SDQL 12/25-12/28

[rolltide]

VS teams off a SU win as a 14+ dog and line not within 3 of pk'em (0-10 SU / 0-9-1 ATS = on CLE) note: never scored >19, only once >17
VS team just allowed >7 YPC on 23+ carries (8-27 = on WAS, on LAC) 3-3
VS home dog off away dog loss and away loss before that, opponent good rush ypc (5-41 = on BUF) note: 1-47 SU, 2-46 6T
VS away dog 6+ off dog 6+ win (5-30 = on HOU) 0-35 SU
VS home dog 7+ off dog game with >48 points scored where they had a lead and lost close (4-34 = on KC) 2-3
VS home fav nondiv off loss, won L2 away games (5-25 = on CAR) 2-3
VS grass nondiv home team off b2b bad turnover games, the last as a fav (5-47 = on IND) 1-2
VS ats streaming team off b2b games as fav or small dog, now fav vs team they either lost to or won close this year (30-72 = on LAR) 1-2
VS away AFC playing east off west game where they allowed far fewer points than expected (24-52 = on CLE) 2-1
VS home off OT loss with <9 penalties (38-79 = on MIA) 2-2
VS 5.5+ dog off home dog win scoring 23+ (18-57 = on HOU) 1-4
ON home dec small dog allowing 8.2-10 YPC L3 games (58-17 = on PIT, on DAL)
ON away dog off home dog win, low turnover team with good TOP, opp heavy pass first downs (43-7 = on ATL) 10-6
VS grass nondiv fav off fav game, won 35%+ home games, opponent avg >6 rush first downs/g (24-62 = on IND) 7-10
VS team off 5+ straight scoring 25+, not off away game (19-56 = on PIT, on GB) 0-9-1 L10


OVER nondiv medium total, last week more FG than TD and opp off good TOP (63-18 ou = CAR/WAS o, CHI/JAX o, CLE/NYJ o) 15-9 ou
UNDER home big dog off away scoring<28, not extra rest (11-51 ou = DET/TB u, NYJ/CLE u, JAX/CLE u) 4-4 ou
UNDER home off away 10+ loss as a fav (29-66 ou = PIT/IND u) 2-3 ou
UNDER away on ats streak vs home on ats losing streak (24-48 ou = LV/MIA u, TEN/GB u, CHI/JAX u, BUF/NE u) 4-3 ou
UNDER 11+ wins LY off away with 2+ turnovers, 1+ sacks, total<53 (5-41 ou = ARI/SF u) 3-4-1 ou
UNDER bad home team off away div loss of 4+ (16-52 ou = NE/BUF u) 2-2 ou
UNDER away off away fav, heavy throwing team (14-42 ou = SF/ARI u, TB/DET u, CLE/NYJ u, NE/BUF u) 8-10 ou
UNDER away fav or small dog off away fav missing 1+ goal to go (4-27 ou = TB/DET u, NE/BUF u) 2-2 ou
OVER turf nondiv off home loss or small win, opponent allowing <23ppg and off good TOP (100-23 ou = MIN/NO o) 1-2 ou
UNDER div 11+ wins LY, no more than 14% better WP (9-52 ou = SF/ARI u, SEA/LAR u, NE/BUF u) 1-4 ou
UNDER grass off loss rushing for >43 yards more than season avg (9-38 ou = LV/MIA u) 4-6 ou
UNDER 11+ wins LY off away and facing better team that isn't off big loss (16-49 ou = SF/ARI u, NE/BUF u) 6-6 ou
OVER turf nondiv off fav win with 1+ rush TD, opponent just allowed >400 yards (69-17 ou = TB/DET o) 6-1 ou
OVER big turf dog, nondiv, off home loss (60-13 ou = MIN/NO o) 1-1 ou
OVER off thu home loss as fav or small dog (29-7 ou = LV/MIA o) 4-1 ou
OVER off thu home over, total>42, last total >41 (51-13 ou = LV/MIA o) 4-0 ou
OVER big yards per pass dog off >883 pass yards L2 games (55-16 ou = GB/TEN o) 3-3 ou
UNDER off away fav vs opponent gaining >62% of first downs thru air (63-136 ou = KC/ATL u) 4-5 ou
UNDER home 2nd meeting of season total >5 points lower than what was scored in 1st (7-37 ou = LAC/DEN u) 3-5 ou
UNDER 5+ wins streak vs non-5 win streak (61-109 = KC/ATL u) 6-10 ou
UNDER after scoring 117+ in L3 combined, opponent scoring 17+ ppg (4-22 ou = BAL/NYG u) 1-1
UNDER 11+ wins LY after away with more rush yards than penalty yards (12-46 ou = SF/ARI) 7-9 ou
OVER 10.5+ dog that just threw for 3.3x+ more pass than rush yard (101-46 ou = TB/ATL o) 1-0
UNDER nondiv home just allowed 31+ in b2b games (15-45 ou = DET/TB u, JAX/CHI u) 5-8 ou
UNDER 4.5+ fav off fav with 2+ turnovers and <54% 3rd downs (17-73 ou = SF/ARI u) 4-8 ou
OVER nondiv off win with good rush as fav, opponent off good offense and bad defense (123-47 ou = TB/DET o, MIA/LV o, KC/ATL o, GB/TEN o) 14-2 ou

