Announcement

**TheGame** · 09-08-2014, 08:54 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Sportsbooks win Week 1
By Matty Simo
VegasInsider.com

After the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks trounced the Green Bay Packers 36-16 last Thursday to open the 2014 NFL season, there was no way of predicting what would happen next. Public money came in on the Packers, pushing the Seahawks from 5-point favorites to -4.5 at close, and the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook got an early win.

But Sunday’s Week 1 action made the SuperBook and other sportsbooks even bigger winners, with underdogs going 7-6 straight-up and 10-3 against the spread. Wins by the Miami Dolphins (33-20 vs. the New England Patriots), the Atlanta Falcons (37-34 in overtime vs. the New Orleans Saints) and Buffalo Bills (23-20 in OT at the Chicago Bears) as dogs set the tone for a great day, according to Jay Kornegay, the SuperBook’s Vice President of Race & Sports Operations.

“The upsets – not just the covers but the outright wins by some of the underdogs – certainly treated us well,” Kornegay said. “Our bigger decisions of the day were a lot of these short favorites that so many public bettors like to support. The Saints they love, the Patriots. The 49ers got there for them, but by that time the damage had been done.

“It’s always those short favorites that we see, teams that attract a lot of public play. In the morning games, the two biggest short public teams, road favorites, lost and those were two really big decisions for us. It seems like the old days. Home dogs kind of came through for us.”

One home favorite that helped sportsbooks a lot by losing on Sunday was the Bears, who opened at -6.5 and closed at -7. Chicago tends to be a very public team and busted many parlay and teaser cards.

“As far as underdogs winning and covering, I’d have to say the Bears and the defense,” Kornegay said. “The Bills never winning in Chicago and going in there and finally winning with all their struggles at quarterback. Their linebackers are just awful.

“I’d have to say that’s one of the bigger surprises and one of our better decisions. I think that was the last straw that kind of broke the camel’s back for a lot of the bettors out there. It was the teaser killer.”

While the public won some money back on San Francisco’s 28-17 road win against the Dallas Cowboys as 3.5-point favorites, many sportsbooks were able to come right back in the Sunday Night Football game when the Indianapolis Colts (+8.5) rallied back to cover the spread in a 31-24 road loss to the Denver Broncos. However, Kornegay said the SuperBook did not really need the Colts in that one.

“The Bronco game, a lot people thought we did really well,” Konegay sad. “But we actually had a few bigger bets on the Colts. We didn’t mind accepting those thinking that we could have a liability going to the Broncos no matter what happened. Well, we didn’t think that many underdogs were going to cover, which basically eliminated so many parlays. By the time we got to the late game, it was pretty well balanced.”

The biggest line move of Week 1 took place in an NFC South matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers, who sat starting quarterback Cam Newton due to a rib injury. The Bucs opened as 2.5-point home underdogs and closed -4.5 at the SuperBook, with the line jumping from -3 when news broke that Carolina head coach Ron Rivera would likely make Newton inactive.

Johnny Avello, The Wynn’s Executive Director of Race & Sports Operations, had said late last week that the Panthers were still a good team regardless of Newton’s status, so he was not surprised by the result.

“I don’t know if they’re good or Tampa’s just not quite there yet,” Avello said. “Tampa’s probably got a long way to go. MCown’s not going to come in and be the answer and turn that team around in one year. They’ll be alright. They did fight back in the game.”

Like Kornegay, Avello said he was surprised by a few other teams that did disappoint bettors as favorites.

“The Bears losing at home was a surprise, the Patriots losing was a surprise, but I did expect big things from Miami this year,” Avello said. “The other game is probably Kansas City, the way they got beat at home because that’s usually a strong home field.”

The Chiefs looked like the same team that blew a 38-10 lead in a 45-44 loss to the Colts in the playoffs back in January, falling at home to the Tennessee Titans 26-10 as 3-point favorites. They seemed to pick up where they left off last season, just like the Bears, who some thought had fixed their defense.

“It was amazing though how we have these games up for four-and-a- half-months, all the analysis and the data and simulations and everything,” Kornegay said. “And there we are sitting at the end of day one, and a lot of us are scratching our heads. Wow, that’s not what I thought was going to happen in a lot of those games. Not all of them, but a lot of them.” Ironically, Kornegay said one of Sunday’s bigger stunners actually came courtesy of a double-digit favorite that trailed big early and not only came back to win but still managed to cover as well.

“The biggest surprise was probably the Eagles covered despite being down 17-0,” said Kornegay about Philadelphia, the biggest favorite in Week 1 at -10 who scored 34 points unanswered in a 34-17 victory.

**TheGame** · 09-08-2014, 11:19 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Week 1 Review
By Dave Cokin

Quick takes from Sunday’s Week One NFL results:

There were some awful beats on the Sunday slate, and the Jaguars failing to stay inside the doubles against the Eagles is certainly on that not so short list. Jacksonville won the first half 17-0, and then remarkably lost the second by a whopping 34-0 count. The Philly cover came on a Chad Henne fumble that got returned for a TD with just more than one minute remaining. Undrafted rookie WR Allen Hurns was the surprise star for the Jaguars, while QB Nick Foles recovered from a terrible start to lead the Eagles rally.

The day’s best game was the rivalry shootout between the Saints and Falcons. New Orleans looked as though they might dominate early, but as is so often the case in this league, leaving points off the board ultimately kills. 13-0 instead of 21-0 kept the Falcons in the game, and Matt Ryan then proceeded to put together what might well have been the best game of his career as the Falcons rallied. Ryan flashed more mobility than I’ve seen from him in the past and his ability to avoid getting sacked turned out to be huge.

More OT in Chicago as the Bills upset the Bears. The home team won the overall yardage battle, but Buffalo was the better football team. The Bills dominated on the ground, threw effectively when they needed to and were far more opportunistic. The Bears defense is going to be a problem again this season, and their safeties are just plain lousy.

The Titans have new schemes on both offense and defense, and the early returns are a rousing success. Tennessee basically beat the snot out of the Chiefs, which is no small feat at Arrowhead. This was a rout for all intents and purposes. The Titans now have a chance to get off to a great start with Dallas heading to Nashville next week. The Chiefs are going to be in for along season if QB Alex Smith continues his less than stellar play.

The Vikings obliterated the Rams, so it’s fair to say that some really shaky decision making by St. Louis coach Jeff Fisher didn’t matter. In this game, that’s a fact. But Fisher made some poor risk vs. reward maneuvers while this was still a game, and eliminated any shot hit team had in the process. On the flip side, high praise to the Vikings staff. They figured out early that the Rams were keying everything on Adrian Peterson, so Minnesota instead featured electrifying Cordarelle Patterson. Life in the rugged NFC West is looking to be very tough for what could be a really punchless Rams squad.

Bill Belichick has some work to do with the Patriots. The OL didn’t give Tom Brady any protection and the decision not to run much, even when ahead, tells me Belichick is worried about that unit. Big win for the Dolphins, rallying smartly from a 20-10 halftime deficit and dominating the rest of the way.

