Baseball Random Stuff

[junior713]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

So play Dodgers and Twins right?

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

So play Dodgers and Twins right?

Yes, both run-lines so you aren't killed with juice. Maybe a ML parlay as well.

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Sorry, don't have the time I used to right now things a bit crazy. Apologize

It's ok, If a system was posted at any time throughout this thread I will re-post it when they pop up again. I run the same 50-60 MLB systems every day, I have them saved in my browser as favorites.

Just counted them, exact number is 57. That is fluid though cause I add new ones I find, or take away older ones that look like they have run their course and are no longer effective.

[MeestermikeD]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Dodgers in the last game of a series after a game they homered in and today's starter has a lower than 3.9 ERA....53-1 SU, decent RL ROI, but not as good as the ML. Lots of juice obviously, every game has to be at least a 200 favorite.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

Great find and here's the ROI results:

team = Dodgers and LGS and line < -200 and p:HR > 0 and STDSERA < 3.9
SU: 53-1 (3.43, 98.1%) avg line: -251.9 / 220.4 on / against: +$5,060 / -$5,090 ROI: +37.1% / -94.3%
RL: 37-15 (1.94, 71.2%) avg line: -122.8 / 108.1 on / against: +$1,912 / -$2,142 ROI: +29.6% / -39.3%

[MeestermikeD]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Great find and here's the ROI results:

team = Dodgers and LGS and line < -200 and p:HR > 0 and STDSERA < 3.9
SU: 53-1 (3.43, 98.1%) avg line: -251.9 / 220.4 on / against: +$5,060 / -$5,090 ROI: +37.1% / -94.3%
RL: 37-15 (1.94, 71.2%) avg line: -122.8 / 108.1 on / against: +$1,912 / -$2,142 ROI: +29.6% / -39.3%

TOP 10 TEAMS https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Large home dog +170 or more, today's starter went less than 4 innings his last start. One other parameter is hardly confining, that last start he went less than 4 innings in the bullpen had to allow at least 1 run...adding that makes it 1-23 instead of 3-26 though. Pretty amazing actually that 5 games with the 1st qualifier had over 5 innings of shutout or 1 run pitching from the bullpens. The run-line is actually better on this.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...%3E%3D20170418

Twins failed yesterday, this is active again today on the Braves (fade of Boston)

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Brad Keller is a pretty good pitcher, very tempting big dog price is hard to pass up...DIV away favs over -170 are 46-9 and 41-13 on the RL. Only other parameters are win % for the favorite>=.60 and win pct. of the dog<=.40

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

I figured it was pretty rare for a pitcher on the fade side of this one to have good numbers, adding a less than 4 ERA parameter to the opponent's pitcher does find only 9 times out of the 55. Certainly reason to just avoid this one I think. Those 9 times the road fav is only 5-4.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Using the info above I further refined my original query to only include opposing starters with ERAs 4.0 or higher. Not active today, but good info for the future when this one pops up. It improves the ROI on both ML and RL almost 10%.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[bleeker]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

monday..
home favorite..
previous lost both ends of a double header..
previous game biggest lead <3..



5-0 (-178) (4.40)
5-0 -1.5 (+123)

nym -1.5 (-135)


https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[bleeker]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

monday..
home favorite..
previous lost both ends of a double header..
previous game biggest lead <3..



5-0 (-178) (4.40)
5-0 -1.5 (+123)

nym -1.5 (-135)


https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

smallest margin was 3 and there's only 1 of those

[bleeker]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

opp previous runs 9th =1
previous runs 9th =2
previous opponent runs >2
previous won..
streak >1..
day game

9-26 o/u

tor/bal under 10.5



https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Fade the Royals as a big dog off a home win they trailed in. 7-49 since lat May. ML ROI significantly better that the RL ROI, which means you should play the juice. Not a fan of that. Just posting what I find.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Got one popped up for the 1st time this season. Playing on favs -125 or more that have been favored only 1 time max in their last 9 games. 2 other parameters, they are on a losing streak and the opponent is on a winning streak...BIG BIG ROI on the run-line here. I am playing a split wager with a little on each. Colorado...

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

Here is the original Query which I have saved also, the above is a higher ROI subset. This one is 3-0 this year, 2 of those covered the RL.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[bleeker]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

previous <2 runs..
previous away loss..
previous favorite >170
today favorite >135
2nd game series
7-10 total


17-2-1 o/u (3.40)

1 push in extra innings


cle/kc over 9



https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[jumperjack]

Re: Baseball Random Stuff

Got this one active again...large HD +170 or more and today's starter went less than 4 innings his last start. Pirates Musgrove off short outing he got hit hard...fade the Pirates. Run-line ROI good on this one.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...%3E%3D20170418