If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
My concern today is how big the line is, if you add line>175 to mine you narrow it down to only 4 games....all overs.
didn't see this till this morning.. I did notice this game was way out of the range of lines in the sample which is always cause for concern for me.. your query is further proof of that and more than likely would have passed on this with no regrets if it had won (went way over)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Home favorites off a walk off win=emotional boost
1st game of the series with no day off=advantage home team (the other team travelled)
They trailed in the game they walked off=again, another boost to win a game they had trailed in
Only one parameter added besides the above listed, make them more than -135
Here is another, this one says to fade a team off scoring 10 runs in the 1st game of a series. Again we use no rest, and the line parameter on this is dogs at least +105.
These teams are 10-42. Both this and the above one tell you to take the same side today...
Large home dogs (+170 or more) with a starting pitcher who went less than 4 innings in his last start...only other parameter is that the bullpen came in and allowed at least 2 runs in that game he left early. How do these dogs do? 1-22 going back to 2017! Run-line fade is 20-3, which helps cause these are all large favorites this system says to play.
Hand in hand with the one above...the Brewers are 2-9 O/U as road dogs +120 after a day off. The day off is key for the Brewers because it ensures Josh Hader is available.
Does that NYY game tonight fit the bill for a signature total?
Both starters faced another team since they faced tonight's opponent, so no. But I still like the recency of the last start being only 1 start removed. I would make a small play on the over.
"The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...
Comment