I see 66% on draft kings and 58%ml
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Tourney SDQL thread
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UConn and Iowa St have covered every tourney win in more than a decade
tournament = NCAA and team = CON and W and season >201015-0 (15.33, 100.0%) 15-0-0 (11.23, 100.0%) avg line: -4.1 7-8-0 (-0.67, 46.7%) avg total: 138.0
tournament = NCAA and team = IWST and W and season>201110-0 (11.70, 100.0%) 10-0-0 (7.25, 100.0%) avg line: -4.5
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in round 2+ teams that defend the 3 really well rarely cover if playing a team that just made 13+ 3's when they've not hit an avg of 8.5-11 per game
round>1 and tournament=NCAA and p:three pointers made>12 and otA(o:three pointers made)<7.7 and ((tA(three pointers made)<8.5) or (tA(three pointers made)>11.1)) and season>2011
play on Duke and San Diego St
14-4 (6.72, 77.8%) 16-1-1 (5.81, 94.1%) avg line: -0.9
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with 2 or higher seed as either 5+ fav or 6+ dog and the teams combined average are outside of a small range the under hits a lot in the sweet 16 rouind
round=3 and rank>1 and not 292>tA(total)+oA(total)>288 and (line>6 or line<-4.5) and season>20135-8 (-5.00, 38.5%) 8-5-0 (1.77, 61.5%) avg line: 6.8 1-12-0 (-10.46, 7.7%) avg total: 142.1 22.77 40.0 12.08 74.4 5.69 27.8 3.85 9.62 34.00 17.23 11.38 10.08 29.1 34.2 63.3 24.31 40.7 14.69 77.3 5.00 24.3 4.23 12.69 38.62 16.69 12.62 9.08 31.2 37.2 68.3 Mar 29, 2024 Fri 2023 NCST MARQ neutral 5&4 6.5 151.5 Mar 28, 2024 Thu 2023 SDSU CON neutral 3&3 10.5 135.5 Mar 28, 2024 Thu 2023 CLEM ARZ neutral 3&4 7.5 152.5
even without dropping those average totals this pops out at 5-14 ou
next, after round 1 high totals go under
tournament = NCAA and total > 156.5 and F and round>1 and season>2015
lone over was UNC vs a SEC team....
5-5 (-2.30, 50.0%) 2-7-1 (-9.00, 22.2%) avg line: -6.7 1-9-0 (-13.95, 10.0%) avg total: 162.1 26.40 44.1 14.40 71.6 5.70 28.2 4.00 12.60 37.50 17.00 15.40 13.90 36.1 36.8 72.9 27.50 44.4 11.60 69.9 8.60 35.1 4.60 10.50 34.10 17.50 13.30 11.90 36.4 38.8 75.2 Mar 28, 2024 Thu 2023 NCAR ALA neutral 4&3 -4.5 173.5 Last edited by rolltide; 03-28-2024, 10:51 AM.
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