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  • Re: horse plays

    ..
    Last edited by bleeker; 05-09-2020, 08:16 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: horse plays

      Originally posted by bleeker View Post
      2WP-4WP-6WP-8W (small track)
      5WP-10WP-15WP-25W (big tracks)


      gulfstream


      R1 #12 dona camille (12-1) 5WP

      R4 #4 sky's son (20-1) 5WP

      R6 #2 commanding lady (4-1) 10 WP


      R9 #5 blueridge mountain (8-1) 5W 10P



      tampa

      R3 #5 cattleya (8-1) 5WP
      R8 #10 speaker it (3-1) 15W only


      maiden special weights

      gulfstream R2 #1 carson city kid (15-1)
      tampa R9 #2 u s delta force (4-1)

      these are not graded.. I am involved in a contest with the maidens elsewhere so if you ever see something next to the odds just ignore.. different scale and rather not grade here





      R4 out @ 42-1
      R6.. 3rd @ 4-1
      R9.. out @ 5-2 (really bet)


      R3 out @ 13-1
      R7 out @ 3-2


      70/0



      risk $225/return $98.50
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays

        gulfstream

        R1 #5 jack beanstalk (6-1) 10WP
        R3 #5 kahiko (6-1) 10WP
        R4 #1 algodonal (4-1) 10 WP
        R6 #7 apache (15-1) 5 WP


        R8 #3 cat gone quick (8-1) 5WP




        tampa

        R1 #1 mr october (15-1) 5WP

        could see improvement 2nd off the long layoff.. back finger lakes numbers fit well.. caught this trainer doing this about a week ago.. horse I believe went off at 7-2 and was 10-1 ml


        R2 #4 gold ducat (8-1) 5WP


        R4 #4 papa's place (10-1) 5WP

        homebred by breeder/owner bruno schickendanz whose been around a long time.. ran in an off the turf race last out in his debut (that happened to come back very quick).. that was specials and this is mcl 16k so could be cause for concern.. very weak field relatively speaking and dam has been a big time producer of turf horses.. obscure sire I never heard of but a son of curlin



        R8 #10 dazzling truths (6-1)

        not a <4 wins claiming race but love turf marathons so going to post a pick.. will not count on the ledger
        Last edited by bleeker; 05-09-2020, 03:04 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            finished tampa
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays

              added gulf 8
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                gulfstream

                R1 #5 jack beanstalk (6-1) 10WP
                R3 #5 kahiko (6-1) 10WP
                R4 #1 algodonal (4-1) 10 WP
                R6 #7 apache (15-1) 5 WP


                R8 #3 cat gone quick (8-1) 5WP




                tampa

                R1 #1 mr october (15-1) 5WP

                could see improvement 2nd off the long layoff.. back finger lakes numbers fit well.. caught this trainer doing this about a week ago.. horse I believe went off at 7-2 and was 10-1 ml


                R2 #4 gold ducat (8-1) 5WP


                R4 #4 papa's place (10-1) 5WP

                homebred by breeder/owner bruno schickendanz whose been around a long time.. ran in an off the turf race last out in his debut (that happened to come back very quick).. that was specials and this is mcl 16k so could be cause for concern.. very weak field relatively speaking and dam has been a big time producer of turf horses.. obscure sire I never heard of but a son of curlin



                R8 #10 dazzling truths (6-1)

                not a <4 wins claiming race but love turf marathons so going to post a pick.. will not count on the ledger


                R1.. out @ 4-1
                R3.. 3rd a neck off the winner @ 13-1 (the difference maker)
                R4.. out @ 4-1
                R6..scratch
                R8.. out @ 5-1



                R1..out @ 27-1
                R2.. out @ 18-1
                R4..3rd @ 7-1
                R8..not counted as stated abive


                100/0


                risk $325/ return $98.50
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  gulfstream..

                  R2 #1 apache (about to go to gate.. posting live today.. not grading due to off track)
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    R3 #14 napa rules (3-1..10mtp lol right )

                    always kind of feel it's wimping out to take irad but on the other hand why's he getting on a mto horse for Joe orseno
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      R4

                      #6 gran champagne(8-1..7 mtp)
                      #10 ninety days of winter(25-1..7mtp)


                      half unit each
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        going to pass this race and look at R6
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          R6 #5 jeanie's angel (6-1)

                          decent effort in debut and well bet..
                          trainer excellent in msw roi and %..
                          solid works prior and following debut race
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            R7

                            #8 life in shambles


                            trying to get away from the 10 who is a mto (7-5) ,10years old and an absolute beast..mine''s a spry 9yo lol who seems to run well off a short layoff,on off tracks and has some big back #'s..good first off claim trainer and also good adding blinkers. .think may have been brought back too soon last race
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              a 19 year old exacta..something you're more likely to see at penn national lol..going to come back for the last race
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

                                R10 #10 quijote (3-1..18 mtp)

                                think no question this horse not what he was and taking necessary drop.. fact he attracts irad says a lot as he's never rode for this trainer.. excellent trainer overall with even better numbers in applicable categories to this race.. last race on a sloppy track looks like he got out a little slow but time before that (sloppy track) an easy 6 length win.. last time they switched to an ortiz brother (jose) easy win at this track.. key here though is irad coming aboard on the drop
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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