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sides:
ON small dog without a ATS cover this year, <.500 WP (37-7 ATS = on DAL)
ON DIV home fav of 8+ before bye if they didn't win prev meeting by 20+ (36-1 SU / 31-4-2 ATS = on PHI)
VS home off big pass yards, regular rest, vs opponent off great pass defense (4-33 ATS = play on SF, on DAL)
ON away with Thu game coming (26-5 ATS = on SF)
VS off win scoring 27+ not away b2b, SIQ <=2 (29-66 ATS = play on DET)
ON div game with team that didn't win a div game LY, last h2h didn't lose by 21+ (47-19 ATS = on LAC)
ON away grass dog off away dog, opponent heavy passing team (56-12 ATS = on NYJ)
VS home fav on grass vs terrible time of possession team (6-33 ATS = on MIN)
ON Pacific away to East, fav or dog of <2 (23-3 ATS = on LAR)
VS 3+ Pass TD in b2b games vs opponent allowing 1+ pass TD (24-61 ATS = on SF)
ON Monday off away dog win or close loss (29-11 ATS = on NYG)
VS fav not dog of 3.5+ in b2b games and covered 2+ straight not off bye (29-71 ATS = on NYG)
VS teams scored 23+ with <41 rush yards and allowed a lot of rush yards (26-62 ATS = on ATL, on GB)
VS home off OT loss with <9 penalties and not off bye (36-79 ATS = on SF)
ON WP 21-53%, off win with 2 losses prior (83-32 ATS = on PHI, on LAC)
VS grass nondiv off away fav vs opponent allowing a lot of rush first downs (20-55 ATS = on NYJ, on LV)
ON home after 3 straight divisional games (26-10 ATS = on NYG)
ON week 6+ big dog, conf game, teams separated by >19.4 margin per game (74-19 ATS = on NYJ)
VS week 7-9 1-win away team in closely lined game (4-17 = on CAR)
ON away <.500 vs opponent off a loss and <.750 WP (159-99 ATS = on ATL, on LAC)
VS fav b4 week 9 off OT win or loss by <6 and now changing surfaces (10-41 ATS = on SF)
ON winless team of 0-7 or worse, didn't win 10+LY or have >400 yards last game (49-13 ATS = on NYJ)
VS game<11 teams off blowout win as 7+ fav and positive turnover margin (24-58 ATS = on NYJ)
ON away fav or small dog allowing >403 yards per game but good 3rd down team, either winless or WP>25 (85-19 ATS = on DAL) note: NFC East is 13-1 ATS
ON away fav of 3+ off a bye (53-19 ATS = on INDY)
totals:
OVER nondiv home with 1+ wins before bye and playing similar team (108-51 = CLE/LV over)
OVER two teams that couldn't run ball last week (105-49 = CAR/ATL over)
UNDER nondiv grass fav off away vs opp that just allowed 360+ (21-60 = GB/MIN u, KC/NYJ u, CLE/LV u)
OVER nondiv fav vs opponent gaining <278/g but making 4+ 3rd downs (75-32 = KC/NYJ o)
UNDER away on ATS streak vs home on ATS losing streak (21-46 = SF/SEA u)
OVER turf nondiv off fav win with 1+ rush TD vs opponent allowed >400 TY (67-16 = TB/NYG o)
UNDER off fav blowout loss with terrible 1st downs (4-36 o/u = DAL/PHI u)
UNDER away fav off away team that made >3 3rd downs and throws >28 passes/g (10-36 = PIT/BAL u, TB/NYG u)
UNDER after home dog loss, grass, b2b games with >4 3rd downs made (6-22 = LV/CLE u)
UNDER div won 11+LY off away game and opponent better or similar WP (8-48 = SF/SEA u)
UNDER grass off loss gaining 43+ more rush yards than normal (5-36 = DEN/LAC u)
UNDER off away fav with negative turnover margin vs opponent off positive TOM (18-53 = GB u, KC u, CLE u, BUF u, PIT u, TB u)
