totals:
UNDER big fav off fav game with 2+ turnovers and poor rushing game (46-115 o/u = BAL/CIN under)
OVER home in nondiv b4 bye week, teams within 40% WP of each other (106-50 o/u = SEA over, NE over, NO over)
UNDER away on 2+ ATS streak vs opponent on 2+ ATS losing streak (20-45 o/u = CAR/ATL under)
OVER turn nondiv off faw win with 1+ rush TD and opponent allowed >400 yards (66-16 o/u = NO/LAC over)
UNDER away off fav away attempting >28 passes/game and avg >3 3rd downs made (7-32 o/u = BUF/TEn under, NE/DEN under, CLE/IND under)
UNDER away fav off fav game with 1+ goal to go fails away (1-25 o/u = CLE/IND under)
UNDER off home dog loss making 5+ 3rd downs in b2b games, grass (5-21 o/u = MIA/SF under)
UNDER grass nondiv off away fav (18-58 o/u = BUF/TEN under, IND/CLE under)
OVER off home Thu loss as fav or small dog (26-6 o/u = ARI/NYJ over)
OVER big dog turf nondiv off home loss vs opponent with terrible time of possession last game (59-12 o/u = ARI/NYJ over)
OVER b2b 3+ passing TD vs team with 3+ passing TD in L2 games combined, opponent allowing >1.5 pass TD/game (49-16 o/u = DAL/NYG over)
UNDER big fav off fave game with 2+ turnovers and not great offense (14-62 o/u = SF/MIA under)
OVER pacific vs eastern early in season, neither with bye coming
OVER MNF with big rest coming (52-20 o/u = NO/LAC over)
UNDER sunday team allowing 81+ combined L2 weeks (19-61 o/u = DAL/NYG under)
OVER team not dog of 10+ failed to throw passing TD in 3 straight (64-32 o/u = DAL/NYG over)
OVER huge dog not turning it over much good rushing team (100-46 o/u = LV/KC over)
UNDER scored 117+ L3 weeks playing team allowing 17+ and no bye coming (3-22 o/u = CLE/IND under)
UNDER home team allowing 32+ b2b games and nondiv (13-34 o/u = WAS/LAR under, ARI/NYJ under)
UNDER big fav off fav game with 2+ turnovers and making <54% of 3rd downs, not same record as opp (15-66 o/u = BAL/CIN under, SF/MIA under)
OVER nondiv off win with rush TD, opponent off good offense and bad defense game (115-47 o/u = BUF/TEN over, NO/LAC over)
OVER game 5 sunday home team winning <75% against opponent also winning <75% (44-16 o/u = HOU over, NE over, NYJ over, SF over, ATL over, DAL over) note: never had a losing season...worst was 5-4 o/u last year
sides:
PLAY ON away dog off good defensive game that were playoff team LY (103-46 ATS = on PHI, on MIN)
PLAY ON big fav before bye week and opponent not off blowout loss (76-22 ATS = on SEA, on NE, on NO)
OPPOSE away good passing teams that are winning <66% of their games (30-63 ATS = on NO)
OPPOSE nondiv home fav off away nondiv away loss (59-120 ATS = on LAC)
OPPOSE heavy passing teams allowing a lot of passing TD (23-58 ATS = on NYG)
PLAY ON away nondiv fav or small dog off away fav loss (25-8 ATS = on ARI)
OPPOSE big home dogs on grass off dog game and facing heavy rushing team (6-31 ATS = on LAR)
PLAY ON away conference off away vs opponent avg >2.2 turnovers per game (34-5 ATS = on NYG)
OPPOSE home team, terrible LY, off blowout loss and allowing more pts than expected in b2b games (2-34 ATS = on LAR)
ON away dog on grass off home dog or small fav, opponent heavy passing first downs team (53-10 ATS = on MIA, on LV)
ON home dog just allowed 32+ and didn't score 7+ in first half (110-67 ATS = on CHI)
OPPOSE off bad or average 3rd down % game but good defense (28-67 ATS = on CLE)
ON away <.500 team vs opponent off a loss and now winning 75% (155-96 ATS = on JAX, on DEN, on MIA)
OPPOSE away nondiv with away MNF on tap (4-25 ATS = on NYJ)
ON win or small loss and b2b losses before that, WP 20-50% (80-30 ATS = on MIN, on NE, on NO)
OPPOSE grass nondiv off fav waay, opponent excellent in red zone (18-53 ATS = on CLE)
ON game 4 home team, 3-0 and normal rest coming, opponent not off 10+ loss (18-5 ATS = on PIT, on TEN)
ON Sunday week 4-5 teams allowing 332+ passing yards/game (19-2 ATS = on SEA, on ATL)
ON 1-3 team that didn't score >30 last week vs opponent off a win (43-19 ATS = on WAS)
ON 1-3 nonconf vs opponent off a win and not allowing 28+/game (28-6 ATS = on LAC)
ON week 4-5 dogs of 2-13.5 when teams combined 0-1 cover YTD (63-22 ATS = on JAX, WAS, NYJ)
