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No clue...week 5

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  • No clue...week 5

    On to Thursday night. What a great match-up we have, Bears vs Redskins...can't wait (they will always be the Redskins to me, as I remember the Hogs back in the '70s & '80s). Why is this total not like...60? The Bears give up 34.2ppg & the Redskins have given up 34.7ppg their L3. Something is amiss, shall we say. Anyways, if you like the Redskins-...any week 5 non-div fav with 2 wins off b-b losses & scored more than 24pts last game:

    KillerSports.com

    4-0 ats...on the Skins-6
    &
    4-0 o/u

    If you like da' Bears,,,any home fav on short rest before week 11, team is off a s/u loss as a dog yet scored more than 28pts:

    KillerSports.com

    0-3 s/u & ats...against the Skins-6

    play on da' Bears+6 & m/l

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As for me, I am on da' Bears+6 & +220 on the m/l tonight. First of all, Riverboat Ron f*cked up by going for 2 instead of kicking the xtra point, which has got to be a total mind-f*ck to all the Skins players. This line would actually have to be higher for me to take them, at least -8 or more. Neither D' gives me any confidence but the Skins are off an extremely physical battle vs the Eagles & are on short rest. But more reasons I'm on da' Bears...

    Any conf home fav between weeks 3 to 7, off a s/u loss in which they had 0 t/o's yet ran 68+ plays:

    KillerSports.com

    3-5 s/u...only by 1, 1, & 3
    &
    0-8 ats...against the Skins-6

    play on da' Bears+6

    Home or away, dog or fav, any team on short rest that scored at least 24pts last game, opp is off OT last game, team is not a dog of 10+:

    KillerSports.com

    8-1 s/u...only loss by -1
    &
    9-0 ats

    play on da' Bears+6 & +220 m/l

  • #2

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    • #3

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      • #4
        Thanks, guys...although I have zero confidence...lol...ugh-h-h. One more thing to add. Non-div road dogs on short rest, team has 0 ats wins L4 games:

        KillerSports.com

        3-2 s/u
        &
        5-0 ats...da' Bears+6

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        • #5
          like your first one john (which means I'm going against you lol) .. nice margins which is always
          important to me


          found this..


          day =Thursday and 3<=week <=7 and p:S2 >=17 and A and line >=4


          thursday

          away

          week 3-7

          previous scored >= 17 @ halftime (for those unfamiliar)

          dogs >=4



          0-3 (-15.17)

          smallest 9

          avg total and line a bullseye with tonight although the latter is aided by a minimum parameter

          https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



          on was +6
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • #6
            and a simple one favoring the bears


            thursday
            p: overtime (wash)
            p: scored <=17 through 3rd quarter


            2-21-2 (-7.72)

            doesn't get much simpler than that





            https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • #7

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              • #8
                Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                like your first one john (which means I'm going against you lol) .. nice margins which is always
                important to me

                found this..

                day =Thursday and 3<=week <=7 and p:S2 >=17 and A and line >=4

                thursday

                away

                week 3-7

                previous scored >= 17 @ halftime (for those unfamiliar)

                dogs >=4

                0-3 (-15.17)

                smallest 9

                avg total and line a bullseye with tonight although the latter is aided by a minimum parameter

                https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                on was +6
                BOL, Glenn...

                Wash will probably blow out Chic. We can keep findin' stuff for both teams:

                KillerSports.com

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                • #9
                  Don't forget, you both have queries pointing to the over also...

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                  • #10
                    Both of Wash's wins are by 2 and 4 points.

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                    • #11
                      Thanks for the work, guys.

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                      • #12
                        Just lookin' at a few things I haven't looked at before. Found this interesting. Home favs of less than -7 in their 3rd straight home game w/a total between 38.5 & 50.5, not the playoffs, team has avg'd less than 1.0 TO & more than 26pts per game over their L4 games:

                        KillerSports.com

                        0-3 s/u
                        &
                        0-3 ats
                        &
                        2-1 o/u

                        *****All 3 games were lost s/u by -3pts each

                        *****Both teams in all 3 games avg'd over 400 total yards of O' each

                        against SF-3'

                        Dallas to win s/u by 3pts

                        lean to the Over

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                        • #13
                          Game #5 home dogs on Sunday, team won their last home game s/u as a dog yet lost s/u as a home dog in week 1:

                          KillerSports.com

                          0-5 s/u
                          &
                          0-5 ats
                          &
                          0-5 o/u

                          against Pitt+

                          play on Balty-4'

                          lean to the Under

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                          • #14
                            Game #5 home dogs of less than +10 off a s/u win as a road fav yet a s/u loss at home 2 games ago:

                            KillerSports.com

                            2-0 s/u...by 5 & 4
                            &
                            2-0 ats

                            Minny+3'
                            &
                            Minny m/l

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                            • #15

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