402-158 in yards, including 212-25 on the ground. When you see lopsided stats like that, it’s generally a blowout. Leave it to the Jets to find a way not to cover in their win against Oakland. The Raiders got a short field TD off a turnover and a garbage time drive for their points and looked seriously overmatched throughout. This was a game the Jets should have won in a romp. Their lack of efficiency will undoubtedly get them beat against more talented opposition.

The Steelers beat up the Browns for 30 minutes and then apparently forgot that the game lasts 60 minutes. I thought this was absolutely an ease up job by the Steelers, and that almost got them beat. Credit to Pittsburgh for finding a way to put together a drive for the late win, but Mike Tomlin needs to convince his guys that games are not clinched with one good half of football. Tough spread beat for Steelers backer.

I really thought the Bengals were going to absorb another defeat at Baltimore when they settled for five FG’s and no TD’s and then eventually lost the lead to the Ravens. AJ Green saved the day with a long catch and run for the winning TD, and Cincy gets a big mental boost with the win against a rival that has owned them at this site. I’m not very high on the Ravens this season. While they made a nice comeback following some good red zone stops that limited the Bengals to threes rather then sevens, my take on the Ravens definitely didn’t get altered.

Not a whole lot of offense between the Redskins and Texans. A blocked punt TD by Houston was the biggest play of the game. Not the desired debut for Jadeveon Clowney, who hurt his knee and will be out of action for an indeterminate amount of time. I thought the Redskins could have won this game, but they lost the third down conversion battle badly and had the huge special teams gaffe as well.

I’m not sure what to make of the 49ers win at Dallas. The Cowboys were beyond inept early and the 49ers were able to coast after amassing a 28-3 halftime lead. If I’m Jim Harbaugh, I’m not thrilled with the coast job past halftime. This team seemed to lack killer instinct last year and that issue is quite possibly yet to be resolved. Dallas is in dire straits and is clearly a bottom five team, at least as far as right now is concerned.

Derek Anderson stepped in for injured Cam Newton and played a terrific game as the Panthers ruined Lovie Smith’s debut with the Bucs. I thought Doug Martin was thoroughly awful for Tampa Bay. Nine carries for nine yards, and he sure didn’t make up for that with his pass blocking. Predictions of doom and gloom for Carolina appear to be premature. This team appeared to have chip on its shoulder and while the stats weren’t lopsided, the Panthers were the superior team for most of this game.

The Broncos looked like they might hang 50 on the Colts. Instead, Denver came perilously close to blowing a huge lead. Props to the Denver defense for what turned out to be two vital red zone stops. Indianapolis lost this game, but should return home with loads of confidence following their strong rally. The Broncos might have relaxed with the big lead, so this could also be a lesson learned for them.

**TheGame** · 09-09-2014, 05:18 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) at BALTIMORE (0 - 1) - 9/11/2014, 8:25 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 2-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

**TheGame** · 09-10-2014, 05:43 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Week 2 Look-Ahead
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com

Are the Miami Dolphins a real threat to win the AFC East?

Understanding one week doesn't make a season, that second-half performance against New England was an eye-opener. The defense got after Tom Brady and generally dominated. The offense looked multi-faceted. As someone pleased with the result at halftime, the Patriots' collapse appeared to be less about their ineptitude as it was Miami simply imposing its will.

Knowshon Moreno was a force, providing stability and creating balance for an offense that has lacked a reliable ground game for years. Ryan Tannehill made mostly great decisions and accurate throws. Mike Wallace, moved around in different formations, looked every bit the No. 1 the Dolphins are paying him to be. Charles Clay was the matchup problem most assumed he would be.

In the first half, a Wallace drop foiled a potentially huge play, bringing up the same old questions about him. Tannehill was picked off. The Patriots racked up 248 yards and 20 points. Given the presence of its impressive cheerleaders, Miami barely looked like the second-best team on the field, much less the division.

So, what's real? Are the Patriots really going to miss Logan Mankins this much? Can an offense that regained the services of Rob Gronkowski really look as bad as it did in accumulating just 67 yards as Brady hit the ground time and time again? That's Week 2's biggest question mark heading into this next set of games as the routine intensifies, but obviously, there are others.

New England travels to Minnesota to meet the team that posted Week 1's most lopsided result, winning at St. Louis by four touchdowns. Brady provides a significant step up from Shaun Hill and Austin Davis, but Harrison Smith offered up a reminder that he's one of the league's best emerging safeties and the cornerback tandem of Captain Munnerlyn and Xavier Rhodes could do damage under the radar for weeks until people start noticing. Up front, and this where the questions come easiest, the changing of the guard from Jared Allen and Kevin Williams to the current younger group will be worth watching over the long haul.

After being dominated and losing a pair of defensive starters for the season, including linebacker Derrick Johnson, how do the Chiefs pick up the pieces? It's safe to say Andy Reid's second season at the helm hasn't started as smoothly as last season's 9-0 run, so this will be his first dose of true adversity as Kansas City attempts to rebound on the road at Denver and Miami the next two weeks. Tamba Hali and Dontari Poe must step up as leaders or they'll be 0-3 before the next time they take the field at Arrowhead.

The Broncos answered a few questions about how they intend to overcome Wes Welker's extended absence, with plan A apparently consisting of Julius Thomas' beast mode. Emmanuel Sanders is clearly capable, too, coming up with six catches and climbing right into the role of Manning security blanket.

His old teammates survived squandering a 27-3 lead, so the Steelers will be fine without the receiver who criticized Ben Roethlisberger's leadership once in Denver. In fact, replacement Markus Wheaton made the key reception off a Big Ben audible to set up Shaun Suisham's game-winner, but it's worth wondering why they needed such heroics in the first place.

What caused Pittsburgh's defensive breakdowns? Cleveland's Terrence West is an intriguing young back, but a rookie backup making his NFL debut can't be reaching the century mark on the ground against you. The Browns got back into the game by gashing the defense, creating easy play-action opportunities that let Brian Hoyer find a rhythm. Did the huge cushion simply lead to a situation where Pittsburgh let its guard down or was the letdown a warning sign?

Joe Flacco has the receivers to hurt the Steelers and will be looking to make up for horrible decisions that cost his team against Cincinnati. With the Ray Rice situation creating distractions on a short week, it's going to be on the typically laid-back Flacco to get the team on task as they look to avoid dropping consecutive home games to start the season.

Tampa Bay is the only other team in danger of an 0-2 start at home, having lost a divisional game where Carolina's Cam Newton was limited to giving his team quality pep talks while wearing sweatpants. Doug Martin hurt a knee yet is expected to be fine for Sunday's Rams visit, but the status of both offensive coordinator Jeff Tedford and Mankins, acquired to anchor the line, will likely be unknown until the weekend.

St. Louis has its own issues to deal with after being the only team that failed to score an offensive touchdown in Week 1. Hill's strained quad could keep him out of the Tampa game, which means Austin Davis would get his first career start since Case Keenum still isn't up to speed after being scooped up when Houston acquired Ryan Mallett. Who is Davis? That's a valid question. He played in a prolific spread offense under Larry Fedora at Southern Miss, winning the job as a freshman despite originally coming in as a walk-on. He went undrafted.

