Army vs Navy. Betting info

[TheGame]

Navy seeks 12th straight win over Army Saturday
by Mark Kern

Lincoln Financial Field - Philadelphia, PA
Kickoff: Saturday 3:00 p.m. ET
Line: Navy 12.5, Total: 54.5

One of the most historic rivalries in college football will take place on Saturday in Philadelphia when Army tries to snap a long losing skid to Navy.

Last season, the Midshipmen won a hard-fought football game, defeating the Black Knights by a score of 17-13. While the two teams have been close in the all-time series (Navy holds 57-49-7 SU advantage), Navy has dominated recently, winning the past 11 matchups (7-4 ATS). Army has struggled this season at 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS, but showed its potential in a Week 3 loss to Stanford. In that game, Army was able to rush the ball for 284 yards, the most rushing yards given up by the Pac-12 champions all season by a wide margin (181 yards was 2nd-most). However, the biggest problem that Army has had against Navy during the 11-game series losing skid has been the inability to put points on the board. In only two of those games did Army score at least 20 points, averaging a mere 11.4 PPG in the 11 defeats. Turnovers have also been a big story for the Black Knights who have at least two giveaways in each of their past seven losses to Army. That must change Saturday, as they are facing a Midshipmen offense capable of scoring a lot of points (34.4 PPG), due in large part to their ability to rush the ball. Navy is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS, and in its last game, QB Keenan Reynolds set an NCAA rushing record with seven touchdowns in a 58-52, triple-overtime victory over San Jose State. He also rushed for 240 yards. Although the Black Knights are 10-31 ATS (24%) after a bye week since 1992, history shows that during the same timeframe, excellent rushing teams (4.8+ YPC) facing a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPC allowed) after allowing 275+ rushing yards in its last game are 44-15 ATS (75%). Both of these teams are very similar in the fact that they are looking to run the ball. However, Army must do more than put up good rushing numbers, it must also score touchdowns.

Army’s rushing attack ranks second in the nation with 323.6 YPG, but it ranks 86th among FBS teams in scoring at 26.0 PPG. The main ball carriers in this offense are junior RBs Terry Baggett (1,072 rush yards, 8.2 YPC, 8 TD) and Larry Dixon (672 rush yards, 6.6 YPC, 6 TD). Dixon has been bothered by a wrist injury, but he is expected to play on Saturday. Junior QB Angel Santiago (41-of-83, 542 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT) does not look to throw the ball very often, allowing teams to load the box and try and stop the run. The offense is able to move the ball up-and-down the field, but without any ability to make some plays in the passing game, it has been unable to punch it in for a touchdown on a consistent basis. The Black Knights have also struggled on defense, ranking 93rd in the nation in scoring defense (31.4 PPG allowed). In the last game against Hawaii, Army gave up 285 yards on the ground on 5.5 yards per carry. That will have to change against the Midshipmen, who unlike the Black Knights, have shown an ability to finish out drives with touchdowns.

The Midshipmen rank right behind Army in rushing, placing third in the country with 320.1 YPG on the ground. Their leading rusher is sophomore QB Keenan Reynolds (1,124 rush yards, 4.5 YPC, 26 TD), but he was held to a mere 43 yards on 15 carries (2.9 YPC) in last year's Army-Navy game. However, it was Reynolds' 8-yard TD scamper with 4:41 left that won the game. But unlike Army, the Midshipmen do have the ability to throw the ball. Reynolds has thrown for 1,028 yards (9.0 YPA) and eight touchdowns, while tossing only two interceptions. WR DeBrandon Sanders leads the team with just 211 receiving yards this year, and is one of 14 Navy offensive players to have scored a touchdown this season. FB Chris Swain ranks second on the team with four rushing touchdowns, but has missed the past two games with a hamstring injury and is questionable for Saturday. Six other Midshipmen have at least 225 rushing yards this season, highlighted by senior RB Darius Staten who has galloped for 364 yards on just 32 carries (11.4 YPC). Junior CB Parrish Gaines (57 tackles, 3 INT) leads a defense that has been less than stellar, ranking 72nd in the country in points allowed (27.6 PPG) and giving up 4.7 yards per carry and a robust 70.5% completion rate to opposing quarterbacks. Both of these schools are going to play similar in the way they want to control the game on the ground. While Navy still has a bowl game to play in, this is Army’s bowl. This is a game where emotions and pride are on the line, so look for an entertaining game with both teams giving maximum effort in what is usually a low-scoring affair with the Under occurring in each of the past seven matchups.

[TheGame]

ATS Trends

Army

Black Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Black Knights are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Black Knights are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Black Knights are 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Black Knights are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games following a bye week. Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Black Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Navy

Midshipmen are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Midshipmen are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Midshipmen are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Midshipmen are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December. Midshipmen are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

OU Trends

Army

Under is 8-0 in Black Knights last 8 games in December. Under is 9-0 in Black Knights last 9 conference games. Under is 10-1 in Black Knights last 11 neutral site games. Under is 7-1 in Black Knights last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-1 in Black Knights last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 12-4 in Black Knights last 16 games following a bye week. Under is 15-6-1 in Black Knights last 22 games on grass.

