GoDaddy Bowl Betting Info.

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NCAAF Bowl Preview
Sportspic.com

GoDaddy.com Bowl

Matchup: Arkansas State (7-5, 7-5 ATS) vs. Ball State (10-2, 8-4 ATS)
Location: Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama

Opening Line: Ball State -9
Current Line: Ball State -9
Percentage of Action: 71% Ball State

Key Betting Trends:
Arkansas State: Under is 9-4 in Arkansas State’s last 13 games as an underdog
Ball State: 17-8 ATS over the past two seasons

Analysis: Arkansas State makes its second straight trip to this bowl after having covered as a -2.5 favorite last season. The Red Wolves closed out the year with three covers as a road dog. Ball State is looking for their first-ever bowl victory after losing in each of its previous six tries. Last season, the Cardinals were seven-point underdogs in their bowl and lost by 21. Despite that history, the Cardinals are getting strong early action, though not enough to move the line. Arkansas State’s past success as a dog could make them an attractive play.

Lean: Arkansas State

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NCAAF Bowl Previews
Insiderangles.com

GoDaddy Bowl – Arkansas State vs. Ball State (-7½) - Arkansas State has become a breeding ground for coaches as it has lost its last three head coaches to greener pastures, with first Hugh Freeze leaving for Mississippi after the 2011 season, Gus Malzahn leaving for Auburn after last year and now Bryan Harsin leaving for Boise State after the just concluded regular season. That is also a left-handed compliment toward how far the Red Wolves program has come. ASU averaged 413.3 total yards per game this season including 207.0 rushing yards, making the Red Wolves dangerous underdogs vs. a 94th ranked Ball State rushing defense allowing 194.8 yards per game on the ground. MAC bowl favorites (Ball State) are 9-14-2 ATS since 2000 for a 60.9 percent fade.

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ARKANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. BALL ST (10 - 2) - 1/5/2014, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


ARKANSAS STATE vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games
Ball State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


Arkansas St at Ball St
Arkansas St: 20-36 ATS after a game where 60 total points or more were scored
Ball St: 19-8 ATS in games played on turf

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GoDaddy Bowl
By Sportsbook.ag

GoDaddy Bowl

Matchup: Arkansas State (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) vs. Ball State (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Venue: Ladd-Peebles Stadium
Location: Mobile, AL
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Ball State -7.5, 64.5

Arkansas State attempts to defend its win from last year’s GoDaddy Bowl when it takes on Ball State, which is looking for its first bowl victory in school history.

The Red Wolves (6-6 ATS) won four of their final five games on the season (both SU and ATS) on their way to their third straight GoDaddy Bowl appearance. They finished second in the Sun Belt Conference this season and had a chance to be the conference champions, but could not defeat Western Kentucky in their final game, losing 34-31 on the road.

After falling to Northern Illinois in the bowl game two seasons ago, Arkansas State won its bowl game last year, 17-13, against Kent State while covering the 3-point spread as favorites. The Cardinals (8-4 ATS) finished second in the Mid-American Conference’s Western division behind Northern Illinois, which was their only loss during the regular season. They really dominated in conference play though, scoring 39.4 PPG and outscoring MAC opponents by an average of 15.0 PPG.

Ball State is 0-6 SU in its bowl history, losing the three most recent postseason games ATS (all since 2007), all as the underdog. But on Sunday, the Cardinals are the heavy favorites, and Pete Lembo is 19-8 ATS (70%) in games played on turf as the Ball State head coach.

However, Arkansas State is 7-0 ATS versus good passing teams (250+ passing YPG) over the past three seasons.

QB Adam Kennedy (knee) of Arkansas State is questionable for this game, and would be missed as the team’s second best rusher on the season.

The Red Wolves did most of their damage on offense using the ground game, and rank 24th in the nation with 206 rushing YPG. QB Adam Kennedy contributed greatly to that number with 514 rushing yards (3.5 YPC) and four touchdowns on the ground. He was solid, yet unspectacular, throwing the ball though with 2,349 passing yards (7.6 YPA), 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. He had only two games on the season where he threw multiple touchdowns including throwing four in a 48-24 win against Idaho in the team’s sixth game. Since then, he has averaged only 17.8 passing attempts per game. If he Kennedy is unable to play, sophomore QB Fredi Knighton (19-for-28, 100 yards, 3.6 YPA, 1 TD, 0 INT) would get the start.

With 717 rushing yards on 106 attempts (6.8 YPC) and 10 touchdowns, sophomore HB Michael Gordon was the team’s leading rusher. He was tremendous over the last four games of the season, compiling 558 total yards (140 YPG) with seven total touchdowns. Arkansas State spread the ball out to their receivers and had seven different players with more than 100 yards on the season.

Senior WR Julian Jones led the team with 630 receiving yards (12.4 avg.) and 4 TD, but has not had more than four receptions or 80 yards in any of his past six games.