OVER 4+ dog nondiv turf off home loss vs opponent off bad time of possession (59-13 = CIN/TEN o)
UNDER grass off blowout loss where they weren't pick-em, 3 straight declining pass yard games (1-33 = DAL/PHI u)
UNDER away huge fav with 39+ total not off 429+PY game (7-47 = TB/NYG u)
OVER week<11 PST vs EST, no bye, opponent not off MNF, neither have bye coming (56-9 = LAR/MIA o)
OVER fav or small dog nondiv last game dog or huge fav with more FG than TD, opponent good TOP (46-7 = DET/IND o)
UNDER not in b2b home, off div win allowing 16+, close game into 4Q (114-208 = CLE/LV u, NO/CHI u)
UNDER similar to above plus not big dog (96-196 = CLE/LV u)
UNDER 11+ win LY off away game didn't lose big, opponent better WP (12-43 = SF/SEA u, BAL/PIT u)
UNDER 5+ straight wins vs opp not 5+ straight wins, not big fav this game or last meeting (56-99 = PIT/BAL u)
UNDER away off away game with more rush yards than penalty yards (7-39 = SF/SEA u)
UNDER nondiv allowed 32+ b2b, at home (13-40 = CLE/LV u, CIN/TEN u)
UNDER after blowout loss where not a dog of 2+, allowed a lot of rush yards (9-55 = DAL/PHI u)
UNDER away fav that won 7+LY, line -10 or higher (7-32 = TB/NYG u)
OVER nondiv off win with rush TD but allowed 700+ yards last 2 games, was favored last week (118-47 = TB/NYG o)
OVER away won 11+LY off away, opponent with MNF coming (31-5 = NO/CHI o)
OVER away non conf with extra rest coming (54-16 = LAR/MIA o) Tua Time!
UNDER 6.5+ dog with total>42 off bye (8-27 = MIN/GB u)
UNDER away dog or small fav 1st of b2b2b divisional games, total>=40 (7-36 = MIN/GB u)
UNDER game7 vs game7 neither team a 6v13 rest advantage (13-37 = LAC/DEN u)
ON small dog without a ATS cover this year, <.500 WP (37-7 ATS = on DAL)
ON DIV home fav of 8+ before bye if they didn't win prev meeting by 20+ (36-1 SU / 31-4-2 ATS = on PHI)
VS home off big pass yards, regular rest, vs opponent off great pass defense (4-33 ATS = play on SF, on DAL)
ON away with Thu game coming (26-5 ATS = on SF)
VS off win scoring 27+ not away b2b, SIQ <=2 (29-66 ATS = play on DET)
ON div game with team that didn't win a div game LY, last h2h didn't lose by 21+ (47-19 ATS = on LAC)
ON away grass dog off away dog, opponent heavy passing team (56-12 ATS = on NYJ)
VS home fav on grass vs terrible time of possession team (6-33 ATS = on MIN)
ON Pacific away to East, fav or dog of <2 (23-3 ATS = on LAR)
VS 3+ Pass TD in b2b games vs opponent allowing 1+ pass TD (24-61 ATS = on SF)
ON Monday off away dog win or close loss (29-11 ATS = on NYG)
VS fav not dog of 3.5+ in b2b games and covered 2+ straight not off bye (29-71 ATS = on NYG)
VS teams scored 23+ with <41 rush yards and allowed a lot of rush yards (26-62 ATS = on ATL, on GB)
VS home off OT loss with <9 penalties and not off bye (36-79 ATS = on SF)
ON WP 21-53%, off win with 2 losses prior (83-32 ATS = on PHI, on LAC)
VS grass nondiv off away fav vs opponent allowing a lot of rush first downs (20-55 ATS = on NYJ, on LV)
ON home after 3 straight divisional games (26-10 ATS = on NYG)
ON week 6+ big dog, conf game, teams separated by >19.4 margin per game (74-19 ATS = on NYJ)
VS week 7-9 1-win away team in closely lined game (4-17 = on CAR)
ON away <.500 vs opponent off a loss and <.750 WP (159-99 ATS = on ATL, on LAC)