Speaking of quarterback issues, a buddy asked which current NFC East starter would be most likely to be benched first. While we're probably at least a few weeks away from an answer, the early leader would probably be Philadelphia's Nick Foles considering how vital the other three are to their respective franchises.

Yep, he's the only one in the division that won in Week 1, but looked just as shaky and turnover-prone as his QB cohorts.

How did Foles manage to look so bad that Mark Sanchez appeared to be an attractive alternative? Well, in a timing-based offense that requires accuracy and quick decisions, the QB who led the entire NFL with a 119.2 passer rating was holding the ball too long and all over the place when he did let it go. Erasing a 17-point deficit isn't going to look as easy as it did against Jacksonville, which means he's got to get right and not be the weak link on an otherwise explosive offense. Foles will duel with Andrew Luck in Indianapolis on Monday night.

The other legitimate contender to find himself holding a clipboard isn't Eli Manning or Tony Romo. What's Jason Garrett going to say? Brandon Weeden, get in there? Even if Ryan Nassib has a better command of new coordinator Sean McAdoo's offense, it's more of a failure on his end that a two-time Super Bowl winner seems so uncomfortable in it. The Giants are home for Arizona, which should have Tyrann Mathieu back to strengthen a defense that performed better than expected in their first test without Darnell Dockett and Daryl Washington, both out for the season.

Washington scored six points and Robert Griffin III tripped over his own feet on a handoff, fumbling in the red zone. He doesn't look as confident as he did pre-injury. While Daniel Snyder 's interests remain invested in his long-term success, Kirk Cousins is the most highly-regarded backup in the division and may be better suited for the offense given the receivers on the roster. If Griffin can't be the dual threat he once was and can't get his weapons into the end zone, at some point, Jay Gruden will have no choice but to seek an alternative. The Jaguars visit Fed Ex Field looking to apply the type of pressure they got on Foles in the opener, so Griffin will have his hands full.

Romo should, too, since Tennessee harassed the Chiefs all day and look like a possible sleeper to reach the postseason. Can they contain Dez Bryant? If that's not possible, do they have the firepower to pile up points against Dallas' vulnerable defense?

Just how good are the Titans?

Entering Week 2, that's one of many worthwhile questions that will slowly start deciphering the answers to.

**TheGame** · 09-10-2014, 07:20 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

NFL Week 2

Steelers (1-0) @ Ravens (0-1) -- Lot of distractions for Ravens in short week with Ray Rice debacle; they lost at home to Bengals last week, allowing 77-yard bomb with 4:58 left after rallying back from down 15-0 at half to take lead. Ravens won four of last six games in this series, with last five series games decided by 3 points or less. Only once in Steelers' last six visits here was game deicded by more than four points. Pitt blew 27-3 halftime lead at home last week, won 30-27 late despite Browns gaining 387 yards, 183 on ground. Steelers lost last three road openers, all by 10+ points- they covered once in last seven road openers, with five of the seven games staying under the total.

**TheGame** · 09-10-2014, 11:49 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

StatFox Super Situations

PITTSBURGH at BALTIMORE
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BALTIMORE) after 1 or more consecutive losses, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses 62-28 since 1997. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units )

NEW ORLEANS at CLEVELAND
Play On - Any team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games 37-20 since 1997. ( 64.9% | 0.0 units )

JACKSONVILLE at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (JACKSONVILLE) off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

**TheGame** · 09-10-2014, 11:49 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Detroit at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 52-24 UNDER when they allow 15 to 21 points
Carolina: 7-0 UNDER when they commit 2 turnovers

Miami at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Miami: 6-17 ATS off an upset win over a division rival
Buffalo: 30-14 ATS after a win by 3 or less points

Jacksonville at Washington, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 19-8 ATS in road games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards
Washngton: 36-59 ATS as a home favorite

Dallas at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 48-70 ATS in road games after playing a game at home
Tennessee: 41-21 ATS in non-conference games

Arizona at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 13-4 UNDER in the first half of the season
NY Giants: 11-3 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3

New England at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
New England: 10-1 ATS off a division game
Minnesota: 13-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road

New Orleans at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 6-16 ATS against AFC North division opponents
Cleveland: 10-2 UNDER against NFC South division opponents

Atlanta at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 31-12 ATS in road games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game
Cincinnati: 8-1 ATS in home games

ST Louis at Tampa Bay, 4:05 ET
ST Louis: 0-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents
Tampa Bay: 56-36 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Seattle at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Seattle: 70-25 OVER when they gain 6 or more total yards per play
San Diego: 28-12 UNDER in home games when they commit 2 turnovers

Houston at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Houston: 38-22 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3
Oakland: 13-28 ATS in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

NY Jets at Green Bay, 4:25 ET
NY Jets: 14-4 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite
Green Bay: 101-69 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Kansas City at Denver, 4:25 ET
Kansas City: 16-5 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points
Denver: 21-10 ATS as a favorite

Chicago at San Francisco, 8:35 ET
Chicago: 5-18 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points
San Francisco: 21-12 OVER in all games

Philadelphia at Indianapolis
Philadelphia: 40-16 ATS when they gain 400 to 450 total yards
Indianapolis: 13-49 ATS when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt

**TheGame** · 09-10-2014, 11:49 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. TENNESSEE
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. BUFFALO
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
New England is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing New England
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. NY GIANTS
Arizona is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CLEVELAND
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CAROLINA
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Carolina is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Carolina is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. WASHINGTON
Jacksonville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games

4:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. SAN DIEGO
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
San Diego5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games

4:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. TAMPA BAY
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing St. Louis

4:25 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:25 PM
NY JETS vs. GREEN BAY
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games
Green Bay is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Green Bay is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games ,

4:25 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DENVER
Kansas City is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Denver's last 21 games

8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Indianapolis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

**TheGame** · 09-11-2014, 05:46 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Steelers at Ravens
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Ravens and Steelers are each coming off tough home contests in Week 1, as the two AFC North rivals hook up at M&T Bank Stadium. This was originally the second of a two-game suspension for Ray Rice, but Baltimore cut the running back after new video surfaced of his altercation with his then-fiance in February. Now, the Ravens will hope to avoid an 0-2 hole not only overall, but inside the division race.

John Harbaugh’s club fell behind the Bengals in the season opener, 15-0 at halftime, in spite of limiting Cincinnati to five field goals. The Ravens rallied back to take a 16-15 advantage in the fourth quarter thanks to an 80-yard touchdown strike from Joe Flacco to newly acquired Steve Smith. Less than a minute later, the Bengals countered with a 77-yard touchdown connection from Andy Dalton to A.J. Green to give Cincinnati a 23-16 edge, which was ultimately the final. Cincinnati covered as one-point road underdogs to snap a four-game road skid at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Steelers cruised to a 27-3 lead over the Browns at halftime in Week 1, looking to easily cover as 5½-point home favorites. However, Cleveland wasn’t ready to give up, as Brian Hoyer spearheaded a comeback with the Browns scoring 24 unanswered points to tie the game at 27-27 in the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh’s only points in the second half came in the final seconds of regulation as Shaun Suisham’s 41-yard field goal at the gun gave the Steelers a 30-27 win, but Cleveland cashed as a sharp away underdog.

