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Week 14 queries for our braintrust
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The Eagles, as a road dog w/a total of 48 or more, off a s/u loss after week 11:
team=Eagles
AD
total>=48
p:L
week>11
KillerSports.com
6-0 s/u
&
6-0 ats
Eagles+3'
&
Eagles m/l
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After week 12, road dogs on Thursday with less than 4 wins, opp has more than 4 wins:
week>12
AD
day=Thursday
wins<4
o:wins>4
KillerSports.com
0-4 s/u...-35, -25, -25 & -24
&
0-4 ats
against NE+5
play on: Pitt-5
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After week 12, conf road favs of -5 or more with less than 8 wins on Sunday, vs non-div opp off s/u loss as a home dog:
week>12
ACF
line<=-5
wins<8
day=Sunday
NDIV
op:HDL
KillerSports.com
1-3 s/u
&
0-4 ats
play against the New Kids on the Block-6'
play on the Green Goblins+6'
&
whooo-wheee...on the m/l...
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p: points =0
op: points =6
6-0 (8.58)
ironically teams that lose 6-0 are 6-0 (ats)
the following week.. the smallest margin is 7 which is pretty good considering the avg
while of course it's the lowest total there are a couple of 33's in the sample
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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0-17 SUATS Tue/Thu ats dogs of 4+, week 9+, that didn't cover last week by 4+ TD ... lose game avg of 21 ppg
0-17-0 (-20.88, 0.0%) 0-17-0 (-10.94, 0.0%) avg line: 9.9 +6: 4-12-1 (25.0%) -6: 0-17-0 (0.0%) +10: 8-7-2 (53.3%) -10: 0-17-0 (0.0%) 7-10-0 (0.59, 41.2%) avg total: 42.4 +6: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -6: 11-6-0 (64.7%) +10: 2-15-0 (11.8%) -10: 15-2-0 (88.2%) 22.5 77.2 33.5 173.8 18.4 2.0 3.4 3.6 1.7 2.4 11.1 32.4 162.6 28.3 227.2 18.9 0.9 4.6 10.2 7.8 9.4 31.9 Dec 07, 2023 view Thursday 14 2023 Patriots Steelers away 6.0 30.0
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Here's all the dogs w/a total less than 32:
KillerSports.com
Hasn't happened since '05, when there was a sh*tload
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off subject, thought this was cool. Tesla, Cybertruck, Robots & Guns:
Tesla bot army takes on Cybertruck in viral video (interestingengineering.com)
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On the Philly/Dallas game, any home fav that lost the previous same-season match-up less than 6 weeks ago while throwing at least 3 passing touchdowns:
HF
P:L
P:PTD>3
P:season=season
P:week>week-6
KillerSports.com
7-0 s/u
&
3-4 ats
&
0-7 o/u
Under 53 Philly/Dallas
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Before week 16, any team that won the previous same-season match-up as a road dog, not a fav of -4 or more w/a total of 36 or more, off a s/u win as a road fav:
P:season=season
P:ADW
week<16
line>-3.5
total>=36
p:AFW
KillerSports.com
0-8 s/u
&
0-8 ats
&
6-2 o/u
against Atlanta-2'
Play on: TB+2' & m/l
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Hmm...looking at that 7-0 s/u in post #8 on Dallas...only 2 games but any home fav in game #13 that avg's more than 2 PTD's per game vs an opp that has more wins but off a loss:
KillerSports.com
2-0 ats...lean on Dallas-3'
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Here's all the game #13 home favs that avg more than 2 PTD's per game:
KillerSports.com
31-4 s/uLast edited by Riderx; 12-06-2023, 06:53 AM.
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the above as a home fav of more than -10 off being a road fav:
KillerSports.com
3-0 s/u...by 21, 30 & 23
&
3-0 ats...by 8.5, 17.5 & 10.0
Miami-13'
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Originally posted by bleeker View Postp: points =0
op: points =6
6-0 (8.58)
ironically teams that lose 6-0 are 6-0 (ats)
the following week.. the smallest margin is 7 which is pretty good considering the avg
while of course it's the lowest total there are a couple of 33's in the sample
https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
6-0 score very unique
30 is lowest total in database but like that there are 2 in the sample that get close
avg line about what this one is *
balance of margins
sample covers 26 years and last two were in 2018
30 years ago week 14 also pats/steelers,same site and one of the two low totals (although much higher line)..means nothing lol just pointing it out
pats +6Last edited by bleeker; 12-06-2023, 07:25 AM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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* added another to above post_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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Originally posted by bleeker View Post
have found another going the opposite way (not going to list) but going to stay with this one..
6-0 score very unique
30 is lowest total in database but like that there are 2 in the sample that get close
avg line about what this one is *
balance of margins
sample covers 26 years and last two were in 2018
30 years ago week 14 also pats/steelers,same site and one of the two low totals (although much higher line)..means nothing lol just pointing it out
pats +6
KillerSports.com
3-0 ats
&
0-3 o/u
Lousy TNF game
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Originally posted by Riderx View Post
Glenn...looks like we're on a collision course on NE/Pitt. Pitt as a home fav of -2 or more w/a total of 39 or less, off a s/u loss as a home fav & now vs non-div opp:
KillerSports.com
3-0 ats
&
0-3 o/u
Lousy TNF game_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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