VS fav b4 week 9 off OT win or loss by <6 and now changing surfaces (10-41 ATS = on SF)
ON winless team of 0-7 or worse, didn't win 10+LY or have >400 yards last game (49-13 ATS = on NYJ)
VS game<11 teams off blowout win as 7+ fav and positive turnover margin (24-58 ATS = on NYJ)
ON away fav or small dog allowing >403 yards per game but good 3rd down team, either winless or WP>25 (85-19 ATS = on DAL) note: NFC East is 13-1 ATS
ON away fav of 3+ off a bye (53-19 ATS = on INDY)
totals:
OVER nondiv home with 1+ wins before bye and playing similar team (108-51 = CLE/LV over)
OVER two teams that couldn't run ball last week (105-49 = CAR/ATL over)
UNDER nondiv grass fav off away vs opp that just allowed 360+ (21-60 = GB/MIN u, KC/NYJ u, CLE/LV u)
OVER nondiv fav vs opponent gaining <278/g but making 4+ 3rd downs (75-32 = KC/NYJ o)
UNDER away on ATS streak vs home on ATS losing streak (21-46 = SF/SEA u)
OVER turf nondiv off fav win with 1+ rush TD vs opponent allowed >400 TY (67-16 = TB/NYG o)
UNDER off fav blowout loss with terrible 1st downs (4-36 o/u = DAL/PHI u)
UNDER away fav off away team that made >3 3rd downs and throws >28 passes/g (10-36 = PIT/BAL u, TB/NYG u)
UNDER after home dog loss, grass, b2b games with >4 3rd downs made (6-22 = LV/CLE u)
UNDER div won 11+LY off away game and opponent better or similar WP (8-48 = SF/SEA u)
UNDER grass off loss gaining 43+ more rush yards than normal (5-36 = DEN/LAC u)
UNDER off away fav with negative turnover margin vs opponent off positive TOM (18-53 = GB u, KC u, CLE u, BUF u, PIT u, TB u)
OVER 4+ dog nondiv turf off home loss vs opponent off bad time of possession (59-13 = CIN/TEN o)
UNDER grass off blowout loss where they weren't pick-em, 3 straight declining pass yard games (1-33 = DAL/PHI u)
UNDER away huge fav with 39+ total not off 429+PY game (7-47 = TB/NYG u)
OVER week<11 PST vs EST, no bye, opponent not off MNF, neither have bye coming (56-9 = LAR/MIA o)
OVER fav or small dog nondiv last game dog or huge fav with more FG than TD, opponent good TOP (46-7 = DET/IND o)
UNDER not in b2b home, off div win allowing 16+, close game into 4Q (114-208 = CLE/LV u, NO/CHI u)
UNDER similar to above plus not big dog (96-196 = CLE/LV u)
UNDER 11+ win LY off away game didn't lose big, opponent better WP (12-43 = SF/SEA u, BAL/PIT u)
UNDER 5+ straight wins vs opp not 5+ straight wins, not big fav this game or last meeting (56-99 = PIT/BAL u)
UNDER away off away game with more rush yards than penalty yards (7-39 = SF/SEA u)
UNDER nondiv allowed 32+ b2b, at home (13-40 = CLE/LV u, CIN/TEN u)
UNDER after blowout loss where not a dog of 2+, allowed a lot of rush yards (9-55 = DAL/PHI u)
UNDER away fav that won 7+LY, line -10 or higher (7-32 = TB/NYG u)
OVER nondiv off win with rush TD but allowed 700+ yards last 2 games, was favored last week (118-47 = TB/NYG o)
OVER away won 11+LY off away, opponent with MNF coming (31-5 = NO/CHI o)
OVER away non conf with extra rest coming (54-16 = LAR/MIA o) Tua Time!
UNDER 6.5+ dog with total>42 off bye (8-27 = MIN/GB u)
UNDER away dog or small fav 1st of b2b2b divisional games, total>=40 (7-36 = MIN/GB u)
UNDER game7 vs game7 neither team a 6v13 rest advantage (13-37 = LAC/DEN u)
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