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  • #1

    super bowl

    found this in < 20 mins ..not saying to brag but other times you're searching for over an hour and it ends up being mediocre ..haven't looked for subsets but can't complain about the avg margin


    playoffs = 1 and p:playoffs = 1 and p2:playoffs = 1 and pp:rest > 10 and F and op:margin at the half >-16 and o:PRSW >4 and total < 55


    super bowl
    favorite
    1st round bye team
    opp previous didn't trail by >15 at the half
    opp previous regular season wins >4
    total < 55

    0-11 (-14.14)


    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



    fade pha

    kc +2 (non commital but can't see me going against this)


    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    fav <=5

    0-6 (-18.75)

    biggest blowout was the smallest favorite (-2) like this one


    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment

    • #3
      one negative is since kc is also a #1 seed they'd be the play (fade) if they were the favorite
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4
        team=Eagles and NDIV and p:HF and (po:FD<13 or po:FD>24) and season>2009

        1-12-1 (-11.00, 7.7%)
        0-13-1 (-11.64, 0.0%) avg line: -0.6 +6: 6-8-0 (42.9%) -6: 0-14-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-8-0 (42.9%) -10: 0-14-0 (0.0%)
        6-8-0 (0.21, 42.9%) avg total: 46.6 +6: 4-10-0 (28.6%) -6: 10-4-0 (71.4%) +10: 3-11-0 (21.4%) -10: 11-3-0 (78.6%)
        23.8 108.8 41.9 243.1 24.4 2.2 1.9 6.2 4.5 5.4 17.9
        30.6 115.3 34.9 268.4 22.6 0.7 6.5 8.9 6.9 6.6 28.9
        Feb 12, 2023 view Sunday 23 2022 Eagles Chiefs neutral -2.0 49.5

        Comment

        • #5
          only cover was yesterday

          Nondiv good opponent that turns teams over, Eagles off home game and game on grass, Eagles not 2 less wins

          team = Eagles and surface = grass and NDIV and p:H and oA(o:TO)>1.25 and op:rushing yards<197 and o:WP>40 and rest > 3 and date>20091111 and wins-o:wins!=-2
          1-21-0 (-9.25, 4.5%) avg line: -1.1 +6: 7-14-1 (33.3%) -6: 1-21-0 (4.5%) +10: 14-7-1 (66.7%) -10: 1-21-0 (4.5%)
          13-9-0 (1.61, 59.1%) avg total: 46.2 +6: 9-12-1 (42.9%) -6: 16-6-0 (72.7%) +10: 5-17-0 (22.7%) -10: 19-3-0 (86.4%)
          24.9 103.6 42.2 272.8 25.7 2.0 2.9 7.6 4.5 4.7 19.9
          28.0 121.1 33.1 252.9 21.5 1.2 6.2 8.4 6.8 6.3 28.0
          Feb 12, 2023 view Sunday 23 2022 Eagles Chiefs neutral -2.0 49.5
          Jan 29, 2023 view Sunday 21 2022 Eagles Fortyniners home 7-0 14-7 7-0 3-0 31-7 -3.0 44.5 24 21.0 -6.5 7.2 -13.8 W W U 0

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
            found this in < 20 mins ..not saying to brag but other times you're searching for over an hour and it ends up being mediocre ..haven't looked for subsets but can't complain about the avg margin


            playoffs = 1 and p:playoffs = 1 and p2:playoffs = 1 and pp:rest > 10 and F and op:margin at the half >-16 and o:PRSW >4 and total < 55

            nice, can squeeze a couple more out and all but 1 game was a Super Bowl
            playoffs = 1 and p:playoffs = 1 and pp:rest>9 and line<2 and op:M2>-16 and o:PRSW>4 and total<55
            0-14-0 (-13.61, 0.0%)
            Feb 12, 2023 view Sunday 23 2022 Eagles Chiefs neutral -2.0 49.5

            Comment

            • #7
              Originally posted by rolltide View Post

              nice, can squeeze a couple more out and all but 1 game was a Super Bowl
              playoffs = 1 and p:playoffs = 1 and pp:rest>9 and line<2 and op:M2>-16 and o:PRSW>4 and total<55

              excellent find rolltide..like that there are a couple of lower lines (small dogs) as mine was co-lowest in the sample
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #8
                Reid with a bye = wins game and goes under

                coach = Andy Reid and p:week + 2 = week and 100>o:WP>19 and season >= 2000

                26-4-0 (8.93, 86.7%)
                19-11-0 (4.65, 63.3%) avg line: -4.3 +6: 28-2-0 (93.3%) -6: 13-17-0 (43.3%) +10: 28-2-0 (93.3%) -10: 8-21-1 (27.6%)
                3-26-1 (-6.07, 10.3%) avg total: 46.2 +6: 2-28-0 (6.7%) -6: 14-16-0 (46.7%) +10: 1-29-0 (3.3%) -10: 18-9-3 (66.7%)
                27.6 128.0 35.6 234.8 21.9 1.0 6.1 7.2 4.0 7.1 24.5
                24.0 107.3 36.3 211.8 21.0 1.8 3.7 4.4 2.1 5.3 15.6
                Feb 12, 2023 view Sunday 23 2022 Chiefs Eagles neutral 2.0 49.5

                Comment

                • #9
                  Originally posted by rolltide View Post
                  Reid with a bye = wins game and goes under

                  coach = Andy Reid and p:week + 2 = week and 100>o:WP>19 and season >= 2000
                  26-4-0 (8.93, 86.7%)
                  19-11-0 (4.65, 63.3%) avg line: -4.3 +6: 28-2-0 (93.3%) -6: 13-17-0 (43.3%) +10: 28-2-0 (93.3%) -10: 8-21-1 (27.6%)
                  3-26-1 (-6.07, 10.3%) avg total: 46.2 +6: 2-28-0 (6.7%) -6: 14-16-0 (46.7%) +10: 1-29-0 (3.3%) -10: 18-9-3 (66.7%)
                  27.6 128.0 35.6 234.8 21.9 1.0 6.1 7.2 4.0 7.1 24.5
                  24.0 107.3 36.3 211.8 21.0 1.8 3.7 4.4 2.1 5.3 15.6
                  Feb 12, 2023 view Sunday 23 2022 Chiefs Eagles neutral 2.0 49.5
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    got rt's 3-26-1 o/u to 1-25 o/u adding " po:penalties < 12 and op:rushing yards > 35 "


                    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #11

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                        one negative is since kc is also a #1 seed they'd be the play (fade) if they were the favorite
                        The way this line is movin' KC just may be the fav in a week or so...

                        Comment

                        • #13
                          Good stuff, guys...

                          Comment

                          • #14
                            Thanks guys !

                            Comment

                            • #15
                              Originally posted by dollars View Post

                              The way this line is movin' KC just may be the fav in a week or so...
                              yeah hopefully it holds up dollars.. not only it not being a play (on kc) but flipping to the other side is a little disconcerting

                              some good subset information

                              seems it struggles around - 7 but significantly higher and lower you get the best results including the biggest loser (fade winner) at - 2 by 37 points (always ats)
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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