The Arkansas State defense was average, allowing 26.7 PPG to their opponents (65th in FBS). The Red Wolves gave up a hefty 184 rushing YPG on 4.8 YPC, but were much better defending the pass, allowing opposing quarterbacks to throw for 234 YPG on 7.2 YPA on a mere 55.5% completions. Although they forced just 19 turnovers for the entire season, seven of those takeaways occurred in the past two games.

Ball State ranks ninth in the nation with 333.3 passing YPG, which is a big reason the team currently ranks 12th among all FBS teams in scoring (40.1 PPG). Senior QB Keith Wenning was extremely effective with 3,933 passing yards (8.7 YPA), 34 TD and only 6 INT. He is coming off his best game of the season against Miami (OH) where he completed 27-of-33 passes (82%) for 445 yards and six touchdowns with 0 INT. Wenning threw for 300+ yards and multiple touchdowns in 10-of-12 games this season and also added five rushing touchdowns.

The Cardinals had two receivers go over 1,000 yards on the year with junior WR Willie Snead catching 97 balls for 1,429 yards (14.7 avg.) with 14 touchdowns, and sophomore WR Jordan Williams tallying 68 catches for 1,016 yards (14.9 avg.) and 10 touchdowns. Snead finished the season with four straight games of 100+ yards and totaled six touchdowns.

Junior HB Jahwan Edwards was overshadowed by the passing game, but ran very well all season with 964 yards on 184 attempts (5.2 YPC) and 13 touchdowns over 10 games this year.

Senior DE Jonathan Newsome (57 tackles, 8 sacks) and the rest of the Cardinals defense allowed 24.8 PPG to their opponents (49th in FBS) and gave up 24 points or less in all their conference wins on the season. Ball State also allowed gobs of yardage, both on the ground (195 rushing YPG on 4.7 YPC) and through the air (226 passing YPG, 6.7 YPA, 61% completions), but was able to combat that by forcing multiple turnovers in 10-of-12 games this year, and totaling 30 takeaways for the season.

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GoDaddy Bowl: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Ball State Cardinals (-7, 65)


GODADDY BOWL STORYLINES

1. John Thompson must feel like it’s Groundhog Day in Mobile, Ala. For the second consecutive season, Arkansas State’s defensive coordinator is also serving as interim head coach for the GoDaddy Bowl against Ball State on Jan. 4, this time after Bryan Harsin bolted for Boise State when that job opened up earlier this month. Last season he guided Arkansas State to a 17-13 win over Kent State after Gus Malzahn was hired at Auburn.

2. Expect plenty of offense in this matchup as Ball State comes in averaging 40.1 points with no less than 27 in every game this season. Arkansas State put up 29.7 points during the regular season, averaging more than 200 rushing yards per game.

3. Cardinals quarterback Keith Wenning is No. 5 in the nation with 3,933 passing yards this season and has the luxury of two 1,000-yard receivers in Willie Snead and Jordan Williams. Wenning will not only be trying to lead Ball State to its first Division I bowl victory in seven tries, but it will be a good opportunity to showcase his arm to NFL scouts as well.

LINE: Ball State opened -9 and is now -7. The total is up one point from the opening 63.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 23 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 15 mph.

TRENDS:

* Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
* Over is 4-0 in Red Wolves last four games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last four games overall.

ABOUT ARKANSAS STATE (7-5, 5-2 Sun Belt): Adam Kennedy’s decision to transfer from Utah State after last season and finish out his college career at Arkansas State has turned out to be a good one for everyone involved. Kennedy completed 69.4 percent of his passes for 2,349 yards and 11 touchdowns during the regular season, getting intercepted six times along the way but just twice in the last six games. He gives the Red Wolves another option in the run game as well, rushing for 514 yards and four touchdowns.

ABOUT BALL STATE (10-2, 7-1 Mid-American): Almost buried beneath a 4,000-yard passer and the pair of 1,000-yard receivers is running back Jahwan Edwards, who is 36 yards from reaching 1,000 for the second straight season. Edwards has a nose for the end zone, evident by his 38 career rushing touchdowns and is a reliable receiver out of the backfield when needed. Horactio Banks did a good job spelling Edwards but suffered a torn ACL in mid-November, leaving backup duties to freshman Teddy Williamson, who totaled 80 yards and a touchdown in the regular-season finale against Miami (Ohio).

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Re: GoDaddy Bowl Betting Info.

Go Daddy Bowl

Since 2004, teams that won a bowl game and go back to same bowl next year are 11-14 vs spread; Arkansas State is in this bowl game for third year in row, splitting first two visits- last year was school's first win in three bowls. ASU will have its 5th HC in five years next year- they've had an interim coach in all three bowls here. Ball State is 0-6 in bowls, losing this game to Tulsa five years ago-- they lost last three bowl games by average score of 45-20. Cardinals are 10-2, scoring 27 points in both losses- they're 6-3 vs spread as favorite this year, 3-2 in games with a single digit spread. ASU is 3-3 as an underdog, 4-3 in games with single digit spread; they covered four of last five games, after 0-6 start. Faves are 7-2-1 vs spread in this bowl the last decade; MAC teams won three of last four, but MAC teams are 0-4 in bowls this year and were favored in three of the four.