I grabbed KC +3 on FD as soon as lines were released - a smallish bet. Didn't think that line would stick and it didn't. Had a drop to SF -1/-1.5 before moving back and settling at SF -2/-2.5.
This game has me somewhat confused and cloudy. I really thought that KC would become the favorite with all the stats on Mahomes, not to mention, the god-like status that he's trending toward.
KC was not a great team most of the season, not a SB-quality team. They did enough and didn't have much divisional competition. After starting 6-1, they finished the season 5-5, scoring more than 25 only twice (27 & 31). Basically limped into the playoffs. SF, on the other hand, was widely considered the class of the NFC from mid-season on. Sure they lost to Balt at home, but that was really the only knock, going 7-2 in their last 9 (also lost week 18 when resting players). They were moving and grooving. Then the playoffs hit and the KC defense takes center stage. The offense also scored 25+ twice (held to 17 in the win on the road in Balt). SF comes of their bye and struggles to get traction in the first half of both playoff games, needing late comebacks to win both. Not sure they'll be able to do this against KC.
So will SF start fast or slow?
Mahomes is 10-1-1 as dog. 2 SB wins already. TB12 is in his sights (?). So many times this week I've heard the talking heads say they'll never bet against Mahomes, just like Brady. They've "learned their lesson". So many. But the line continues to sit where it is, with SF as the fave. Think there is pro money on SF (mixed for sure, but think more is on SF). Feels like this is going to be a Niners win, but how the f*ck can I bet against Mahomes and Reid?!??!
I am still very cloudy on this game. Lots of great stuff from Riderx, bleeker and rolltide to consider too. It's Tuesday and I honestly don't know which team I'm going to bet yet. I want to take the easy road and stick with KC, but something keeps kicking the back of my head, telling me SF is the right side.
This game has me somewhat confused and cloudy. I really thought that KC would become the favorite with all the stats on Mahomes, not to mention, the god-like status that he's trending toward.
KC was not a great team most of the season, not a SB-quality team. They did enough and didn't have much divisional competition. After starting 6-1, they finished the season 5-5, scoring more than 25 only twice (27 & 31). Basically limped into the playoffs. SF, on the other hand, was widely considered the class of the NFC from mid-season on. Sure they lost to Balt at home, but that was really the only knock, going 7-2 in their last 9 (also lost week 18 when resting players). They were moving and grooving. Then the playoffs hit and the KC defense takes center stage. The offense also scored 25+ twice (held to 17 in the win on the road in Balt). SF comes of their bye and struggles to get traction in the first half of both playoff games, needing late comebacks to win both. Not sure they'll be able to do this against KC.
So will SF start fast or slow?
Mahomes is 10-1-1 as dog. 2 SB wins already. TB12 is in his sights (?). So many times this week I've heard the talking heads say they'll never bet against Mahomes, just like Brady. They've "learned their lesson". So many. But the line continues to sit where it is, with SF as the fave. Think there is pro money on SF (mixed for sure, but think more is on SF). Feels like this is going to be a Niners win, but how the f*ck can I bet against Mahomes and Reid?!??!
I am still very cloudy on this game. Lots of great stuff from Riderx, bleeker and rolltide to consider too. It's Tuesday and I honestly don't know which team I'm going to bet yet. I want to take the easy road and stick with KC, but something keeps kicking the back of my head, telling me SF is the right side.
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