Super Bowl Betting Info.

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Super Bowl 50


Early Line
Carolina Panthers -4
Denver Broncos +4


Over/Under
45.5


Moneyline
Carolina Panthers -180
Denver Broncos +160

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Panthers WLB Thomas Davis told reporters after Sunday's NFC title game win that his right arm is broken.
Davis vowed to still play in Super Bowl 50, but he's going to need medical clearance from the Panthers' doctors first.

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Panthers SS Roman Harper (eye) expects to be "all right" for the Super Bowl.
Harper left early in the second quarter after "the flap" over the cornea in his Lasik-repaired right eye shifted. "I took some medicine and got it cleared up," said Harper. "I’ll be all right. We’ve got two weeks to get this team ready."

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Panthers coach Ron Rivera believes Jared Allen (foot) will be ready for the Super Bowl.
Rivera held Allen out of the NFC Championship game because the he was not sure Allen could play a full complement of snaps with a broken bone in his foot. Rivera admitted his decision was a tough one, and Allen will have another two weeks of recovery under his belt before the Super Bowl.

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CAROLINA (17 - 1) vs. DENVER (14 - 4) - 2/7/2016, 6:30 PM


Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
CAROLINA is 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CAROLINA vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Carolina's last 16 games on the road
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

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Early Primer On Betting Super Bowl 50
By Teddy Covers
Sportsmemo.com

The Super Bowl 50 matchup is set. In the end, second best didn’t cut it. The team with the very best defense in the NFL this season – Denver – won a pair of tight home playoff games against banged up foes to return to the big game for the second time in three seasons. The Broncos are set to face the team with the very best quarterback in the NFL this season – Carolina, with Cam Newton behind center; a Panthers team that finished with the best record in the league.

The best quarterback vs. the best defense! We saw this two years ago, when Peyton Manning set records with his play, but Manning tailed off down the stretch and the Seattle Seahawks elite defense controlled the flow right from the get-go in the biggest Super Bowl Blowout of the 21st century.

The irony here, of course, is that two years ago, Denver was here due to Peyton Manning, and they lost the Super Bowl to the league’s best defensive team. Only two years later, Denver is here because THEY have the best defense in the NFL, facing off against an emerging yet elite dual threat quarterback. That defense didn’t perform well against Russell Wilson in the big game two years ago, but that Super Bowl losing defense wasn’t coached by Wade Phillips, nor did it have the same level of playmakers on all three units that this year’s version does.

The Broncos defense is every bit as good this year as Seattle’s defense was two years ago. Denver won three games this year when they trailed by at least two touchdowns because they repeatedly shut opposing teams down with the game on the line in the fourth quarter.

That fourth quarter defensive intensity was on full display in the win over New England. They stopped the Patriots on downs twice in the fourth quarter with the game on the line, then blew up the all-important two point conversion try after the Pats had finally punched in a late TD. The Patriots finished the game with a 4.4 yards per play average, exactly what Denver had allowed during the course of the regular season. The #2 defenses – Seattle and Carolina – were both at 4.9 yards per play; not even close to posting Denver’s elite defensive numbers.

While the betting markets have been reluctant to anoint Denver as a truly elite defensive squad, they’ve been even more reluctant to accept Carolina as an elite level offensive team. Yet the numbers don’t lie. This Panthers offense has hung 31+ on eight of their last nine opponents down the stretch of the regular season and here in the playoffs. In fact, they scored 27 or more points 15 times in their last 16 games, an offense that just hasn’t gotten the respect they deserve.

Greg Olson, Ted Ginn and Devin Funchess all averaged better than 14 yards per catch this season, taking advantage of Carolina’s aggressive downfield passing game. Second year pro Corey Brown was the hero in the win over the Cardinals, thanks to an 86 yard catch and run TD that blew the game open in the first quarter. RB Jonathan Stewart has averaged a full five yards per carry on his 38 rushing attempts in the postseason, against a pair of rock solid stop units.

But make no mistake about it – the Panthers are here, now, because of elite level quarterback play more than any other factor. Cam Newton finished the season with only ten interceptions and a 99.4 QB rating, but even that doesn’t tell the true story, because it doesn’t factor in his scrambling ability as the team’s second leading rusher with ten touchdowns on the ground. And even those stats don’t tell the story of Newton’s leadership abilities, proven since his tenure at Auburn when he ‘came out of nowhere’ to lead the Tigers to an undefeated season and a national title, handing the added pressure and the media blitz effectively throughout the entire process.

Last year’s Super Bowl was priced as a pick ‘em right through kickoff at many books. Prior to that, the underdog had covered six of the previous seven Super Bowls, winning five of those in outright fashion. Green Bay over Pittsburgh is the only Super Bowl favorite to win and cover since the Colts beat the Bears following the 2006 campaign. In fact, since the Ravens Super Bowl win over the Giants following the 2000 campaign, underdogs are 10-3 in the Super Bowl ATS (not counting last year’s pick ‘em priced contest).

When it comes to the pointspread for the Super Bowl, it’s the same story, year after year. Bettors remember what they last saw and react accordingly. The lookahead lines for the potential Super Bowl matchups after Denver knocked off New England in the first game on Sunday had the Broncos in the +2.5 or +3 range as an underdog – no higher and no lower – in a matchup against either Carolina or Arizona in the Super Bowl. These were global marketplace lines, not unique to any one or two sportsbooks.

