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  • NFL Betting Info 11/3

    NFL
    Long Sheet


    Week 9


    Thursday, November 3


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    ATLANTA (5 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 4) - 11/3/2016, 8:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
    TAMPA BAY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  • #2
    Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

    NFL


    Week 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Thursday, November 3


    8:25 PM
    ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
    Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

      NFL
      Short Sheet


      Week 9


      Thurs – Nov. 3


      Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 8:25 PM ET
      Atlanta: 1-11 ATS as a favorite
      Tampa Bay: 12-6 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

        Opening Line Report - Week 9
        By Marcus DiNitto


        Here’s a game-by-game look the early point spreads for the NFL’s Week 9 betting card, with insight from two Las Vegas oddsmakers – CG Technology vice president of risk Jason Simbal and Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook manager Ed Salmons.


        The numbers listed are the Las Vegas consensus as of about 11:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, with early line moves and differences among sports books noted.


        Thursday , Nov. 3


        Atlanta Falcons (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers


        The Bucs have won the last three meetings in this series, including at Atlanta in Week 1 this season. That didn’t stop oddsmakers from posting the Falcons as the road favorites and early bettors from laying the points. CG Technology opened Atlanta -2, moved on air from -2.5 minutes later, and then to -3 after taking a bet on the chalk.


        “We have a few guys each week who try to hit the early numbers if they think they’re off, and this was one of those guys,” Simbal said of the wager.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

          Preview: Falcons (5-3) at Buccaneers (3-4)


          Date: November 03, 2016 8:25 PM EDT


          TAMPA, Fla. -- When Tampa Bay opened the season with a 31-24 road victory over the Atlanta Falcons, it was a promising start to Dirk Koetter's head coaching career against a team he and Buccaneers defensive coordinator Mike Smith coached together.


          But as the rematch approaches Thursday night at Raymond James Stadium, much has changed as the Buccaneers find themselves considerably short-handed as they try to stop a Falcons' offense that has established itself as the NFL's best.


          "I think they're playing with more confidence, and you would expect that: They won some big games," Koetter said.


          The Falcons (5-3) have the NFC South lead and quarterback Matt Ryan leads the NFL in touchdown passes (19) and passing yards (2,636), having thrown scoring passes to an NFL-best 10 different players. The biggest challenge will be containing receiver Julio Jones, who went off for 300 yards in a victory against Carolina this season, but the Buccaneers held him to 66 yards in the first meeting. Jones has been slowed by a knee injury, but the Bucs fully expect to face him.


          "Julio Jones is going to play," said Smith, his coach in Atlanta until last year. "He is obviously one of the top three receivers in the league. There's no doubt about that. Maybe No. 1. I think he's probably one of the toughest guys to defend."


          The Bucs won't have nearly the same offensive lineup they had around quarterback Jameis Winston in the first meeting. Doug Martin and Charles Sims, the team's top two running backs, are injured as is No. 2 receiver Vincent Jackson, and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins, who caught a 30-yard touchdown against the Falcons, has since been arrested on a DUI charge and waived.


          As if losing their top two backs wasn't enough, the Bucs are expected to be without former Falcons back Jacquizz Rodgers, who had filled in admirably with back-to-back 100-yard games before getting injured Sunday in a loss to the Raiders.


          Now the Bucs move forward with three backs all signed off the street since the start of the season -- former Falcons back Antone Smith, who has never had more than four carries in a game; rookie Peyton Barber, who played only three offensive snaps in Sunday's loss; and Mike James, who was signed Tuesday after being waived-injured by the Bucs in Week 1, days before the first Falcons game.


          The quick turnaround to a Thursday game is tough enough, but the Bucs are coming off an overtime loss to Oakland that saw their defense on the field for 94 snaps. The Raiders piled up 626 yards of total offense, including a franchise-record 512 passing by Derek Carr, whose fourth touchdown won the game late in overtime.


          Atlanta, too, had their game Sunday come down to the wire as Mohamed Sanu caught the game-winning touchdown in a win over the Packers, so both teams will be physically spent entering the game.


          "Our last three weeks, all the games have come right down to the end," coach Dan Quinn said Tuesday. "We had some disappointing finishes where we thought we had a chance to finish and we didn't, then in this game where we did. We're glad we had another opportunity to try to finish ... we've got work to do, but we're pleased we were able to finish it this past one."


