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Week 14 queries for our braintrust

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  • Week 14 queries for our braintrust

    OK men. Go at it. Point us to some more winners.

  • #2
    The Eagles, as a road dog w/a total of 48 or more, off a s/u loss after week 11:

    team=Eagles
    AD
    total>=48
    p:L
    week>11

    KillerSports.com

    6-0 s/u
    &
    6-0 ats

    Eagles+3'
    &
    Eagles m/l

    Comment


    • #3
      After week 12, road dogs on Thursday with less than 4 wins, opp has more than 4 wins:

      week>12
      AD
      day=Thursday
      wins<4
      o:wins>4

      KillerSports.com

      0-4 s/u...-35, -25, -25 & -24
      &
      0-4 ats

      against NE+5

      play on: Pitt-5

      Comment


      • #4
        After week 12, conf road favs of -5 or more with less than 8 wins on Sunday, vs non-div opp off s/u loss as a home dog:

        week>12
        ACF
        line<=-5
        wins<8
        day=Sunday
        NDIV
        op:HDL

        KillerSports.com

        1-3 s/u
        &
        0-4 ats

        play against the New Kids on the Block-6'

        play on the Green Goblins+6'
        &
        whooo-wheee...on the m/l...

        Comment


        • #5
          p: points =0
          op: points =6

          6-0 (8.58)

          ironically teams that lose 6-0 are 6-0 (ats)
          the following week.. the smallest margin is 7 which is pretty good considering the avg

          while of course it's the lowest total there are a couple of 33's in the sample


          https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • #6
            0-17 SUATS Tue/Thu ats dogs of 4+, week 9+, that didn't cover last week by 4+ TD ... lose game avg of 21 ppg

            0-17-0 (-20.88, 0.0%)
            0-17-0 (-10.94, 0.0%) avg line: 9.9 +6: 4-12-1 (25.0%) -6: 0-17-0 (0.0%) +10: 8-7-2 (53.3%) -10: 0-17-0 (0.0%)
            7-10-0 (0.59, 41.2%) avg total: 42.4 +6: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -6: 11-6-0 (64.7%) +10: 2-15-0 (11.8%) -10: 15-2-0 (88.2%)
            22.5 77.2 33.5 173.8 18.4 2.0 3.4 3.6 1.7 2.4 11.1
            32.4 162.6 28.3 227.2 18.9 0.9 4.6 10.2 7.8 9.4 31.9
            Dec 07, 2023 view Thursday 14 2023 Patriots Steelers away 6.0 30.0

            Comment


            • #7
              Here's all the dogs w/a total less than 32:

              KillerSports.com

              Hasn't happened since '05, when there was a sh*tload

              ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              off subject, thought this was cool. Tesla, Cybertruck, Robots & Guns:

              Tesla bot army takes on Cybertruck in viral video (interestingengineering.com)

              Comment


              • #8
                On the Philly/Dallas game, any home fav that lost the previous same-season match-up less than 6 weeks ago while throwing at least 3 passing touchdowns:

                HF
                P:L
                P:PTD>3
                P:season=season
                P:week>week-6

                KillerSports.com

                7-0 s/u
                &
                3-4 ats
                &
                0-7 o/u

                Under 53 Philly/Dallas

                Comment


                • #9
                  Before week 16, any team that won the previous same-season match-up as a road dog, not a fav of -4 or more w/a total of 36 or more, off a s/u win as a road fav:

                  P:season=season
                  P:ADW
                  week<16
                  line>-3.5
                  total>=36
                  p:AFW

                  KillerSports.com

                  0-8 s/u
                  &
                  0-8 ats
                  &
                  6-2 o/u

                  against Atlanta-2'

                  Play on: TB+2' & m/l

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Hmm...looking at that 7-0 s/u in post #8 on Dallas...only 2 games but any home fav in game #13 that avg's more than 2 PTD's per game vs an opp that has more wins but off a loss:

                    KillerSports.com

                    2-0 ats...lean on Dallas-3'

                    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Here's all the game #13 home favs that avg more than 2 PTD's per game:

                    KillerSports.com

                    31-4 s/u
                    Last edited by Riderx; 12-06-2023, 06:53 AM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      the above as a home fav of more than -10 off being a road fav:

                      KillerSports.com

                      3-0 s/u...by 21, 30 & 23
                      &
                      3-0 ats...by 8.5, 17.5 & 10.0

                      Miami-13'

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                        p: points =0
                        op: points =6

                        6-0 (8.58)

                        ironically teams that lose 6-0 are 6-0 (ats)
                        the following week.. the smallest margin is 7 which is pretty good considering the avg

                        while of course it's the lowest total there are a couple of 33's in the sample


                        https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                        have found another going the opposite way (not going to list) but going to stay with this one..


                        6-0 score very unique

                        30 is lowest total in database but like that there are 2 in the sample that get close

                        avg line about what this one is *

                        balance of margins

                        sample covers 26 years and last two were in 2018

                        30 years ago week 14 also pats/steelers,same site and one of the two low totals (although much higher line)..means nothing lol just pointing it out


                        pats +6
                        Last edited by bleeker; 12-06-2023, 07:25 AM.
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          * added another to above post
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by bleeker View Post

                            have found another going the opposite way (not going to list) but going to stay with this one..

                            6-0 score very unique

                            30 is lowest total in database but like that there are 2 in the sample that get close

                            avg line about what this one is *

                            balance of margins

                            sample covers 26 years and last two were in 2018

                            30 years ago week 14 also pats/steelers,same site and one of the two low totals (although much higher line)..means nothing lol just pointing it out

                            pats +6
                            Glenn...looks like we're on a collision course on NE/Pitt. Pitt as a home fav of -2 or more w/a total of 39 or less, off a s/u loss as a home fav & now vs non-div opp:

                            KillerSports.com

                            3-0 ats
                            &
                            0-3 o/u

                            Lousy TNF game

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Riderx View Post

                              Glenn...looks like we're on a collision course on NE/Pitt. Pitt as a home fav of -2 or more w/a total of 39 or less, off a s/u loss as a home fav & now vs non-div opp:

                              KillerSports.com

                              3-0 ats
                              &
                              0-3 o/u

                              Lousy TNF game
                              as a bet not crazy about it either
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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