Whenever the Ravens and Steelers get together, it’s pretty much a guarantee that the game will come down to three points or less. In fact, eight of the past 10 meetings have been decided by less than a field goal, including last season’s two matchups. Following a 1-4 start, Pittsburgh needed a last season field goal to stave off Baltimore at Heinz Field, 19-16 to cash as a 2½-point favorite. In that contest, neither team busted the 300-yard plateau on offense, while the Steelers snapped a two-game home skid to the Ravens.

In the second meeting at M&T Bank Stadium on Thanksgiving, the Ravens held off the Steelers, 22-20 after Pittsburgh couldn’t convert a two-point conversion in the final minute of regulation. Baltimore scored six times in that victory, but five of those scores came on field goals from Justin Tucker. The Steelers cashed as three-point underdogs, as the two teams have alternated wins and losses in each of the past four matchups in Baltimore.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson gives his analysis on this showdown, “While San Francisco and Seattle has eclipsed this rivalry the past few seasons, there is still something special about Pittsburgh and Baltimore. With their history of close games, the underdog has been successful and Pittsburgh has covered in five of the last six trips to Baltimore. Both teams played division games last week and with Pittsburgh winning and Baltimore losing the pressure will be on the host this week. It has certainly not been a great week for the Ravens with some negative post-game comments coming out of the locker room after last week’s loss to Cincinnati and Ray Rice being expelled from the team. This could be a season-defining game in either direction for Baltimore as a 0-2 start would be tough to come back from and this is a team in dire need of a positive result.”

Nelson believes the Steelers need to tie up some loose ends to be successful on Thursday, “For Pittsburgh, the 1-0 start is huge after the nightmare September last season. Getting out-scored 24-3 in the second half last week certainly provides some concerns for the Steelers, however, with a defense that struggled much of last season. Cleveland rushed for 6.1 yards per carry on the Steelers last week, a far departure from the past defensive reputation for Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh will also need to clean up 11 penalties from the opening week and Ben Roethlisberger was sacked four times, something the team can’t afford with his injury history.”

Baltimore has struggled covering numbers against AFC North opponents recently, posting a 2-7 ATS record since November 2012, including a 2-4 ATS mark the last six at home against division foes. On the flip side, the Steelers have cashed six of their past eight contests within the division, while going 3-1 ATS in the last four on the road against the AFC North.

From a totals perspective, the Ravens are 9-3 to the ‘under’ in its past 12 home games, while scoring 20 points or less in six of their previous nine home contests since the start of last season. Since allowing 35 points at Baltimore in the 2011 season opener, Pittsburgh has limited division foes to 22 points or less in each of its past eight road division contests.

The Ravens are currently listed as a 2½-point favorite, while the total is set at 44½. The game can be seen nationally on CBS at 8:25 PM EST.

**TheGame** · 09-11-2014, 11:24 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Detroit @ Carolina

The Lions are 12-20 ATS overall the last couple seasons, 6-10 ATS on the road and 6-16 ATS coming off a short week of practice. Detroit is 17-7 over the total when the line is 42½ to 49 points, 20-13 over in all games recently and 67-47 over when playing on grass. Carolina is 19-14 ATS overall, 59-39 ATS when the total is between 42½ to 49 points and 16-10 ATS on grass. The Panthers are 21-12 under as home favorites of 3 points or less, 42-14 under off a divisional win, 75-40 under off a divisional game and 81-56 under when playing as a favorite. Detroit has owned the series covering 5 of the last 6 including 3-1 ATS at Carolina.

Miami @ Buffalo

The Dolphins are 13-5 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 6-2 ATS in September and 26-18 ATS when the total is between 42½ and 45 points. Miami is 16-6 under the total versus AFC opponents, 47-33 under off a divisional win and 9-2 under versus divisional opponents. The Bills are 10-4 ATS at home, 6-3 ATS in September and 16-10 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less. Buffalo is 84-52 under when the line is 3 points or less, In this series Buffalo is 3-1 ATS the last 4 including 2-0 at home and the total in this series is 3-0-1 under the last 4.

Jacksonville @ Washington

the Jaguars are 3-12 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 11-20 ATS overall, 1-7 ATS versus NFC oppenents, 1-7 ATS in September, 10-16 ATS playing on grass and 11-19 ATS as underdogs overall. Jacksonville is 8-1 over in non conference games, 11-6 over on the road and 14-7 over versus NFC East opponents, but they’re 9-4 under when the total is between 42½ and 49 points. The Redskins are just 58-82 ATS as favorites, 12-25 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points and 44-61 ATS when the total is between 42½ and 49 points. Washington is 22-14 under as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, but 6-3 over in September and 6-3 over versus AFC opponents. Washington is 4-1 straight up and ATS in this series.

Dallas @ Tennessee

The Cowboys are 10-6 ATS underdogs and 6-2 ATS as road underdogs of 3 points or less. Dallas is 6-2 under the total in September. The Titans are 21-9 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less, 41-21 ATS versus NFC opponents and 15-5 ATS versus the NFC East, but they’re just 0-7 ATS when the total is 49½ points or more. Tennessee is 41-27 over the total versus NFC opponents and 10-6 over the total at home the last 2 years.

Arizona @ NY Giants

The Cardinals are 47-61 ATS in the favorite role including 4-7 lately, but they’re 9-4 ATS when the total is between 42½ and 49 points. Arizona is 13-4 under as favorites of 3 points or less, 8-3 under when the line is 3 points or less, 7-2 under in September and 16-10 under when playing on turf. The Giants are 1-7 ATS playing in September and 8-14 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less. Giants are 16-9 under versus NFC opponents, 11-3 under when the line is 3 points or less and 20-13 under overall. Note in the series the NY Giants are 17-9 straight up and 9-3 straight up at home.

New England @ Minnesota

The Patriots are 10-1 ATS off a divisional game and 23-16 ATS when teh total is between 45½ and 49 points, but they’re just 6-10 ATS on the road the last couple years. New England is 19-8 over when playing on turf, 7-3 over when the line is 3 points or less, 20-11 over as a favorite and 23-14 over overall. The Vikings are 9-3 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 10-4 ATS at home, 19-9 ATS as underdogs and 5-0 ATS as home underdogs of 3 points or less. Minnesota is 95-74 over the total as an underdog and 4-1 over when the total is between 45½ and 49 points. In this series the last 2 games in Minnesota have gone under.

New Orleans @ Cleveland

The Saints are 7-12 ATS on the road, 6-16 ATS versus the AFC North and 1-4 ATS on the road when the total is between 45½ and 49 points. New Orleans is 8-3 under after a divisional game and 6-3 under when playing on grass. Cleveland is 6-10 ATS when the total is between 42½ and 49 points. The Browns are 10-2 under versus NFC South opponents, 41-26 under in September and 11-5 Under with the total between 42½ and 49 points. Browns are 4-1 straight up and ATS in this series and the last 2 meetings in Cleveland have gone over the total.

