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  • #46
    extended bleeker's under spot a bit for this round with wider range of made 3's, scoring 70+ ppg, and didn't go under by 28+
    tournament = NCAA and round = 3 and F and 8 > p:three pointers made > 2 and season >= 2014 and tA(points) > 69 and p:ou margin>-28
    17-11 (2.93, 60.7%)
    12-15-1 (-2.68, 44.4%) avg line: -5.6
    3-25-0 (-8.23, 10.7%) avg total: 140.1
    23.43 41.1 14.75 75.0 5.79 29.5 3.79 11.96 37.21 16.71 12.39 10.82 30.6 36.8 67.4
    23.07 40.4 11.93 73.2 6.39 31.0 3.43 10.68 34.11 18.64 11.07 10.82 29.2 35.3 64.5
    Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 TEN CREI neutral 5&5 -2.5 144.5
    Mar 28, 2024 Thu 2023 IWST ILL neutral 4&4 -1.5 146.5
    Mar 28, 2024 Thu 2023 CON SDSU neutral 3&3 -10.5 135.5

    Comment

    • #47
      Of interest #1's have not covered a game in the sweet 16 the last two years, 0-4 ats and are 1-3 su, worrisome.. All 4 number 1's are active this round

      tS(tournament=NCAA,N=6)=2 and rank=1

      Comment

      • #48
        rewrite of bleeker's good for rest of tournament

        tournament = NCAA and round>2 and D and -7.5<p:line<-2.5 and wins>20 and (op:assists>13 or op:assists<10) and date>20140327

        9-14 (-4.48, 39.1%)
        12-11-0 (0.46, 52.2%) avg line: 4.9
        0-23-0 (-11.17, 0.0%) avg total: 144.4
        23.78 39.5 11.22 71.9 5.61 28.7 4.13 11.17 34.74 17.78 10.70 9.65 30.0 34.0 64.4
        24.83 42.9 12.83 69.4 6.39 31.2 4.43 12.13 38.96 16.35 12.87 11.30 31.5 37.0 68.9
        Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 NCST MARQ neutral 5&4 7.5 151.5
        Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 GONZ PUR neutral 5&4 5.5 154.5
        Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 DUKE HOU neutral 4&4 4.5 133.5

        Comment

        • #49
          this round off b2b dog wins = CLEMSON

          round=4 and p:DW and pp:DW and pp:line<7.5

          6-2 (6.12, 75.0%)
          8-0-0 (8.00, 100.0%) avg line: 1.9
          4-4-0 (-3.56, 50.0%) avg total: 137.9
          24.12 46.5 16.88 77.1 5.12 33.1 3.38 9.25 34.00 15.88 10.75 11.25 30.6 39.6 70.2
          22.50 39.1 11.62 76.9 7.50 30.9 3.25 11.00 31.00 17.38 12.50 10.62 31.4 32.8 64.1
          Mar 30, 2024 Sat 2023 CLEM ALA neutral 1&1 3.5 164.5

          Comment

          • #50
            Originally posted by rolltide View Post
            rewrite of bleeker's good for rest of tournament

            tournament = NCAA and round>2 and D and -7.5<p:line<-2.5 and wins>20 and (op:assists>13 or op:assists<10) and date>20140327

            9-14 (-4.48, 39.1%)
            12-11-0 (0.46, 52.2%) avg line: 4.9
            0-23-0 (-11.17, 0.0%) avg total: 144.4
            23.78 39.5 11.22 71.9 5.61 28.7 4.13 11.17 34.74 17.78 10.70 9.65 30.0 34.0 64.4
            24.83 42.9 12.83 69.4 6.39 31.2 4.43 12.13 38.96 16.35 12.87 11.30 31.5 37.0 68.9
            Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 NCST MARQ neutral 5&4 7.5 151.5
            Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 GONZ PUR neutral 5&4 5.5 154.5
            Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 DUKE HOU neutral 4&4 4.5 133.5
            now 0-26 ou

            Mar 31, 2024 Sun 2023 TEN PUR neutral 1&1 3.5 147.5

            Comment

            • #51
              high combined ou margins = unders

              50-23 (6.60, 68.5%)
              35-38-0 (-1.50, 47.9%) avg line: -8.1
              15-57-1 (-6.21, 20.8%) avg total: 148.0
              26.99 47.0 13.44 70.2 6.79 34.0 4.19 10.10 37.25 16.22 15.49 11.99 35.2 38.7 74.2
              24.37 41.3 12.10 70.8 6.77 31.9 2.45 9.41 32.45 17.01 12.42 10.84 30.9 36.2 67.6
              Mar 31, 2024 Sun 2023 PUR TEN neutral 1&1 -3.5 147.5
              Mar 30, 2024 Sat 2023 ALA CLEM neutral 1&1 -3.5 164.5
              Mar 30, 2024 Sat 2023 CON ILL neutral 1&1 -8.5 154.5

              Comment

              • #52
                round 2+ teams are unbeaten ATS after beating #1 seed as 4.5-6.5 dog