          If the Bucs (3-4) win, they'll have the season sweep of the Falcons and be a half-game out of first and even in losses with the Falcons. They'll need to play much better defensively than they did against Oakland, while facing the NFL's top passer, but Tampa Bay has won three straight against Atlanta -- all since Winston took over as quarterback last season.


          Both teams will enjoy the longer break after Thursday's game with the Bucs staying home to face the Bears in Week 10, while the Falcons go to the Eagles next weekend before finally getting their open date.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

            Thursday's Top Action


            NFL Week 9 Thursday Night Football Betting Preview
            Atlanta Falcons (5-3 SU; 5-3 ATS) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4 SU; 3-4 ATS)


            Odds: Atlanta (-4); Total set at 51.5


            The NFC South leading Atlanta Falcons kick off Week 9 of the NFL season with the hopes of avenging their lone loss within division play as they head to Tampa to play the Bucs. Tampa Bay went into Atlanta in Week 1 and came away with a 31-24 victory as small road underdogs and that didn't sit well with the Falcons at all.


            Since then, Atlanta has played a top tier brand of football this year and it's not hard to make a case that they shouldn't have lost a game since then. But with the NFC South getting tighter and tighter each week, this is a critical game for both sides.


            The Falcons currently have the best offense in the league in terms of yards per game (425.2) and points scored per game at 32.8. That's a lethal combination for opposing defenses to try and slow down and the fact that the Falcons have put up 30 or more points in five of their seven games since that Week 1 to Tampa has to be concerning to Bucs fans.


            Tampa Bay's defense is a bottom tier unit in both yards allowed per game (390) and points allowed per game (27), so on paper it looks like the Falcons will easily be able to get their revenge.


            However, we've seen quite a few sloppy football games this year on TNF as the short week of rest and prep time definitely appears to have some sort of effect on teams and I wouldn't be so quick to rule that out as the case here.


            In Tampa's three wins this year it's been their defensive play that's taken center stage. They've allowed 24, 17 and 14 points in their three victories, compared to giving up 30, 27, 37, and 40 in their four losses.


            For all the headlines and love that offensive players like QB Jameis Winston and WR Mike Evans get in the media, internally, the Bucs know that the success of their team depends heavily on how well their defense plays on a given day. That unit was able to do enough to keep the Falcons in check in Week 1, but that was also before Atlanta's offense really got on this roll and this week will bring a whole different set of challenges for Tampa Bay.


            However, don't be surprised to see Tampa rise up to the challenge as all three of their victories have come when they went into the game as underdogs like they are this week. Atlanta's defense has had plenty of their own issues this year having allowed 30+ points five times already – a fact largely covered up by how well their offense has played.


            Winston and company were the first to put up 30+ on the Falcons this year and with this time being at home, I do expect the Bucs to have some success. Yet, while I do lean on grabbing the points with the home underdog on the side, it's this total that looks to be the better play.


            As I mentioned earlier, TNF games are no strangers to sloppy football and this game won't be immune. Already nearly 70% of the money on this total has come in on the high side of this number as we've got two teams that statistically allow plenty of points, and one (Atlanta) that's the highest scoring team in the league.


            But this game could get nasty and have a playoff feel to it with Tampa's hopes of a division title likely hanging in the balance, and going against the grain, I believe these two defenses will show up much better than the majority believe.


            Four of the last five meetings in Tampa Bay between these two have cashed 'under' tickets, and the Falcons are on a 5-12-1 O/U run in their last 18 away from home. Atlanta is also 3-10 O/U after allowing 30+ points and have got a 3-9-1 O/U run going in division games, while Tampa is on a 3-8 O/U run in division games themselves.


            Even with a short week to prep, the talk in both organizations is that their defensive play as to get much better and we could see that start this week. The total currently has that nice hook on a key number of “51” for 'under' players and that's how I see this game ending up.


            Best Bet: Atlanta/Tampa Bay Under 51.5 points

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

              Thursday Night Football betting preview: Falcons at Buccaneers


              Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5, 51)


              The Atlanta Falcons may own the NFL's top-ranked offense and reside on top of the NFC South, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had their number with Jameis Winston under center. The former Heisman Trophy recipient will look to guide the Buccaneers to their second series sweep of the Falcons in as many seasons on Thursday night as the division rivals clash at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.


