No clue week 4

[Riderx]

Division road teams on short rest & not a dog of & or more, off back-to-back non-div games & allowed less than 10pts last game:

KillerSports.com

3-0 s/u & ats...all 3 within the last 6 years

Detroit-2'

w/a total 43 or more: 2-0 o/u

Over 45'

[Chamblin]

[Riderx]

At least a good start to this week with Det- & Over. Posted this in Mich's thread earlier & I don't want to forget them.

Any division road dog between +1 & +4, in the first-half of the season, team lost the prev m/up s/u as a dog of more than +9:

KillerSports.com

8-2 s/u
&
8-2 ats...80.0%

If they were dogs of more than +10:

KillerSports.com

4-0 s/u...100%
&
4-0 ats...100%
&
0-4 o/u...100%

Mia+3, Mia m/l & Under 53'

[Riderx]

Any road fav off a s/u loss at Miami:

KillerSports.com

12-1 s/u...92.3%
&
8-3-2 ats...72.7%

vs a non-conf opp:

KillerSports.com

4-0 s/u
&
4-0 ats...100%

Denv-3'

[Riderx]

Before week 5, any road dog w/o a bye off 5+ t/o's at home vs a non-conf opp:

KillerSports.com

6-0 o/u...100%

Over 43' Wash/Phil

(keep an eye on that line as dd-dogs are 0-3 ats...line is +8' right now...this is a "payback" divisional game)

[Riderx]

Maybe a rare spot shot. Dogs between 11 to 16.5 off a s/u win as a home dog, team has won 3 straight ats:

KillerSports.com

0-2 s/u...avg final score of 14 - 46.5
&
0-2 ats...avg ats margin of -19.25
&
2-0 o/u...avg o/u of +14.25

Scores of 14 - 50 & 14 - 43

Both were Divisional games. Avg t/o's for the road dog of 4.5 t/o's per game.

against Ariz+14

play on: SF-14, Over 43'

[Riderx]

Borrowed from jumperjack's post in handicapper tracking forum & modified.

KillerSports.com

0-5 s/u & ats
&
4-0-1 o/u

against Rams+

play on: Colts-1 & Over 46

[Thomas]

Nice work John

[dollars]

Yes Sir!

[Riderx]

Thanks, Thomas & Perry. I just hope to find some winners; I dunno'.

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This is a tough one, as I've seen & heard quite a few sharps like the Pats+ over the Cowboys tomorrow. But if Mac Jones taps someone in the nads again this weekend, they better rip his nipples off!

Just a look at home favs, off a s/u loss as a road fav in which they allowed over 200 rushing yards & now vs opp off a s/u win as a road fav:

KillerSports.com

2-0 s/u...scores of 16-9 & 16-0
&
2-0 ats...lined at -5' & -7
&
0-2 o/u...total points scored of 25 & 16

Maybe this is what the sharps are lookin' at: Before week 10, any road dog off a s/u win as a road fav in which they scored less than 21 points yet had 65+ plays & opp is off a s/u loss:

KillerSports.com

2-1 s/u...scores of 14-16, 15-10 & 14-10
&
3-0 ats
&
0-3 o/u...total points scored of 30, 25 & 24

Play on: Patriots+6', Patriots m/l & Under 43'

Additionally, if those teams scored less than 24pts last game, since 1993:

KillerSports.com

0-7 o/u...all 7 going Under by more than -10pts/gm

Under by -10', -11, -13, -18, -11, -16 & -18'

*****Under 43' Patriots/Cowboys

[Michelangelo]

Thanks for all your digging, John.

[Riderx]

No problem, Jim. Wish I could do more but for some reason I still can't stay on the 'puter for long stints, only 15-20 minutes at a time & then have to change scenery. I think it's one of the lingering effects of long-covid, the pfizer shots, etc... Haven't gotten worse, just haven't gotten better either. It's a f*ckin' pain in the ass bullsh*t.

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Just something to add to the Pats/Boys game: Week 4 teams off a s/u loss as a road fav & team had 0 t/o's in weeks 1 & 2:

KillerSports.com

0-4 o/u...by -14.5ppg

All 4 went Under by DD's...-14, -13', -19' & -11

Under 43' Pats/Boys again.

The only home fav lost s/u: -8'...lost 13-17...against Dal- & s/u

[Riderx]

Week 4 home dogs off B-B 0 t/o's & team has less than 2 s/u wins:

KillerSports.com

0-3 ats...against Titans+2'

on Bengals-2'

[Riderx]

I don't feel good about Denv- & Mia+. I don't know why but I'll keep diggin'.

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Team of B-B s/u wins as dogs, now a road fav & opp of an ats win by more than +10pts:

KillerSports.com

2-0 ats
&
2-0 o/u

Scores of: 38-13 & 39-28

on Steelers-3, Over 42

[Riderx]

Now for some butt-uglies...

Since '02, any road dog of more than +3 off a home game allowed 8+ sacks, team has more rest than opp:

KillerSports.com

0-5 s/u
butt
5-0 ats

Philly to win s/u
butt
Wash+ to win ats

All 5 home favs (Philly) outscored their opponents in the 4th-Qtr...just a heads up

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Road favs with 0 wins s/u after game #2, team is off a s/u loss by more than -21pts:

KillerSports.com

2-1 s/u...by -1, 1 & 1
&
0-3 ats...against Denv-3'
&
0-3 o/u

Scores of: 13-14, 18-17 & 17-16...the last 2 games were vs 0-4 teams

play on: Chic+3' & Under 46'