Atlanta @ Cincinnati

The Falcons are 10-14 ATS versus AFC North opponents. Atlanta 14-10 Under versus AFC North opponents and 7-4 Under off a divisional game. The Bengals are 9-3 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 5-1 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 11-5 ATS at home overall, 6-1 ATS versus NFC opponents and 13-7 ATS on turf, but they’re also 12-19 ATS at home when the total is between 45½ and 49 points. Cincinnati is 6-2 over versus NFC opponents.

St Louis @ Tampa Bay

Ther Rams are just 9-23 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 23-42 ATS in September, 37-56 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 65-87 ATS on the road overall. However, St Louis is 3-0 ATS when the total is between 35½ and 38 points. Tampa Bay is 39-50 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 1-4 ATS versus the NFC West and 3-6 ATS when the total is between 35½ and 42 points. The Bucs are 50-29 Under in September and 31-18 Under versus the NFC West. In this series the Under is 8-3 including 5-2 at Tampa Bay and the Rams have covered the last 2 meetings.

Seattle @ San Diego

The Seahawks are 27-11 ATS overall, 10-2 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 18-10 ATS favorites, 14-5 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 7-1 ATS on grass and 11-6 ATS on the road. Seattle 7-2 Over versus AFC opponents, 9-4 Over versus AFC West opponents and 23-12 Over on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points. The Chargers are 50-39 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points including 6-1 lately and they’re 7-1 ATS in September. San Diego is 12-7 Over the total after playing on Monday Night.

Houston @ Oakland

The Texans are 8-13 on the road when the total is 38½ to 42 points and 10-14 ATS versus AFC West opponents. Texans are 41-33 Under when playing as a favorite. The Raiders are 64-88 ATS at home icluding 5-10 lately, 37-70 ATS when the line is 3 or less, 8-19 ATS as home dogs of 3 or less and 8-15 ATS on grass. Oakland is 10-5 Under at home and 6-3 Under in September. In the series Houston is 3-1 straight up and ATS at Oakland.

NY Jets @ Green Bay

The Jets are 14-8 ATS versus NFC North opponents and 6-2 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points. The Jets are 21-9 Over the total as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points and 5-2 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points, but 9-5 Under on the road when the total is between 45½ and 49 points. The Packers are 2-6 ATS in September. Green Bay is 23-12 Over as a home favorite of 7½ to 10 points, 52-39 Over versus AFC opponents and 6-2 Over in September, but they’re 18-12 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. In the series the Jets are 2-1 straight at Green Bay and 2-0-1 ATS.

Kansas City @ Denver

The Chiefs are 16-5 ATS as underdogs of 10 or more points and 7-3 ATS as road dogs of 10½ to 14 points, but they’re slao 7-12 overall in the underdog role, 12-18 ATS playing on grass and 4-8 ATS versus divisional opponents. Chiefs are 9-3 Under on the road with a total of 49½ points or more and 13-8 Under as an underdog of 10 points or more. The Broncos are 22-13 ATS overall, 21-10 ATS as a favorite, 12-6 ATs at home, 19-7 ATS on grass and 8-3 ATS versus divisional opponents. Denver is 146-96 Over playing as a favorite including 21-11 lately, 24-12 Over overall, 17-10 Over versus AFC opponents and 7-2 Over in September, but 8-4 Under versus divisional opponents. In this series Denver is 3-1 ATS including 2-0 at home.

Chicago @ San Francisco

The Bears are 11-21 ATS overall, 3-9 ATS playing as an underdog, 5-18 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 32-52 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 6-18 ATS versus NFC opponents and 9-16 ATS playing on grass. Chicago is 21-12 Over overall, 12-4 Over on thr road and 29-18 Over versus NFC West opponents. San Francisco is 24-14 ATS overall, 20-11 ATS favorite, 11-6 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 5-1 ATS versys NFC North and 15-9 ATS playing on grass. 49ers 24-17 Over as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points and 502 Over versus NFC North. In this series San Francisco is 5-0 straight up and ATS at San Francisco and 6 of the last 9 of gone Over the total.

Philadelphia @ Indianapolis

The Eagles are 12-21 ATS overall, 6-10 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 4-9 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 2-6 ATS in September and 0-3 in domes. However, Philadelphia is 21-14 ATS playing on Monday Night. The Eagles are 9-4 Over playing as an underdog, 8-3 Over on the road with a total of 49½ or more and 9-3 Over versus AFC South opponents. The Colts are 22-13 ATS overall, 13-4 ATS at home, 9-4 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 18-10 ATS at home with a total of 49½ or more, 14-5 ATS in domes and 14-9 ATS playing on turf. Colts are 10-5 Under playing as a favorite, but 17-9 Over versus NFC East opponents. In this series Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS and the Over is 5-1 as well.

**TheGame** · 09-13-2014, 09:22 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

NFL Week 2

Steelers (1-0) @ Ravens (0-1) -- Lot of distractions for Ravens in short week with Ray Rice debacle; they lost at home to Bengals last week, allowing 77-yard bomb with 4:58 left after rallying back from down 15-0 at half to take lead. Ravens won four of last six games in this series, with last five series games decided by 3 points or less. Only once in Steelers' last six visits here was game deicded by more than four points. Pitt blew 27-3 halftime lead at home last week, won 30-27 late despite Browns gaining 387 yards, 183 on ground. Steelers lost last three road openers, all by 10+ points- they covered once in last seven road openers, with five of the seven games staying under the total.

Lions (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0) -- Newton is expected back at QB after Anderson won season opener last week. Carolina is 2-8 in last ten home openers, 4-12-1 vs spread in last 17; they're 9-4-1 as home favorites under Rivera. Panthers won four of six series games, three of four here. Since 1990, Detroit is 1-8 vs spread in road openers that weren't in Week 1. Both teams opened with wins; Lions are on a short week after outgaining Giants 417-197 Monday night. Of 29 plays of 20+ yards last week that came on 3rd down, Detroit had four of them. Johnson had 164 receiving yards with two TDs. Lions were 11-15-2 as road underdog under Schwartz; they're 3-10 in last 13 road openers.

Jaguars (0-1) @ Redskins (0-1) --- Jaguars led 17-0 at half in Philly last week, with TD drives of 44-21 yards after Eagle turnovers, but they couldn't even cover as an 11-point dog. Jags are 4-5 as road dogs under Bradley, 4-16 in last 20 games against NFC teams. Since '11, they're 8-23-1 as single digit underdogs. Since '88, Redskins are 1-7 vs spread in home openers that weren't in Week 1; Washington won four of five games vs Jags, winning last two in OT; Jax is 0-2 here, but last visit was in '06. Skins scored first on 46-yard drive in Houston last week, but PAT was blocked and they didn't score again; since '06, they're 9-19-1 as home favorites. Washington lost its last two home openers, allowing 71 points.

Cowboys (0-1) @ Titans (1-0) -- Tennessee was bet down from 100-1 to 60-1 to win Super Bowl after 26-10 win at Arrowhead last week, when they outgained KC by 160 yards. Titans won three of last four home openers, but are 3-6-1 vs spread in last 10 HOs when favored. Cowboys are 13-8 as road underdogs, 10-6 vs AFC under Garrett; they're 6-1 in last seven road openers, with dogs covering last four- they split two visits to Nashville. Romo threw three 1st half picks in 28-17 home loss to 49ers last week; Niners had defensive TD and a 2-yard TD drive. Last nine years, Titans are 24-12-1 vs spread vs NFC teams- they're 8-11-1 in last 20 games as a home favorite.

