NHL SDQL System Thread

[rolltide]

Will try to keep up with these throughout the season. I missed the early puck drop but here's some Game 1 numbers for the two night games. GL!

10/10/23:

61-13 +140% = on VGK (on G1 home team, not big dog, both teams rest coming)
12-0 +138% = on PIT (191+ home favs with 6+ total in G1. avg win 4.2-1.8)
23-1 +136% = on PIT (186+ any site G1 fav vs opponent who next opponent not play unrested)

17-1 ou = PIT over 6.5 (G1 non-conf, away team won <48 games)

[rolltide]

Game 2 away fav after home fav loss

0-11 ou Pens fit tonight

game number=2 and p:HFL and A and 100>line>-220

8-4 (0.75, 66.7%) avg line: -126.5 / 114.1 on / against: +$333 / -$380 ROI: +21.8% / -31.3% 0-11-1 (-1.42, 0.0%) avg total: 5.5

[rolltide]

in the past year rested home teams up against a sub .400 opponent that just got shutout are 17-0 (WIN, STL)

https://killersports.com/nhl/query?_qt=games&sdql=H+and+op%3Agoals+%3D+0+and+o% 3AWP<40++and+rest>0+and+date>20221029&submit=++S+D +Q+L+!++

[rolltide]

NHL TUE
27-6 +130% = on NYI (on Isles rested hosting unrested)
32-4 143% = on TB (TB after loss scoring <3, game<50)
43-20 +136% = on ARI (on early season away after away loss but won away already)
43-19 +135% = on ARI, CAR (oppose home nonconf lost to opponent h2h last meeting)
111-34 +127% = on NYI (on g2 fav off loss sys)
91-38 +117% = on DAL (on G2 fav conf not off 2+ goal loss)
43-9 +140% = on NYI (on G2 home fav east not off big fav)
65-24 +147% = on EDM (rested 2+ losing streak but many SOG)
199-79 +112% = on BUF, WIN (opp 1H season dog away allowed 5+ b2b)

game 3, won 47+ games LY, lost opening 2 games = play on (12-1 +169% = on LAK, EDM)
game 3, won <31 games LY, lost opening 2 games, opp with 1+ wins = oppose (18-3 +145% = on CAR)

[rolltide]

34-8 +130% = on LVK
27-6 +160% = on VAN, PHI, ARI
45-10 +134% = on COL
65-16 +139% = on COL
117-87 +116% = on CAL, CAR
49-9 +143% = on STL
43-20 +136% = on VAN
35-3 +126% = on COL
25-4 +113% = on COL
32-5 +140% = on TBL
609-319 +114% = on LVK
34-17 +226% = on SJS
65-30 +135% = on NAS
37-11 +122% = on VAN, CAR
138-61 +132% = on NAS
66-24 +147% = on NAS

and winless game 4 not on 2 day rest and wasn't huge fav last game = +190%

15-5 (0.50, 75.0%) avg line: 158.2 / -177.2 on / against: +$1,809 / -$2,070 ROI: +90.5% / -60.1% 12-5-3 (0.78, 70.6%) avg total: 5.6

25.6 2.9 12.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 3.5 22.5 2.2 10.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 3.0

Oct 19, 2023 Thursday 2023 Sharks Bruins home 225 6.0

[rolltide]

297 +160% = NYI
18-3 +168% = NYI
45-21 +131% = CAL

[rolltide]

610-319 +114% = NYR
99-25 +121% = PIT
90-48 +127% = CAR
76-26 +127% = NAS
36-3 +136% = NAS
25-25 +154% = PHI, CBJ
43-21 +143% = VAN
49-10 +141% = BUF
45-22 +129% = PIT
31-6 +125% = NAS
35-8 +131% = LVK

NAS 125 136 127
PIT 121 129
rest are single systems

[rolltide]

66-16 +130% = on BUF (2-0 +140%)
50-10 +143% = on BUF (2-1 +120%)

[rolltide]