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

VS teams off a SU win as a 14+ dog and line not within 3 of pk'em (0-10 SU / 0-9-1 ATS = on CLE) note: never scored >19, only once >17

just noticed that in all 10 games these teams were shut out in 1st quarter and never scored more than 7 by HT. 5x they were down 0-3 end of 1Q, once down 0-6, once down 0-14, and 3x was tied 0-0.
HT = only once were tied or leading which was the only time they had allowed <10 at HT. 7x they were down at least 7 points, once 4 points, once 3 points ... and never scored more than 7 by HT

[jumperjack]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

Any chance you can share the SDQL text for this one...

OVER nondiv off win with good rush as fav, opponent off good offense and bad defense (123-47 ou = TB/DET o, MIA/LV o, KC/ATL o, GB/TEN o) 14-2 ou

[Chamblin]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

Thanks for this info !!!

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

Any chance you can share the SDQL text for this one...

OVER nondiv off win with good rush as fav, opponent off good offense and bad defense (123-47 ou = TB/DET o, MIA/LV o, KC/ATL o, GB/TEN o) 14-2 ou

NDIV and p:W and p:rushing touchdowns > 0 and opo:TY > 398 and op:TY > 268 and date > 20101101 and p:line < 1.5 and week > 2

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

forgot this one....i keep assuming it will implode but been winning at a ridiculous rate

7-18 ou this year

44-30-1 (0.96, 59.5%) 38-34-3 (0.05, 52.8%) avg line: -0.9 +6: 51-22-2 (69.9%) -6: 25-50-0 (33.3%) +10: 60-15-0 (80.0%) -10: 16-59-0 (21.3%) 23-51-1 (-2.96, 31.1%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 12-63-0 (16.0%) -6: 47-27-1 (63.5%) +10: 9-66-0 (12.0%) -10: 57-15-3 (79.2%)

28.0 122.2 31.9 201.4 20.5 1.1 4.6 6.2 4.1 5.8 20.7 26.1 103.3 34.2 218.9 21.7 1.4 3.4 7.5 3.8 5.1 19.8

Dec 27, 2020 view Sunday 16 2020 Ravens Giants home -10.5 44.0

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

another simple one that wins at a tremendous rate. 1st one up this year

game line <10, both teams off a 3+ positive turnover margin game, opp TOM 2 games ago was +/-3

46-33-0 (2.90, 58.2%) 43-34-2 (2.13, 55.8%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 57-21-1 (73.1%) -6: 31-48-0 (39.2%) +10: 65-12-2 (84.4%) -10: 20-59-0 (25.3%) 22-56-1 (-2.53, 28.2%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 15-64-0 (19.0%) -6: 45-33-1 (57.7%) +10: 13-66-0 (16.5%) -10: 53-25-1 (67.9%)

29.2 114.9 31.1 194.9 18.4 1.7 3.7 6.0 4.6 6.3 20.8 26.4 106.6 33.4 202.0 19.5 2.0 3.8 5.5 3.6 5.0 17.9

