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**TheGame** · 09-01-2014, 08:33 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

GREEN BAY (8 - 8 - 1) at SEATTLE (16 - 3) - 9/4/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

GREEN BAY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Seattle is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
Seattle is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay

**TheGame** · 09-01-2014, 11:25 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

NFL Week 1

Packers @ Seahawks -- Seahawks won/covered 10 of their last 11 home openers, including last five in row; under is 11-1-1 in their last 13 home openers. Home side won seven of last eight series games; Pack is 2-3 in last five games here, losing last visit in ’12 on awful call by replacement refs on last play of game. Green Bay lost 14-12/34-28 in last two road openers; they allowed 30+ points in last three series openers. Packers had been 17-7-1 as road dog under McCarthy until LY, when they were 1-3, 1-2 with sub QB’s playing. Since ‘07, Pack is 11-6 as non-divisional road dogs. Since ‘05, Seahawks are 31-16-1 as home favorites, 12-5 under Carroll, 6-3 vs. non-division foes.

**TheGame** · 09-01-2014, 11:26 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. MIAMI
New England is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
New England is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing New England

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Houston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. KANSAS CITY
Tennessee is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tennessee

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY JETS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing Oakland

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PITTSBURGH
Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Jacksonville is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Jacksonville is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CHICAGO
Buffalo is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
St. Louis is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games at home

4:25 PM
CAROLINA vs. TAMPA BAY
Carolina is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games

4:25 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. DALLAS
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games at home

8:30 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Monday, September 8

7:10 PM
NY GIANTS vs. DETROIT
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing NY Giants

10:20 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

**TheGame** · 09-01-2014, 02:47 PM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

NFL Week 1

Saints @ Falcons -- Saints won six of last seven meetings in this underrated rivalry, with five of last six wins by 6 or less points; they’ve won six of last eight visits here, with last four wins by 4 or less points. NO covered only one of last seven road openers (3-4 SU), with five of last six going over total. Atlanta won last six home openers and nine of last 10 (9-1 vs. spread). Saints are 6-4 in last ten AFC South road games, with only one win by more than 4 points- its been four years since they won a divisional road game by more than 7 points. Falcons are 11-6-1 vs. spread in NFC South home games under Smith; they were -7 in turnovers LY, after being +35 the three years before that.

Vikings @ Rams -- Zimmer’s first game as head coach comes vs. veteran Ram defense that has 105 sacks in two years under Fisher (#1/#3 in NFL) and upgraded at DC this year with Gregg Williams back on job. Frazier was 8-5 vs spread as a non-divisional road underdog in three years as Minnesota HC; Vikings are 2-8 in last ten road openers, losing last four (1-2-1 vs. spread); they won last two games with Rams 38-10/36-22, but none of these coaches, few of these players took part in those games. Rams lost six of last seven openers, but are 2-0 in home openers under Fisher; St Louis is 4-3 as home favorite under Fisher- they were +8 in turnovers LY, just second time in last seven years they had positive ratio.

Browns @ Steelers -- Pittsburgh has treated Browns like a pinata, winning 19 of 20 meetings, last three by 14-16-13 points; Cleveland lost last nine visits here, last six by 11+ points- they scored two TD’s on 24 drives in two games vs. Pitt LY, but now there is new coach/GM in Cleveland; they were 3-0 when Hoyer started LY; he passed for 321 yards in only road start, at Minnesota. Steelers are 10-8-1 as divisional home favorites under Tomlin; they went 8-8 SU in each of last two years, are -27 in turnovers last three years, so there is pressure on them. Steelers won 10 of last 11 home openers, covering seven of last nine, with last five staying under the total.

Jaguars @ Eagles -- Philly is just 9-23 vs spread at home the last four years, 9-17 as home favorite, 0-2 when laying double digits; they won 28-3 in Jacksonville four years ago, its first series win in four games; Jags won 13-6 here in ‘06, their only visit to Linc. Eagles lost six of last eight home openers, winning by 1-35 points (0-5 vs. spread in last five); their last two home openers were decided by total of four points. Jags lost five of last six road openers (2-4 vs. spread); seven of their last ten road openers stayed under total. Jax is 5-15 vs. spread in last 20 games vs. NFC teams; Iggles are 7-13 in their last 20 vs AFC squads. Over last five years, Week 1 double digit favorites are 3-4 against the spread.

