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**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 07:46 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

NFL

Week 10

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 10

8:25 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 07:46 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 10

Thurs – Nov. 10

Cleveland at Baltimore, 8:25 PM ET
Cleveland: 5-15 ATS as an underdog
Baltimore: 16-5 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 07:52 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

NFL Week 10

Cleveland (0-9) @ Baltimore (4-4) - Ravens (-6.5) trailed 20-0 in Cleveland in Week 2, rallied to win 25-20; they’re 15-2 in last 17 series games, 7-1 in last eight played here- Browns lost 33-30 in OT here LY. Baltimore ended 4-game skid with win over Steelers LW, are atop NFC North despite 4-4 record; they are 1-6-1 in last eight games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year. Winless Browns have been outscored 148-51 in second half of games; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs, losing away games by 19-6-11-2-14 points. Ravens have only four offensive TDs in last four games; their only score LW was on 95-yard pass in 1st quarter. Browns allowed 610 yards on ground in last three games. Over is 6-2 in last eight Cleveland games, 3-1 in Ravens’ last four. Home side is 4-0 vs spread in AFC North divisional games.

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 07:53 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

Browns aim for 1st win
By Sportsbook.ag

Cleveland Browns (0-9 SU; 2-7 ATS) vs. Baltimore Ravens (4-4 SU; 3-5 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Baltimore (-10); Total Set at 45

The winless Cleveland Browns are hoping a short week can reverse their fortunes and get rid of that goose egg in the win column in Week 10. Cleveland has lost nine straight games to open up the year and are on the road in Baltimore as double digit dogs, looking to avenge a 25-20 loss to the Ravens earlier this year. Things have looked bleak all year for the Browns while the rest of the sports teams in the city play for championships, and while bettors have done quite well going against this awful Browns team all year, that may not be the case this week.

Looking at the schedule, this is a tough spot for the Ravens to come out and win by multiple scores as this game is on a short week and sandwiched between two teams with Super Bowl aspirations in 2016. Baltimore looked good – at least on defense – in beating Pittsburgh on Sunday, but they've also got a big game with Dallas on deck. This game with the winless Browns on TNF could qualify as one of those “trap” games people like to talk about, and asking the Ravens to win by 11+ points may be a bit too steep.

Cleveland on the other hand is doing everything they can to get that first W, but all these losses have begun to wear the players done. Multiple Browns commented on how all these defeats are really wearing on them mentally after Dallas beat up on them 35-10 last week and motivation will be something to keep in mind when handicapping Cleveland games the rest of the way. Obviously the motivation to get that first win and do it against a division rival should be rather high this week, especially when things don't get much easier the rest of the way for Cleveland.

Furthermore, the Browns have developed a bit of a pattern during their nine defeats this year that suggests this week's game will be one of their better ones. After almost every double digit loss by Cleveland this year they've bounced back with a narrow defeat. They've had four losses by six points or less and three of those four came after losing by double digits the week prior. There aren't really a whole lot of positives you can talk about with Cleveland this year, but from a betting perspective this week, that definitely qualifies as one.

Secondly, division rematch games across the entire NFL have worked out quite well ATS for the team that fell in the first meeting. Last week we saw Atlanta bring home the money on TNF after failing to cover and losing outright to Tampa in their first meeting, and the week prior to that saw both Denver and New England avenge earlier outright losses with SU and ATS wins against San Diego and Buffalo respectively. That's a perfect 3-0 ATS mark for teams that failed to cover in the first meeting and that's precisely the spot the Browns are in this week.

Finally, the Browns organization have had some success in Baltimore in the past as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips here, and the road team in these rivalry games has gone 12-3-1 ATS the past 16. Cleveland is also 5-1 ATS in their last six appearances on TNF, and with the Ravens sporting a 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine TNF games, things could be looking up for Cleveland this week. Baltimore is also on a 3-11-1 ATS run at home and a 3-10-1 ATS run vs teams with a losing record.

I still wouldn't spit in the wind and consider a Browns ML bet in this spot, but 10 points looks like a few too many for a Baltimore team that is coming off a war vs. Pittsburgh and has scored just 19.3 points per game this season. It may be one of those wagers you've got to make and then plug your nose afterwards, but Cleveland should keep this game within this number.

Best Bet: Take Cleveland +10

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 07:53 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview
By Covers.com

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-10, 45)

The Cleveland Browns will be looking to avoid moving one step closer to a dubious league record when they visit the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. The Browns not only are attempting to avoid matching the worst start in franchise history, but also end the chances of joining the Detroit Lions as the only team to finish 0-16.

"We're not going to go 0-16. That's for a fact," Cleveland linebacker Chris Kirksey said following Sunday's 35-10 home drubbing by Dallas. "We're not going to be winless". One of the reasons the Browns are in this predicament is a 25-20 loss to Baltimore in Week 2, when they blew a 20-2 first-quarter lead. The Ravens were mired in a slide of their own heading into their bye, but snapped a four-game skid with a 21-14 win over visiting Pittsburgh on Sunday. That victory moved Baltimore back to the .500 mark and, more importantly, into a tie with the Steelers atop the AFC North.

