Dallas in Taxi system again this year

[Riderx]

Dallas was in the original Taxi system in week 3, which we discussed here at CC. They lost s/u at Arizona. The original system as provided by Thomas:

Any non-div team off back-to-back s/u wins in which they scored 30 or more points & allowed 10 or less points in each game, not a playoff game:

NDIV
p:points>=30
pp:points>=30
po:points<=10
ppo:points<=10
playoffs=0

KillerSports.com

3-21 ats...against Dallas

And it looks like it's the 1st time any team is in it more than once in the same season.

[Riderx]

Removing the non-playoff game stipulation & adding vs a conf-opp off a s/u loss

C
op:L

KillerSports.com

2-3 s/u
&
0-5 ats

the 2 s/u wins by only 1pt & 3pts...both had to outscore their opp 14-0 & 18-7 in the 4th just to win s/u & 1 went to OT

All 5 were outscored & trailing at the half
&
All 5 were trailing after the 3rd quarter

Funny thing is they were all NFC vs NFC games, as we have on TNF

This is the 1st Thursday night game but might be a good spot for Seahawk backers

[BT]

I believe we owe this one to taxi driver. Any idea whatever happened to him?????

1.) Go AGAINST any NFL team that scored 30 or more points
in each of their last two games while allowing 10 or less in each of those same
two games...if they are now playing a team outside of their division.


The rationale is simple. In the NFL, after a team "peaked" offensively
and defensively back to back, they tend to let down when faced with an opponent
of lesser significance.

2.) Go with a team that is .500> if they are
at home off 3 SU losses and played at home last week.

This rarely comes
up, but is effective. Following the train of thought goes like this: A winning
team has lost 2 games and now they are at home in an environment where you would
expect them to bounce back. But they don't. The following week they are at home
again and, despite their 3 losses, are at least still .500 or better. This is a
good spot for a rout, especially if they are favored.

[dollars]

I'll find a way to screw this one up...

[Riderx]

Brian & Perry, I saw the line on this game was Dallas-6' just before last week's games were played. Then it crossed over -7 to -7' before Seattle lost to SF. Yesterday morning it was -8'. Now it's -9, moving -2' points from -6'. Don't know what to make of that except that money has poured in on Dallas-. Sharp money???

Then I just pulled this up: Dallas as a fav on Thursday vs any opp that was a home dog of more than +3:

team=Cowboys
op:H
op:line>3
day=Thursday
F

KillerSports.com

8-0 s/u
&
8-0 ats
&
0-8 o/u

Avg final score: 26.4 - 8.2

7 of the 8 games were at home & they did not allow more than 10pts by any of their opps in those 7 games

Maybe the Under 46 a best bet?

[dollars]

Yes, I'd feel safer with under and maybe teasing Dal to -2 and under.

Thanks Rider...

[Riderx]

I cannot bring myself to go against the Taxi system no matter what & have a feeling this game goes down to the wire.

And the total's up now to 47...d*mn

[Riderx]

Total has moved up again...to 47'...me thinks part of that is last Thurs went 3-0 o/u. Maybe Pete Caroll finds a way to get his team ready & not be embarrassed in front of a world-wide crowd on Prime tomorrow night. Isn't Amazon based in Seattle?

Anyways, this is really specific. After week 8, any non-div road dog of more than +3 w/a total of 45 to 49 & w/a win% over .500 off a home game in which they had less than 52 rushes+passes combined vs an opp that had more than 60 rushes+passes combined:

A
NDIV
line>3
week>8
WP>50
49>=total>=45
p:H
p:rushes+p:passes<52
po:rushes+po:passes>60

KillerSports.com

5-2 s/u...the only 2 s/u losses by -3 & -3
&
7-0 ats
&
2-5 o/u

Seattle+9

of note: the only 2 overs both had the highest total of 49...w/a total less than 49...0-5 o/u

Under 47'

[Michelangelo]

That "Taxi system" was posted by Dave about twenty years ago now. Is there any way of querying the database for the updated record since the merger (2002)? Should be enlightening to see how it has held up over the years.