Dec 27, 2020 view Sunday 16 2020 Eagles Cowboys away -2.5 49.5

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

nice one for tomorrow from MTI newsletter

6-23-0 (-7.62, 20.7%) 14-14-1 (1.03, 50.0%) avg line: 8.7 +6: 19-10-0 (65.5%) -6: 11-18-0 (37.9%) +10: 22-7-0 (75.9%) -10: 6-23-0 (20.7%) 29-0-0 (12.14, 100.0%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 21-7-1 (75.0%) -6: 29-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 17-10-2 (63.0%) -10: 29-0-0 (100.0%)

26.9 114.7 35.2 218.3 20.7 1.9 5.4 8.5 4.4 5.2 23.6 30.6 142.2 32.2 247.2 20.7 1.9 6.1 11.9 5.1 7.7 31.2

Dec 25, 2020 view Friday 16 2020 Vikings Saints away 6.5 51.0

[Chazbo]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

SThanks for the over winner! SAints had it by themselves.

[jumperjack]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

NDIV and p:W and p:rushing touchdowns > 0 and opo:TY > 398 and op:TY > 268 and date > 20101101 and p:line < 1.5 and week > 2

Thanks

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

Thanks

here's a nice tightener on that one facing an opponent that both gained and allowed a ton of yards last week

21-0 ou with a total >51 going over by 13 ppg

10-11-0 (-2.76, 47.6%) 9-11-1 (-2.74, 45.0%) avg line: 0.0 +6: 16-5-0 (76.2%) -6: 6-15-0 (28.6%) +10: 17-3-1 (85.0%) -10: 3-18-0 (14.3%) 21-0-0 (12.93, 100.0%) avg total: 55.0 +6: 15-6-0 (71.4%) -6: 21-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 11-8-2 (57.9%) -10: 21-0-0 (100.0%)

25.9 124.8 38.8 302.8 25.7 1.7 5.9 9.9 6.4 10.3 32.6 26.8 123.9 39.1 312.6 26.0 1.7 7.6 9.8 7.6 10.3 35.3

Dec 27, 2020 view Sunday 16 2020 Packers Titans home -3.5 55.5 Dec 26, 2020 view Saturday 16 2020 Buccaneers Lions away -9.5 54.5

[jumperjack]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

The original query I asked for...did you just mine that this season? I only ask because I see how well it has done this season. If you found it before this year it has been making somebody a ton of money in 2020

[cains]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

team = Texans and total >= 40 and p:AL and date >= 20171105

ATS 2-12
O/U 2-11-1
Bengals +7 and Under 46

---

DIV and p:AF and p:TO >= 2 and p:punts > 1 and (wins - losses > -3 or o:wins - o:losses > -3) and date >= 20161031
O/U 5-31-1

A and 10 < PRSW and p:A and oA(passes) > 35.5 and date >= 20160000
O/U 6-33

DIV and 10 < PRSW and p:A and WP < o:WP and date >= 20160109
O/U 3-26

PRSW > 10 and p:A and p:TO > 1 and po:TO < 5 and po:sacks > 0 and total < 53 and season > 2016
O/U 5-41-2

Cards vs 49ers
Play is UNDER 48.5

[Chamblin]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 12/25-12/28

The original query I asked for...did you just mine that this season? I only ask because I see how well it has done this season. If you found it before this year it has been making somebody a ton of money in 2020

no i have been using that one for years. glad it's performed like 14-2 this year but i've been posting each week though sometimes slightly diff explanation as i just glance and the parameters and type something up...one day I will standardize my explanations but since I need to run them manually now the "canned" explanation in the ones I used to save in killersports are gone. So now have to run it manually and type an explanation quickly so they generally say the same thing but not exact

here was week 5:
OVER nondiv off win with rush TD, opponent off good offense and bad defense game (115-47 o/u = BUF/TEN over, NO/LAC over)

week 8:
OVER nondiv off win with rush TD, was favored last week (118-47 = TB/NYG o)

week 14:
OVER nondiv off win with 1+ rush TD vs opponent just allowed 400 yards (119-47 ou = NO/PHI o)

this week:
OVER nondiv off win with good rush as fav, opponent off good offense and bad defense (123-47 ou = TB/DET o, MIA/LV o, KC/ATL o, GB/TEN o)