SAT:
614-320 +114% = NYI
79-20 +111% = BOS
44-26 +116% = MTL
68-26 +146% = OTT
51-13 +135% = PIT
49-23 +130% = NAS
67-17 +128% = PIT, BOS
17-50 ou = LAK/LVK under

SUN:
35-12 +118% = WAS
45-13 +132% = COL
66-30 +136% = MIN
21-8 +135% = MIN
32-9 +131% = WAS
30-5 +131% = WAS
47-8 +129% = WAS
113-73 +123% = MIN
100-26 +120% = COL
68-26 +146% = MIN
100-23 +120% = MIN, EDM
240-74 +117% = WAS
27-28 +152% = SJS
49-23 +130% = MIN
35-6 +136% = WAS

[rolltide]

big favs are 27-3 off b2b shutout losses and 18-0 if the combined margin was 5 or more goals

18-0 (1.89, 100.0%) avg line: -173.5 / 156.2 on / against: +$1,800 / -$1,800 ROI: +58.7% / -100.0% 6-10-2 (0.31, 37.5%) avg total: 5.6 31.4 3.7 13.3 1.0 1.4 1.3 3.9 22.7 3.9 16.6 0.4 0.8 0.7 2.0 Nov 01, 2023 Wednesday 2023 Avalanche Blues home -230 6.5

[rolltide]

San Jose has become the first team of database history to allow b2b home games allowing 8 or more goals in each. And, in a record that might never be broken in modern hockey, they allowed double digits in BOTH home games. San Jose Statpads

[rolltide]

Sharks will be in this spot on Tuesday vs Philly. teams are 1-24 off b2b home games allowing 6+ but not shutout in either. avg loss 4.1-1.9

p:H and pp:H and po:goals>5 and ppo:goals>5 and p:goals>0 and pp:goals>0 and game number<87 and op:goals<7 and line>-164 and not 38<WP<40

1-24 (-2.16, 4.0%)	avg line: 172.4 / -202.0	on / against: -$2,251 / +$2,151	ROI: -86.5% / +42.2%
15-9-1 (0.04, 62.5%)	avg total: 6.0

[rolltide]

oppose rested away dogs that won 9 of last 10 games. Oppose NYR in DAL

17-46 (-0.76, 27.0%) avg line: 131.7 / -145.8 on / against: -$2,378 / +$2,112 ROI: -37.7% / +23.0% 32-28-3 (0.22, 53.3%) avg total: 5.6 29.6 3.7 11.2 0.8 0.7 0.9 2.5 29.7 3.1 9.0 0.8 1.1 1.1 3.3 Nov 20, 2023 Monday 2023 Rangers Stars away 112 5.5

[rolltide]

western conf game with both teams off overs have been crushing overs this year. Kraken up tonight

6-9 (-0.07, 40.0%) avg line: -131.2 / 105.6 on / against: -$576 / +$372 ROI: -27.4% / +21.1% 14-1-0 (1.07, 93.3%) avg total: 6.2

30.9 4.0 8.9 1.4 0.9 1.1 3.6 31.5 4.1 9.9 1.0 1.4 1.2 3.7

Nov 20, 2023 Monday 2023 Kraken Flames home -115 6.5

[rolltide]

away favs after multiple power play goals have been very strong (on BOS)

64-13 (1.60, 83.1%) avg line: -173.4 / 144.9 on / against: +$4,430 / -$4,805 ROI: +33.1% / -61.4% 39-36-2 (0.15, 52.0%) avg total: 6.2

31.2 3.6 8.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 4.0 28.8 3.8 8.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 2.4

Nov 20, 2023 Monday 2023 Bruins Lightning away -141 6.5

weird one here but home dogs or small favs with an upcoming home game vs STL have been terrible (oppose ARI)

will also be active Friday against Chicago

1-39 (-2.00, 2.5%) avg line: 145.9 / -174.5 on / against: -$3,860 / +$3,790 ROI: -94.8% / +54.1% 15-25-0 (-0.20, 37.5%) avg total: 6.0 29.4 3.3 8.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.9 31.7 3.4 8.1 1.1 1.4 1.1 3.9 Nov 20, 2023 Monday 2023 Coyotes Kings home 125 6.5