Cardinals (1-0) @ Giants (0-1) -- Arizona covered its last six road openers, going 4-2 SU; they pulled out 18-17 home win late Monday night, are 10-5-1 vs spread on road last two years. Redbirds were 6-1 vs number LY in games with spread of 3 or less points- they're 10-4-1 vs spread in last 15 non-divisional road games. Giants are 7-3 in last ten series games, but Arizona won last visit here, in '09. Big Blue got outgained 417-197 in Detroit Monday night; they lost last two home openers. Over is 8-0-1 in Week 2 Giant games the last nine years. Over last eight years, Gianrs are 16-23-1 vs spread at home. Arizona is 12-9-1 vs spread in game following its last 22 wins. Giants are still struggling with new offense; will home crowd help them?

Patriots (0-1) @ Vikings (1-0) -- Over last decade, New England is 25-9 vs spread in game following a loss; they're 5-7 in games vs NFC teams last three years. Pats got shut out 23-0 in second half of 33-20 loss in Miami last week; thery won last three series games, by 7-24-10 points; they've split four visits here. Vikings were 0-6 vs spread in last six Metrodome openers, with all games decided by 4 or less points; they're playing outdoors for two years, as new stadium is built. Vikes won opener 34-6 last week, running for 186 yards as WR Patterson proves to be threat running, catching ball. Remember that Viking QB Cassel was Brady's backup from 2005-08, playing whole season in '08 after Brady got hurt early in opener.

Dolphins (1-0) @ Bills (1-0) -- Buffalo won three of last four series games, winning 19-14/19-0 in last two played here; Miami lost seven of last nine visits here overall. Dolphins outscored Pats 23-0 in second half of impressive 33-20 home win last week; their two takeaways created short fields that saw Fish score on TD drives of 15-34 yards. Miami lost eight of last ten road openers (2-6-1 vs spread in last nine). 10 of their last 12 road openers stayed under the total. Bills won four of last six home openers, are 8-6 vs spread in last 14 games where spread was 3 or less points. Buffalo covered five of last six divisional home games; they covered six of eight at home in Marrone’s first year as HC.

Saints (0-1) @ Browns (0-1) -- New Orleans continues to struggle on road; they failed to cover last five tries as road favorite, are 8-9 vs spread in last 17 games on grass, but they covered 17 of last 23 vs AFC teams, are 14-6 in last 20 games that followed a loss. Cleveland rallied back from down 27-3 at half last week, lost at gun to Steelers, but they had good balance on offense, running for 183 yards, passing for 206. Browns are 6-4 vs spread in last ten games as a home underdog- they won three of last four games with Saints, with visitor winning all four- they’re 12-17-3 vs spread vs NFC teams since ’06. Saints gave up 568 yards in Atlanta last week, but this opponent ain’t the Falcons.

Falcons (1-0) @ Bengals (1-0) -- Both teams off divisional wins last week. Cincinnati was 6-0 as home favorite LY, after being 13-27-2 the nine years before that; they hadn’t scored a TD last week until 77-yard bomb to Green with 4:58 left that saved them in Baltimore, after they blew 15-0 halftime lead. Bengals are 16-6-2 vs spread in last 24 games vs NFC teams, 22-10 in game following last 32 wins. Falcons won last three series games by 27-2-7 points, with three of last four series totals 56+. Atlanta lost four of six visits here, but haven’t been here since ’06. Falcons are 15-9 vs spread in AFC games under Smith; they’re 21-16-1 vs spread in game after wins the last four years.

Rams (0-1) @ Bucs (0-1) -- Tampa Bay didn’t force turnover last week, losing 20-14 to Carolina backup QB Anderson; now Rams visit with backup Hill under center, after they got crushed 34-6 at home by Minnesota. St Louis lost its last 12 road openers; they’re 2-12 vs spread in last 14 road openers, but beat Bucs 28-13/23-13 last two years, with ’12 win here its first in last six visits to Tampa. Rams are 9-7 as road dogs under Fisher, 5-4 in non-division games. Bucs are 7-10-1 as home favorites last four years; Smith was 12-19-1 as home fave his last six years in Chicago. Rams’ DE Chris Long is out two months; he’ll miss first games of his NFL career during that time. Bucs are 11-20 vs spread in game following their last 31 losses.

Seahawks (1-0) @ Chargers (0-1) -- Bolts frittered away game in Arizona late Monday night, losing two fumbles and botching shotgun snap that took them out of FG range at key time late in game; they ran ball for only 52 yards, lost C Hardwick to injury (check status). Defending champ Seattle waxed Packers in home opener four nights earlier; they won six of last seven series games, with seven of last nine meetings decided by 3 or less points- they won last three visits here, but last one was in 2002. Seahawks are just 6-6 as road favorites under Carroll, but 5-2 in non-divisional games. San Diego won three of last four home openers, scoring 24+ points in last six; nine of their last 11 home openers went over total.

Houston (1-0) @ Oakland (0-1) -- Raiders' rookie QB Carr plays against team his brother once played for; his backup Schaub was Houston's QB this time last year. Texans were 0-3 as road favorites LY, after being 8-4-1 the three years before that; they blocked punt for TD last week, in game where Redskins outgained them by 56 yards. Oakland had only 25 rushing yards, was 3-12 on 3rd down in 19-14 loss at Swamp Stadium; not lot of NFL teams lose with +2 turnover ratio. Houston won three of four visits here; home team lost five of last seven series games. Oakland is 3-7 as home underdog under Allen, 2-8 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Houston won its last five road openers.

Jets (0-1) @ Packers (1-0) -- Green Bay drew short straw, having to play Seattle in last week; their reward was extra three days off after, but they lost RT for year, and their center is new player. Pack is Jets are 8-3 in seldom-played series, scoring total of 17 points in three losses. Jets are 11-14-1 as road dogs under Ryan; they lost last three road openers by 10-17-3 points, but covered 12 of last 17, with five of last seven staying under. Pack is 21-11 in last 32 games as home favorite; they won six of last seven home openers, scoring 34 ppg in last four; they're 4-2 in last six home openers that weren't in Week 1. Since '09, Green Bay is 15-8 vs spread in game afetr a loss- they play all three division rivals the next three weeks.

Chiefs (0-1) @ Broncos (1-0) -- Thought #18 missed Welker last week, especially in second half, when they needed first downs to kill clock. With new agreement on a drug program, Welker is now eligible to play, though he hasn't practiced. KC was -3 in turnovers in dismal loss to Tennessee in home opener, after being +18 LY, -24 in '12; they lost two players to Achilles injuries, are banged up on OL- they ran ball for only 67 yards last week. Over last decade, Chiefs are 15-5 as double digit dog 12-7 as divisional road dogs since '07. Denver won last four games by average score of 29-14, winning 38-13/27-17 in last two played here. Broncos are 20-11-1 in game after a win, under Fox- they're 12-4 in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Bears (0-1) @ 49ers (1-0) -- Chicago lost home opener to Bills in OT last week, bad loss; they lost last seven visits to Candlestick, with Chicago's last win here in Super Bowl year ('85), but this is first game in new stadium for 49ers, who led 28-3 at half last week in Dallas and coasted home. Besrs are 4-5 in last nine road openers; 10 of their last 13 stayed under total- they're 4-10-1 in last 15 games as road dog, 7-12-2 in game following last 21 losses. 49ers are 15-6-1 as home favorite under Harbaugh, 10-4 in non-division games- they're 20-11-2 in game after last 33 wins. Bears were outrushed 193-86 by Buffalo last week, passed for 341 yards, but only two plays of 20+ yards, while allowing six.