Then Carolina blew out Arizona and all hell broke loose on Sunday Night. The Panthers -2.5’s were snapped up in an instant. So were the -3’s. Pinnacle opened offshore with a Carolina -3.5 and many books copied that number. But that wasn’t a ‘keeper’ pointspread either as the Sunday Night flow of Carolina money continued.

The Westgate Superbook then posted an off market number, hanging the Panthers as -5.5 point favorites. At the time, no other major book was higher than -4, and the prevailing market number was still -3.5. It was a rather prescient move, as the markets continued to slide towards the Carolina side. While that -5.5 at the Westgate was bet down to -4 almost immediately, the market as a whole was shifting to -4. On Monday morning, most of those -4’s had become -4.5’s.

So, we essentially saw a 1.5 or 2 point line move off the key number of +/-3 as the NFC Championship Game was turning into a rout and the Super Bowl matchup was certain. For all the talk about ‘season long stats’ and ‘advanced defensive metrics’, the end result is that big money bettors have initially fallen in love with Carolina – finally – after disrespecting the Panthers for extended stretches this season.

This initial betting market love for Carolina in the Super Bowl has come despite the fact that the defense wins championships mantra hasn’t changed in the modern NFL. Perhaps it’s a measure of disrespect for the Broncos coaching staff in a big game. Let’s not forget that both Gary Kubiak and Wade Phillips were unceremoniously fired following a miserable 2013 season with the Texans, a 2-14 campaign as head coach and defensive coordinator. Talk about redemption! We’ll have to wait two more weeks to see if that Kubiak/Phillips coaching duo will get their full measure of redemption with a Super Bowl victory.

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Super Bowl Line Watch
By Art Aronson

Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers (-4)

Denver’s game plan for the Super Bowl is simple: knock Cam Newton silly by sending him to the ground 20 or more times. What, wrong game? The Broncos are likely to find a completely different opponent from the wounded group of wildebeests that the New England Patriots imitated on Sunday in the AFC Championship Game.

While Carolina’s plans are not yet completely formed, it is rumored that unlike the Patriots, the Panthers actually plan to include some offensive linemen on their active roster when the game takes place on Feb. 7 in Santa Clara, California.

Books moved fast to set the line Sunday night, and while four seemed to be the consensus number, savvy line shoppers could find the number a half-point lower or a half-point higher, depending on where they wanted to place their money. Early money was down on the Panthers by a wide margin, bettors obviously impressed by their dominating 49-15 victory over the Cardinals in which Carolina jumped out early and then played with Arizona the way a cat would play with a dead mouse.

Peyton Manning was as good as he had to be against the Patriots, but will that be good enough against a young, strong and “running against the wind” Panthers team that has the best player in the league, a real offensive line and momentum that 31 other teams can only dream about?

The Total (45)

So it comes down to this – Can the Broncos turn this into a field position game in which the teams give up first downs grudgingly? Or will the Panthers strike early like they did against both the Seahawks and Cardinals, put a few scores on the board in the early going and then dare Manning to start throwing the ball? Manning was as good as could be expected against a pretty good New England defense, but against Carolina he may be forced to do what may be impossible given his age and the wear and tear on his body – namely, bring his game to an even higher level. The Broncos sent Brady to the turf 20 times in the AFC title game. If Carolina has its act together early and can let its defensive linemen loose, it might be Manning’s turn in the barrel.

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The Panthers are first 15-1 team to make Super Bowl since 1985 Bears.

15-1 teams are 2-0 in Super Bowl history.

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Peyton Manning/Cam Newton have gone head-to-head once:

2012 Week 10

Broncos won, 36-14.

Manning 301 pass yds,

Newton sacked 7x

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Super Bowl 50 will be the 3rd SB meeting between SEC QBs.

1977: Tarkenton - Stabler
2007: Grossman - P. Manning
2015: Newton - P. Manning

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Nevada books have posted a profit on 24 of 26 Super Bowls and are up $134.2M since gaming control began tracking betting action in 1991.

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Peyton Manning ... Super Bowl underdog for the first time.

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The Vegas favorite has won 34 of the prior 49 Super Bowls (69%)


NFL teams AFTER scoring 40+ points in the playoffs (like Carolina did Sunday)
are on a 5-23 Against The Spread (18% ATS) losing run their next playoff game


Early professional money on Denver
Early recreational money on Carolina

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Panthers are 8th team in the Super Bowl era to win a conference championship game by at least 30 points.

2 of previous 7 won Super Bowl

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Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers are Super Bowl favorites.

The Westgate SuperBook opened the Panthers as 5.5-point favorites over the Denver Broncos on Sunday. Other Las Vegas sports books went with a lower number.

Station Casinos' sports book opened the Panthers as four-point favorites. William Hill and CG Technology's Nevada books each went with Panthers -3.5. The line appeared to be settling at Carolina -4 late Sunday night.

"I'll be surprised if it doesn't get to 4.5," Jay Rood, vice president of MGM race and sports, said.

The over/under is set at 44.5 for Super Bowl 50 on Feb. 7, in Santa Clara, California.

The Broncos advanced to the Super Bowl with a thrilling 20-18 win over the New England Patriots. That's good news for a bettor who put $30,000 on Denver winning the Super Bowl at 14-1 odds on Aug. 18 at a William Hill sports book. They'll win $420,000, if the Broncos prevail in two weeks.

Millions will be wagered on the Super Bowl over the next two weeks. Last year, $115.9 million was bet on the Super Bowl at Nevada sports books. The books won $3.2 million when the Patriots defeated the Seattle Seahawks 28-24 in the Super Bowl.