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lets get another discussion going here, I'm really liking SF to put it to the Skins Sunday. Some things I like are one my capping finds this line,-9.5 to -10 fair, second SF is not a take the foot off the gas kinda team and third it is well known that Shanahan has some serious disdain for Dan Snyder and I believe he intends to embarrass him and the organization. I can make a case for SF covering this spread a number of different ways and my numbers tell me they will win this game by 17+ points. I decided to look at the time of possession for a different angle SF averages just over 35 (2100) minutes a game and Washington just over 26 (1620). So I queried that using those two figures and came up with this:
tA(TOP)>2100 and oA(TOP)<1620 and A (18-11-1 ats) and (34-21-1 any site)
tA(TOP)>2100 and oA(TOP)<1620 and losses=0 (31-11-1 ats)
tA(TOP)>2100 and oA(TOP)<1620 and A and losses=0 (17-4-1 and 10-1 ats since'01)
tA(TOP)>2100 and oA(TOP)<1620 and AF (6-4-1 ats and 9-2 o/u) and (6-1-1 if team 0 losses)
I looked at lines and there was only one game in those samples where the line was above -7, it was -8.5 on nyg and they won and covered 41-13 over the Rams in '08
Here's another simple one from pick sixty sports I came across: Home team off a su win as a double digit dog playing in division with a line of >=-1.5. (0-11 ats)
nice one's thomas.. and houston (the lone squeaker) was on monday night and also the lowest total by a bunch
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Of interest on the time zone thing, no eastern teams have played a morning game on the west coast since 2012, it was pretty common back before that and there was no interesting results concerning the lines and totals
Weird day with two pushes, lucky to get the push on my big bet of the day on SF in the mud bowl, god that was awful. A lot of people on the Eagles everywhere I look, I like Dallas to take care of things tonight in a humdinger of a game
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