Navy

Under is 10-1 in Midshipmen last 11 games following a bye week. Under is 8-1 in Midshipmen last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Midshipmen last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Midshipmen last 7 games in December. Under is 11-2 in Midshipmen last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Midshipmen last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 10-4 in Midshipmen last 14 games following a ATS win. Under is 15-7 in Midshipmen last 22 games following a S.U. win.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Navy. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[TheGame]

Army vs. Navy
By Sportsbook.ag

Army Black Knights (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) vs. Navy Midshipmen (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS)

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Time/TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Sportsbook.ag Opening Line:: Navy -12½, Total: 54½

One of the most historic rivalries in college football will take place on Saturday in Philadelphia when Army tries to snap a long losing skid to Navy.

Last season, the Midshipmen won a hard-fought football game, defeating the Black Knights by a score of 17-13. While the two teams have been close in the all-time series (Navy holds 57-49-7 SU advantage), Navy has dominated recently, winning the past 11 matchups (7-4 ATS).

Army has struggled this season at 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS, but showed its potential in a Week 3 loss to Stanford. In that game, Army was able to rush the ball for 284 yards, the most rushing yards given up by the Pac-12 champions all season by a wide margin (181 yards was 2nd-most).

However, the biggest problem that Army has had against Navy during the 11-game series losing skid has been the inability to put points on the board. In only two of those games did Army score at least 20 points, averaging a mere 11.4 PPG in the 11 defeats. Turnovers have also been a big story for the Black Knights who have at least two giveaways in each of their past seven losses to Army.

That must change Saturday, as they are facing a Midshipmen offense capable of scoring a lot of points (34.4 PPG), due in large part to their ability to rush the ball. Navy is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS, and in its last game, QB Keenan Reynolds set an NCAA rushing record with seven touchdowns in a 58-52, triple-overtime victory over San Jose State. He also rushed for 240 yards. Although the Black Knights are 10-31 ATS (24%) after a bye week since 1992, history shows that during the same timeframe, excellent rushing teams (4.8+ YPC) facing a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPC allowed) after allowing 275+ rushing yards in its last game are 44-15 ATS (75%). Both of these teams are very similar in the fact that they are looking to run the ball. However, Army must do more than put up good rushing numbers, it must also score touchdowns.

Army’s rushing attack ranks second in the nation with 323.6 YPG, but it ranks 86th among FBS teams in scoring at 26.0 PPG. The main ball carriers in this offense are junior RBs Terry Baggett (1,072 rush yards, 8.2 YPC, 8 TD) and Larry Dixon (672 rush yards, 6.6 YPC, 6 TD). Dixon has been bothered by a wrist injury, but he is expected to play on Saturday. Junior QB Angel Santiago (41-of-83, 542 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT) does not look to throw the ball very often, allowing teams to load the box and try and stop the run. The offense is able to move the ball up-and-down the field, but without any ability to make some plays in the passing game, it has been unable to punch it in for a touchdown on a consistent basis.

The Black Knights have also struggled on defense, ranking 93rd in the nation in scoring defense (31.4 PPG allowed). In the last game against Hawaii, Army gave up 285 yards on the ground on 5.5 yards per carry. That will have to change against the Midshipmen, who unlike the Black Knights, have shown an ability to finish out drives with touchdowns.

The Midshipmen rank right behind Army in rushing, placing third in the country with 320.1 YPG on the ground. Their leading rusher is sophomore QB Keenan Reynolds (1,124 rush yards, 4.5 YPC, 26 TD), but he was held to a mere 43 yards on 15 carries (2.9 YPC) in last year's Army-Navy game. However, it was Reynolds' 8-yard TD scamper with 4:41 left that won the game. But unlike Army, the Midshipmen do have the ability to throw the ball. Reynolds has thrown for 1,028 yards (9.0 YPA) and eight touchdowns, while tossing only two interceptions. WR DeBrandon Sanders leads the team with just 211 receiving yards this year, and is one of 14 Navy offensive players to have scored a touchdown this season.

FB Chris Swain ranks second on the team with four rushing touchdowns, but has missed the past two games with a hamstring injury and is questionable for Saturday. Six other Midshipmen have at least 225 rushing yards this season, highlighted by senior RB Darius Staten who has galloped for 364 yards on just 32 carries (11.4 YPC).

Junior CB Parrish Gaines (57 tackles, 3 INT) leads a defense that has been less than stellar, ranking 72nd in the country in points allowed (27.6 PPG) and giving up 4.7 yards per carry and a robust 70.5% completion rate to opposing quarterbacks. Both of these schools are going to play similar in the way they want to control the game on the ground.

