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MNF...Phi/Sea

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  • MNF...Phi/Sea

    Did something completely stupid last night & went against all the work I did in the braintrust thread. Not doing that tonight. Reasoning posted over there...

    KillerSports.com

    take: Seattle+3 & m/l

  • #2
    Good luck tonight.

    Comment


    • #3
      *****Cancel that play. Line moved out of range!!!

      I'm missing something. I'll find it!
      Last edited by Riderx; 12-18-2023, 12:30 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Workin' on it. Have more to do. Favs are 12-3 s/u this week. MNF dogs are 6-0 s/u L6. Something's gotta' give.

        Comment


        • #5
          Pardon my mess, but I have to work this out & "see" it.

          Non-div home dogs vs the Eagles, team was a dog of more than +7 last game & the Eagles off a s/u loss as a road dog:

          KillerSports.com

          only 1 game but in '21, in Hurts' 1st-season. The Lions lost s/u 6-44 as the Eagles scored 4 rush TD's on fieldturf & had 236 rush yards on 46 carries. Eagles only attempted 16 passes.

          Comment


          • #6
            Seattle's 7-0 s/u vs Philly since '11. Last time they played, Seat-6 at Phil in '20, when Wentz was QB. Now +3', +4 point dogs?

            Looks too good.

            Comment


            • #7
              The way back machine...

              Any conf road fav off b-b losses, the last one as a road dog had TOP of less than 25min & 3+ TO's, opp was a dog of more than +7 lg:

              KillerSports.com

              '89...Bills won 37-0 & had 233 rush yards on 48 rushes, only 21 pass attempts.

              I'm starting to see a theme here, on the ground game, no matter if Hurts plays or not.

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              • #8
                After week 14, non-div road favs of less than -8.5 w/a total less than 48 at night, team has at least 7 wins & L2 opps had at least 7 wins each:

                KillerSports.com

                4-0 s/u...all by DD
                &
                4-0 ats
                &
                1-3 o/u

                the last 3 since '20...0-3 o/u

                lean Philly -3' & Under 45

                still workin'...

                Comment


                • #9
                  Non-div home dogs on MNF w/a total 42+ vs opp off a s/u loss by more 10pts:

                  KillerSports.com

                  0-8 ats...against Seat+
                  &
                  2-6 o/u...lean Under 45

                  after week 13:

                  KillerSports.com

                  0-3 s/u...all by DD
                  &
                  0-3 ats...all by DD
                  &
                  0-3 o/u

                  against Seat+

                  leans Phil-3' & Under 45

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Oh no-o-o...

                    After week 7, home dogs of 2+ w/a total 38+ vs non-div opp on MNF, team is a road fav next:

                    KillerSports.com

                    0-5 s/u...all by DD
                    &
                    0-5 ats...all by DD

                    NFC teams lost s/u 7-31 & 6-45

                    Take: Philly -3'

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                    • #11
                      Here we go...

                      After week 2, any conf home dog between +2 & +14 w/o a bye, team was a 10+ dog last game & scored more than 14pts while opp scored less than 35pts, opp is off a s/u loss as a dog:

                      KillerSports.com

                      0-11 s/u
                      &
                      0-11 ats...against Seat+

                      &

                      after week 3 w/a total of 41+

                      KillerSports.com

                      0-5 s/u...by -29ppg
                      &
                      0-5 ats...by -23ppg

                      &

                      vs a non-div opp

                      KillerSports.com

                      0-3 s/u...by -28, -35 & -38
                      &
                      0-3 ats...by -21.5, -28 & -35

                      scores of: 17-45, 7-42 & 6-44

                      points scored: 62, 49 & 50...this may just go Over 45

                      road teams avg'd 214.3 rush yards/game!!!

                      take Philly-4

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                      • #12

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                        • #13
                          yah got to have the balls to bet this game .... I got the balls but how much you bet determined how big your balls is

                          I got Seattle and over .... yes ... no capping here ... I just looked at the line and said to myself ... wtf! who the fk come up with this line ? well somebody knows something


                          Goodluck $$$$$

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                          • #14
                            omg ..... moneyline man ? dude ... you got kahuna balls

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