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Week 7 queries for our brain trust

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  • #31
    Originally posted by Riderx View Post

    Yeah...what's really scary is s&o shows 92% of the $$$ is on SF-7...& the line hasn't budged! Minny +7 may be a "close your eyes, hold your nose & click play"...lol. May also be on Omar's home dog play. We'll see. Gawd...they've only beaten the Panthers & the Bears so far...2 teams with a combined 1 win. They can't rely on a fumble recovery TD like they did last week, but SF's D' is beat up. Minny's offense is just awful.

    Ran a quick look at a few things combined from their game last week, only 2 games show up & none on MNF...

    KillerSports.com

    real barn-burner scores of 9-10 & 0-9...19pts & 9pts...Under by -21 & -30.5

    1st-Half scores of 3-0 & 0-0

    We all might be asleep by half-time!!!
    And a game between them 17 years ago... Also my first ever live NFL game...Damn im getting old....

    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

    Good thing its a monday night game.. Cant stay up until 2am for this... going to record it and watch in the morning

    Comment

    • #32
      Originally posted by rolltide View Post

      quite a simple query for such impressive results
      p:F and P:LF and F and total<46.5 and NDIV and date > 20161201 and REG and p:margin < 8

      FAV off game as a FAV and lost to this non-div team h2h as a FAV and did not win last week by 8 or more

      in Bobby Hoyer we trust?

      24-1-0 (14.72, 96.0%)
      23-1-1 (7.94, 95.8%) avg line: -6.8 +6: 25-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 12-13-0 (48.0%) +10: 25-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-16-1 (33.3%)
      7-17-1 (-4.64, 29.2%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 4-21-0 (16.0%) -6: 13-12-0 (52.0%) +10: 3-22-0 (12.0%) -10: 18-7-0 (72.0%)
      29.3 116.6 34.7 252.3 23.2 1.0 6.0 9.2 5.7 5.6 26.5
      21.5 90.6 34.6 188.8 20.2 1.6 1.8 3.9 3.5 2.6 11.8
      Oct 22, 2023 view Sunday 7 2023 Raiders Bears away -2.5 37.5
      Bears also still has a lot of injuries issues..

      Comment

      • #33
        weird one here

        Tomlin's Steelers are 11-1 SUATS away in nondiv vs good opponent (winning >40% of games) when not on normal 6-day rest (usually extra rest). His mentor, Dungy, was 4-0 SUATS in this spot

        coach=Mike Tomlin and NDIV and A and week<14 and o:WP>40 and rest!=6
        11-1-0 (10.08, 91.7%)
        11-1-0 (10.54, 91.7%) avg line: 0.5 +6: 11-0-1 (100.0%) -6: 9-3-0 (75.0%) +10: 12-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 6-6-0 (50.0%)
        5-7-0 (-0.08, 41.7%) avg total: 43.3 +6: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -6: 8-4-0 (66.7%) +10: 2-9-1 (18.2%) -10: 10-2-0 (83.3%)
        28.2 130.2 32.6 243.3 20.7 0.9 3.8 10.0 5.8 7.0 26.7
        19.2 74.4 38.3 245.1 23.5 2.2 4.8 3.0 2.2 6.7 16.6
        Oct 22, 2023 view Sunday 7 2023 Steelers Rams away 3.0 43.5

        Comment

        • #34
          Chargers are getting 84% of the money on 70% of the bets today, the most of any Sunday game. away against the Super Bowl champ who are 45-6 SU vs AFC West teams. a little odd....

          Comment

          • #35
            against PHI on late game regarding team losing their 1st game in week 3-10 as away fav and now playing a team off home fav

            13-20-1 (-2.03, 39.4%)
            6-27-1 (-4.91, 18.2%) avg line: -2.9 +6: 16-17-1 (48.5%) -6: 5-29-0 (14.7%) +10: 24-6-4 (80.0%) -10: 3-30-1 (9.1%)
            18-16-0 (0.88, 52.9%) avg total: 45.4 +6: 13-21-0 (38.2%) -6: 23-11-0 (67.6%) +10: 11-23-0 (32.4%) -10: 23-9-2 (71.9%)
            26.7 121.8 36.6 233.8 23.2 1.5 4.0 7.1 4.5 6.2 22.1
            26.0 103.3 34.0 235.3 21.8 1.4 4.6 6.0 5.4 7.6 24.2
            Oct 22, 2023 view Sunday 7 2023 Eagles Dolphins home -3.0 52.5

            Comment

            • #36

              Comment

              • #37
                team = Fortyniners and AF and day = Monday and 5<=week<=15 and season >=1990


                sf
                monday
                away
                favorite
                week 5-15
                1990


                12-0 (-13.67)


                nice margins
                (need to make this play with layoff)

                last 4 avg cover just shy of 15 ppg
                (all double digits)

                very close to the mean
                (line/total)

                not active for 9 years
                (but won big off an 8 yr layoff )


                .https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                sf -7
                Last edited by bleeker; 10-23-2023, 01:04 PM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #38
                  Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                  team = Fortyniners and AF and day = Monday and 5<=week<=15 and season >=1990


                  sf
                  monday
                  away
                  favorite
                  week 5-15
                  1990


                  12-0 (-13.67)


                  nice margins
                  (need to make this play with layoff)

                  last 4 avg cover just shy of 15 ppg
                  (all double digits)

                  very close to the mean
                  (line/total)

                  not active for 9 years
                  (but won big off an 8 yr layoff )


                  .https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                  sf -7
                  the lone small cover (4) their opp scored 48 pts in the previous week


                  https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                  .

                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

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