Got this in the mail from vsin kinda of interesting
This line opened with the Patriots listed as big 15.5-point home
favorites-- the highest spread for a Thursday Night game since it began
in 2006. Three-out-of-four bets are laying the spread with the Pats.
This heavy support has pushed the line up to 17. The Giants have value
as a contrarian dog getting big points in a heavily bet game. But
Thursday Night home favorites are 70-47 ATS (59.8%, +20.08 units won)
since 2003 according to Bet Labs Sports. Also, no one's ever gotten rich
betting against the Belichick and Brady. The combo has gone an absurd
144-90 ATS (61.5%, +50.11 units won) since 2003. It's also been
profitable to back huge Thursday Night favorites -13 or more. They're
7-1 ATS since 2003.
Sharps prefer the total in this game. They are pounding the Under. It
opened at 44.5 and has been bet down to 41 or even 40.5. We're seeing
some awful weather at Gillette Stadium. The forecast calls for nearly 20
mph winds, low 50s and rain. When the wind blows at 10 mph or more the
under has cashed at a 55.8% clip (+66.21 units) since 2003. Another edge
to the Under: Brad Allen is the lead official. The Under has hit at a
56.3% rate with Allen as the head ref since 2003. Allen also favors home
teams (55.8% ATS).
Checked those trends on the spread and they're right:
day=Thursday and line <=-13 https://tinyurl.com/y2jttfcr
day=Thursday and HF and season>2003 https://tinyurl.com/y2jlg9yy
bleeker also referred to the Thursday big dog in his thread
This line opened with the Patriots listed as big 15.5-point home
favorites-- the highest spread for a Thursday Night game since it began
in 2006. Three-out-of-four bets are laying the spread with the Pats.
This heavy support has pushed the line up to 17. The Giants have value
as a contrarian dog getting big points in a heavily bet game. But
Thursday Night home favorites are 70-47 ATS (59.8%, +20.08 units won)
since 2003 according to Bet Labs Sports. Also, no one's ever gotten rich
betting against the Belichick and Brady. The combo has gone an absurd
144-90 ATS (61.5%, +50.11 units won) since 2003. It's also been
profitable to back huge Thursday Night favorites -13 or more. They're
7-1 ATS since 2003.
Sharps prefer the total in this game. They are pounding the Under. It
opened at 44.5 and has been bet down to 41 or even 40.5. We're seeing
some awful weather at Gillette Stadium. The forecast calls for nearly 20
mph winds, low 50s and rain. When the wind blows at 10 mph or more the
under has cashed at a 55.8% clip (+66.21 units) since 2003. Another edge
to the Under: Brad Allen is the lead official. The Under has hit at a
56.3% rate with Allen as the head ref since 2003. Allen also favors home
teams (55.8% ATS).
Checked those trends on the spread and they're right:
day=Thursday and line <=-13 https://tinyurl.com/y2jttfcr
day=Thursday and HF and season>2003 https://tinyurl.com/y2jlg9yy
bleeker also referred to the Thursday big dog in his thread
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