Raiders @ Jets -- Jets blocked punt for TD, led 20-3 at half in 37-27 (-3) win over Oakland LY, Raiders 4th loss in row here, and 11th win for home side in last 14 series games. Raiders started 0-1 in ten of last eleven seasons; they’ve lost three of last four road openers, losing by 25-22-4 points. Gang Green won four of last five home openers, with three of last four decided by 3 or less points- they’re 5-16 vs. spread in last 21 home openers, but covered last two. Raiders are 10-15 as dogs under Allen, 7-8 on road (2-14 SU). Jets are 12-16-1 as single digit favorites under Ryan. Over is 10-4-1 in Oakland’s last 15 road openers, 2-4 in Jets’ last six home openers.

Bengals @ Ravens -- Ravens had only three offensive TD’s on 29 drives vs Bengals LY, all on drives of 53 or less yards; they were outgained by 345 yards in two series meetings LY, but now Cincy has two new coordinators (Zimmer/Gruden are HC‘s), while Kubiak is upgrade over Caldwell as OC for Baltimore offense. Home side won eight of last nine series games; Bengals lost last four visits here, by 6-7-31-3 points. Baltimore won its last nine home openers, covering seven, with all nine wins by 7+ points. Cincy started 0-1 five of last six years; they lost five of last seven road openers. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Raven openers, 5-0 in Bengals’ last five road openers.

Bills @ Bears -- Buffalo signed Bears' old backup QB Palmer last week, does that give them edge here? They're 4-15-1 as road underdog last three years; they’re 0-5 at Soldier Field, with four losses by 17+ points- their last visit here was a 40-7 loss in ‘06. Chicago is 7-4 overall in series, with last meeting 22-19 Bear win in Toronto in ‘10. Bills lost eight of last ten road openers, covering one of last four- they’re 6-5 vs. spread as a dog in road openers. Chicago won last five home openers (1-3-1 vs. spread in last five as favorite in HO). Since ‘07, Bears are 13-22-3 as home favorites, 1-3-2 under Trestman, but they’re 5-1-2 in last eight games vs. AFC foes. Over last nine years, Buffalo is 12-21-3 vs. spread vs. NFC teams. Over is 4-1 in Buffalo’s last five road openers, 3-0 in Bears’ last three home openers.

Redskins @ Texans -- Houston went 2-14 LY, losing last 14 games after going 24-10 in previous 34, so they changed coaches, traded for Mallett Sunday, so current QB Fitzpatrick is lame duck starter; Texans won last four home openers, covering three, scoring 30+ points in all four- six of their last nine home openers stayed under total. Washington lost five of last six road openers, but is 6-3 vs. spread as dogs in road openers, with four of last five going over total. Since ‘09, Texans are 5-12-3 vs. spread when facing NFC foe- they were 0-4 as home favorites LY, after being 20-14 the six years before that. Redskins won 31-15 in only visit to Reliant in ‘06; Texans won in OT in last series meeting, in ‘10. Jay Gruden is rookie NFL head coach, but had 93-61 record as a HC in Arena Football, winning two titles.

Titans @ Chiefs -- Whisenhunt was 16-20-2 as road dog with Arizona, but 4-0-1 vs. spread in road openers there; Titans won two of last three visits to Arrowhead, in series where visitor won four of last five meetings. 11-5 Chiefs were +18 in turnovers LY, after 2-14 Chiefs were -24 year before; regression is expected. Since ‘07, KC is 5-19-1 vs. spread as home fave; Reid covered once in his last eight home openers, Chiefs are 1-6-1 vs. spread in their last eight. Tennessee covered five of its last seven road openers. Under is 18-3-2 in Chiefs’ last 23 home openers, 14-3 in Titans’ last 17 road openers. Chiefs (-2.5) won 26-17 at Tennessee LY, scoring TD on special teams fumble, scoring only one TD, three FG’s on seven drives in Titan red zone.