              Winston tossed four touchdown passes in a 31-24 season-opening victory over Atlanta on Sept. 11 and added two more in a 30-24 overtime loss to Oakland on Sunday. Trusted target Mike Evans reeled in a scoring strike against the Falcons and his six touchdown receptions are tied for the NFL lead.


              Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan continued his stellar season with three touchdown passes in Sunday's 33-32 victory over Green Bay, capping his 32nd career game-winning drive with an 11-yard scoring strike to offseason acquisition Mohamed Sanu. Ryan, who leads the league in both yards (2,636) and touchdowns (19), has thrown for 1,000 yards and five scores in his last three encounters with Tampa Bay and faces a Buccaneers defense that ranks 23rd in the league (274.7 yards per contest).


              TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.


              LINE: The Falcons opened as field goal road favorites and that jumped to -3.5. The total has dropped from 51.5 to 51.


              WEATHER: The forecast for Raymond James Stadium is calling for partially cloudy skied with temperatures in the mid 70's with winds blowing NNE at 5 mph.


              INJURIES: Falcons - DE D. Freeney (questionable), DT. G. Jarrett (questionable), G A. Levitre (questionable), S B. Poole (questionable), T. Coleman (doubtful), TE J. Tamme (out). Bucs - DT C. MacDonald (questionable), RB J. Rodgers (questionable), WR R. Shepard (questionable), DE W. Gholston (questionable), RB D. Martin (out).


              WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Having opened at three, and almost immediately moving to 3.5, it’s clear that everyone has been on Atlanta from the start for Thursday night’s matchup against the Bucs. Right now 70 percent of the action is on the Falcons, and I would be surprised if the line doesn’t get up to at least Atlanta -4." - Mick Sloan


              WHAT SHARPS SAY: "At 2-5, even the Carolina Panthers have a mathematical shot at winning the NFC South. Atlanta is 5-2 and the Bucs are 3-4, making Thursday's contest an extremely important one. Tampa Bay won 31-24 in Atlanta in their respective openers, so it's interesting to note that the Falcons are 8-6 ATS in their last 14 in trying to avenge a loss versus an opponent." - AAA Sports.


              ABOUT THE FALCONS (5-3, 5-3 ATS): Julio Jones has amassed an NFC-best 859 yards and is averaging 20.0 yards per catch, but the electric wideout was hobbled by an ailing knee and finished with 29 yards receiving for the second time this season. While Jones is expected to play on Thursday, running back Tevin Coleman (hamstring) is listed as questionable after sitting out last week's tilt versus the Packers. Devonta Freeman more than picked up the slack with a rushing and receiving touchdown last week and has 100-plus scrimmage yards in two of his last three contests, although he was limited to just 20 yards on 11 carries in the season-opening loss.


              ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (3-4, 3-4 ATS): While Tampa Bay's passing game is pretty well defined, the backfield has remained in motion through most of the season due to injury. Jacquizz Rodgers filled in admirably for Doug Martin (hamstring) before sustaining a sprained foot versus the Raiders, perhaps opening the door for a three-man backfield of Antone Smith, Peyton Barber and Mike James. Linebacker Kwon Alexander recorded 14 tackles versus Oakland last week, his highest total since collecting 17 in the season opener at Atlanta.


              TRENDS:


              * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Tampa Bay.
              * Favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
              * Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Tampa Bay.


              CONSENSUS: 76 percent of bets are on Atlanta while 73 percent of totals bets are on the Over.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

                Free NFL Picks: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds & Predictions
                by Alan Matthews


                I'm just going to pretend that last Thursday's game between the Jaguars and Titans didn't happen, even though I was right on my spread pick , because that was pretty darn unwatchable -- and not just because of the garish uniforms. I actually think NFL ratings will pick up soon because the MLB playoffs will be over by Wednesday night at the latest and the presidential election will come to a merciful conclusion next Tuesday.


                This Thursday's game is actually fairly interesting as Atlanta (5-3) visits Tampa Bay (3-4) in a potentially important NFC South matchup. That division is totally up for grabs, especially if Bucs win here, and I wouldn't even rule out Carolina (2-5) winning it for a fourth straight year. The Panthers were heavy preseason favorites to do so, but now Atlanta is the -275. The Falcons already own wins over Carolina and New Orleans (3-4) but lost in Week 1 to Tampa Bay 31-24, so a Bucs victory here obviously would give them the head-to-head tiebreaker.