Eagles (1-0) @ Colts (0-1) -- Underdogs are 8-2 vs spread in Colts' non-divisonal home games under Pagano (5-5 as home favorite); Indy is 9-0-1 vs spread in game following a loss the last two years. Philly was down 17-0 at half to Jags last week, but stopped turning ball over and won/covered 34-17, getting defensive TD in last 2:00. Since '07, Iggles are 19-7 as road underdogs. Colts won four of last five series games; this is Philly's first visit here since '06. Eagles won last five road openers, scored 31+ points in five of last six- they're 9-4 as underdogs in road openers. Colts won eight of last 11 home openers, but covered one of last four as favorite in HO's; they covered five of last six Week 2 home openers.

**TheGame** · 09-13-2014, 09:23 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 2
By Jason Logan
Covers.com

St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5, 37)

Rams’ penalty problems vs. Bucs’ discipline

Week 1 stats should be kept at an arm’s length when it comes to capping your Week 2 wagers but it’s hard to ignore the 121 penalty yards the Rams racked up on 13 infractions in their loss to Minnesota – the most in Week 1.

The offense was the biggest culprit, getting whistled for three false starts, two holds, and two offensive pass interference calls. Sprinkle in a roughing the kicker and roughing the passer, a 15-yard face mask and a flag for taunting, and it’s easy to see why the Vikings were able to put up 34 points with that mediocre offense.

Tampa Bay, on the other hand, was an angel in Week 1. The Buccaneers summoned only three flags – tied for the fewest in Week 1 – two for encroachment and one on a false start. This is a huge change in attitude from last season when the Bucs ranked third in penalties (71 yards per game), just ahead of the Rams (63.06).

New coach Lovie Smith is already making his mark on Tampa Bay. The -5.5 points may seem like a lot for this Bucs offense to handle, but when the opposition is spotting you first downs left and right, you’ll get to the end zone sooner than later.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Washington Redskins (-6, 43)

Jaguars’ special teams vs. Redskins’ not-so special teams

There aren’t many things the Jaguars can hang their hat on. An improved defense that got after Eagles QB Nick Foles is one. The other is an underrated group on special teams.

Last season, Jacksonville ranked third overall in average yards per kick return (25.9) and was the best in the NFL at limiting opposing returners, giving up 20.4 yards against per return. In Week 1, Jordan Todman totaled 36 yards on two kick returns and punter Bryan Anger did a good job pinning Philadelphia deep in their own end.

Washington’s special team issues were in full effect in Week 1. The Redskins had a punt blocked – which Houston returned for six points – and had an extra point blocked as well. The 2013 squad allowed foes to average 16.8 yards per punt return – easily worst in the NFL – and watched three punts come back for scores.

“We kind of opened Pandora’s box now,” Redskins special teams captain Adam Hayward told the Washington Times. “Now for the rest of the season, everyone’s going to try to come after us. So, that’s something we’re going to have to fix immediately, because I don’t want to be like last year.”

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers (-2.5, 43.5)

Lions’ troubles with TEs vs. Panthers’ TE Greg Olsen

The Lions defense looked solid in a Week 1 thumping of the Giants. But was Detroit playing that good or was New York just that bad? The one area the Giants were able to consistently beat the Lions is at tight end, with Eli Manning finding TE Larry Donnell for 56 yards and a TD on five catches - some key grabs from the big man in the middle.

This is nothing new to Detroit’s stop unit, which has struggled against opposing tight ends going back to last year. During the team’s disastrous four-game skid to end the schedule, the Lions gave up a total of 179 yards on 18 catches by tight ends – an average of 9.94 yards per grab (pretty much a first down per completion). Many of those receptions led to third-down conversions.

Enter a former NFC North foe (with Chicago) in Panthers TE Greg Olsen, who is primed for a breakout year after reeling in eight catches for 83 yards and a touchdown in Carolina’s upset win over Tampa Bay. Olsen, who served as a great safety net for fill-in QB Derek Anderson last Sunday, will still get plenty of touches with Cam Newton coming back.

The Panthers lost their three top WRs from last season and with Detroit’s front seven bringing the heat and not giving an injured Newton much time to look downfield, Olsen is not only a huge X-factor in Week 2 but could be the fantasy football sleeper of Sunday for those struggling with their “start em, sit em’s”.

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 48.5)

Bears’ run game vs. Niners’ run defense

The Niners didn’t play all that well in Week 1. Yeah, they smoked the Cowboys 28-17 on the scoreboard but benefited from three Romo INTs and a fumble from DeMarco Murray on the opening drive of the game. Dallas seems to spot every opponent three or four turnovers.

The biggest blemish coming out of the opener were the 118 rushing yards Murray posted – his 5.4 yards per carry were the most allowed by San Francisco since 2009 (minimum 20 carries), according to SFGate.com. It’s a glaring defensive stat with stud linebackers Aldon Smith and NaVorro Bowman in civies.

The 49ers face a who’s who of fantasy first-rounders in the coming weeks, starting with Bears versatile playmaker Matt Forte Sunday night. After Forte, San Fran has to slow down Eagles RB LeSean McCoy and Chiefs bruiser Jamaal Charles.

Forte had 169 combined yards (running and receiving) in the upset loss to the Bills Sunday, picking up 82 yards on 17 carries and 87 yards on eight catches. Bears coach Marc Trestman is an offensive mastermind and will attack any weakness in the Niners’ defense. So, you could see him test San Francisco’s depth with an up-tempo attack featuring plenty of No. 22.

**TheGame** · 09-13-2014, 09:24 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Sharp Moves - Week 2
By Mike Rose
VegasInsider.com

We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that are a lot sharper than others. In Week 1, bettors would've gone 1-2 if they followed the sharp plays with the Eagles-Jaguars outcome causing the professionals to turn up losers.

Below are some games that I have my eye on for Week 2!

All public betting percentages courtesy of VegasInsider.com matchup index as of Friday morning.

Minnesota +3 – No big shocks here that the public is all over the Patriots. After all, New England was beaten last week on the road, and for the first time in his career, quarterback Tom Brady is in last place in the AFC East by himself. On top of that, the Pats have only played four games when under .500 in the last 11 years, and they won and covered all four of those games. Minnesota looked great last week, albeit against St. Louis, but we have a feeling that maybe this team is better than we originally gave it credit for. If that turns out to be the case on Sunday, there could be a sinking feeling in Beantown, as the Patriots could legitimately slip to 0-2 after two weeks of the season.