Patriots @ Dolphins -- Miami installed new, faster offense this offseason; Pats played Eagles in preseason, who run that very offense. Dolphins lost seven of last eight series games, upsetting Pats 24-20 (+1) in Week 15 LY; NE won five of last seven visits here, with four of five wins by 14+ points. Patriots won first meeting nine of last ten years; they’re 6-2 in last eight road openers (5-3 vs. spread). Dolphins lost six of last eight openers, but are 2-0 in home openers under Philbin and 5-1-1 vs. spread as home dogs. Miami is 9-14-1 vs spread in division games the last four years. Over last decade, Patriots are 16-8-2 as road favorite in division games, 57-31-5 as single digit favorite overall. Fish’ last five home openers went over total.

Panthers @ Buccaneers -- Carolina started last five seasons 0-1; they scored 10-7 points in losing last two season openers. Panthers lost last five road openers (0-5 vs. spread)- they were favored last two years. Lovie Smith went 29-19 his last three years coaching Bears; playoff losses got him fired,, but he is a huge upgrade at HC for Bucs, who had only one TD on 20 drives vs. Carolina LY, with three TO’s, eight 3/outs. Panthers swept series 31-13/27-6, outrushing Bucs 282-114. Carolina won three of its last five visits here. Bucs covered three of last four games as home dog in HO’s; they’re 5-4 SU in last nine. Five of last six Carolina road openers went over total.

49ers @ Cowboys -- 49ers are 19-5-2 as single digit favorite under Harbaugh, 10-4 as road favorites, 3-0 in season openers, winning by 16-8-6 points, while scoring 33-30-34 points. Dallas usually opens on road; since ‘88, they’re 5-3 SU when season opener is at home- they won last three home openers by total of 13 points. Cowboys covered last five tries as dog in home opener, but last such game was in ‘02. Since ‘06, Dallas is 6-2 as home underdog, 4-1 under Garrett. Cowboys won last three series games by 3-13-3 points, but haven’t met since ‘11, Harbaugh’s second game with 49ers. Five of last seven Dallas home openers went over total. 49ers are just 6-7-1 vs spread on carpet under Harbaugh.

Colts @ Broncos -- Denver was 6-0 LY before losing 39-33 at Indy in Week 7; they had 12 penalties, three turnovers (-2) and ran for just 64 yards in game they trailed 26-14 at half. Colts had 11-yard edge in field position; only one of their four TD’s was on drive longer than 50 yards. Indy lost three of last four road openers, with all three losses by 10+ points; the last six years, they’re 0-6 vs. spread in Week 1 games. Manning is 9-5 vs spread in home openers; Denver is 22-3 SU in last 25 home openers, covering four of last five; this figures to be emotional day, with declining health of Bronco owner Bowlen. Over is 5-1-1 in Denver’s last seven Mile High openers.

Giants @ Lions -- Giants started 0-1 last three years; they’re lost three of last four road openers, with 12 of last 14 going over total. Detroit lost six of last seven games LY, one of which was 23-20 (-9) Week 16 debacle to Giants; Big Blue’s two TD’s were on 49-yard drive and defensive score. Lions outrushed them 148-41, still lost; that doesn’t happen a lot. Big Blue won last three series games by total of 17 points; they won last five visits to Motor City. Lions have new coaches, Giants have new offense that struggled to gel in preseason. Lions won last three home openers, scoring 36.3 ppg; they’re 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine HO’s, with last four going over total. Last three years, Giants are 11-6 as road underdogs.

Chargers @ Cardinals -- San Diego is 9-3 in last dozen series games, winning last three by 8-7-31 points; they won three of four visits here, but haven’t been in desert since ’02, before dome opened. Chargers are 8-3-1 as road underdogs last two years; they covered three of four vs. NFC LY, after being 0-8 previous two seasons. Bolts won four of last five Week 1 road openers; five of their last seven road openers went over total. Cardinals were 5-1-1 as favorites in Arians’ first year, after covering only five of previous 20 games when favored. Arizona won six of last seven home openers (5-2 vs. spread); they‘re 6-1-1 vs. spread in Week 1 last eight years. Why did these teams meet in preseason LAST WEEK?

