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1-2 in WC rd...which is ok since I haven't played all season long. Kinda' felt I was screwed on Buff- as all of the NFL shows were 100% picks on Buff...never a good sign...
Almost the same consensus on Balt-...and the road team in this rivalry in the playoffs is 4-0 s/u.
But teams on at least a 5-game win streak aren't that good in the WC rd and the Ravens are coming off some gawdy numbers in their last game...over 400 rush yards and over 40 min poss time while allowing only 3pts.
Tried to look at a bunch of diff angles and numbers on both these teams but finally settled on one stat: Possession time.
with Balty come off a possession time of 40+ mins, we have a weird little system:
WC rd road favs coming off a game in which they had at least 37 mins TOP...
game number=17
NB
p:TOP>2220
AF
https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query output=default&sdql=game+number%3D17+and+NB+and+p%3ATOP%3E2220+an d+AF&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++
0-3 s/u & ats
&
2-1 o/u
All 3 games went to OT! And the 2 games on Sunday went Over.
So, I'm going cold & light on:
Tenn +3'
&
Over 54'
w/a sprinkle on a par & Tenn m/l in OT
BOL!
Almost the same consensus on Balt-...and the road team in this rivalry in the playoffs is 4-0 s/u.
But teams on at least a 5-game win streak aren't that good in the WC rd and the Ravens are coming off some gawdy numbers in their last game...over 400 rush yards and over 40 min poss time while allowing only 3pts.
Tried to look at a bunch of diff angles and numbers on both these teams but finally settled on one stat: Possession time.
with Balty come off a possession time of 40+ mins, we have a weird little system:
WC rd road favs coming off a game in which they had at least 37 mins TOP...
game number=17
NB
p:TOP>2220
AF
https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query output=default&sdql=game+number%3D17+and+NB+and+p%3ATOP%3E2220+an d+AF&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++
0-3 s/u & ats
&
2-1 o/u
All 3 games went to OT! And the 2 games on Sunday went Over.
So, I'm going cold & light on:
Tenn +3'
&
Over 54'
w/a sprinkle on a par & Tenn m/l in OT
BOL!
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