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  • #31
    consider Jax/KC u10 1Q

    none of KC's home games had more than 7 1Q points and their 1Q defense led the NFL not allowing a point in the past 6 home games in first quarter and allowing just 10 1Q points all year at home

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    • #32

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      • #33
        reg season or playoffs

        if a home team is favored by 6.5 or more and has 5 or 6 more wins than opponent they are 49-2 SU L51 and the total is 13-36-2 ou

        fits PHI SU and under, KC SU and under

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        • #34

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          • #35
            Originally posted by bleeker View Post

            .33 unit parlay under 53 and 48 (above)[/B]


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            • #36
              Originally posted by dollars View Post


              thanks dollars and happy if you benefited.. even on this it was a small play and had the effect of making it approximately a 1 loss day
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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              • #37
                Cowboys in the rare 4-game road trip. Last 7 teams doing this all lost with the 2 covers each by 0.5 point

                0-7-0 (-12.14, 0.0%)
                2-5-0 (-7.21, 28.6%) avg line: 4.9 +6: 4-3-0 (57.1%) -6: 0-7-0 (0.0%) +10: 4-3-0 (57.1%) -10: 0-7-0 (0.0%)
                3-3-1 (-2.50, 50.0%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 1-6-0 (14.3%) -6: 5-2-0 (71.4%) +10: 0-7-0 (0.0%) -10: 6-1-0 (85.7%)
                21.4 84.0 33.3 212.0 19.0 2.4 3.3 5.9 2.9 3.4 15.4
                31.7 116.1 33.1 228.1 22.0 0.4 5.1 8.3 4.9 9.3 27.6
                Jan 22, 2023 view Sunday 20 2022 Cowboys Fortyniners away 4.0 47.0
                Jan 30, 2022 view Sunday 21 2021 Fortyniners Rams away 0-0 10-7 7-0 0-13 17-20 3.5 45.5 -3 0.5 -8.5 -4.0 -4.5 L W U 0
                Jan 19, 2020 view Sunday 20 2019 Titans Chiefs away 10-7 7-14 0-0 7-14 24-35 7.5 52.5 -11 -3.5 6.5 1.5 5.0 L L O 0
                Jan 17, 2016 view Sunday 19 2015 Steelers Broncos away 7-6 3-3 3-3 3-11 16-23 7.5 40.0 -7 0.5 -1.0 -0.2 -0.8 L W U 0
                Jan 19, 2014 view Sunday 20 2013 Fortyniners Seahawks away 3-0 7-3 7-10 0-10 17-23 4.0 40.0 -6 -2.0 0.0 -1.0 1.0 L L P 0
                Jan 16, 2010 view Saturday 19 2009 Ravens Colts away 3-3 0-14 0-0 0-3 3-20 6.5 44.0 -17 -10.5 -21.0 -15.8 -5.2 L L U 0
                Jan 22, 2006 view Sunday 20 2005 Panthers Seahawks away 0-10 7-10 0-7 7-7 14-34 4.0 43.0 -20 -16.0 5.0 -5.5 10.5 L L O 0
                Oct 28, 1990 view Sunday 8 1990 Bengals Falcons away 0-10 7-7 3-14 7-7 17-38 1.5 53.5 -21 -19.5 1.5 -9.0 10.5 L L O 0

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                • #38

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                  • #39
                    p:playoffs = 1 and pp:playoffs = 0 and tpS(playoffs=1) = 2.0 and po:interceptions = 2 and p:interceptions < 3 and p:dps < 13 and total < 55


                    divisional round

                    previous got to the divisional round [ believe "tpS(playoffs =1)=2.0" means that]

                    previous opp interceptions =2

                    previous interceptions <3

                    previous didn't score > 13 points more than they were supposed to

                    total < 55





                    6-0 (16.58)

                    won big off the 9 year layoff

                    today's line and total sandwich nicely between the line and totals of the dual 31 point covers


                    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...output=summary



                    buf - 6



                    haven't looked at other yet





                    Last edited by bleeker; 01-22-2023, 11:31 AM.
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                      p:playoffs = 1 and pp:playoffs = 0 and tpS(playoffs=1) = 2.0 and po:interceptions = 2 and p:interceptions < 3 and p:dps < 13 and total < 55


                      divisional round

                      previous got to the divisional round [ believe "tpS(playoffs =1)=2.0" means that]

                      previous opp interceptions =2

                      previous interceptions <3

                      previous didn't score > 13 points more than they were supposed to

                      total < 55





                      6-0 (16.58)

                      won big off the 9 year layoff

                      today's line and total sandwich nicely between the line and totals of the dual 31 point covers


                      https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...output=summary



                      buf - 6



                      haven't looked at other yet




                      previous season
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • #41

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                        • #42
                          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                          p:playoffs = 1 and pp:playoffs = 0 and tpS(playoffs=1) = 2.0 and po:interceptions = 2 and p:interceptions < 3 and p:dps < 13 and total < 55


                          divisional round

                          previous got to the divisional round [ believe "tpS(playoffs =1)=2.0" means that]

                          previous opp interceptions =2

                          previous interceptions <3

                          previous didn't score > 13 points more than they were supposed to

                          total < 55





                          6-0 (16.58)

                          won big off the 9 year layoff

                          today's line and total sandwich nicely between the line and totals of the dual 31 point covers


                          https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...output=summary



                          buf - 6



                          haven't looked at other yet




                          this is 2nd game of the playoffs and most are championship games (bye team got there)..still feel 2nd game has significance regardless of the round
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Thank you bleeker.

                            Post #4 has me over over over.

                            The NFL wants this and so do I. Over over over.

                            Mining the database for playoff info is tricky business, as pro football keeps changing the playoff format.

                            Things like home and healthy never go out of style. Over over over.

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Originally posted by omar View Post
                              Thank you bleeker.

                              Post #4 has me over over over.

                              The NFL wants this and so do I. Over over over.

                              Mining the database for playoff info is tricky business, as pro football keeps changing the playoff format.

                              Things like home and healthy never go out of style. Over over over.
                              no problem omar


                              obviously you're talking about the conference thread.. ultimately went with the sides but the totals weren't bad either.. hard to have faith with the results I've gotten but I wish you luck
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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