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in vegas where all i hear is game analysis everywhere..
what i am realizing is we dont know shit.
its not what wil happen and who wins
its about ok there are 4 possible outcomes
assign weight to each box
box 1 :i like joe p here. mahomes superior play vs brady who cant get there anymore imo 35-24 cheifs -
think 60% chance this hits
box 2 tb & u - tom plays slow ball, the d makes some late saves, mahomes just cant get goin 28-24 GOAT -
40% chance on my brain tv
box 3 - brady winz a shootout. rides of as the triple goat of all time 38-35 -
25% here. used to be 50%...
box 4 - rise up kc plays regular, the dfense balls out and crushes brady 30-14 chiefs -
15%
so now i have scenarios. pick the box mostly likely to happen..
disclaimer..
this like any strategy can be easily discounted when the 15% hits. but to me, over time when i get it down to the squares, i feel best about my pick
in vegas with sons already had a wake and bake jelly bean so give me a li rope
what i am realizing is we dont know shit.
its not what wil happen and who wins
its about ok there are 4 possible outcomes
assign weight to each box
box 1 :i like joe p here. mahomes superior play vs brady who cant get there anymore imo 35-24 cheifs -
think 60% chance this hits
box 2 tb & u - tom plays slow ball, the d makes some late saves, mahomes just cant get goin 28-24 GOAT -
40% chance on my brain tv
box 3 - brady winz a shootout. rides of as the triple goat of all time 38-35 -
25% here. used to be 50%...
box 4 - rise up kc plays regular, the dfense balls out and crushes brady 30-14 chiefs -
15%
so now i have scenarios. pick the box mostly likely to happen..
disclaimer..
this like any strategy can be easily discounted when the 15% hits. but to me, over time when i get it down to the squares, i feel best about my pick
in vegas with sons already had a wake and bake jelly bean so give me a li rope
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