday 18 2015 TXAM LOU neutral 7-20 7-0 0-7 7-0 21-27 4.0 49.0 -6 -2.0 -1.0 -1.5 0.5 L L U 0
                            Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 CIN SDSU neutral 0-14 0-7 0-7 7-14 7-42 2.5 56.5 -35 -32.5 -7.5 -20.0 12.5 L L U 0
                            Dec 26, 2014 Friday 18 2014 NCAR RUT neutral 0-7 0-16 7-7 14-10 21-40 -3.5 69.0 -19 -22.5 -8.0 -15.2 7.2 L L U 0
                            Dec 24, 2014 Wednesday 18 2014 FRES RICE neutral 3-16 3-0 0-7 0-7 6-30 1.0 58.5 -24 -23.0 -22.5 -22.8 0.2 L L U 0
                            Dec 23, 2014 Tuesday 18 2014 NAVY SDSU away 7-10 0-3 7-3 3-0 17-16 2.5 53.0 1 3.5 -20.0 -8.2 -11.8 W W U 0
                            Dec 30, 2013 Monday 18 2013 TEX ORE neutral 7-10 0-10 0-3 0-7 7-30 15.0 68.0 -23 -8.0 -31.0 -19.5 -11.5 L L U 0
                            Dec 30, 2013 Monday 18 2013 MIS GTCH neutral 7-7 6-0 10-0 2-10 25-17 -3.0 55.5 8 5.0 -13.5 -4.2 -9.2 W W U 0
                            Dec 27, 2013 Friday 18 2013 MIN SYR neutral 0-0 3-7 0-7 14-7 17-21 -3.5 47.5 -4 -7.5 -9.5 -8.5 -1.0 L L U 0
                            Dec 28, 2012 Friday 18 2012 OHU LMON neutral 14-0 10-7 14-7 7-0 45-14 6.5 60.0 31 37.5 -1.0 18.2 -19.2 W W U 0
                            Dec 30, 2011 Friday 18 2011 IOWA OKLA neutral 0-7 0-7 0-7 14-10 14-31 13.5 57.5 -17 -3.5 -12.5 -8.0 -4.5 L L U 0
                            Dec 17, 2011 Saturday 16 2011 OHU UTST neutral 0-9 7-0 10-14 7-0 24-23 1.5 60.0 1 2.5 -13.0 -5.2 -7.8 W W U 0
                            Dec 31, 2010 Friday 18 2010 CFL GEO neutral 0-3 3-0 0-3 7-0 10-6 6.5 53.5 4 10.5 -37.5 -13.5 -24.0 W W U 0
                            Dec 30, 2010 Thursday 18 2010 SMU ARMY home 0-13 0-3 7-0 7-0 14-16 -7.0 52.0 -2 -9.0 -22.0 -15.5 -6.5 L L U 0
                            Dec 31, 2009 Thursday 18 2009 MIN IWST neutral 3-0 0-14 10-0 0-0 13-14 -2.0 47.5 -1 -3.0 -20.5 -11.8 -8.8 L L U 0
                            Dec 28, 2008 Sunday 18 2008 NIL LTCH neutral 7-7 0-7 3-3 0-0 10-17 1.0 46.5 -7 -6.0 -19.5 -12.8 -6.8 L L U 0
                            Dec 27, 2008 Saturday 18 2008 WVA NCAR neutral 14-21 9-0 7-3 0-7 31-30 -2.0 47.0 1 -1.0 14.0 6.5 7.5 W L O 0
                            Dec 20, 2008 Saturday 17 2008 SFL MEM neutral 14-7 10-7 10-0 7-0 41-14 -12.0 55.0 27 15.0 0.0 7.5 -7.5 W W P 0
                            Dec 22, 2007 Saturday 17 2007 SMIS CIN neutral 7-0 0-14 7-17 7-0 21-31 10.5 56.0 -10 0.5 -4.0 -1.8 -2.2 L W U 0
                            Dec 29, 2006 Friday 18 2006 KTKY CLEM neutral 7-0 7-6 7-0 7-14 28-20 10.0 58.0 8 18.0 -10.0 4.0 -14.0 W W U 0

                            Comment

                            • #15
                              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                              amazing thing is I came up with this one almost immediately..looked at toledo's last game and saw it went under by about 30 pts..put in the pre-Christmas bowl parameter and first number I chose previous o/u margin was -25..turned out that -24 was optimal


                              int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1225 and month = 12 and game type = BG and p:ou margin <-24 and season > 2008


                              0-7 o/u (-17.29)


                              https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                              toledo under 53


                              don't think I'll be on either of the other qualifiers late in the week..definitely not air force at 43 and the other is also 4 points below and the 2nd highest total by a lot
                              line

                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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