Week 14 queries for our braintrust

[rolltide]

interesting stuff from actionsports

Jared Goff has gone a sparkling 30-15 ATS (66.7%) indoors but just 33-32 ATS (50.8%) in all other games. That includes a 1-6 mark against the number in December when the temperature sits below 50 degrees. His teams have averaged 14 points per game in those conditions.

Defenses since Week 7:

• EPA per Play: Bears sixth vs. Lions 29th
• Success Rate: Bears eighth vs. Lions 31st

In 2023 alone, Goff has averaged 8.1 yards per attempt with 2.3 touchdowns indoors compared to 6.9 and 1.0 outdoors

[Riderx]

interesting stuff from actionsports

Jared Goff has gone a sparkling 30-15 ATS (66.7%) indoors but just 33-32 ATS (50.8%) in all other games. That includes a 1-6 mark against the number in December when the temperature sits below 50 degrees. His teams have averaged 14 points per game in those conditions.

Defenses since Week 7:

• EPA per Play: Bears sixth vs. Lions 29th
• Success Rate: Bears eighth vs. Lions 31st

In 2023 alone, Goff has averaged 8.1 yards per attempt with 2.3 touchdowns indoors compared to 6.9 and 1.0 outdoors

wow, rt...

that goes along with this rare spot:

KillerSports.com

0-2 s/u & ats...play against Det-3 & s/u

play on Chic+3 & m/l

[Riderx]

Saints are only 2-9-1 ats this season. Rare spot but game #13 home favs of -2 or more on Sunday with less than 4 ats wins, team is off a loss as a dog:

KillerSports.com

2-0 s/u & ats...s/u by 26 & 20

Saints-6

[rolltide]

Saints are only 2-9-1 ats this season. Rare spot but game #13 home favs of -2 or more on Sunday with less than 4 ats wins, team is off a loss as a dog:

KillerSports.com

2-0 s/u & ats...s/u by 26 & 20

Saints-6

solid little rewrite, only ATS loss was leading 24-7 at HT
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_qt=games&sdql=11+%3C+game+number+%3C+15+and +Sum%28ats+margin%3E0%40team%2C+N%3D12%29+%3C+4.0+ and+H+and+line%3C2.5++and+p%3Aline%3E-7+and+day+%3D+Sunday+and+58%3EWP%3E9+and+not+45.5% 3Ctotal%3C47.5+and+tA%28fumbles%29%3C2.4&submit=++ S+D+Q+L+%21++

28-0-0 (15.71, 100.0%) 27-1-0 (12.64, 96.4%) avg line: -3.1

Saints are walking wounded on offense but historically in strong spot to win going away

[Riderx]

solid little rewrite, only ATS loss was leading 24-7 at HT
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_qt=games&sdql=11+%3C+game+number+%3C+15+and +Sum%28ats+margin%3E0%40team%2C+N%3D12%29+%3C+4.0+ and+H+and+line%3C2.5++and+p%3Aline%3E-7+and+day+%3D+Sunday+and+58%3EWP%3E9+and+not+45.5% 3Ctotal%3C47.5+and+tA%28fumbles%29%3C2.4&submit=++ S+D+Q+L+%21++

28-0-0 (15.71, 100.0%) 27-1-0 (12.64, 96.4%) avg line: -3.1

Saints are walking wounded on offense but historically in strong spot to win going away

That's the ticket! Thanks, rolltide!

[Chamblin]

[rolltide]

The last 8x Reid's Chiefs have been a home fav off a loss they have failed to go over

team=Chiefs and p:L and HF and date>20171101

avg of 43ppg

5-3-0 (8.38, 62.5%) 3-5-0 (0.50, 37.5%) avg line: -7.9 +6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -6: 3-5-0 (37.5%) +10: 5-3-0 (62.5%) -10: 2-6-0 (25.0%) 0-7-1 (-9.81, 0.0%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 0-8-0 (0.0%) -6: 3-5-0 (37.5%) +10: 0-8-0 (0.0%) -10: 4-4-0 (50.0%) 25.0 123.2 37.6 271.2 23.6 1.6 6.8 7.9 7.8 3.4 25.8 25.1 102.4 35.8 210.0 23.5 1.8 1.6 7.5 1.6 6.6 17.4 Dec 10, 2023 view Sunday 14 2023 Chiefs Bills home -1.5 49.0

[rolltide]

another for Chiefs u49

When Chiefs are not a 3+ dog against a non-div opponent that had less or equal to their wins last year and the opponent attempts a ton of passes = UNDER

team = Chiefs and line<3 and NDIV and PRSW>=o:PRSW and p:margin<4 and p:margin!=-6 and oA(passes)>=31 and season>2010

