No Love for the Home Dog - Week 3

[omar]

Week 1 - 0-1 ATS - Jets L
Week 2 - no plays
Week 3 - Colts +6'

The Colts +6' was not very attractive choice to the Yahoo players. Instead, they love Kansas City.
Chiefs have a great QB, but the Colts have Matt Ryan and Nick Foles, so it's about even.




The Chiefs are on top of the world, while the Colts forgot how to football.


Sorry if I've been hammering the Colts too hard.

Looks like books have moved to 5' to try and balance out all this hot Colts action.

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CONFIDENCE PLAYS

This was a good one last week with fan fav Cincy getting thumped by Dallas. Here's the top fade for week 3




Image that. Indy is the home doggie play and the confidence play.
The average confidence for Kansas City -6.5 is 11.1 - the highest confidence of the year.
Hope the Colts can get their shit together this week.

Also, Go Patriots and Redskins!

[Michelangelo]

haha Matt Ryan and Nick Foles about even with Patrick M.

Colts are a friggin mess. Good luck backing them. I think the know nothings know something this week.

[vern]

Indy is XxxXxxxxxXxxxxxxxxl for me

[Riderx]

Ryan Foles it is...

[omar]

Speaking of confidence, I have every confidence that Denver is about to get their ass whipped by San Francisco.

To my eye, the Broncos do not look well coached and Russell Wilson is not making up the difference. Denver is sloppy with penalties and I see all sorts of red flags here. SF is on a different level. Denver is my least favorite home doggie this week. Go 49ers.

[Riderx]

Broncos are 0-6 inside the red zone & 0-5 with goal-to-go...that's insanely bad...almost outside the realm of possibility...

[BT]

Saw this on twitter so thought I’d share. From DraftKings.

⛈ Weekend Public Betting Forecast ⛈

1. KC -5.5, 93% of bets and handle
2. BAL -3, 90% of bets and 92% of handle
3. PHI -6.5, 86% of bets and 79% of handle
4. BUF -5, 86% of bets and 80% of handle
5. CIN -6, 86% of bets and 74% of handle

[dollars]

Hey BT, what is handle?

[Big Sam]

Hey BT, what is handle?

Total dollars bet

[BT]

Correct

[Riderx]

Cha-ching...

[Michelangelo]

Oooooo. So right, OMAR!!!!

Chiefs lose outright.

Hope you're right about Frisco. I'm with ya on them.

[vern]

Indy was supposed to be decent this year and have better qb now with solid run game and a good d..

Not so shocking when u really think about it. 5 at home didn't seem like enough yet I thought they could win the game outright as well.


Nice whEn one of the 4 outcome boxes has hope and a nice payout

[vern]

I am on Denver xxxxxxxxxl btw. Same scenario as this game.

Confidence high in St low in Denver. Denver chock full of studs.

Prime time game home dog. Gahd I like dat.

Just sayin