While Navy still has a bowl game to play in, this is Army’s bowl. This is a game where emotions and pride are on the line, so look for an entertaining game with both teams giving maximum effort in what is usually a low-scoring affair with the Under occurring in each of the past seven matchups.

[TheGame]

Army vs. Navy: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen (-13, 53)

Game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia

One of the oldest rivalries in college football has been a one-sided affair of late - and the early line suggests more of the same is in order as the Army Black Knights visit the Navy Midshipmen in the 114th edition of the Army-Navy game. Philadelphia's Lincoln Financial Field is the site of the latest battle between the two storied military schools. Navy comes in having won the last 11 matchups, squeaking out a 17-13 decision last year to improve to 57-49-7 in the series.

While the story off the field has been Army's inability to solve the Midshipmen, the focus on the field will be on which team can establish a more robust ground game. The Midshipmen struggled on defense but boasts the second-best rush attack in the nation, averaging more than 323 yards per game. Navy is right behind them at 320 rushing yards per contest, and is led by sophomore quarterback Keenan Reynolds and his mind-boggling 26 rushing touchdowns.

LINE: Navy enters as a 13-point fave, with the over/under set at 53.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with a 90 percent chance of rain and/or snow. Wind will blow across the width of the field at 6 mph.

ABOUT ARMY (3-8): The Midshipmen were set to challenge for their first .500 season since 2010, but dropped four straight games heading into its finale to fall to 8-27 over the past three years. As good as the rushing game has been - eight different players have recorded at least one score on the ground - the passing game averages just 80 yards per outing while generating just four touchdowns in 11 games. Running back Terry Baggett leads the team with 1,072 rushing yards, while quarterback Angel Santiago actually has more yards on the ground (553) than through the air (542).

ABOUT NAVY (7-4): Reynolds had his share of impressive games in 2013 - scoring three or more touchdowns five times heading into mid-November - but saved his best work for the Midshipmen's thrilling 58-52 triple-overtime victory over San Jose State. The Antioch, Tenn., native exploded for 240 yards and seven rushing scores, leaving him one TD shy of the single-season record for a quarterback shared by Ricky Dobbs and Collin Klein. Ten different Navy players scored a rushing touchdown, while the Midshipmen racked up 43 scores on the ground compared to eight through the air.

TRENDS:

* Black Knights are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games following a bye week.
* Midshipmen are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an SU win.
* Under is 10-1 in Army's last 11 neutral-site games.
* Under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings.

[TheGame]

ARMY (3 - 8) vs. NAVY (7 - 4) - 12/14/2013, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARMY is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
NAVY is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 125-95 ATS (+20.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 2-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ARMY vs. NAVY
Army is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Navy
Army is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games


Army at Navy
Army: 12-31 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Navy: 13-4 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog

[TheGame]

Navy Midshipmen

Army Black Knights

Event Details

3:00 PM EST on December 14, 2013

34° F/ 1° C Ice Pellets

[TheGame]

NCAAF Week 16

Navy won its last 11 games with Army (7-4 vs spread) which is always on a neutral field- they won their last three games overall, scoring 47.4 ppg and are going to a bowl to play Middle Tennessee; Middies are 2-2 as a favorite this year. Army lost its last four games, allowing 36.3 ppg; they're 2-5 as a dog in 2013, losing four of five road games, with only win over Louisiana Tech on a neutral field. Last seven games in this run-dominated series stayed under the total.

[TheGame]

Does winter weather give value to Over in Army-Navy?

Philadelphia football fans are in for another wild winter game when Army takes on Navy at Lincoln Financial Field Saturday.

Almost a week after the Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions scored a combined 54 points in the middle of a blizzard, the annual meeting between armed forces is expected to get hit with snow and ice.

The forecast in Philadelphia is calling for a 100 percent chance snow, changing to ice pellets later in the game. Temperatures will dip below freezing and winds will blow ENE at 8 mph.

Both the Black Knights and Midshipmen rely heavily on the spread option offense, ranking No. 2 and No. 3 in rushing yards per game, respectively. While the knee-jerk reaction to winter weather in football games is to take the Under, last Sunday’s NFL game in Philadelphia proved otherwise.

Defensive players have a tougher time reacting to offenses and the slippery conditions make blitzing and pass rushes nearly impossible. This is especially true when dealing with run-heavy offenses, as evidenced by Eagles RB LeSean McCoy’s massive 217-yard, two-touchdown performance in the snow against Detroit. That NFL Week 14 game also had two kick return touchdowns.

The 34-20 Eagles win played Over the 51-point total, which was bet down from an opener of 54.5 once the forecast for Sunday's game was clearer. There were four other games plagued with winter weather and they all played Over the total.

The total for Army-Navy opened as high as 55-points and has since dropped to 51.5. The last seven meetings between these rivals have played Under the number.