**TheGame** · 09-03-2014, 04:21 PM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan at Notre Dame
By Teddy Covers
Sportsmemo.com

CRIS Opener: Notre Dame -4.5 O/U 54.5
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -3.5 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -4
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Over

Michigan has won and covered four of the last five meetings between these two teams, taking control of what had been a very competitive series in recent seasons. In fact, prior to the Wolverines recent success, the taking the underdog plus the points had been the prevailing theme, winning outright in nine of the previous 12 meetings. And, of course, with Michigan catching points in South Bend on Saturday, the trends clearly point towards the Wolverines as live underdogs here.

The Wolverines went through an ugly 0-5 SU and ATS run as an underdog heading into last November, but they covered three straight in that role down the stretch last year, finally showing success when catching points in hostile environments. And with an experienced senior signal caller in Devin Gardner, there’s little reason to expect Michigan to have any sort of dramatic home/road dichotomy in 2014.

Gardner was certainly dynamic in the Wolverines opener last weekend, although the level of competition wasn’t particularly high – Appalachian State in 2014 is a long, long way down from the App State team that upset the Wolverines in the Big House back in 2007. Michigan’s offense was nearly unstoppable in that contest, producing touchdowns on six of their first eight drives.

Reports out of Ann Arbor have made it clear that the Wolverines have no shortage of quality skill position talent surrounding their senior QB. Running backs De’Veon Smith and Derrick Green both ripped off 60+ yard touchdown scampers last week , while Devin Funchess caught three TD passes. And despite losing a pair of offensive line starters to the NFL draft this past offseason, the Wolverines continue to stockpile blue chip recruits on that OL; a unit that still looks strong.

Notre Dame spent the offseason installing a new defensive scheme under new coordinator Brian VanGorder, and their stop unit had to replace five starters from their front seven, including a handful of NFL draft choices. The defense performed well against Rice last week, but Michigan is a much tougher test for a somewhat suspect stop unit.

But Notre Dame’s offense looked extremely impressive in their blowout over Rice last weekend, a tougher foe than the Wolverines faced. After punting on their first two drives, the Irish started to click, producing touchdowns or field goal tries on nine of their final ten possessions.

In particular, QB Everett Golson looked brilliant in his return to South Bend; the same QB who guided the Irish to the national championship game as a freshman two years ago. Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly following the game in which his QB averaged more than 13 yards per pass ATTEMPT: “There's a lot of things that he will tell you that he's got to continue to improve on, but there's a confidence that he carries with him that is starting to emanate.”

Notre Dame certainly isn’t short on skill position talent surrounding Golson; loaded with playmaking weapons. And the Wolverines defense is coming off their worst season of the Brady Hoke era, with concerns both on the defensive line and in the secondary.

Last year’s game was a 41-30 shootout won by the Wolverines; the fourth time in the last five meetings that the losing team has scored 24 or more. No surprise here if BOTH teams get into the 30’s again this year, sending this game flying Over the total.

**bluegoldflu** · 09-04-2014, 12:36 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

Man, how sweet this is to see. Baseball was way too up and down for me towards mid-season so I had to lay off the throttle a bit. Happy to see football is back.

Thanks gamer!

**TheGame** · 09-04-2014, 09:11 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

Thursday Night Football: Packers at Seahawks
By Covers.com

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (-6, 47)

The reigning Super Bowl champions certainly don't need a built-in edge, but the league's best home-field advantage is just one obstacle the Green Bay Packers have to conquer when they visit the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday night to kick off the NFL season. Seattle rode a suffocating defense to its first Super Bowl title in February, culminating its run by manhandling Peyton Manning and Denver's record-setting offense. The Seahawks are 15-1 over the past two seasons at CenturyLink Field.

Green Bay is touted as one of the top contenders to dethrone Seattle and the reason is a healthy Aaron Rodgers, who missed seven games last season due to a fractured collarbone. Rodgers returned for the regular-season finale and authored a last-minute comeback that clinched the third straight NFC North title for the Packers. The last meeting between the teams in 2012 featured one of the more memorable endings - infamously dubbed the "Fail Mary" - in league history, when Seattle's Russell Wilson threw a touchdown pass on the final play of the game that appeared to be an interception.

LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Seahawks as 5.5-point home faves, but that has moved to -6. The total opened at 45, but has risen to 47.