                In that opening game, Tampa's Jameis Winston threw for 281 yards and four touchdowns, all to different receivers. Kwon Alexander was a beast defensively with 17 tackles (15 solo), two tackles for loss and a sack. Atlanta actually had a slight statistical edge. Matt Ryan threw for 334 yards with two touchdowns and his team didn't turn the ball over. Tampa Bay has won three straight in the series --- first time this decade -- after two close victories last year.


                Falcons at Bucs Betting Story Lines


                Atlanta played in one of the highest-scoring games of Week 8 and beat visiting Green Bay 33-32 on a Ryan to Mohamed Sanu 11-yard touchdown pass with 31 seconds left. It was Ryan's third career game-winning touchdown pass in the final two minutes of the fourth quarter. If not for Tom Brady, Ryan would be your likely MVP favorite right now as he leads the NFL in passing yards (2,636) and TDs (19) and is second in rating (115.8) and third in completions (69.2 percent).


                Ryan didn't have running back Tevin Coleman against the Packers due to a hamstring injury, and he won't play here. Coleman has six TDs on the season and is a terrific change-of-pace to starter Devonta Freeman and good pass-catcher. Top Falcons tight end Jacob Tamme left early against Green Bay with a shoulder injury and won't play here. Rookie Austin Hooper will get the start. The Falcons still lead the league in total (425.3 ypg) and scoring (32.8 ppg) offense.


                I honestly didn't have much faith that mediocre Falcons defense would prevent Aaron Rodgers from driving the Packers into field-goal range after Ryan's TD pass, but Green Bay went four-and-out. And I still think that defense is why Atlanta won't win the NFC. It allows 379.3 yards and 28.9 points per game.


                Tampa Bay lost at home to Oakland 30-24 in overtime in Week 8 as the Bucs allowed David Carr to have one of the best days of any quarterback in league annals. How do you lose a game where the opponent is penalized a record 23 times for 200 yards? I'll tell you how: by committing a defensive holding penalty when Oakland had been stopped on fourth down inside the Tampa Bay 10 with less than two minutes left in regulation. That led to the Raiders tying the game.


                Winston as 16-for-32 for 180 yards and two TDs. Jacquizz Rodgers continued his career resurgence with 19 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown. He has been amazing the past three games with Doug Martin still out, but Rodgers sprained his foot and is likely out Thursday. Martin still is too with his hammy, so you are looking at a no-name committee back there. So Winston likely will need to have a huge game to pull the minor upset.


                The Bucs' defense, coordinated by former Falcons head coach Mike Smith, hasn't been much better than Atlanta's in allowing 27 points per game. Against the Raiders, the Bucs' defense was on the field for a total of 44 minutes and 85 plays. So that unit might be totally gassed still on Thursday. The 356 total yards differential between the Bucs (270 yards offense) and Raiders (626 total offense) Sunday was the most in the NFL this season.


                Falcons at Bucs Betting Odds and Trends


                Atlanta is a 3-point favorite (-130) with a total of 51. On the moneyline, the Falcons are -185 and the Bucs +160. On the alternate lines, Atlanta is -3.5 (-105) and -4 (+103). The Falcons are 5-3 against the spread (4-0 on road) and 7-1 "over/under" (3-1 on road). Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS (0-3 at home) and 4-3 O/U (2-1 at home).


                Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its past six Thursday games. It is 3-8 ATS in its past 11 vs. teams with a losing record. The Falcons are 2-10 ATS in their past 12 following an ATS loss. Tampa is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 vs. the NFC South. The Bucs are 1-5 ATS in their past six on Thursday. The over is 5-0 in the Falcons' past five vs. the NFC. The over is 5-2 in Tampa's past seven after a loss. The favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings.


