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  • #61
    Re: Baseball Random Stuff

    I have a really strong indicator for the Dodgers today. I know it is juicy as fuck, but the run-line is more solid anyway. Active for the 1st time this year...big home favorites (-200 or more) in the last game of a series after they had a walk-off win the day before. That's it, no other parameters....well there is another, it is before the all-star break. These big HF are 27-0 since 2012.

    https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

    Comment

    • #62
      Re: Baseball Random Stuff

      Originally posted by bleeker View Post
      this one has 2 plays tonight


      sd-130
      sf +147 (half unit.. outside of range and dog)



      2 blowout wins

      18-1 now


      sf +110 play tonight
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #63
        Re: Baseball Random Stuff

        Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
        I have a really strong indicator for the Dodgers today. I know it is juicy as fuck, but the run-line is more solid anyway. Active for the 1st time this year...big home favorites (-200 or more) in the last game of a series after they had a walk-off win the day before. That's it, no other parameters....well there is another, it is before the all-star break. These big HF are 27-0 since 2012.

        https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
        Dodgers in a laugher...now 28-0 and 23-4 on the RL.
        "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

        Comment

        • #64
          Re: Baseball Random Stuff

          2020..
          today's starter's 4-6 losses (team) coming into last game..
          opponents starter won previous start..
          division..

          https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


          10-0 (+105) (3.40)

          2 blowout wins today @ +110 and +220 so now 12-0



          tomorrow


          tex +130
          mia +115
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #65
            Re: Baseball Random Stuff

            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
            2020..
            today's starter's 4-6 losses (team) coming into last game..
            opponents starter won previous start..
            division..

            https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


            10-0 (+105) (3.40)

            2 blowout wins today @ +110 and +220 so now 12-0



            tomorrow


            tex +130
            mia +115

            since 8/13 as a favorite <240 it's 8-0 runline and only 1 game was a 2 run margin

            https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #66
              Re: Baseball Random Stuff

              the 16-1 system posted two nights ago went 3-0 past two days

              19-1 (-146)


              the 12-0 system posted yesterday went 2-0 today

              14-0 (+107)


              these 5 games avg odds (+114)



              33-1 (-123) combined now
              Last edited by bleeker; 08-24-2020, 10:46 PM.
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #67
                Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                The home team has won all 4 games when Woodruff starts against the Reds, and the Reds have yet to win a game as a road dog against a righty starter this season...0-4 and 2-10 in that situation going back into last season. Castillo is very good, but even he is just 2-7 as a road dog facing a righty starter going back to May 2018. In 6 of those 9 games the Reds failed to score more than 3 runs. Team total under tonight?
                "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                Comment

                • #68
                  Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                  Big dogs off a come from behind home win are 2-18 going back to last May.

                  https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                  6-46 if it isn't limited to 1st game of the series
                  https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                  "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                  Comment

                  • #69
                    Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                    Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                    the 16-1 system posted two nights ago went 3-0 past two days

                    19-1 (-146)


                    the 12-0 system posted yesterday went 2-0 today

                    14-0 (+107)


                    these 5 games avg odds (+114)



                    33-1 (-123) combined now


                    tex +150


                    from that system.. if you hit the link it shows 13-0 even though I could have sworn I saw tex listed last night as a play also..turned out to be a good mistake if it was
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #70
                      Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                      Only 26 instances in the entire database, and it fits the Dodgers today. Large away favorite off a loss as a more than -130 favorite in the series opener. Team they are playing has a win % over .460. That's it. Nothing else. 24-2 SU and a huge money maker on the run-line, which is good cause I will never tell someone to play a -250 favorite.

                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                      Here is the query I have saved, I trimmed it down by adding the win % and previous line parameters...

                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                      Comment

                      • #71
                        Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                        Here is another one I saved recently...it only goes back to last May. Big dogs off a home win they come from behind to win. 6-48 SU Result says fade the Giants

                        https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                        "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                        Comment

                        • #72
                          Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                          away favorite..
                          previous game scored 1 run..
                          it was in the 9th inning..
                          last game series..
                          opponent's starter throws righty..
                          total >8.5

                          0-8 o/u (-2.75)


                          lots of extra inning and unearned runs in this sample


                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                          chi /det under 10.5
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment

                          • #73
                            Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                            Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
                            Here is another one I saved recently...it only goes back to last May. Big dogs off a home win they come from behind to win. 6-48 SU Result says fade the Giants

                            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                            Had some concerns about the day off, but it still flies with a day off between.

                            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                            "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                            Comment

                            • #74
                              Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                              Cardinals come from behind walk-off-win yesterday should provide them a boost today based on the past. Teams in the 1st game of a home series with no day off have gone 30-9 in this situation, 19-2 if favored by more than -135. Chad Kuhl is also 0-5 in his 5 starts @STL

                              https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                              "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                              Comment

                              • #75
                                Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                                Don't be scared off the A's today. Large division away favs off B2B wins are 11-0 in the same series. They are >.600 win pct and opponent is <.400 win pct.

                                NEVERMIND, THEY DECIDED NOT TO PLAY THIS GAME TODAY

                                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                                Comment

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