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Sunday Week 9 SDQL

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  • Sunday Week 9 SDQL

    PLAY ON team off horrible completion % game but <4TOM, not on 2+ game losing streak, and both teams 6+ days rest (62-18 ATS = on BAL...next week on CLE)
    ON 3+ away fav off bye (54-19 = on HOU)
    ON 6+ home fav before bye (76-24 = on KC)
    ON team scored 35+ before bye playing <=.500 (45-9 = on ARI)
    ON away dog off good defense, playoff team LY (104-48 = on NO)
    VS fav on 3rd straight away, last was grass win (6-27 = on DAL)
    VS small dog off home dog win losing after 1st & 3rd Q (27-70 = on ATL)
    VS home dog of 3.5+ with extra rest (4-21 = on HOU)
    VS home team down by at least 12 in 4 straight games (6-35 = on PIT, on HOU) note: both meet 3-24 tightener
    ON away fav or small dog avg 403+ YPG and decent 3rd down % and good opponent (85-19 = on SEA)
    ON same as above but tighten to really good opponent (45-8 = on SEA)
    VS home dog off away dog loss and away loss before that, opponent runs a lot (2-41 = on PIT)
    ON pacific away fav to east (24-4 = on SEA)
    ON div team that didn't win a div game LY (47-20 = on DET)
    ON away dog off home dog, good possession and little turnovers team, opponent heavy pass 1st down (39-2 = on MIA, on CHI)
    ON average team off win preceded by 2+ losses (84-33 = on WAS)
    ON home turf off avg passing game but heavy rush game which was a home win (52-17 = on BUF)
    VS away nondiv turn off home game with 3+ more penalties than avg (7-40 = on ATL)
    ON team avenging a close home loss in same season (45-16 = on WAS)
    VS team scoring 25+ in 5 straight after passing for 286+ (19-53 = on CAR, on BUF)
    ON away bad team vs bad opponent off a loss (160-100 = on NE)
    VS 1-win away team in closely lined game week 7-9 (5-17 = on WAS)
    VS Nov home dogs off a division loss (22-42 = on PIT)




    UNDER after allowing b2b 31+ before bye (9-36 = JAX/HOU u)
    OVER ndiv before bye (108-52 = KC/CAR o, ATL/DEN o)
    UNDER fav week 3+ off away, opp heavy pass first down team (60-133 = TEN/CHI u)
    UNDER grass off a loss running for 43+ yards more than avg (6-36 = TEN/CHI u, JAX/HOU u)
    OVER off thu home loss as fav or small dog (26-7 = CAR/KC o)
    OVER b2b 3+ pass TD vs good pass team, opponent allowing 1.5+ pass TD/g (51-17 = LAC/LV o, SEA/BUF o)
    UNDER small dog not b2b home off blowout win vs opp not off blowout loss (42-104 = IND/BAL u)
    OVER dog or small fav big yards L2 games and opp bad yards per pass defense (53-16 = LAC/LV o)
    OVER nondvid off dog or huge fav with more FG than TD, opp good time of poss (47-7 = ATL/DEN o, CHI/TEN o)
    UNDER away fav of 8.5+ with total 39+ (8-47 = PIT/DAL u)
    OVER PST vs EST neither bye coming (56-10 = SEA/BUF o)
    UNDER 11+ win LY off away now playing opp with better WP (15-43 = NO/TB u)
    UNDER away div dog on 3rd straight div game (7-37 = LV/LAC u)
    OVER turf home dog off away fav 10+ win, opp not a good pass team (82-40 = IND/BAL u)
    UNDER away off away with more rush yards than penalty yards, won 11+ LY (8-39 = NO/TB u)
    UNDER large away fav that won 7+ LY (8-32 = PIT/DAL u)
    UNDER 1-win away team in closely lined game week 7-9 (2-19 = NYG/WAS u)

  • #2
    Re: Sunday Week 9 SDQL

    Thanks RT

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    • #3
      Re: Sunday Week 9 SDQL

      here's a little combo one for you.... this combines Steelers away to a team that throws a lot with Steelers after a game where they didn't pass for many yards with Steelers as a big away fav