                Falcons at Bucs Betting Prediction


                This is one of the tougher Thursday games to handicap in my opinion. But that's largely because most of the other one were mismatches. All things equal, I tend to lean the home team in these quick-turnaround games. But Tampa is also winless at home and just played a marathon game in the heat. Give the 3 points and go over the total.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

                  Week 9 NFL


                  Thursday Game


                  Falcons (5-3) @ Buccaneers (3-4)— Underdogs are 20-3 vs spread in Atlanta games since Quinn has been their coach. Over is 7-1 in their games this year; road teams covered seven of eight games. Falcons are 3-1 on road (4-0 vs spread) but were dogs in all four. Bucs are 0-3 at home this year after 30-24 OT loss to Oakland; Raiders ran 85 plays for 626 yards, averaged 8.2 ypa. Tampa allowed 24 or less points in its wins, 27+ in its losses. Tampa Bay had three TD plays of 23+ yards in 31-24 win (+3) in season opener in Atlanta; Winston averaged 8.5 yds/pass attempt. Bucs won last three series games, by 3-4-7 points; LY was their first series sweep since ’07. Falcons are 4-3 in last seven visits here. Underdogs are 4-0 vs spread in NFC South divisional games so far this season.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

                    Tech Trends - Week 9
                    By Bruce Marshall


                    Thursday, Nov. 3


                    ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY (NFL Network, 8:30 p.m. ET)
                    Falcs "over" 7-1 this season including opening loss at home vs. Bucs. TB has won and covered last three meetings. Falcs 4-0 vs. line away this season, Bucs 0-3 at home TY and 5-15 last 20 vs. spread at Raymond James.
                    Tech Edge: Falcons and "over," based on team and 'totals" trends.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

                      TNF - Falcons at Bucs
                      By Tony Mejia


                      Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-4, 51), 8:25 pm ET, NFLN


                      Jameis Winston has won all three of his starts against the Falcons, so considering he’s 6-14 in his starts against the rest of the league, you might say the second-year quarterback has their number. He’s accounted for eight scores, six through three air and a pair with his legs, in the victories. His best game of the season came against them.
                      The top pick of the 2015 draft has been a tease of sorts, displaying his marvelous talent in flashes that have been frustratingly alternated with bouts of inconsistency.


                      Fortunately for Winston, Atlanta is back on the schedule, just before a halfway point in a season that could go either way for Tampa Bay. He opened the season by firing four touchdown passes against the Falcons, then threw four interceptions the very next week at Arizona to begin a three-game losing streak. He’s only 22 years old, so by no means can you get carried away and call this a crossroads, but as far as this season is concerned, he could steer his team in the right direction by turning the corner at exactly this moment.
                      Coming off an average game in an OT loss to Oakland where he took what the defense gave him for three quarters and then bombed in the fourth and overtime, Winston will try and play to his strengths at home by continuing to own Atlanta head coach Dan Quinn and defensive coordinator Richard Smith. He leads the NFL in passer rating (136.7) on play action passes per Pro Football Focus, but is second-worst on drop-backs. As was the case at Florida State, he typically saves his best for last, playing best in the second half, where he’s thrown eight touchdowns against just two picks. The Bucs want him engaged and reacting, thinking on his feet as opposed to sitting back and trusting an offensive line that’s gotten him hit more than any other starter in the league.
                      The Falcons pulled off a 33-32 comeback win over Green Bay on Sunday by harassing Aaron Rodgers on third down and are looking to get after Winston despite the absence of Dwight Freeney, so it’s going to be on Winston to keep his team out of situations that can be taken advantage of. Getting the ball out quickly has been emphasized in practice this short week.
                      For Atlanta, a win here would allow it to take the NFC South by the throat, going up 2.5 games up on the Bucs and avoiding a situation where they would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker. New Orleans, suddenly rejuvenated, are at San Francisco this weekend and may also make up ground. Considering what happened to Quinn’s group in his first season with the Falcons, when a 6-1 start ended 8-8 and without a playoff appearance, picking up a win here and restoring a healthy cushion would be invaluable.
                      Matt Ryan has to be sick of hearing he got outplayed by young Winston, especially since his output hasn’t been terrible. He threw for 397 yards against Tampa at home last year and opened this season with a 334-yard, two-touchdown effort. He’s enjoyed a terrific 2016, ranking tops in the NFC in QB rating (88.4), just behind Tom Brady (96.4) and Andrew Luck (88.9) thus far. Ryan’s big day against the Packers featured his 32nd career game-winning comeback and put him on the short list of MVP candidates approaching the halfway point. A great effort on the Thursday night stage would only aid that cause. Sportsbooks currently rank him a distant second (+500) behind Brady (+110) in their current future odds.


