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  • #46
    Originally posted by Riderx View Post
    Glenn...this supports your Under & also supports your's, rolltide's & my plays on KC: Any SB team, not a dog of +3 or more, team averaged less than 1.75 kickoff returns per game during the season: KillerSports.com

    0-4 s/u
    &
    0-4 ats
    &
    1-3 o/u

    they are endless john


    playoffs=1 and conference!=o:conference and tA(M2) > 7.25 and total <56

    sb
    teams avg margin half >7.25
    total <56


    0-5 (-13.40)
    0-5 o/u (-10.90)

    guess who


    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment

    • #47
      Originally posted by bleeker View Post


      they are endless john


      playoffs=1 and conference!=o:conference and tA(M2) > 7.25 and total <56

      sb
      teams avg margin half >7.25
      total <56


      0-5 (-13.40)
      0-5 o/u (-10.90)

      guess who


      https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
      Excellent!!!

      Comment

      • #48
        Originally posted by golden contender View Post
        Some SB Tidbits, I believe only 1 maybe 2 teams have every won a SB with a Pass defense ranked worse than League average, and while Im nit sure of the exact numbers I think the NFC has the edge over the AFC All time when both are 1 seeds
        I know this is the 1st time since the '02 re-align that both teams avg'd over 3 sacks per game over the entire season. I'll have to dig thru all the earlier SB's to see if it happened before...
        • 1 like

        Comment

        • #49
          This thread is the reason i love this forum and all of you.

          Comment

          • #50
            KC covering vs CIN was the first ATS loss...

            week>20 and tS(U, N=7)<6 and otS(U, N=7)>3 and team>o:team

            oppose late playoff teams with 0-5 unders in last 7 games if opponent has 4+ unders in last 7
            5-12-0 (-4.82, 29.4%)
            1-16-0 (-8.76, 5.9%) avg line: -3.9 +6: 7-10-0 (41.2%) -6: 0-17-0 (0.0%) +10: 10-6-1 (62.5%) -10: 0-17-0 (0.0%)
            5-12-0 (-3.53, 29.4%) avg total: 47.5 +6: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -6: 10-7-0 (58.8%) +10: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -10: 12-3-2 (80.0%)
            23.7 94.8 38.9 268.9 24.0 1.9 1.5 7.8 4.8 5.5 19.6
            24.4 97.1 36.8 248.4 22.7 1.1 4.2 7.4 4.4 8.2 24.4
            Feb 12, 2023 view Sunday 23 2022 Eagles Chiefs neutral -1.5 51.0
            Jan 29, 2023 view Sunday 21 2022 Chiefs Bengals home 3-0 10-6 7-7 3-7 23-20 -2.0 48.5 3 1.0 -5.5 -2.2 -3.2 W W U 0
            Jan 29, 2023 view Sunday 21 2022 Fortyniners Eagles away 0-7 7-14 0-7 0-3 7-31 3.0 44.5 -24 -21.0 -6.5 -13.8 7.2 L L U 0
            Feb 13, 2022 view Sunday 23 2021 Rams Bengals neutral 7-3 6-7 3-10 7-0 23-20 -4.5 48.5 3 -1.5 -5.5 -3.5 -2.0 W L U 0
            Jan 30, 2022 view Sunday 21 2021 Rams Fortyniners home 0-0 7-10 0-7 13-0 20-17 -3.5 45.5 3 -0.5 -8.5 -4.5 -4.0 W L U 0
            Jan 30, 2022 view Sunday 21 2021 Chiefs Bengals home 7-3 14-7 0-11 3-3 24-27 -7.0 54.5 -3 -10.0 -3.5 -6.8 3.2 L L U 1
            Feb 02, 2020 view Sunday 22 2019 Fortyniners Chiefs neutral 3-7 7-3 10-0 0-21 20-31 1.5 53.5 -11 -9.5 -2.5 -6.0 3.5 L L U 0
            Feb 03, 2019 view Sunday 22 2018 Rams Patriots neutral 0-0 0-3 3-0 0-10 3-13 2.5 55.5 -10 -7.5 -39.5 -23.5 -16.0 L L U 0
            Feb 04, 2018 view Sunday 22 2017 Patriots Eagles neutral 3-9 9-13 14-7 7-12 33-41 -4.0 49.0 -8 -12.0 25.0 6.5 18.5 L L O 0
            Feb 07, 2016 view Sunday 22 2015 Panthers Broncos neutral 0-10 7-3 0-3 3-8 10-24 -4.5 44.0 -14 -18.5 -10.0 -14.2 4.2 L L U 0
            Feb 01, 2015 view Sunday 22 2014 Seahawks Patriots neutral 0-0 14-14 10-0 0-14 24-28 1.0 48.0 -4 -3.0 4.0 0.5 3.5 L L O 0
            Feb 05, 2012 view Sunday 22 2011 Patriots Giants neutral 0-9 10-0 7-6 0-6 17-21 -3.0 54.0 -4 -7.0 -16.0 -11.5 -4.5 L L U 0
            Feb 06, 2011 view Sunday 22 2010 Steelers Packers neutral 0-14 10-7 7-0 8-10 25-31 2.5 45.0 -6 -3.5 11.0 3.8 7.2 L L O 0
            Feb 03, 2008 view Sunday 22 2007 Patriots Giants neutral 0-3 7-0 0-0 7-14 14-17 -12.0 41.0 -3 -15.0 -10.0 -12.5 2.5 L L U 0
            Feb 06, 2005 view Sunday 22 2004 Patriots Eagles neutral 0-0 7-7 7-7 10-7 24-21 -7.0 47.5 3 -4.0 -2.5 -3.2 0.8 W L U 0
            Feb 01, 2004 view Sunday 22 2003 Patriots Panthers neutral 0-0 14-10 0-0 18-19 32-29 -7.0 37.5 3 -4.0 23.5 9.8 13.8 W L O 0
            Feb 03, 2002 view Sunday 22 2001 Rams Patriots neutral 3-0 0-14 0-3 14-3 17-20 -14.0 53.0 -3 -17.0 -16.0 -16.5 0.5 L L U 0
            Jan 27, 2002 view Sunday 21 2001 Steelers Patriots home 0-7 3-7 14-7 0-3 17-24 -9.0 38.5 -7 -16.0 2.5 -6.8 9.2 L L O 0

