Happy Thanksgiving Week 12 Stuffing

[Riderx]

2-1 ats...2-1 o/u...1-2 m/l dog winner w/LVR

Home dogs w/a total more than 48 off 40+ rushes, not playoffs:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=p%3Arus...20playoffs%3D0

10-0 o/u...Over 53 TB/Indy

Teams off a road loss scored 35+pts yet had less than 325 total yards:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=p%3Apoi...20and%20p%3AAL

0-4 o/u...Under 43 Pitt/Cincy

Road favs off a home win opp scored 35+pts with less than 400TY, total>41:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=po%3Apo...d%20total%3E41

5-0 s/u & ats...Chargers -3

Road favs w/a total >49 off a MNF win by more than 14 as a fav of more than -7:

2-0 s/u & ats...2-0 o/u...TB -3 & Over 53

Conf home favs of more than -5 vs non-div opp off a s/u loss at home as a fav of more than -7, between weeks 8 to 17:

0-4 s/u...against NE -7

Play on: Titans +7...Titans m/l

[Riderx]

Gonna' give everyone something to think about on the Rams/Packers game @ 4:25 EST today...
Saw on NFL network that Stafford is 0-14 against teams that are 5 games over .500. Mostly all of those are with Detroit, but they did lose to the Titans at home this year.

The Rams are 1-1 s/u, 0-2 ats & 0-2 o/u when the temp is Under 40-degrees:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=team%3D...mperature%3C40

And they didn't even score a TD vs the only conf opp...see above

the Rams 4-game win streak was vs 4 bottom-feeders: Seahawks, Giants, Lions & Texans who are a combined:

6-32-1 going into today!

Non-div road conf favs of less than -3 on almost 2 weeks rest off a MNF game, vs an opp of a road loss are:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=rest%3E...0and%20op%3AAL

0-3 s/u & ats
&
0-3 o/u

the lone NFC game was a blowout road loss by the Packers just last year @ the Bucs...losing 10-38 s/u

The Packers off a s/u loss on the road by less than 4pts in a non-OT game, now home vs a non-div conf opp:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=team%3D...C%20and%20NDIV

won 52-3...yes, they were a -3 fav and now their +2...just sayin'

And NFC non-div conf home teams with at least 8 wins off a s/u loss on the road scored more than 25pts in non-OT before week 17:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=wins%3E...nd%20week%3C17

45-17
&
54-11

yes, both teams were lined @ -3 each & again, the Pack is +2

That's 3 games outscoring the road teams: 151-31

The Rams are well-rested & the Pack are injured & hurting, but it's cold in the Bay & a wounded dog backed into a corner is a dangerous thing. The Rams may very well beat the Pack & cover @ -2, but I'm taking a chance on the Cheese-Toe...

(my plays at Covers show I took the Rams-, which I did earlier but can't change)

I'm gonna' sprinkle a few $$$ on GB m/l...

BOL!!!

[BT]

Good luck, Rider! Thanks for sharing all that info.

[Thomas]

Good luck, Rider! Thanks for sharing all that info.

For sure on that always appreciated and always a good read for 20 + years !

[Riderx]

Thanks guys. I need to try to eliminate the bad plays, though. I know it's a time limitation thing as I just don't have the time to do what needs to be done. And you know me, I'm just a regular working guy that does this mainly for fun, but also try to make a few $$$ by finding some nuggets. Don't know if any of you guys remember "The Lodge" way back, & then of course Talksport for a long time, then it became something else.

On to tonight...Seattle @ Washington...
MNF non-div road teams not a dog of +3 or more before week 16, off an opp that had at least 8 wins:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=day%3DM...nd%20week%3C16

3-0 s/u
&
3-0 ats
&
3-0 o/u

Road teams scored at least 34+pts each game & the home team scored at least 20+pts each game!

Seattle -1
&
Over 47'

I also noticed a major consensus on the Under, yet the total has moved Up.

MNF road teams not a dog of +3 or more between weeks 8 to 15, teams have avg'd less than 13ppg over their last 2 games:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=day%3DM...%20N%3D2)%3C13

4-0 s/u
&
4-0 ats

All absolute blowouts by; 23, 31, 28 & 21!!!

Top play: Seattle -1

[Riderx]

There is also a correlation from those 4 above...

MNF road teams that had less than 20min time-of-possession last game:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=day%3DM...1200%20and%20A

2-0 s/u & ats

2 of the 4 teams above

Winning s/u on the road by: 31 & 28

[dollars]

I had already put in a teaser for Wash and under...

[Riderx]

Seattle in the second half of the season & not a dog of +10 or more, off a home game in which their opponent had a TOP of more than 40min:

http://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=team%3D...nd%20line%3C10

3-0 s/u
&
3-0 ats
&
3-0 o/u

Scores of: 36-18 as a +3.5 road dog, 31-14 as a -5 home fav & 31-24 as a +7.5 road dog

[nba_trends]

there was a time he would laugh at betting the opposite.... now he crying his ass off if he is on the other side... what the heck bro ... if it make you feel any better I like the over tonight .... wait .. I mean sad face later.... what was the saying.. if you are not sure don't do a fking thing... pay the juice and cancel it ... it is only 5% man

[Riderx]

or parlay Seattle- & Over...

[nba_trends]

hey man ... he already freaking out now .... the thumb up will give him a heart attack....

so far this year I haven't won shit.....I'm not sure how much but most likely around 20K... last week my stock went down 10%... so things haven't been good but hey... my dad used to say...if money can fix the problem then it ain't a problem... one of these days when I wake up on the right side of the bed.... I might get some of it back ... until then... I will be crying inside but laughing ass off with tears running down my face.... I didn't do bad in the NFL but the kiddie's foot and the NBA got me this year... I got to cut down my extracurricular activities

[dollars]

I feel Mucho better knowing Denny's on the other side...

[nba_trends]

it is not how you start but it is how you finish ... you be eating them words, bro .... you don't understand ....I have live line and halftime to adjust all fk up and double for more action if I win

[dollars]

Key words... all the fuck ups you have...

It's like a Lock!

[dollars]

Thanks Denny!