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NFL SDQL week 11

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  • NFL SDQL week 11

    OVER nondiv fav vs terrible offensive opponent (75-29 ou = LAC/NYJ o)
    UNDER nondiv grass fav off away game and opponent just allowed 360+ (21-62 ou = BAL/TEN u)
    OVER >42 total off home Thu home over at >41 total (48-13 ou = BAL/TEN o)
    UNDER big fav off fav or small dog with 2+ TO (16-63 ou = MIN/DAL u, NO/ATL u)
    UNDER big dog off bye with total >42 (9-27 ou = DAL/MIN u, NYJ/LAC u)
    UNDER off bye allowing 29+ in b2b but scoring <52 (10-36 ou = NYJ/LAC u)
    UNDER 7+ fav off fav with 2+ TO and average offense (46-116 ou = MIN/DAL u, NO/ATL u)
    UNDER grass not off blowout loss, 3 straight pass yards decreasing, total<47 (1-34 ou = CIN/WAS if <47)
    UNDER away fav >8 with total 39+ not off 430+ pass yards (9-47 ou = PIT/JAX u)
    UNDER home dog off away scoring<28, not extra rest, off 150-450 TY game (11-49 ou = PIT/JAX u)
    UNDER bad home team off bad away div loss, opponent winning 32+% (15-50 ou = DEN/MIA u)
    UNDER 11+ wins LY playing superior or equal div team (9-50 ou = SEA/ARI u)
    OVER game 7+ off away win over, high total (2-15 ou = IND/GB u)
    OVER game 5+ two terrible teams, home not dog of 4+ (20-5 ou = LAC/NYJ o)
    UNDER 5+ streak vs non 5+ streak not huge fav this week or last (58-100 ou = NO/ATL u, PIT/JAX u, MIA/DEN u)
    OVER closely lined nondiv away off home with b2b home coming (41-10 ou = GB/IND o)
    UNDER nondiv home allowed 31+ b2b games (15-41 ou = CAR/DET u, DEN/MIA u)
    UNDER big fav off fav with 2+ TO and poor or avg 3rd down % (15-67 ou = MIN/DAL u, NO/ATL u)
    UNDER 10+ away fav that won 7+LY (9-32 ou = PIT/JAX u)
    UNDER nondiv fav off away, opponent avg >6 rush first downs (26-47 ou = PHI/CLE u, BAL/TEN u, TB/LAR u)
    UNDER 2nd meeting of season after week 9, scored 24+ earlier meet (52-101 ou = SEA/ARI u)
    UNDER won 11+ LY, last week away with 2+ turnovers, <4 takeaways, and 1+ sacks against, prev total b/w 41-56 (3-41 ou = SEA/ARI u)
    UNDER Steelers away combined systems (1-40-3 ou = PIT/JAX u) note: they show last game at DAL as the lone over but anyone that followed it here won with the early info


    PLAY ON winless week 7+ off bye vs >.333 (16-2 = on Jets) note: 11-8 SU with avg 8 pt dog!
    PLAY ON away fav 3+ off bye (54-21 = on KC)
    PLAY ON away dog that made PO LY and off a good defensive game (106-48 = on PHI)
    OPPOSE after scoring 23 with <=40 rush yards and allowing a lot of rush yards (27-63 = on LV)
    OPPOSE 6.5+ grass dog off dog game, opponent >30 rushes/g (6-33 = on BAL)
    OPPOSE home fav nondiv off away nondiv vs opp off away loss (59-122 = on CIN)
    PLAY ON away fav or small dog allowing >403 TY and bad 3rd down defense (47-10 = on ATL)
    OPPOSE away fav off home dog (32-71 = on HOU)
    PLAY ON away with Thu coming, total>40 (26-7 = on DAL, on DET, on PIT)
    PLAY ON away grass dog off dog loss with <=2 pass td and INT, opponent bad turnover team (26-1 = on CIN)
    OPPOSE home off blowout loss with <6 wins LY and b2b terrible defense (2-35 = on DET)
    OPPOSE off win scoring 27+ and great defense, not in b2b away (31-67 = on ATL)
    PLAY ON away dog on grass, opponent >12.7 passing first downs/g (60-14 = on LAR)
    PLAY ON away dog nondiv grass off away blowout loss (45-6 = on PHI)
    OPPOSE home dog off dog away loss and away loss before that, decent running team with 24 rushes+/g (3-41 = on MIA)
    PLAY ON off win or close loss preceded by two losses, bad team (86-35 = on DET)
    PLAY ON away ndiv grass off away dog blowout defeat vs opponent that kicks way too many FG (54-11 = on CIN)
    PLAY ON home after 3 straight DIV games (27-10 = on MIN)
    OPPOSE home dog off away dog loss and away loss before that, heavy rushing team (12-49 = on MIA) note: 3-61 in 10pt tease
    PLAY ON 8+ rest in week 6-11 winning <13% of games (39-13 = on Jets) note: 46-6 6pt tease
    PLAY ON nondiv grass away dog off b2b terrible TOP and an away loss (28-0-1 = on PHI) 17-12 SU as avg 7.5 dog!
    PLAY ON bad away team vs average opp off a loss (162-101 = on NE, on CIN, on DET)
    OPPOSE nondiv home allowed 31+ b2b games (15-40 = on DET, on MIA)
    OPPOSE nondiv fav off away, opponent avg >6 rush first downs (21-56 = on TEN, on CLE, on LAR)
    PLAY ON fav or dog <6 nondiv with 5 straight games without 2+ takeaways (39-7 = on WAS) 16-1-1 L18
    PLAY ON away dog off home dog, doesn't turn it over much, good TOP team, opponent heavy pass (42-4 = on Jets)
    OPPOSE home div midseason, teams similar records (93-165 = on ARI)
    Last edited by rolltide; 11-18-2020, 08:22 PM.

  • #2
    Re: NFL SDQL week 11

    glad these agree with mine

    UNDER 11+ wins LY playing superior or equal div team (9-50 ou = SEA/ARI u)


    UNDER 2nd meeting of season after week 9, scored 24+ earlier meet (52-101 ou = SEA/ARI u)

    UNDER won 11+ LY, last week away with 2+ turnovers, <4 takeaways, and 1+ sacks against, prev total b/w 41-56 (3-41 ou = SEA/ARI u)
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-18-2020, 09:05 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NFL SDQL week 11

      GL Bleeker, definitely lines up for an Under but let's hope the Seahawks defense shows up one week

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      • #4
        Re: NFL SDQL week 11

        Thanks again 11!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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        • #5
          Re: NFL SDQL week 11

          thanks for the info!
          2013 NCAAF 4-5 -1.5

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