Lookin' for input...Seat/SF

[Riderx]

D*mn it...posted a play on Seat+ & Seat s/u in the braintrust thread, but something doesn't feel right. I also have this... Any NFC home fav on Sunday w/a total of 42 or more before week 21, off a s/u win on the road vs opp that had at least 10 wins, team was not a dog of more than +7:

KillerSports.com

0-4 s/u & ats...play against SF- & s/u

but this line jumped to -13' now. I know both teams are dealing with injuries but all teams are too this time of year. Now I have to do a deep dive on this game & find out what's up. Seahawks fightin' for their playoff lives.

[pgcluu]

My 2 cents for this game is to take Sea + whatever points. SF won the big game vs Phi, this can be a let down kind of game. Just need to win, no need to blow out. Good luck with your pick.

[cains]

Agree with pgcluu.. No need to humiliate seahawks today.. Although i think they always should if possible. But the beat them at their turf in primetime 3 weeks ago. Its a letdown spot. Any win is good.

[Chamblin]

[Riderx]

off subject, but not off subject: all the $$$ are on Seat+ yet the line's moved again to -14

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Okay, stayed up late then woke up late, but I think I got it. SF is still 1 game behind Phil for the #1-seed. I believe they continue to roll-l-l here as they want that #1-seed & can get it if Philly loses 1 more game. The 49'ers are playing like a true SB team & nothing will stand in their way.

Since '10, NFC dogs of +11 to +16 off scoring more than 32pts:

season>=2010
conference=NFC
16>=line>=11
p:points>32

KillerSports.com

0-5 s/u
&
0-5 ats
&
5-0 o/u

Avg final score: 18.6 - 40.4

if they're dogs of +12 to +16:

KillerSports.com

Avg final score: 19.0 - 44.3

Avg t/o's: 3.7 - 1.7

Play against Seattle+14

Play on SF-14

(both Seattle & Denver made it to the SB in '13)

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NFC division road dogs of more than +7 w/o a bye off a s/u loss as a road dog but ats win vs non-div opp, current opp off a win as a road fav:

conference=NFC
DIV
AD
line>7
NB
p:ADL
p:ats margin>0
p:NDIV
op:AFW

KillerSports.com

0-3 s/u...by -39, -34 & -25
&
0-3 ats...by -29, -23 & -10.5

Avg final score: 10.0 - 42.7

Avg t/o's: 3.3 - 0.3

Play against Seattle+14

Play on SF-14

*****49'ers are involved in all 4 games*****

[BT]

Not sure Geno is playing.

[vern]

Sf blowout

[vern]

Typical let down spot yes

Typical team no

Just don't think they can be stopped

[Riderx]

Just a few more things to add. Div home favs of more than -3 in Dec., off an ats win by more than 17pts as a road fav in which they scored more than 35pts & are a road fav again next game:

month=12
HF
line<-3
DIV
p:AFW
p:ats margin>17
p:points>35
n:AF

KillerSports.com

2-0 s/u...by 27 & 38
&
2-0 ats...by 15 & 22 as favs of -12 & -16

Avg final score: 46.0 - 13.5

Play on: SF-14

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And this one really floored me. Seattle & Dallas combined for only 1 punt last game. Any dog of more than +7.5 off a s/u loss on the road in which both teams punted for less than 2 punts each:

p:punts<2
po:punts<2
line>7.5
p:AL

KillerSports.com

0-2 s/u...by -40 & -40
&
0-2 ats...by -27.5 & -23

Scores of: 7-47 at +12' & 10-50 at +17

Avg t/o's: 2.5 to 0

Avg total yards: 219.5 to 529.5

Both games since 2020

Play against: Seattle+14

Play on: SF-14