LINE HISTORY: The Baltimore Ravens opened as big 10.5-point home favorite over the winless Cleveland Browns and by Wednesday night that number was down to -10. The total opened at 45.5 and came down slightly to 45. View the complete line history here.

WEATHER: Conditions are expected to be clear with temperatures at around 50 degrees at kickoff. It's not expected to rain (POP 1-2 percent) and winds will be light (5 mph) and not a factor on the field.

INJURIES:

Browns - WR R. Louis (probable, hamstring), OL J. Thomas (probable, knee), DL J. Meder (probable, knee), DL C. Nassib (probable, eye), QB C. Kessler (probable, leg), WR T. Pryor Sr. (probable, hamstring), LB N. Orchard (questionable, ankle), DB J. Haden (questionable, groin), DB J. Taylor (out, groin), WR J. Gordon (out indefinitely, suspension), QB R. Griffin III (questionable, shoulder).

Ravens - RB K. Dixon (probable, chest), CB S. Wright (questionable, hamstring), TE C. Gilmore (questionable, thigh), LB K. Correa (questionable, thigh), G M. Yanda (doubtful, shoulder), LB E. Dumervil (out indefinitely, foot).

ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-9 SU, 2-7 ATS, 6-3 O/U): Cleveland has had a revolving door at quarterback, losing starter Robert Griffin III in the season opener and watching Josh McCown suffer a broken collarbone against the Ravens. While McCown returned to the lineup in a narrow loss to the New York Jets in Week 8, coach Hue Jackson went back to Cody Kessler on Sunday and will stick with the rookie Thursday despite a nondescript effort against the Cowboys. The Browns managed only 45 yards rushing versus Dallas, including four on six carries by Isaiah Crowell, who ran for a season-high 133 yards and a touchdown in Week 2. The Browns are yielding 421.7 yards and 30.3 points per game, each ranking 31st in the league.

ABOUT THE RAVENS (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS, 3-4-1 O/U): Baltimore's defense came up big in the win over bitter rival Pittsburgh, holding the Steelers to 277 total yards and 36 on the ground to build a 21-0 lead in the third quarter. There remain plenty of concerns over the offense, which produced one touchdown -- a 95-yard scoring pass to wideout Mike Wallace -- and also labored on the ground, rushing for 50 yards on 29 carries. Baltimore ranks 28th in the league with 81.8 yards rushing per game and is averaging 2.2 yards per carry over the past three contests -- a full two yards less than in the first five games. Quarterback Joe Flacco has more interceptions (seven) than TD passes (six) and a paltry 76.0 passer rating.

TRENDS:

* Browns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North.
* Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Over is 6-0 in Browns last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 home games.
* Road team is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The bettors are backing the Browns with 63 percent of the wagers on the road underdogs. As for the total, 51 percent of bettors are taking the Over.

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 07:53 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

NFL: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Playing on three days rest isn't ideal for either team, but it's more difficult on visiting teams as they must travel getting even less prep, practice time. This season, Thursday visitors have been on the wrong end of the score board six times with three victories while also recording a 3-6 record against the betting line. A small a sample to gleen meaningful betting information, so we revved up the trusted NFL betting number crunching machine looking at the last 78 Thursday games. Road team records remain consistent losers as they put up 34 W's, 44 L's for a 43.5% win rate. But, adding the great equalizer (point spread) roadies cashed at a 52.5% clip going 41-36-1 against the betting line including 25-24 ATS as pooches.

Breaking stats down further, shows road teams seem to dig down a little deeper on Thursday against divisional opponents coming up winners 48.2% of the time (27-29) going 31-24-1 ATS (55.3%) including 3-1 ATS as double digit underdogs.

Making a case for Cleveland (0-9, 2-7 ATS) has its challenges. However, for those willing to take a flyer on the squad keeping it within the 10.0 point spot currently being offered at Bovada.lv. The Ravens haven't been good bets recently laying DD in front of the home audience as the result has been 1 cashed ticket, 8 tossed in the waste bin. Even more eye-opening, four of those thrashed tickets have come against Browns.

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 08:17 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

Opening Line Report - Week 10
By Marcus DiNitto

Week 10 of the 2016 NFL season offers a solid card for your betting pleasure. Among the highlights: Broncos at Saints, Falcons at Eagles, Vikings at Redskins, Cowboys at Steelers, and Seahawks at Patriots.

Here are the opening lines for the full slate, with insight from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook manager Ed Salmons and CG Technology vice president of risk Jason Simbal. Numbers listed are the Las Vegas consensus as of 11:30 p.m. ET on Sunday night, and early moves and differences among books are noted, too.

Thursday, Nov. 10

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-10)

Another Thursday-night thriller awaits bettors this week, as Baltimore lays double digits at home against the winless Browns. CG Technology originally hung Ravens -9, with a quick move to -10, the number at which multiple other Vegas shops opened.

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 08:18 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

NFL Week 10 lines that make you go hmmm...
By PETER KORNER

Longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker Peter Korner sizes up this week’s NFL schedule and picks out some of the lines making him go “hmmmm…” in Week 10:

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-10, 45)

The total in this game caught my eye for this AFC North rivalry on Thursday Night Football. As a 10-point favorite, one may assume the game will be controlled by the dominating team. Baltimore showed quite well versus Pittsburgh this past week, particularly its defense scheme. I don’t see how the Ravens won’t continue that trend against Cleveland.

