Dallas as home favs tend to go over the total

[Gambrinus]

Sep27.JPG

[Thomas]

John can you give me the specific link where you ran that query

[Riderx]

Looking forward to being able to use that link, as I'm just running basic stuff through the KillerSports NFL sdql...frustrating.

Anyways...your results got me thinking. Dallas is coming off a huge win on MNF against their hated rival Philly, after facing SB winner T'Bay & a fierce Chargers team. That's three games in a row of high-level intensity...now going up against a 3-0 Carolina team with a bad-ass D'.

Dallas has moved to a -5pt fav early.

The game is an early Sunday game & the Panthers have extra rest after playing Houston on Thursday. The Cowboys may come out flat after celebrating all week.

Since '00, Dallas is only 1-10 s/u, 1-10 ats & 7-3-1 o/u as a HF after a MNF game!!!

Here's the kicker...if they're coming off a home game:

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...3A+S+D+Q+L+%21

0-4 s/u...by -10.25ppg
&
0-4 ats...by -15.6ppg...avg line of -5.4
&
3-0-1 o/u

early look & lean @ Panthers +5, Panthers m/l & Over

[Bigtiger]

How often does a team off a Monday game have to play a team on extra rest. That in itself would be interesting to see

[Gambrinus]

If I understand correctly, you want to see MNF games where the opponent has more the 7 days rest (i.e. did not play the previous Sunday). No real advantage BT, it's pretty much 50/50 ATS. Sep30a.JPG

[Riderx]

BT & Gambrinus,

That's a good question & suprising results with this upcoming situation...Home favs off a home game on MNF with less than 6 days rest vs opponent coming off a TNF game:

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...3A+S+D+Q+L+%21

7-0 s/u...by numbers
&
5-2 ats

favoring Dallas

[Riderx]

It gets even worse...

if the home team (Dallas) scored more than 20pts last MNF:

https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...3A+S+D+Q+L+%21

3-0 s/u...by 23.33ppg
&
3-0 ats...by 16.0ppg

favoring Dallas

[Chamblin]

[Riderx]

Make that another "Over"

[Michelangelo]

Excellent work Gamby and X.