[rolltide]

nice, and if they scored >14 in 1st half last game and NDIV opponent didn't allow a ton of passing yards = 0-21

p:points>29 and pp:points>29 and po:points<11 and ppo:points<11 and NDIV and week<20 and opo:PY<372 and p:S2>14

9-12-0 (-4.81, 42.9%) 0-21-0 (-10.98, 0.0%) avg line: -6.2 +6: 6-14-1 (30.0%) -6: 0-21-0 (0.0%) +10: 11-10-0 (52.4%) -10: 0-21-0 (0.0%) 8-13-0 (-2.00, 38.1%) avg total: 44.4 +6: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -6: 11-10-0 (52.4%) +10: 4-17-0 (19.0%) -10: 13-8-0 (61.9%) 24.0 101.2 36.8 236.0 21.5 2.1 4.2 3.8 4.1 6.4 18.8 29.3 123.8 32.3 223.5 21.0 1.3 5.7 7.9 4.1 5.7 23.6 Nov 30, 2023 view Thursday 13 2023 Cowboys Seahawks home -9.0 47.5

[Riderx]

nice, and if they scored >14 in 1st half last game and NDIV opponent didn't allow a ton of passing yards = 0-21

p:points>29 and pp:points>29 and po:points<11 and ppo:points<11 and NDIV and week<20 and opo:PY<372 and p:S2>14

9-12-0 (-4.81, 42.9%) 0-21-0 (-10.98, 0.0%) avg line: -6.2 +6: 6-14-1 (30.0%) -6: 0-21-0 (0.0%) +10: 11-10-0 (52.4%) -10: 0-21-0 (0.0%) 8-13-0 (-2.00, 38.1%) avg total: 44.4 +6: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -6: 11-10-0 (52.4%) +10: 4-17-0 (19.0%) -10: 13-8-0 (61.9%) 24.0 101.2 36.8 236.0 21.5 2.1 4.2 3.8 4.1 6.4 18.8 29.3 123.8 32.3 223.5 21.0 1.3 5.7 7.9 4.1 5.7 23.6 Nov 30, 2023 view Thursday 13 2023 Cowboys Seahawks home -9.0 47.5

Sweet! Thanks, rt...

[Riderx]

That "Taxi system" was posted by Dave about twenty years ago now. Is there any way of querying the database for the updated record since the merger (2002)? Should be enlightening to see how it has held up over the years.

Jim, just click on the link in post #1. It shows all of the games & of course, the years...

[Michelangelo]

Dallas was in the original Taxi system in week 3, which we discussed here at CC. They lost s/u at Arizona. The original system as provided by Thomas:

Any non-div team off back-to-back s/u wins in which they scored 30 or more points & allowed 10 or less points in each game, not a playoff game:

NDIV
p:points>=30
pp:points>=30
po:points<=10
ppo:points<=10
playoffs=0

KillerSports.com

3-21 ats...against Dallas

And it looks like it's the 1st time any team is in it more than once in the same season.

Thanks John. Certainly has held up to the test of time. Thanks.

[Chamblin]

[Riderx]

just doing some xtra work. Any non-div conf home fav of more than -3 w/a total of 59 or less, off a s/u win by more than 21pts, team has avg'd at least 3 pass TD's per game over their last 5 games & had no byes in between those last 5 games:

CHF
NDIV
line<-3
total<=59
p:margin>21
p:NB
pp:NB
ppp:NB
pppp:NB
A(passing touchdowns@team, N=5)>=3

KillerSports.com

1-2 s/u
&
0-3 ats
&
0-3 o/u

weird note: all 3 games were playoff games & none included Brady or Manning

play against Dallas-9'

play on: Seattle+9'

play on: Under 47'