                8-3 (6.27, 72.7%)
                10-0-1 (9.27, 100.0%) avg line: 3.0
                4-6-1 (-1.86, 40.0%) avg total: 139.8
                25.82 43.7 14.00 73.0 6.45 33.3 4.64 11.45 38.64 16.91 11.18 10.18 32.3 36.5 72.1
                23.64 40.7 13.00 67.5 5.55 28.1 3.55 11.55 37.09 17.00 11.64 10.91 31.3 31.4 65.8
                Mar 30, 2024 Sat 2023 ALA CLEM neutral 1&1 -3.5 164.5
                this round dogs off dog win as 9 or less

                11-9 (-0.05, 55.0%)
                15-4-1 (5.22, 78.9%) avg line: 5.3
                9-11-0 (-5.33, 45.0%) avg total: 138.1
                23.20 41.7 14.05 77.0 5.90 32.2 3.75 9.90 33.95 16.85 11.00 10.85 29.9 35.4 66.3
                23.25 41.4 13.50 71.8 6.40 30.6 4.40 11.30 35.95 15.65 12.80 11.60 33.5 31.8 66.4
                Mar 31, 2024 Sun 2023 NCST DUKE neutral 1&1 6.5 142.5
                Mar 30, 2024 Sat 2023 CLEM ALA neutral 1&1 3.5 164.5
                Mar 30, 2024 Sat 2023 ILL CON neutral 1&1 8.5 154.5



                Comment

                • #53
                  from SBB....Bama don't cover after comeback wins

                  Comment

                  • #54
                    Originally posted by rolltide View Post
                    Wolfpack been very strong off a Dog win

                    team=NCST and p:DW and season>2021 and total<152

                    8-0 (14.12, 100.0%)
                    8-0-0 (13.75, 100.0%) avg line: -0.4
                    4-3-1 (4.38, 57.1%) avg total: 143.2
                    28.88 48.9 16.75 74.0 6.38 37.2 4.25 9.75 36.62 14.25 11.88 8.75 37.1 41.9 80.9
                    25.12 41.3 10.25 69.5 6.25 28.6 2.88 10.38 33.38 18.62 14.12 11.25 28.8 37.1 66.8
                    Mar 23, 2024 Sat 2023 NCST OAK neutral 1&1 -5.5 146.5
                    up again

                    9-0 (13.22, 100.0%)
                    8-1-0 (12.17, 88.9%) avg line: -1.1
                    5-3-1 (4.50, 62.5%) avg total: 143.6
                    28.89 48.5 16.22 74.1 6.67 36.8 4.33 10.00 37.67 14.44 12.67 8.67 36.6 41.0 80.7
                    25.11 40.7 10.33 69.9 6.89 29.5 2.89 10.44 33.44 18.00 14.00 10.78 28.8 37.1 67.4
                    Mar 31, 2024 Sun 2023 NCST DUKE neutral 1&1 7.5 143.5

                    Comment

                    • #55
                      for final 4, great margin

                      15-11 (0.15, 57.7%)
                      13-12-1 (-0.42, 52.0%) avg line: -0.6
                      3-23-0 (-13.02, 11.5%) avg total: 145.5
                      23.69 39.7 12.27 71.7 6.65 30.6 4.04 10.69 36.46 15.92 11.92 10.12 32.8 33.5 66.3
                      24.12 41.4 12.00 67.5 5.92 27.8 3.54 10.38 37.85 16.65 12.65 11.38 30.8 35.3 66.2
                      Apr 06, 2024 Sat 2023 PUR NCST neutral 5&5 -8.5 145.5

                      Comment

                      • #56
                        Here's some info on #1's in the final 4 that offers good parlay opportunities

                        tS(tournament=NCAA,N=6)=4 and rank=1 and season>2013

                        1a.jpg

                        If they won their last game by more than 5

                        tS(tournament=NCAA,N=6)=4 and rank=1 and season>2013 and p:margin>5

                        1a.jpg

                        food for thought....

                        Comment

                        • #57
                          Originally posted by rolltide View Post
                          UConn and Iowa St have covered every tourney win in more than a decade

                          tournament = NCAA and team = CON and W and season >2010
                          15-0 (15.33, 100.0%)
                          15-0-0 (11.23, 100.0%) avg line: -4.1
                          7-8-0 (-0.67, 46.7%) avg total: 138.0

                          tournament = NCAA and team = IWST and W and season>2011
                          10-0 (11.70, 100.0%)
                          10-0-0 (7.25, 100.0%) avg line: -4.5
                          Uconn now 18 straight tourney wins they've covered
                          18-0 (16.61, 100.0%)
                          18-0-0 (11.50, 100.0%) avg line: -5.1

                          Comment

                          • #58
                            tournament = NCAA and round>2 and D and wins>20 and o:wins>27 and (op:assists>13 or op:assists<10) and date>20140327 and -2.5>p:line>-11.5 and p:total>127

                            12-16 (-4.68, 42.9%)
                            15-13-0 (0.04, 53.6%) avg line: 4.7
                            1-27-0 (-10.84, 3.6%) avg total: 145.7
                            24.07 40.5 10.86 69.1 6.07 29.9 3.86 10.57 34.43 17.89 11.29 9.68 30.7 34.0 65.1
                            25.29 43.3 13.07 69.8 6.11 31.6 4.04 12.00 38.93 16.14 13.46 10.61 32.1 37.3 69.8
                            Apr 08, 2024 Mon 2023 PUR CON neutral 1&1 6.5 144.5

                            Comment

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