Hey Omar .... what are you seeing this week for unloved teams???

[BT]

Really interested in this week as I'm liking some UGLY home dogs. Hoping a couple of them (at least) fit your system.


A couple stats I heard this week ....

Lamar Jackson is 11-2 ATS as a dog.

Tua has a 59% QBR against McDermott, including 1 TD and 4 INTs.

Teams that score 70pts or > in the past 50 years are 0-1 the following week ATS.

[Chamblin]

[Thomas]

Brian query evidence for your Jackson stat

QB:list:name[0]='Lamar Jackson' and D

https://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=QB%3Al...n%27%20and%20D

[Riderx]

Geeez...this couldn't get any closer. The Ravens, off a s/u loss at home as a fav of more than -6 & now a road dog of less than +3:

KillerSports.com

0-2 s/u...by -2 & -3
&
1-1 ats
&
2-0 o/u...going Over by 18' & 11'

scores of: 31-33 & 28-31

Fireworks???

[Riderx]

Hey Brian, not speaking for Omar & I can't do the screenshots like he does but here are some numbers that should be close to what you're looking for.

Home Dogs...Spread Only

Jets+9'...15%...is a play officially
Car+3'...20%...borderline play
Tenn+2'...22%

Home Dogs...Spread & Confidence

Jets+9'...13%
Car+3'...18%
Tenn+2'...20%

a curious note: Buffalo -3 as a home fav is only 39% spread only.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I'm still workin' on some games & will be in the morn'. I have a feelin' you like the ugly Bears+3', maybe even on the m/l. I'll post what I find.

[BT]

Thanks, Rider! Appreciate you looking into this. Ugly, ugly, ugly!!! Will post my uggos later. For now, I have Jax in a ML parlay so I’ll start with that.

Jax/Phi/KC/LAC ML parlay +271

[BT]

Tom/Rider - thanks for the support on those stats. Always appreciate you guys.

Ok, to borrower Michaelangelo's term, time to post some real stinkers!! Want to pull the trigger on Car but haven't yet.

Jets +10
Titans +3
Pats +7
Rams +1.5
Bears +10 / Titans +9 tease
da Raidaaas +7 -122
Saints -4
Titans ML +122
Pats ML +235
Rams ML -108
Eagles -4.5 1H

Good luck, gang!!

[omar]

This is what we have today at Yahoo

The ugliest dog is of course the Jets.




I would take the Jets myself, but I feel I need another 10 points or so. Yeah, Jets plus 19' sounds good to me.

Next up is the Panthers +3'




Another ugly dog this week is the Titans.



Last week, the Titans made the Browns look like they had a viable passing game.
Cincy's passing game looks broken. Not sure if this is a "get right" spot for Burrow and company or not.

[BT]

Thanks, Omar. Love seeing this and it echoes what Rider posted. I'm on the Jets and Tits, trying to find the kahunas to bet the Panthers!

[BT]

Ok taking the cowards way out ...

Car +10.5 / Pitt +3 tease


Also,

Cin/Tenn Un 41.5

[Michelangelo]

Good luck, Brian. Stink this thread up!!!

[BT]

Profitable day yesterday. 1 play for tonight.

Seabirds -1 -122