14-8-0 (5.91, 63.6%) 10-12-0 (-0.41, 45.5%) avg line: -6.3 +6: 14-8-0 (63.6%) -6: 4-17-1 (19.0%) +10: 19-2-1 (90.5%) -10: 4-18-0 (18.2%) 0-22-0 (-12.39, 0.0%) avg total: 49.0 +6: 0-22-0 (0.0%) -6: 4-17-1 (19.0%) +10: 0-22-0 (0.0%) -10: 9-11-2 (45.0%) 25.8 113.4 37.2 263.1 24.8 1.5 5.3 8.0 3.9 4.0 21.3 24.1 102.9 35.2 206.6 21.5 1.4 1.8 5.0 3.4 5.0 15.4 Dec 10, 2023 view Sunday 14 2023 Chiefs Bills home -1.5 49.0

[rolltide]

quick turnaround to meet same team you just blew out but not as a 11.5+ fav. It's 2nd half of season but not a playoff game = 1-11 ATS and just 3 SU wins and lost 7 straight games (on SEA +14 and ml?)

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

3-9-0 (-2.92, 25.0%) 1-11-0 (-8.29, 8.3%) avg line: -5.4 +6: 5-7-0 (41.7%) -6: 0-12-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-4-2 (60.0%) -10: 0-12-0 (0.0%) 4-8-0 (-2.08, 33.3%) avg total: 45.0 +6: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -6: 8-4-0 (66.7%) +10: 1-10-1 (9.1%) -10: 9-3-0 (75.0%)

24.9 100.4 38.8 242.4 23.4 1.7 3.7 8.3 1.9 6.1 20.0 28.6 111.3 30.1 196.2 18.3 1.2 5.9 6.7 6.6 3.2 22.9

Dec 10, 2023 view Sunday 14 2023 Fortyniners Seahawks home -14.0 45.5 Nov 29, 2020 view Sunday 12 2020 Colts Titans home 7-14 7-21 0-3 12-7 26-45 -3.0 51.5 -19 -22.0 19.5 -1.2 20.8 L L O 0 Dec 16, 2018 view Sunday 15 2018 Seahawks Fortyniners away 6-7 7-10 0-3 10-3 23-26 -3.5 44.5 -3 -6.5 4.5 -1.0 5.5 L L O 1 Dec 11, 2017 view Monday 14 2017 Patriots Dolphins away 0-6 10-7 0-14 10-0 20-27 -11.0 47.5 -7 -18.0 -0.5 -9.2 8.8 L L U 0 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Panthers Falcons away 7-0 0-7 3-7 3-6 13-20 -7.0 46.0 -7 -14.0 -13.0 -13.5 0.5 L L U 0 Dec 14, 2014 view Sunday 15 2014 Eagles Cowboys home 0-14 10-7 14-7 3-10 27-38 -3.5 55.0 -11 -14.5 10.0 -2.2 12.2 L L O 0 Dec 22, 2013 view Sunday 16 2013 Saints Panthers away 0-0 6-7 0-3 7-7 13-17 3.0 44.5 -4 -1.0 -14.5 -7.8 -6.8 L L U 0 Dec 09, 2012 view Sunday 14 2012 Bears Vikings away 0-14 7-0 0-7 7-0 14-21 -3.0 39.5 -7 -10.0 -4.5 -7.2 2.8 L L U 0

[Chamblin]

[bleeker]

team = Fortyniners and H and -15 <=line <=-9 and DIV and week >=14


6-0 o/u (16.75)

all double digits

amazing how the two week 14 games had exactly the same score



https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


sf over 45.5

[Chamblin]

[bleeker]

wow, rt...

that goes along with this rare spot:

KillerSports.com

0-2 s/u & ats...play against Det-3 & s/u

play on Chic+3 & m/l

P:week > week -7 ..never thought of something like this ..nice call john !

[Riderx]

P:week > week -7 ..never thought of something like this ..nice call john !

Thanks, Glenn...

With everyone contributing, there were a lot of winning plays in this thread today. Nice.

[Riderx]

I don't know why we have 2 MNF games at the same time...stupid!!!

Scary to go against Miami at home, but I'll bite. Titans have nothing to lose & can let it all hang out.

Any non-div road dog of more than +10 on MNF after week 6, team scored more than 24pts at home last game:

KillerSports.com

5-0 ats

Play on: Titans+14

dogs of 11+ are 4-0 o/u