      0-36-2 o/u with the last two being those pair of pushes....let's call this a 27-9 game

      0-36-2 (-8.01, 0.0%) avg total: 44.8
      we can then do a triple combine and add Steelers as a big away fav. using OR ensures that the same game isn't counted multiple times

      (team=Steelers and A and oA(passes)>34.65 and season>2013) or (team=Steelers and p:passing yards<208 and date>20151001) or (team=Steelers and A and date>20151201 and line<-2.5)

      0-40-3 (-7.60, 0.0%) avg total: 44.8
      Last edited by rolltide; 11-08-2020, 11:03 AM.

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      • #4
        Re: Sunday Week 9 SDQL

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Sunday Week 9 SDQL

          Originally posted by rolltide View Post
          UNDER 11+ win LY off away now playing opp with better WP (15-43 = NO/TB u)
          UNDER away off away with more rush yards than penalty yards, won 11+ LY (8-39 = NO/TB u)
          too bad GC can't give me a little "thanks RT"

          We have 2 powerful systems here one play under for UNDER away off away with more rush yards than penalty yards, won 11+ Last year these teams are 8-39 under. Secondly UNDER 11+ win Last year off road game now playing opponent with better Win percentage. These games are 43-15 under.

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          • #6
            Re: Sunday Week 9 SDQL

            heres another for this game on top of the two RT was nice enough to add---



            A and 1035.5 and date>=20160000



            On Sunday night Football play the UNDER Saints vs Bucs at 8:20 eastern on NBC. In the series 9 of 12 have played under here. These two have already met and the game went over. This one projects under. Simulation model shows mid 40/s. We have 2 powerful systems here one play under for UNDER away off away with more rush yards than penalty yards, won more than Last year these teams are 7-33 under. Secondly UNDER 10 +wins Last year off road game now playing opponent with better Win percentage. These games are 43-15 under. Another nice subset for these teams is when the opponent averages 35+ pass attempts Look for this game to stay under. one of the systems below




            O/U:7-33-






            Dec 17, 2017viewSunday152017CowboysRaidersaway3-07-07-103-720-17-3.046.030.0-9.0-4.5-4.5WPU0


            Dec 24, 2017viewSunday162017FalconsSaintsaway0-30-103-710-313-235.552.0-10-4.5-16.0-10.2-5.8LLU0


            Dec 31, 2017viewSunday172017RaidersChargersaway0-010-200-100-010-308.043.0-20-12-3-7.54.5LLU0


            Jan 13, 2018viewSaturday192017FalconsEaglesaway3-07-90-30-310-15-2.540.5-5-7.5-15.5-11.5-4.0LLU0


            Sep 23, 2018viewSunday32018PatriotsLionsaway0-33-107-70-610-26-6.553.5-16-22.5-17.5-20.02.5LLU0


            Sep 30, 2018viewSunday42018SaintsGiantsaway0-712-07-314-833-18-3.551.51511.5-0.55.5-6.0WWU0


            Oct 07, 2018viewSunday52018VikingsEaglesaway3-014-33-33-1523-213.045.025.0-1.02.0-3.0WWU0


            Oct 14, 2018viewSunday62018RamsBroncosaway6-37-07-73-1023-20-7.050.53-4.0-7.5-5.8-1.8WLU0


            Oct 21, 2018viewSunday72018PanthersEaglesaway0-00-100-721-021-174.545.048.5-7.00.8-7.8WWU0


            Oct 21, 2018viewSunday72018RamsFortyninersaway3-019-710-37-039-10-10.052.52919-3.57.8-11.2WWU0


            Oct 28, 2018viewSunday82018SaintsVikingsaway7-710-610-03-730-20-2.552.0107.5-2.02.8-4.8WWU0


            Oct 29, 2018viewMonday82018PatriotsBillsaway3-06-33-313-025-6-14.044.5195-13.5-4.2-9.2WWU0


