I’ve overthought games too. Buffalo for example. I saw everyone on Buffalo. It scared me off. I didn’t play Dallas but when I saw it and thought about what you said on the 10-3 teams the Buffalo game convinced me you were right I told a couple of buddies it’s going to be a blow out!!!
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Week 15 queries for our braintrust
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Originally posted by bleeker View Postfinal
(post)
gb over 41.5 (89)
ne over 39 (85)
cle under 37 (82) not sf
car +3 (81)
sf -12 (52)
buf -2 (44) rider's
jax under 41.5
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
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Great work!!! Congrats!!!
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Originally posted by Riderx View PostDHC, Thanks for reminding me about those four 10-3 road teams I worked on. And yes, all 4 were blowouts & so far all 3 are blowouts this year...leaving Philly/Seat.
I'm sticking to my guns on this one with Seattle+...
Since the '02 re-align, non-div home dogs of +3 or less in Dec. after week 13, team has at least 5 wins but at least 4 wins less than opp & is not off a s/u win by 35+:
season>=2002
week>13
month=12
HD
line<=3
NDIV
wins>4
wins+3<o:wins
p:margin<35
KillerSports.com
3-0 s/u...by 23.33ppg
&
3-0 ats...by 25.17ppg
&
3-0 o/u...by 11.0ppg
Avg final score: 40.3 - 17.0
s/u wins by: 25, 25 & 20
play on: Seattle+3 & m/l
&
lean on: Over 45
consider Seattle in alternate lines
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Originally posted by Riderx View Post
Our man Glenn went 7-0!!!
Great work!!! Congrats!!!_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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14 <= week <= 16 and day = Monday and H and team time zone = P and 4 >= line >= -10 and season >= 1996
monday
week 14-16
pacific time zone team
home
4 pt dog to 10 pt fav
1996
9-0 (13.17)
8 double digit margins..don't like that line is on the fringe of the sample but there are two other dogs at similar lines..one of them almost identical in both is the biggest margin
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
sea +4Last edited by bleeker; 12-18-2023, 05:01 PM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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Originally posted by bleeker View Post14 <= week <= 16 and day = Monday and H and team time zone = P and 4 >= line >= -10 and season >= 1996
monday
week 14-16
pacific time zone team
home
4 pt dog to 10 pt fav
1996
9-0 (13.17)
8 double digit margins..don't like that line is on the fringe of the sample but there are two other dogs at similar lines..one of them almost identical in both is the biggest margin
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
sea +4_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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Originally posted by Riderx View Post
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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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Originally posted by bleeker View Postfinal
(post)
gb over 41.5 (89)
ne over 39 (85)
cle under 37 (82) not sf
car +3 (81)
sf -12 (52)
buf -2 (44) rider's
jax under 41.5
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
.
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Originally posted by Michelangelo View Post
Like the way you referenced this bleeker. Good job and a great winning day for you. Congrats. I did just the opposite!
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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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Originally posted by bleeker View Post14 <= week <= 16 and day = Monday and H and team time zone = P and 4 >= line >= -10 and season >= 1996
monday
week 14-16
pacific time zone team
home
4 pt dog to 10 pt fav
1996
9-0 (13.17)
8 double digit margins..don't like that line is on the fringe of the sample but there are two other dogs at similar lines..one of them almost identical in both is the biggest margin
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
sea +4
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