            Comment

            • #51
              Originally posted by cains View Post
              This thread is the reason i love this forum and all of you.
              thanks cain..lots of good contributors in here
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #52
                look at the difference between bye and non-bye teams in this..sort by rest

                PRSW previous reg season wins
                opo =opp previous opp points



                https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #53
                  Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                  found this in < 20 mins ..not saying to brag but other times you're searching for over an hour and it ends up being mediocre ..haven't looked for subsets but can't complain about the avg margin


                  playoffs = 1 and p:playoffs = 1 and p2:playoffs = 1 and pp:rest > 10 and F and op:margin at the half >-16 and o:PRSW >4 and total < 55


                  super bowl
                  favorite
                  1st round bye team
                  opp previous didn't trail by >15 at the half
                  opp previous regular season wins >4
                  total < 55

                  0-11 (-14.14)


                  https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                  fade pha

                  kc +2 (non commital but can't see me going against this)



                  since it started with this one I just wanted to acknowledge that this part isn't necessary..if 2 games ago was the playoffs (p2:playoffs=1)
                  that's all you need..overkill the other way


                  https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                  Last edited by bleeker; 02-11-2023, 06:55 AM.
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

                  • #54
                    Thanks for your work all season, bleeker.

                    And I'm gonna thank Rolltide here too.

                    You guys helped me a lot and I appreciate it.

                    Good luck today.

                    Comment

                    • #55
                      no problem michel and good to know you think we're coming up with useful information... like to look at your stuff also and great season..bol today
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment

                      • #56
                        Great reads !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                        Comment

                        • #57
                          Originally posted by Riderx View Post

                          I know this is the 1st time since the '02 re-align that both teams avg'd over 3 sacks per game over the entire season. I'll have to dig thru all the earlier SB's to see if it happened before...
                          3+ each has happened 2x since 2001

                          Steelers/Seahawks
                          Steelers/Packers

                          Comment

                          • #58
                            Originally posted by rolltide View Post

                            3+ each has happened 2x since 2001

                            Steelers/Seahawks
                            Steelers/Packers
                            rt...I must be missing something...here's my sdql:

                            KillerSports.com

                            maybe it's because I'm including the playoffs, too.

                            Comment

                            • #59
                              Originally posted by bleeker View Post



                              since it started with this one I just wanted to acknowledge that this part isn't necessary..if 2 games ago was the playoffs (p2:playoffs=1)
                              that's all you need..overkill the other way


                              https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                              Glenn...I believe you found a keeper. as a fav of less than -7: KillerSports.com

                              0-7 s/u & ats

                              w/a total between 44 to 54: KillerSports.com

                              4-0 o/u

                              Comment

                              • #60
                                Originally posted by Riderx View Post

                                Glenn...I believe you found a keeper. as a fav of less than -7: KillerSports.com

                                0-7 s/u & ats

                                w/a total between 44 to 54: KillerSports.com

                                4-0 o/u
                                maybe so john. think I may have mentioned and maybe "fitting" things a little too much (a.k.a coincidence lol) that there seems to be a bit of a dead spot at -7 .. those 3 all won but by around the same ats margin .. pretty significant gap above (-12) and below (-4.5) ..just adding this besides >-7 because of the 2 big spread winners in the sample
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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