INJURY REPORT: Packers - DT B.J. Raji (IR, bicep). Seahawks - S Kam Chancellor (probably, hip), LB Bruce Irvin (questionable, hip).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Packers (-4) + Seahawks (-7) + home field (-3) = Seahawks -6

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened at Seattle -6 and we have not seen any sharp money yet. We are almost split down the middle on the game with 54 percent of bets taking the Seahawks -6. The total, which has jumped two points since opening, has 77 percent of backers on the over 47." - Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "First meeting between these teams since the replacement ref faux pas contest in 2012 figures to bring the Packers in with added incentive. Problem is Seahawks' 12th man in home games where they are 17-1 SU the past two seasons. Seattle is also 10-1 ATS in season openers at home. Coupled with the success of defending Super Bowl champions in Thursday games, 12-0 SU and 8-2-2 ATS at home, it appears a tough row to hoe for Green Bay in this lid-lifter." Covers Expert Marc Lawrence.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2013: 8-7-1, 1st NFC North): Rodgers is not the sole reason for the optimism in Green Bay - dangerous wideout Randall Cobb is back after missing 10 weeks due to injury last season while running back Eddie Lacy looks to build upon a season in which he rumbled for 1,178 yards and 11 TDs and was named the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year. On the other side of the ball, the Packers expect a major upgrade in the pass rush after the offseason signing of veteran defensive end Julius Peppers (118.5 career sacks) along with a return to health by linebacker Clay Matthews, who has 50 career sacks in five seasons but was hindered by a broken thumb for much of 2013. Plugging the void left by a season-ending injury to behemoth nose tackle B.J. Raji will be an issue against the Seahawks' smash-mouth ground game.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (2013: 13-3, 1ST NFC West): Seattle led the NFL in fewest points (14.4) and yards (273.3) permitted while also ranking No. 1 with 28 interceptions - eight by bombastic cornerback Richard Sherman, the leader of a secondary known as the Legion of Boom. Aside from a post-Super Bowl hangover, the Seahawks must cope with the loss of defensive linemen Chris Clemons, Red Bryant and Clinton McDonald while playing in the fiercest division in football. Dual-threat Wilson has posted a passer rating of at least 100.0 in each of his first two seasons and gets back a big weapon in multi-talented wideout Percy Harvin - who missed nearly the entire 2013 campaign due to injury. That will augment a ground game powered by Marshawn Lynch, who has rushed for 4,051 yards and 35 TDs the past three seasons.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in September.
* Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last seven vs. NFC.
* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Seahawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC.

COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 54.15 percent of wagers are supporting the Packers.

**Tomkelly95** · 09-04-2014, 11:37 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

Packers/Seahawks
Aaron Rodgers is 23-15 ATS on the road as long as he's not favored by 6.5 or more points.
Aaron Rodgers is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
Seahawks are 20-4 ATS in September home games since 2000.
Seahawks are 25-10 ATS as home favorites since 2007.

**TheGame** · 09-07-2014, 06:06 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 1
By Jason Logan
Covers.com

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (+3, 51)

Saints’ rushing attack vs. Falcons’ run defense

When you think of the Saints you aren’t automatically drawn to thoughts of smashmouth football and a run-heavy playbook. However, with New Orleans working in a group of new receivers in 2014, head coach Sean Payton will look to running backs Mark Ingram, Khiry Robinson, and Pierre Thomas to tread water until Drew Brees and his new targets cook up some chemistry. Ingram has a lot of buzz around him this summer and was named the team’s Preseason Offensive MVP.

You’d think less Brees would be a good thing for the Falcons defense. And it is. But Atlanta was exposed on the ground last season, giving up 135.8 rushing yards per game – second worst in the NFL. The Falcons’ stop unit is extremely young with five second-year players starting but did spend some money up front, trying to plug those holes against the run. New Orleans’ RBs will put those new faces to the test early and often Sunday afternoon.

Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams (-3.5, 42.5)

Vikings’ new defense vs. Rams’ offensive line

The Rams offensive line had one mission this season: Keep Sam Bradford healthy. They didn’t even make it out of the preseason, with Bradford suffering another ACL tear that leaves St. Louis starting backup Shaun Hill under center in Week 1. St. Louis’ pass protection is a mess. Left tackle Jake Long isn’t the same player since his own ACL injury, guard Roger Saffold has been slowed by ailments all summer, and first-round pick Greg Robinson hasn’t found his footing yet in the pros.