UNDER big fav off fav game with 2+ turnovers and poor rushing game (46-115 o/u = BAL/CIN under)
OVER home in nondiv b4 bye week, teams within 40% WP of each other (106-50 o/u = SEA over, NE over, NO over)
UNDER away on 2+ ATS streak vs opponent on 2+ ATS losing streak (20-45 o/u = CAR/ATL under)
OVER turn nondiv off faw win with 1+ rush TD and opponent allowed >400 yards (66-16 o/u = NO/LAC over)
UNDER away off fav away attempting >28 passes/game and avg >3 3rd downs made (7-32 o/u = BUF/TEn under, NE/DEN under, CLE/IND under)
UNDER away fav off fav game with 1+ goal to go fails away (1-25 o/u = CLE/IND under)
UNDER off home dog loss making 5+ 3rd downs in b2b games, grass (5-21 o/u = MIA/SF under)
UNDER grass nondiv off away fav (18-58 o/u = BUF/TEN under, IND/CLE under)
OVER off home Thu loss as fav or small dog (26-6 o/u = ARI/NYJ over)
OVER big dog turf nondiv off home loss vs opponent with terrible time of possession last game (59-12 o/u = ARI/NYJ over)
OVER b2b 3+ passing TD vs team with 3+ passing TD in L2 games combined, opponent allowing >1.5 pass TD/game (49-16 o/u = DAL/NYG over)
UNDER big fav off fave game with 2+ turnovers and not great offense (14-62 o/u = SF/MIA under)
OVER pacific vs eastern early in season, neither with bye coming
OVER MNF with big rest coming (52-20 o/u = NO/LAC over)
UNDER sunday team allowing 81+ combined L2 weeks (19-61 o/u = DAL/NYG under)
OVER team not dog of 10+ failed to throw passing TD in 3 straight (64-32 o/u = DAL/NYG over)
OVER huge dog not turning it over much good rushing team (100-46 o/u = LV/KC over)
UNDER scored 117+ L3 weeks playing team allowing 17+ and no bye coming (3-22 o/u = CLE/IND under)
UNDER home team allowing 32+ b2b games and nondiv (13-34 o/u = WAS/LAR under, ARI/NYJ under)
UNDER big fav off fav game with 2+ turnovers and making <54% of 3rd downs, not same record as opp (15-66 o/u = BAL/CIN under, SF/MIA under)
OVER nondiv off win with rush TD, opponent off good offense and bad defense game (115-47 o/u = BUF/TEN over, NO/LAC over)
OVER game 5 sunday home team winning <75% against opponent also winning <75% (44-16 o/u = HOU over, NE over, NYJ over, SF over, ATL over, DAL over) note: never had a losing season...worst was 5-4 o/u last year
sides:
PLAY ON away dog off good defensive game that were playoff team LY (103-46 ATS = on PHI, on MIN)
PLAY ON big fav before bye week and opponent not off blowout loss (76-22 ATS = on SEA, on NE, on NO)
OPPOSE away good passing teams that are winning <66% of their games (30-63 ATS = on NO)
OPPOSE nondiv home fav off away nondiv away loss (59-120 ATS = on LAC)
OPPOSE heavy passing teams allowing a lot of passing TD (23-58 ATS = on NYG)
PLAY ON away nondiv fav or small dog off away fav loss (25-8 ATS = on ARI)
OPPOSE big home dogs on grass off dog game and facing heavy rushing team (6-31 ATS = on LAR)
PLAY ON away conference off away vs opponent avg >2.2 turnovers per game (34-5 ATS = on NYG)
OPPOSE home team, terrible LY, off blowout loss and allowing more pts than expected in b2b games (2-34 ATS = on LAR)
ON away dog on grass off home dog or small fav, opponent heavy passing first downs team (53-10 ATS = on MIA, on LV)
ON home dog just allowed 32+ and didn't score 7+ in first half (110-67 ATS = on CHI)
OPPOSE off bad or average 3rd down % game but good defense (28-67 ATS = on CLE)
ON away <.500 team vs opponent off a loss and now winning 75% (155-96 ATS = on JAX, on DEN, on MIA)
OPPOSE away nondiv with away MNF on tap (4-25 ATS = on NYJ)
ON win or small loss and b2b losses before that, WP 20-50% (80-30 ATS = on MIN, on NE, on NO)
OPPOSE grass nondiv off fav waay, opponent excellent in red zone (18-53 ATS = on CLE)
ON game 4 home team, 3-0 and normal rest coming, opponent not off 10+ loss (18-5 ATS = on PIT, on TEN)
ON Sunday week 4-5 teams allowing 332+ passing yards/game (19-2 ATS = on SEA, on ATL)
ON 1-3 team that didn't score >30 last week vs opponent off a win (43-19 ATS = on WAS)
ON 1-3 nonconf vs opponent off a win and not allowing 28+/game (28-6 ATS = on LAC)
ON week 4-5 dogs of 2-13.5 when teams combined 0-1 cover YTD (63-22 ATS = on JAX, WAS, NYJ)
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