            Nov 18, 2018viewSunday112018PanthersLionsaway7-70-30-312-719-20-3.548.0-1-4.5-9.0-6.8-2.2LLU0


            Nov 25, 2018viewSunday122018SteelersBroncosaway0-310-77-70-717-24-3.047.0-7-10.0-6.0-8.02.0LLU0


            Nov 25, 2018viewSunday122018PatriotsJetsaway7-73-310-37-027-13-12.046.0142.0-6.0-2.0-4.0WWU0


            Dec 09, 2018viewSunday142018RamsBearsaway3-33-30-90-06-15-3.050.5-9-12.0-29.5-20.8-8.8LLU0


            Dec 09, 2018viewSunday142018PanthersBrownsaway7-710-103-00-920-26-1.047.5-6-7.0-1.5-4.22.8LLU0


            Dec 09, 2018viewSunday142018SaintsBuccaneersaway0-73-78-017-028-14-9.554.5144.5-12.5-4.0-8.5WWU0


            Dec 10, 2018viewMonday142018VikingsSeahawksaway0-00-30-07-187-213.545.5-14-10.5-17.5-14.0-3.5LLU0


            Dec 16, 2018viewSunday152018PatriotsSteelersaway7-70-73-00-310-17-1.552.0-7-8.5-25.0-16.8-8.2LLU0


            Dec 17, 2018viewMonday152018SaintsPanthersaway3-73-00-06-212-9-6.050.53-3.0-29.5-16.2-13.2WLU0


            Jan 06, 2019viewSunday182018EaglesBearsaway3-00-67-06-916-155.541.516.5-10.5-2.0-8.5WWU0


            Jan 13, 2019viewSunday192018EaglesSaintsaway14-00-100-70-314-208.051.0-62-17-7.5-9.5LWU0


            Sep 15, 2019viewSunday22019ChiefsRaidersaway0-1028-00-00-028-10-9.552.5188.5-14.5-3.0-11.5WWU0


            Oct 06, 2019viewSunday52019PatriotsWashingtonaway6-76-014-07-033-7-16.542.0269.5-2.03.8-5.8WWU0


            Oct 20, 2019viewSunday72019SaintsBearsaway9-73-314-010-1536-254.037.51115.023.519.24.2WWO0


            Oct 20, 2019viewSunday72019TexansColtsaway0-79-77-147-223-301.547.0-7-5.560.25.8LLO0


            Oct 27, 2019viewSunday82019ChargersBearsaway0-07-93-77-017-163.540.514.5-7.5-1.5-6.0WWU0


            Nov 17, 2019viewSunday112019PatriotsEaglesaway0-39-78-00-017-10-4.544.572.5-17.5-7.5-10.0WWU0


            Dec 08, 2019viewSunday142019ChargersJaguarsaway7-317-014-77-045-10-3.044.53532.010.521.2-10.8WWO0


            Dec 21, 2019viewSaturday162019TexansBuccaneersaway10-37-143-33-023-20-2.548.530.5-5.5-2.5-3.0WWU0


            Dec 29, 2019viewSunday172019SaintsPanthersaway14-021-37-70-042-10-14.047.53218.04.511.2-6.8WWO0


            Sep 27, 2020viewSunday32020FortyninersGiantsaway6-010-67-313-036-9-4.043.027232.012.5-10.5WWO0


            Sep 28, 2020viewMonday32020ChiefsRavensaway6-321-70-37-734-203.054.0141708.5-8.5WWP0


            Oct 25, 2020viewSunday72020ChiefsBroncosaway10-614-36-013-743-16-9.049.027181014.0-4.0WWO0


            Oct 25, 2020viewSunday72020PackersTexansaway7-014-07-77-1335-20-3.057.01512.0-2.05.0-7.0WWU0


            Nov 01, 2020viewSunday82020FortyninersSeahawksaway0-67-70-1420-1027-373.554.5-10-6.59.51.58.0LLO0


            Nov 08, 2020viewSunday92020SaintsBuccaneersaway3.551.0
            Last edited by golden contender; 11-08-2020, 05:43 PM.

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