They’re averaging less than 40 points per game and with the abbreviated work week, we don’t really see the teams trying to run up the score in this intra-divisional contest. Cleveland doesn’t have the firepower to suddenly chalk up too many points against a premier defensive unit. I can’t envision this game producing six touchdowns and a field goal just to tie the total. Any scoreless quarter will make it that much tougher to achieve.

Thursday nights haven’t produced the kind of excitement we usually feel for weekday games. At this point, we see both teams thinking about the extended time off after the game is over than playing full-tilt football. Go with the Under and watch your favorite hockey team instead on another channel.

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 08:18 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

Preview: Browns (0-9) at Ravens (4-4)

Date: November 10, 2016 8:25 PM EDT

The Baltimore Ravens have an opportunity to take further control of the AFC North with a victory over the winless Cleveland Browns on Thursday night.

The Ravens (4-4) sit atop the division after beating the Pittsburgh Steelers 21-14 in Week 9, which also snapped a four-game losing streak. Despite the Browns' 0-9 record, Ravens coach John Harbaugh is expecting another hard-fought game.

"We understand that this is a quality football team that we're dealing with," Harbaugh said. "Games are lost for different kinds of reasons. Usually, it's a play here and a play there, and some of those plays haven't gone their way. It can go that way. We've been in the same situation. We lost four in a row. It just was like that. That can happen. ... Our guys understand the rivalry that we have with Cleveland."

While the Ravens look to retain some momentum, the Browns are trying to avoid the first 0-10 start in the 66-year history of the franchise. Cleveland was completely dominated in a 35-10 loss to Dallas in Week 9. The Browns have allowed at least 25 points in each of its nine losses.

"We got to take the punches," Cleveland linebacker Chris Kirksey said. "Get back up and keep fighting. That's life. We're not going 0-16. We're not going to go winless. We're going to win a game."

One of the keys for the Ravens is getting several injured starters back in the lineup. The bye in Week 8 could not have come at a better time.

Ravens rookie left tackle Ronnie Stanley (foot) returned to action against Pittsburgh after missing the past four games. Stanley did show some rust and was penalized four times. Pro Bowl right guard Marshal Yanda (shoulder) also was back in the lineup after missing the past two games.

While the Ravens allowed three sacks, the offensive did appear more in sync.

Ravens wide receiver Steve Smith (ankle) also returned after missing the prior two matchups. He finished with four receptions for 47 yards, including a 30-yard catch and run in the first quarter that provided a boost to the struggling offense. Linebackers CJ Mosley (thigh) and Terrell Suggs (biceps) started and made an immediate impact.

"It's all in how you finish," Suggs said. "If you miss the playoffs, who cares where your defense ranked. This is about winning games, going to the playoffs, winning division championships, winning championships. At the end of the year, you can 1/8say 3/8 'oh, they had a top-10 defense,' whatever, but if you don't win, it doesn't matter. Winning is the only thing that matters, the only thing."

The Ravens won the first matchup this season, 25-20, after trailing 20-0 in the first quarter. That was the second biggest comeback in franchise history. This time, Ravens will look to take the struggling Browns out of the game early.

Browns rookie quarterback Cody Kessler returned from a concussion and made the start against Dallas. He completed 19 of 27 pass attempts for 203 yards with a touchdown. However, he was sacked four times and appeared to be limping after the game.

Browns coach Hue Jackson confirmed Kessler will get the start Thursday against the Ravens.

"He is a young player, and I want to have an opportunity to watch him (against) the toughest competition so we can do a better job of evaluating him for our future," Jackson said.

Jackson was also looking forward to playing on the short week to hopefully take the sting out of the latest loss, but acknowledged the Ravens' aggressive defense poses a huge challenge.

"You get a chance to get that taste out of your mouth," Jackson said. "Obviously, that game was here at home in front of our fans and people that we like to go out and perform well for. We were not able to do that 1/8for them 3/8. We get a chance to go on the road and go play another game against a very good opponent."

Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in 2015, gave the team and fans a scare in the fourth quarter against Pittsburgh. Flacco was forced to hop off the field after he jammed his surgically repaired left knee on awkward slide in the third quarter. Flacco ran directly into the locker room and was able to return with a new knee brace.

Flacco said he is fully healthy and the Ravens need to take advantage of their situation in the current standings.

"We can say that we're atop the division," Flacco said. "I think when you have a handful of guys on your team, and this is the first time being in this game with these guys, it gives them a lot of confidence moving forward."

**TheGame** · 11-10-2016, 08:18 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info 11/10

Tech Trends - Week 10
By Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 10

CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE (NFL Network, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Browns have covered 5 of last 6 at Baltimore. Hue Jackson teams at Oakland (2011) and Cleveland TY are “over” 12-4 last 16 games.
Tech Edge: “Over” and Browns, based on “totals” and series trends.

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NFL Betting Info 11/10

NFL Betting Info 11/10

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