                      Atlanta Falcons
                      Season win total: 7 (Over -130, Under +110)
                      Odds to win NFC South: 2/5 to 2/7
                      Odds to win NFC: 15/1 to 8/1
                      Odds to win Super Bowl: 30/1 to 20/1


                      Tampa Bay Buccaneers
                      Season win total: 7 (Over -140, Under +120)
                      Odds to win NFC South: 4/1 to 9/1
                      Odds to win NFC: 100/1 to 100/1
                      Odds to win Super Bowl: 200/1 to 200/1


                      LINE MOVEMENT


                      Division odds for these rivals opened with both at 7-to-1, went to 8-to-1 entering Week 1 since the Panthers were so heavily favored (4-to-13) but are obviously different (reflected above) now that Carolina has fallen off. If you're bullish on the Bucs, now is the time to get in on that 9-to-1 future. Conference odds were each placed at 40-to-1, while being doubled to 80-to-1 to win the Super Bowl in the preseason and have a considerably different look at the WestgateLV SuperBook now. As far as this matchup is concerned, the advanced line was set at Falcons -2, opened at -3 this week and moved to -4 at most books as of Thursday morning. The total opened at 51 and continues to hover in that range.


                      INJURY CONCERNS


                      Falcons RB Tevin Coleman was a force out of the backfield with 95 receiving yards in the first meeting (117 total yards), but has been ruled out with a hamstring injury, leaving a heavier load for starter Devonta Freeman, who was held to a season-low 40 total yards (20 rushing, 20 receiving). TE Jacob Tamme (shoulder) is also out, as is Freeney. Atlanta will have offensive standout Julio Jones and G Andy Levitre available.
                      Tampa Bay’s starting RB Doug Martin (96 total yards in Week 1) hasn’t played since the Falcons game on Sept. 18, while Jacquizz Rodgers, who took over this month and has run for 324 in his last three starts, has been ruled out with a foot injury. Veteran Antone Smith will start, backed by rookie Peyton Barber. DE William Gholston will be out there for the Bucs.


                      RECENT MEETINGS (Tampa Bay 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS last five; UNDER 3-2)


                      9/11/16 Tampa Bay 31-24 at Atlanta (ATL -2.5, 47)
                      12/6/15 Tampa Bay 23-19 vs. Atlanta (TB -1, 46.5)
                      11/1/15 Tampa Bay 23-20 at Atlanta (ATL -8, 47.5)
                      11/9/14 Atlanta 27-17 at Tampa Bay (ATL -3, 47.5)
                      9/18/14 Atlanta 56-14 vs. Tampa Bay (ATL -6.5, 47)


                      PROPS


                      Of the props available below at the WestgateLV Superbook, I'd ride that Winston pass completion prop going over in addition to Mike Evans yardage.


                      Jameis Winston completions 21: (-110 o/u)
                      Matt Ryan passing yards 312.5: (-110 o/u)
                      Mike Evans receiving yards 85.5: (-110 o/u)
                      Julio Jones receiving yards 95.5: (-110 o/u)
                      Jameis Winston TD passes 1.5: (-135 over, +115 under)
                      Matt Ryan TD Passes 2: (-150 over, +130 under)
                      Total combined sacks 4.5: (+105 over, -125 under)
                      First score of game will be: (-190 TD, +170 other)
                      Total points: Falcons 27.5, Bucs 24 (-110 o/u)


                      FALCONS AS A ROAD FAVORITE


                      The Falcons are playing this role for the first time this season but are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS getting points on the road, so they've earned this respect. They were 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS as a road favorite last year.


                      BUCS AS A HOME UNDERDOG


                      Tampa Bay was a pick'em at home in Sunday's OT loss against Oakland and were handled 27-7 by Denver on Oct. 2 so we'll see how they fare as a home dog here. In ’15, the Bucs were just 1-2 SU and ATS as a home favorite and have notoriously been terrible at Raymond James Stadium, which allowed them to pick high enough to land Winston.


                      NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED


                      The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 10 has the Falcons as 2.5-point underdogs in Philadelphia. The Bucs are back at home and have been placed as a 3-point favorite against Chicago.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: NFL Betting Info 11/3

                        StatFox Super Situations


                        NFL*|*ATLANTA*at*TAMPA BAY
                        Play Under - Any team against the total after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%)
                        41-15*since 1997.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)

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