That iffy pass protection will be tested by the Vikings’ new-look defense under head coach Mike Zimmer, who is known for his aggressive blitz packages. Minnesota has already seen a major uptick on that side of the ball since Zimmer took over. The Vikings finished last in scoring defense in 2013, allowing 30 points per game. They gave up just 12.3 points per game in their undefeated preseason run – No. 2 in the NFL. Sure, those are only exhibition results but there’s excitement surrounding this stop unit in the Land of 10,000 Lakes.

Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears (-7, 47.5)

Bills’ short secondary vs. Bears’ big receivers

The Bears’ receiving corps could be mistaken for members of the Chicago Bulls. Dynamic wideout combo Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery stand 6-foot-4 and 6-foot-3 respectively. Add to those weapons TEs Martellus Bennett (6-foot-6) and Dante Rosario (6-foot-3), along with pass-catching RB Matt Forte (6-foot-2, tall for a running back), and Da Bears have one hell of a five-on-five hoops lineup.

Unfortunately for Buffalo, these teams aren’t playing charity pick-up on the hallowed Windy City blacktop. It’s football on Sunday. The Bills will have to look up – way up – when Chicago head coach Marc Trestman unleashes his towers of power. Buffalo’s tallest member of the secondary is corner Stephon Gilmore, who measures up at 6-foot-1. Gilmore is one of the more physical pass defenders but has been limited by a groin injury. Five-foot-10 corner Leodis McKelvin is also on the mend after undergoing hip surgery this offseason.

"(Chicago’s WRs are) tall, they’re physical and they can go get the ball. It’s going to be a real good test for us corners," McKelvin told The Buffalo News.

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7.5, 55)

Colts’ Denver domination vs. Broncos’ kicker conundrum

This Sunday Night Football matchup will likely play banker to most books on the first Sunday of the season, meaning there’s going to be a ton of money funneling into this primetime finale. And that loot will likely ride on the foot of Broncos seat-filler Brandon McManus, who is holding down the kicker spot with stud leg Matt Prater serving a four-game suspension. McManus has been collecting dust since booting for Temple in 2012 and could face some less than ideal kicking conditions at Mile High (chance of thunderstorms Sunday night).

The Colts have won and covered in six-straight meetings with the Broncos, including a tight 39-33 victory at home last season. Indianapolis’ defense was able to get to Peyton Manning four times in that game, forced four fumbles – recovering two – and grabbed one interception, leaving Prater to be called upon for two field goals. Colts opponents connected on just 78.79 percent of their field goal attempts in 2013 – a strange but convenient stat – and blocked a field goal for a 61-yard TD return in their win over Seattle. Indianapolis is known for nail bitters and with that half-point hook on the spread, a single missed field goal from McManus could spell doom for Denver backers.

**TheGame** · 09-07-2014, 06:07 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

Total Talk - Week 1
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

The 2014 NFL season kicked off Thursday and bettors pressing their Seahawks-Over parlays from last year’s Super Bowl were fortunate to open this season with the same exact result. Seattle captured a 36-16 home victory against Green Bay and the ‘over’ (47) cashed with a late touchdown. Handicapping sides in Week 1 of the NFL is far from easy and that statement goes for totals as well.

With that being said, let’s take a quick look at the card.

Week 1 Trends

Win or lose this weekend, there won’t be a team in the NFL that can point to the schedule. Everybody is rested and some clubs have been more successful in terms of preparation, especially on offense.

Listed below are Week 1 total streaks for a handful of clubs.

Baltimore: 3-0 Over, 4-2 Over last 6. Ravens have scored 17, 38, 35, 44 in their four home openers under head coach John Harbaugh.

Chicago: 3-0 Over

Cincinnati: 4-0 Over

Detroit: 6-1 Over

Miami: 6-1 Under

N.Y. Giants: 4-1 Over. Since Tom Coughlin started as coach of the Giants in 2004, they’ve allowed 31, 45, 28 and 36 points in Week 1 on the road.

San Francisco: 3-0 Over. The 49ers have scored 33, 30 and 34 points in Week 1 under coach Jim Harbaugh.