Opening Line: Minnesota +3
Current Line: Minnesota +3
Public Betting Percentage: 67% on New England

Cleveland +6 – The sharpest play on the board in Week 2. The Browns are playing their opening game at FirstEnergy Stadium this year, and we really aren't all that sure why they are such massive underdogs in this game. New Orleans has had a history of playing poorly on the road, and they have gone 3-5 in each of the last two seasons away from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Saints started off last week with a loss on the road in Atlanta, and this is probably a tougher atmosphere to be playing in because it isn't inside of a dome. Mother Nature could play a role here, and if she does, it certainly suits the Browns more than the Saints. The big question: Are the real Browns the ones we saw in the first-half against the Steelers last week or the ones who played in the second-half? That's the big problem that we have to try to work out.

Opening Line: Cleveland +6
Current Line: Cleveland +6
Public Betting Percentage: 74% on New Orleans

San Diego +5.5 – Again, no real surprises here. The Seahawks looked like the most dominating team in the NFL when they beat the snot out of the Packers last week on the opening night of the season. However, we still think they have some holes that could be exploited. The Chargers ended up losing on Monday Night Football and have to play on a short week, which isn't going to help matters any, but they have a history of pulling off upsets like this. That's a lot of points to be giving a team that historically will stay close to anyone in the NFL when stuck in that ridiculous underdog role.

Opening Line: San Diego +5.5
Current Line: San Diego +5.5
Public Betting Percentage: 68% on Seattle

**TheGame** · 09-14-2014, 05:42 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Total Talk - Week 2
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 1 Recap

It’s safe to say that the sportsbooks were happy with the results from the opening weekend. Not only did the underdogs post an 11-5 record, but the ‘under’ went 9-7 in Week 1 and those outcomes usually benefit the house. The ‘over’ did go 3-1 in the four primetime games last weekend and two of those games also watched the favorite cash, which is never good for the guys behind the betting counter.

In 16 games last week, the Favorite-Over combination connected three times for parlay bettors. One of those results included the Eagles, who doubled-up the Jaguars 34-17. Philadelphia trailed 17-0 at the break and eventually took a 24-17 late in the fourth quarter. On the ensuing possession, the Jaguars fumbled and the Eagles turned the mistake into seven points. Instead of Jacksonville-Under, some bettors were fortunate to cash Eagles-Over.

Total System to Watch

Outside of hard work and commitment, a great tool for increasing your handicapping and wagering skills is to surround yourself around other individuals that share the same passion. I keep in touch regularly with a handful of users via email and welcome all the discussions and feedback. With that being said, I received an email from a VegasInsider.com user who prefers the moniker A86 earlier this week and he reminded me of a great system from last year that was very simple to follow.

During the 2013-14 regular season, there were 17 games played on Thursday. If you took the home team in that matchup and played the ‘over’ in their following game, regardless of the venue, you would’ve seen this angle produce an eye opening 14-2-1 (88%) record.

We’ll find out this Sunday if this trend is something to watch or fade when Seattle visits San Diego in Week 2. The Seahawks-Chargers total is hovering around 44 points. Make a note that the Seahawks have averaged 30.5 points per game in their last four road matchups against AFC opponents and the ‘over’ cashed in all four.

Divisional Battles

The first week of the NFL season had five divisional battles and the ‘over’ went 3-2 in those games. On Thursday, Baltimore defeated Pittsburgh 26-6 and the ‘under’ was never in doubt.

There are two more divisional games on tap for Week 2.

Miami at Buffalo: The total on this matchup is hovering between 43 and 44 points. The ‘under’ is on a 6-2 run in this series and during this span, only one game has seen 45 or more combined points. Miami has been held to 15 points or less in three of their last four trips to Buffalo.

Kansas City at Denver: Oddsmakers sent out 52 on this game and the number has dropped to 50½ points as of Saturday evening. Since Peyton Manning arrived in Denver, the Broncos have scored 17, 38, 27 and 35 points against the Chiefs. The ‘under’ has gone 2-1-1 during this stretch. I’m a little surprised the early money has come in on the ‘under’ especially when you look at the form of the Chiefs. Going back to last season, the defense is allowing 34 PPG in their last seven games. Plus, I think we all agree that Denver doesn’t get held in check at home and it will be facing a unit that has already been hit by injuries.

AFC vs. NFC

Last year was all about the ‘over’ in non-conference matchups and after watching the results from Week 1, it’s apparent the pendulum has swung the other way. The ‘under’ went 3-1 and should’ve been 4-0 if it wasn’t for the lucky ‘over’ ticket in the Jaguars-Eagles game.

The sample size for AFC-NFC matchups doubles to eight games for Week 2.

Jacksonville at Washington
Dallas at Tennessee
New England at Minnesota
New Orleans at Cleveland
Atlanta at Cincinnati
Seattle at San Diego
N.Y. Jets at Green Bay
Philadelphia at Indianapolis

Line Moves

As of Saturday evening, we haven’t seen much movement in the totals market. Only two games have moved at least two points based on openers from CRIS.

Jacksonville at Washington: 45 to 43
Arizona at N.Y. Giants: 44½ to 42½

Under the Lights

As mentioned above, the ‘over’ went 3-1 in the primetime games in Week 1. According to the oddsmakers, we could be in for two more shootouts in Week 2 and I'm having a hard time disagreeing with the opening numbers.

Chicago at San Francisco: The Bears and 49ers both watched the ‘under’ cash in Week 1 but this number is telling me to play the ‘over.’ This ‘over/under’ l is listed at 48.5 and we emphasize that because this is the highest total that the 49ers have seen at home since 2002 when they hosted Kansas City, according to VI Expert Marc Lawrence. SF is now known as ‘over’ team and if you look at their last 12 games played in September, it has scored 24 or more points eight times. Last year, Chicago watched the ‘over’ go 6-2 on the road and its defense didn’t hold a single opponent under 20 points.

Philadelphia at Indianapolis: This game has the highest total on the board (53.5) and based on what you saw from both teams in Week 1, it’s hard to make a case for the ‘under’ in this situation. Indianapolis is off a 31-24 loss to Denver last week and it should be noted that QB Andrew Luck has never lost back-to-back games during the regular season. In the 10 follow-up contests after a loss, the Colts have scored 25.3 PPG. Even though it left points off the board, Jacksonville scored 17 on Philadelphia’s defense in Week 1, which tells me Indianapolis should get a minimum of five to six scores on Monday. Last year on the road, the Eagles offense averaged 31.5 PPG and that number is very obtainable against a weak Colts unit.

Fearless Predictions

The season is still young but I wasn’t pleased with a 2-2 start, especially after I watched the replay of the Ravens-Bengals matchup. The two teams combined for nine scores but unfortunately six of them were field goals. Baltimore actually had a shot to tie the game late but QB Joe Flacco’s pocket presence was horrible and they came up short, which was a $420 difference in our bankroll.

As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Eagles-Colts 53.5
Best Under: Jets-Packers 46
Best Team Total: 49ers Over 27.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 44.5 Eagles-Colts
Over 40 Falcons-Bengals
Over 39 Bears-49ers

Announcement

NFL Betting Info. Week 2

NFL Betting Info. Week 2

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment