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Thanks, guys. You are exceeding expectations.
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working on something...teams that had 19 or more 3rd down attempts, less than 18 1st downs, scored less than 8pts & now home dog:
p:3DA>18
p:FD<18
p:points<8
HD
KillerSports.com
0-2 s/u & ats...play against Car+3
play on Atl-3Last edited by Riderx; 12-12-2023, 02:28 PM. -
any 'very loose variation of the Taxi system" for these 2 teams? SF and Dal, thinking to go against them. ThanksComment
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afc west
previous week points =0
week 10-16
0-10 o/u (-8.15)
2 of 10 are away games and they are both amongst the smallest margins (both 2.5) lv is home
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
lv under 34
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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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will be active Thursday for 1-19 ou
Thu primetime total <=40.5 with away team off a game with total >=40.5 (LVR/LAC under 33.5)13-7-0 (2.65, 65.0%) 11-9-0 (1.23, 55.0%) avg line: -1.4 +6: 15-5-0 (75.0%) -6: 6-13-1 (31.6%) +10: 16-4-0 (80.0%) -10: 4-15-1 (21.1%) 1-19-0 (-11.20, 5.0%) avg total: 39.2 +6: 0-20-0 (0.0%) -6: 6-14-0 (30.0%) +10: 0-20-0 (0.0%) -10: 8-12-0 (40.0%) 28.6 123.3 29.8 165.8 17.2 0.8 3.8 2.9 5.2 3.5 15.3 27.7 106.2 32.0 178.9 19.1 1.2 2.6 3.4 3.8 3.0 12.7 Dec 14, 2023 view Thursday 15 2023 Raiders Chargers home -3.0 33.5 Comment
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Also have a 50-7 ATS Thursday specific home fav system that shit the bed last week in Pittsburgh but active again this week on Vegas
53-5-0 (12.71, 91.4%) 50-7-1 (6.92, 87.7%) avg line: -5.8 +6: 54-4-0 (93.1%) -6: 28-28-2 (50.0%) +10: 56-2-0 (96.6%) -10: 19-38-1 (33.3%) 34-24-0 (4.28, 58.6%) avg total: 42.3 +6: 23-35-0 (39.7%) -6: 43-14-1 (75.4%) +10: 18-40-0 (31.0%) -10: 50-7-1 (87.7%) 31.3 133.9 31.6 241.2 20.5 0.9 6.1 8.3 6.4 8.7 29.6 22.0 82.5 35.8 218.4 21.3 1.9 3.5 5.3 4.1 4.1 16.9 Dec 14, 2023 view Thursday 15 2023 Raiders Chargers home -3.0 34.0 Last edited by rolltide; 12-12-2023, 07:03 PM.Comment
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my 2-cents, play Buff-2'...Originally posted by pgcluu View Post
After week 12, any non-div dog not on Friday, on at least a 5-game win streak, w/an avg winning margin of more than 14ppg L5 games & team has at least 2 more wins than opp:
D
NDIV
week>12
day!=Friday
streak>=5
A(margin@team, N=5)>14
wins>o:wins+1
KillerSports.com
0-4 s/u & ats
before week 17:
KillerSports.com
0-2 s/u & ats
&
0-2 o/u
s/u losses by -13 & -10
&
ats losses by -10 & -9...play against Dallas+2'
play on Buff-2'
(the Bills will always have a raging fire to beat the Cowboys...if you know what I mean)
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I wouldn't touch Ariz+13' with Life's conibulator pin...
just my 2-centsComment
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this system in spite of it's record is kind of underwhelming and certainly not a stand alone to make a play .. also when raiders were involved in 4 of these games they were all as sizeable dogsOriginally posted by bleeker View Post_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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home after shutout and avg<19 ppg = play on LVR
H and p:points=0 and p:TOM<4 and tA(points)<19 and season>2014
10-4-0 (0.57, 71.4%) 12-1-1 (4.11, 92.3%) avg line: 3.5 +6: 13-1-0 (92.9%) -6: 4-8-2 (33.3%) +10: 13-1-0 (92.9%) -10: 2-12-0 (14.3%) 6-8-0 (-5.54, 42.9%) avg total: 42.2 +6: 2-11-1 (15.4%) -6: 7-7-0 (50.0%) +10: 0-14-0 (0.0%) -10: 8-6-0 (57.1%) 27.6 103.5 32.7 207.2 20.7 1.4 6.6 4.8 2.4 4.7 18.6 26.8 105.3 33.7 209.6 20.6 1.4 2.7 7.1 3.2 5.0 18.1 Dec 14, 2023 view Thursday 15 2023 Raiders Chargers home -3.0 34.0 Comment
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Hard to back the Raiders as a fav...both teams are a mess, but this goes along with rolltide's... After week 10, Thursday home favs that lost the previous same-season match-up as a road dog before week 6:
HF
day=Thursday
week>10
P:ADL
P:week<6
P:season=season
KillerSports.com
4-0 s/u
&
4-0 ats
at night:
KillerSports.com
2-0 s/u
&
2-0 ats
&
0-2 o/u
LVR-3 & Under 34Comment
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hmm...I'm coming up with quite a few blowouts this week...but have a lot more diggin' to doComment
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week = 15 and H and wins = 5 and o:wins = 5 and -3 <= streak <= 2 and season >= 2004
week 15
home
two 5 win teams
streak not >= 4 losses or >= 3 wins
2004
0-6 (-11.33)
- nice balance and avg margin
- two below 40 totals avg 15+ pt (ats) losses
- biggest loss (ats) was exactly this total
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
lac +3Last edited by bleeker; 12-13-2023, 09:01 AM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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Backup QB, Chargers Easton Stick. His first NFL start.Last edited by Chazbo; 12-13-2023, 11:42 AM.Comment
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the smallest margin (4) you eliminate byOriginally posted by bleeker View Post
p: interceptions <=4
reasonable imo..a 5 interception game should have you more focused next out
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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