Tennessee: 3-0 Under

Washington: 3-0 Over, 4-1 Over last 5

Line Moves

We haven’t seen much movement in Week 1 but that should change as we get closer to kick off. Based on openers from CRIS, here are the latest line moves as of Saturday afternoon.

Minnesota at St. Louis: 45 to 43
Carolina at Tampa Bay: 39½ to 37½
San Francisco at Dallas: 48 to 51
San Diego at Arizona: 44 to 46

Divisional Battles

The first week of the regular season opens with five divisional matchups.

New Orleans at Atlanta: When two indoor teams square off, most expect a shootout but that hasn’t been the case in this series recently. The ‘under’ has cashed in three straight meetings and six of the last 10 encounters.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh: The ‘over’ has gained a little steam at the betting counter and the total is hovering between 41 and 42 points. The ‘under’ has cashed in five of the last meetings and a lot of the low-scoring outcomes were helped by Cleveland’s anemic offense. During this span, the Browns are averaging 10 PPG.

Cincinnati at Baltimore: We don’t have a lot of total trends that stand out for this matchup but over the last two seasons, the home team has scored 44, 23, 20 and 34 points en route to a 4-0 record both SU and ATS.

New England at Miami: The Patriots and Dolphins have watched the ‘under’ go 4-0 in their last four meetings. Prior to the past two seasons, the two teams were on a 4-0 run to the ‘over.’

Carolina at Tampa Bay: This game has a total hovering between 37 and 38, which is the lowest number for Week 1. Last year, the O/U went 1-1 in the two head-to-head matchup as Carolina outscored Tampa Bay 58-19. The Panthers were a great ‘under’ bet (11-5) last season and many pundits believe their defense is still strong but the offense has plenty of holes.

AFC vs. NFC

During the 2013-14 NFL season, total players watched the ‘over’ go 51-15 (77%) in non-conference matchups, which included Seattle’s victory over Denver in the Super Bowl. This was one of the most profitable trends that I’ve seen maintain its pace for an entire season. It’s highly doubtful that we’ll see this percentage carry over but it could be something to keep an eye on in the first month. We have four AFC-NFC matchups on tap for Week 1.

Jacksonville at Philadelphia
Buffalo at Chicago
Washington at Houston
San Diego at Arizona

Under the Lights

It’s very common to see totals move upwards in the primetime games and that’s the case in Week 1.

Indianapolis at Denver: This total opened 55 and jumped to 56. Last year, the Colts defeated the Broncos 39-33 at home and the ‘over’ (53.5) hit easily. In 10 games at home last season, Denver watched the ‘over’ go 6-1 in the first seven games before the ‘under’ cashed in the final three. The Broncos averaged 36.6 PPG during this span and they didn’t hold anybody to less than 17. Indianapolis was very inconsistent on the road last year. The defense had three games where they held teams to seven or less but they also gave up 40-plus three times.

N.Y. Giants at Detroit: These teams met in a meaningless matchup last season in Week 16 and the Giants defeated the Lions 23-20 as road underdogs. That result went ‘under’ (47) and this year’s total is in the same neighborhood. Detroit is receiving a ton of attention in this matchup and the majority of parlays on MNF will lean to Lions-Over, which seems too easy. The Giants looked dreadful offensively at times last season and most pundits aren’t expecting quick changes.

San Diego at Arizona: This total is moving up and you can certainly see why. San Diego has a very balanced offense and a legit quarterback in Philip Rivers. In 10 road trips last season, the Chargers scored 24-plus point six times and never less than 16 in the other four. The Cardinals have arguably the best secondary in the league but this defense will be without two key starters, DT Darnell Dockett and LB Daryl Washington. Offensively, Arizona averaged 26.3 PPG at home and one stat I to note - the Cardinals posted 67 points in their two home games against the AFC.

Fearless Predictions

I’m back again for another season of free selections. Let’s start it off on the right foot. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Cincinnati-Baltimore 43
Best Under: Minnesota-St. Louis 43
Best Team Total: Over Baltimore 21.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Under 52 Minnesota-St. Louis
Over 34 Cincinnati-Baltimore
Over 38 N.Y. Giants-Detroit

**TheGame** · 09-07-2014, 06:08 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 1

Week 1 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Saints (-3, 51½) at Falcons

Preseason Records:
New Orleans: 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS
Atlanta: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS

2013 Records:
New Orleans: 11-5 SU, 8-8 ATS
Atlanta: 4-12 SU, 7-9 ATS

Previous meeting results: As per usual with these two NFC South rivals, both games were decided by a total of 10 points as the Saints pulled off the season sweep. New Orleans grabbed the opener, 23-17 at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, while holding off the Falcons at the Georgia Dome in November, 17-13 as 7½-point road favorites.

