NFL Post Season Trends

[zafzaf]

created via Bet Labs


Underdogs (line 7 or higher) are 30-19 ATS but 4-8 ATS on wild cards ---> Det, Mia
teams off win vs team off loss 21-18 ATS (with teams win rate over %63 are 16-8 ATS) --> Sea, Pitts

[Chamblin]

Re: NFL Post Season Trends

Thanks

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Post Season Trends

Wildcard SOS Angle. Since 2002 team with a higher Sagarin Strength of Schedule: 40-16 straight up and 40-15-1 ATS
Teams with Strength of Schedule margin of 10+ went 23-4 SU, 22-4-1 ATS . 85% win rate.


Raiders, Lions, Steelers, Giants had higher strength of schedule. (Play on these teams)
Raiders and Steelers have SOS with margin greater than 10 for 85% win trend.

[zafzaf]

Re: NFL Post Season Trends

Favorites coming off a bye have gone 18-30 ATS in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs. (via BetLabs)

[zafzaf]

Re: NFL Post Season Trends

Trends favors Houston

Teams that won their previous game by 10 or more points and then are underdogs of 7 or more points in the playoffs have gone 15-8 ATS.

Teams that lost the previous head-to-head matchup by 2 or more touchdowns and then are underdogs in the rematch in the playoffs have gone 24-14 ATS.

Underdogs that wagered less than %50 spread have gone 18-6 ATS.