Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

SDQL Week 11

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Page of 2
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
Previous 1 2 template Next
  • #16
    week 10-12
    friday
    home
    win streak >=3
    po: points 1Q =0
    favorite <=33 or dog


    7-0 (13.79)

    favorites good subset and the highest total by a lot is the smallest margin


    https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...mary&_qt=games



    utsa-14.5
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment

    • #17
      16<= rank <= 24 and -3 <= line <= 3 and week = 12 and season >=2006 and total <=75

      week 12
      rank 16-24
      line range between the 3's
      total <=75
      2006

      1-18 o/u (-15.21) big


      only dual qualifier in sample..not sure if that's good or bad lol

      other game (if you hit the link) is not a play for me ..total way too low (relative to sample)


      https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++





      utah/arizona under 46.5




      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #18
        Utah State are 15-2 SU and 14-1-2 ATS averaging 45 ppg in the past 6 years playing at home as a fav or small dog after scoring 24+ points. upset of Boise coming today

        team = UTST and H and date>20171101 and line < 9 and p:points > 23

        15-2-0 (22.47, 88.2%)
        14-1-2 (8.97, 93.3%) avg line: -13.5 +6: 16-1-0 (94.1%) -6: 9-8-0 (52.9%) +10: 16-1-0 (94.1%) -10: 8-9-0 (47.1%)
        14-3-0 (10.18, 82.4%) avg total: 58.8 +6: 13-3-1 (81.2%) -6: 15-2-0 (88.2%) +10: 12-5-0 (70.6%) -10: 16-1-0 (94.1%)
        42.3 224.0 35.6 323.2 23.1 1.9 10.7 16.3 9.9 8.8 45.7
        38.9 144.0 35.4 229.2 19.2 2.2 5.8 5.3 6.1 6.1 23.2
        Nov 18, 2023 box Saturday 12 2023 UTST BOIS home 4.0 64.5

        Comment

        • #19
          Great shit, Tide.

          Comment

          • #20

            Comment

            • #21
              Originally posted by bleeker View Post

              week 12
              rank 16-24
              line range between the 3's
              total &lt;=75
              2006

              1-18 o/u (-15.21) big


              only dual qualifier in sample..not sure if that's good or bad lol

              other game (if you hit the link) is not a play for me ..total way too low (relative to sample)


              https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++





              utah/arizona under 46.5



              probably it so figure I'd keep them in same post

              week 12
              rank 2-3
              away
              favorite >=3
              po: touchdowns <=2


              0-8 (23.94) really big

              big knock however is total way lower than avg ALTHOUGH it does match up well (side/total) with osu/msu in 2016

              another slight knock is big 10 games (all osu) are the lowest margins of the sample (still big)


              https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

              mary +18
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #22
                GOOD STUFF !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                Comment

                • #23
                  Originally posted by rolltide View Post
                  10-0 away favs of 2.5-28 are 0-11 ATS away in week 11 if playing a team that isn't on a big losing streak (on MARY, TENN) ... they lost SIX of these outright all of them as favs of at least 8!

                  game number=11 and losses = 0 and A and -2>line>-28.5 and season>2009 and o:streak>-4
                  5-6-0 (-2.00, 45.5%)
                  0-11-0 (-18.09, 0.0%) avg line: -16.1
                  similar but a bit different is top 4 teams in this week are 0-12 ATS if not a big away dog, allowed 2 or less TD last week, and opponent has 7 or less losses

                  week=12 and rank<5 and line<6.5 and po:touchdowns<3 and o:losses<8 and A
                  8-4-0 (3.75, 66.7%)
                  0-12-0 (-18.08, 0.0%) avg line: -21.8 +6: 2-10-0 (16.7%) -6: 0-12-0 (0.0%) +10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)
                  5-6-1 (-2.83, 45.5%) avg total: 60.9 +6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) -6: 7-5-0 (58.3%) +10: 4-8-0 (33.3%) -10: 8-4-0 (66.7%)
                  36.8 190.0 36.4 224.8 20.8 2.1 9.0 6.4 8.4 6.5 30.9
                  35.0 150.2 37.6 254.1 21.8 1.7 5.7 7.8 4.8 7.8 27.2
                  Nov 18, 2023 box Saturday 12 2023 GEO TEN away -10.0 58.5
                  Nov 18, 2023 box Saturday 12 2023 MICH MARY away -18.5 49.5

                  Comment

                  • #24
                    https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                    kan st -10
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    Previous 1 2 template Next
                    Working...
                    X