2013 Week 1 results:
The Saints knocked off the Falcons, 23-17 to cash as 3½-point home favorites.

Browns at Steelers (-6½, 41½)

Preseason Records:
Cleveland: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
Pittsburgh: 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS

2013 Records:
Cleveland: 4-12 SU, 6-10 ATS
Pittsburgh: 8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS

Previous meeting results: The Browns have lost 18 of the past 20 matchups with the Steelers dating back to 2004, which includes two defeats last season. Both setbacks came in the second half of 2013, as the Steelers drilled the Browns in Cleveland, 27-11, followed by a 20-7 drubbing at Heinz Field in the season finale.

2013 Week 1 results:
Cleveland lost at home to Miami, 23-10 as 2 ½-point home favorites.
Pittsburgh dropped a 16-9 decision to Tennessee as six-point home ‘chalk.’

Bengals at Ravens (-1½, 43)

Preseason Records:
Cincinnati: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
Baltimore: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS

2013 Records:
Cincinnati: 11-5 SU, 10-5-1 ATS
Baltimore: 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS

Previous meeting results: The Ravens held off the Bengals in overtime of their first matchup, 20-17, in spite of Cincinnati tying the game on the final play of regulation on a Hail Mary touchdown. The Bengals finished off the regular season by avenging that defeat with a 34-17 triumph over the Ravens as a seven-point home favorite. However, Cincinnati has lost four straight visits to M&T Bank Stadium.

2013 Week 1 results:
Cincinnati lost at Chicago, 24-21 to push as three-point road underdogs.
Baltimore fell at Denver as seven-point away underdogs, 49-27.

Patriots (-5) at Dolphins

Preseason Records:
New England: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
Miami: 3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS

2013 Records:
New England: 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS
Miami: 8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS

Previous meeting results: These two AFC East rivals split a pair of games last season with the home team winning each time. New England knocked off Miami in Foxboro last October, 27-17 to cover as six-point home favorites, but the Dolphins picked up revenge with a 24-20 December triumph as 2½-point home ‘chalk.’

2013 Week 1 results:
The Patriots held off the Bills as 10-point road favorites, 23-21.
Miami dominated Cleveland, 23-10 to cash as 2 ½-point away favorites.

Panthers at Buccaneers (-2, 39)

Preseason Records:
Carolina: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
Tampa Bay: 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS

2013 Records:
Carolina: 12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
Tampa Bay: 4-12 SU, 6-10 ATS

Previous meeting results: The Panthers swept the Buccaneers last season with a pair of blowout victories. Carolina ripped Tampa Bay, 31-13 at Raymond James Stadium as 6 ½-point favorites, while routing the Bucs at home a month later, 27-6. The Panthers have split their last six road meetings with Tampa Bay, while the ‘over’ has cashed in four of the past five trips to the Sunshine State.

2013 Week 1 results:
Carolina dropped a 12-7 home decision to Seattle as three-point underdogs.
The Bucs lost on a last-second field goal to the Jets as four-point road favorites, 18-17.

49ers (-4½, 51) at Cowboys

Preseason Records:
San Francisco: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
Dallas: 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS

2013 Records:
San Francisco: 12-4 SU, 11-5 ATS
Dallas: 8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS

Previous meeting result: The Cowboys held off the 49ers in overtime back in Week 2 of the 2011 season, 24-21 at Candlestick Park. Dallas pushed as three-point favorites, but gained over 450 yards of offense as the Cowboys won have each of the past three matchups with San Francisco dating back to 2002.

2013 Week 1 results:
San Francisco outlasted Green Bay, 34-28 as 5½-point home favorites.
Dallas held off the N.Y. Giants, 36-31 to cash as 3½-point home ‘chalk.’

Announcement

NFL Betting Info. Week 1

NFL Betting Info. Week 1

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