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NFL SDQL week 4

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  • NFL SDQL week 4

    ON week 4 winless medium dogs (18-4 ATS = on PHI, on ATL)
    ON week 4 unbeaten home with normal rest coming and opponent not off blowout loss (17-5 SU/ATS = on TEN, on KC, on GB)
    ON week 3&4 teams that increased their YPP offense vs LY (107-68 ATS = on MIN, on LAR, on BUF, on SEA, on GB)
    ON week 4&5 teams allowing 332+ passing yards/game, not neutral (18-2 ATS = on SEA, on ATL)
    ON away dog playoff team from LY off good defensive game (102-45 ATS = on Philly, on NE)
    ON away closely lined game week 2-5, opponent terrible YTD time of possession (63-14 ATS = on MIN, on CLE)
    ON MNF off away dog win (27-10 ATS = on GB)
    ON MNF unbeaten home team off 21+ points and not a thu game (34-11 ATS = on GB)
    ON win or close loss, lost b2b before that, <=.500 (79-28 ATS = on CAR, on DET, on MIA)
    ON home fav 6+ with bye coming, opp not off 20+ point loss (75-22 ATS = on GB)
    VS team off win not b2b away <=2 SIQ and scored 27+ last week (27-65 ATS = on DAL)
    VS favs week 2-9 off OT tie or FG margin, changing surface (9-41 ATS = on JAX)
    VS week 1-4 favs or small dogs that won 13+ vs opponent that won <14 (29-71 ATS = on DET)
    VS week 1-5 closely lined home teams with terrible time of possession (2-41 ATS = on MIN)
    VS home teams off blowout loss, terrible LY, and allowed more than expected in b2b games (2-34 ATS = on BAL)
    VS b2b 3+ pass TD games vs opponent with 4+ pass TD in L2 combined, opponent allowing 1+ pass TD/game (21-58 ATS = on LV, on MIA)
    VS home dog off b2b away dog losses, neither off a bye, opponent heavy running team (10-50 ATS = on BAL)
    VS home grass bad team LY off terrible rush game, small fav or dog (19-54 ATS = on SEA)
    VS away nondiv with away MNF coming, just allowed 250+ passing (4-25 ATS = on TB)


    OVER week 3-7 OVER home off b2b away (38-9 o/u = DET/NO over, KC/NE over, CIN/JAX over)
    UNDER off away under blowout win and opponent avg <=25ppg (23-75 o/u = TB/LAC under)
    UNDER home off away fav vs opponent getting 62%+ first downs thru air (59-131 o/u = TEN/PIT under)
    UNDER Steelers away in conf game off a home game (3-22 o/u = TEN/PIT under)
    UNDER home dog on grass off away fav vs opponent off 3+ sack game (7-34 o/u = TEN/PIT under)
    OVER two teams off terrible rush games (104-49 o/u = CIN/JAX over)
    OVER off Thu home loss as fav or small dog, total now 41+ (25-6 o/u = CIN/JAX over)
    UNDER home off dog win, total 38.5-47.5, playing good team not off dog win (48-102 o/u = CHI/IND under)
    UNDER big fav off 2+ turnovers when not a bid god, opponent threw for 255+ LW (14-61 o/u = LAR/NYG under)
    UNDER off home game blowout loss vs opponent off loss (20-54 o/u = DEN/NYJ under, LAR/NYG under)
    UNDER off away fav losing turnover margin vs opponent that won TO margin (17-53 o/u = SF/PHI under, TB/LAC under)
    UNDER grass off loss running for 43+ more yards than season avg (5-34 o/u = ATL/GB under)
    UNDER home big dog off away scoring <28, opponent not off a big offensive game (8-48 o/u = WAS/BAL under)
    OVER away nondiv closely lined game off home with 2 home games coming (41-10 o/u = PIT/TEN over, NO/DET over)
    OVER nondiv off win with 1+ rush td, allowed 270+, opponent just allowed 400+ (PIT/TEN over, LV/BUF over, CLE/DAL over)
    UNDER home nondiv opponent allowing b2b 31+ (11-37 o/u = NYJ/DEN under, CLE/DAL under)
    UNDER Thu home total <41, both same rest (20-44 o/u = NYJ/DEN under)
    UNDER away huge fav won 7+ LY (6-31 o/u = BAL/WAS under)
    OVER away won 11+ off home, opponent off MNF, total 41+ (30-4 o/u = NE/CLE over)
    OVER MNF week 4+ with extra rest coming (52-19 o/u = GB/ATL over)
    OVER nondiv home with bye week coming, won at least 1 game, WP not higher than .40 worse than opponent (103-49 o/u = GB/ATL over, DET/NO over)
    Last edited by rolltide; 09-30-2020, 11:24 AM.

  • #2
    Re: NFL SDQL week 4

    note: this one when used in a 6-pt teaser has only lost 9x in 98 games so consider GB teased down to -1

    ON home fav 6+ with bye coming, opp not off 20+ point loss (75-22 ATS = on GB)

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NFL SDQL week 4

      away teams not dogs of 9+ are 0-10 SUATS after a tie

      https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

      0-10-0 (-13.90, 0.0%)
      (against PHI)

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NFL SDQL week 4

        reworked from mtisports produces 32-2 o/u for Jets game tonight and Skins game on Sunday

        https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

        32-2-0 (11.28, 94.1%) avg total: 43.1 (overs in NYJ/DEN and WAS/BAL)

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: NFL SDQL week 4

          This is insane....

          you know how ESPN tells you EVERY FN WEEK about terrible pacific teams are when playing east, usually at 10am PT? uh, yeah, they're wrong...at least when favored or tiny underdog. 26-3 SU with just 3 ATS losses

          https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

          26-3-0 (11.28, 89.7%)
          22-3-4 (7.41, 88.0%) on Seattle

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: NFL SDQL week 4

            Yeah I've been hearing that for years myself RT especially when they play the early game

            time zone=P and o:time zone =E and A and line<2 and season>2016 and 1250<=start time<=1310

            16-2-2 ats


            and any game any line regardless of time is 68%
            time zone=P and o:time zone =E and A and line,1 and season>2016

            Just think of all the squares that play into bs like that from the media

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: NFL SDQL week 4

              Fade the Cowgirls --- they are 4-18 SU 1-21 ATS

              https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

              Play On: CLE+4.5

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                Good info !!!!!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                  L20 years when winless dog of <14 is on road to winless opponent they've covered 73% of the time (51-19 = on MIN +3.5)
                  https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                    Week 4 dogs that just picked up their first win last week.

                    41-19-0 (68.3%)
                    MIA, CAR, DET


                    week=4 and wins=1 and p:W and line>0

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                    • #11
                      Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                        Originally posted by omar View Post
                        Week 4 dogs that just picked up their first win last week.

                        41-19-0 (68.3%)
                        MIA, CAR, DET


                        week=4 and wins=1 and p:W and line>0
                        very nice

                        30-5 if dog of less than 5 with 28 outright wins and not 14+ days rest *CAR, DET

                        https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                          Good Info !!!!!

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: NFL SDQL week 4

                            a guy posted on the sdql discord server an incredible one for week 1-10 overs when Pacific teams meet Eastern teams and neither have a bye coming nor will they have site streaks of more than 2 coming (no 3 straight away or home games)

                            46-4 o/u with 5 fits today: Tampa over, Miami over, Rams over, Vegas over, 49ers over

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: NFL SDQL week 4

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