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NFL Betting Info 10/17

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  • NFL Betting Info 10/17

    Preview: N.Y. Jets at Arizona


    When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 17, 2016
    Where: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona


    Carson Palmer is poised to return to the lineup when the Arizona Cardinals host the skidding New York Jets on Monday Night Football. After sitting out last week, Palmer has been cleared from the league's concussion protocol in time to face the Jets, who are mired in a three-game skid in which all the losses have come by double digits.


    Drew Stanton stepped in for Palmer at San Francisco on Oct. 6 and guided Arizona to a 33-21 victory that halted a two-game losing streak. The Cardinals (2-3) have already lost as many games as last season, when they won posted 13 victories and won the NFC West title before losing to Carolina in the conference title game. Jets coach Todd Bowles, who went 10-6 in his first campaign with New York, knows what he's up against in Arizona, serving under Bruce Arians as the team's defensive coordinator in 2013-14. “With a guy who taught me almost half my football life, you try not to let him down, and in order not to let him down, I have to win the game,” Bowles said jokingly of facing Arians.


    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Cardinals -7.5. O/U: 46.5


    ABOUT THE JETS (1-4): New York has scored 33 points during the three-game losing streak and was blanked in the second half of last week's 31-13 loss at Pittsburgh, although quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick did not throw an interception after he was picked off nine times in the previous two games. Losing wide receiver Eric Decker, who had 12 touchdown receptions in 2015, to season-ending shoulder surgery is another blow to the passing attack. The Jets have not been helped by a suspect running game as Matt Forte rushed for 100 yards and three touchdowns in their lone win at Buffalo in Week 2, but has been held to 80 yards in the past two weeks. New York ranks No. 2 against the run (68.4 yards per game) but is getting gouged through the air (303.0 yards).


    ABOUT THE CARDINALS (2-3): Arians wants to see improvement from Palmer, who set career highs in all major categories and was in the conversation for league MVP for much of last season but is off to a slow start with six touchdowns and five interceptions through his four starts. “Just keep throwing it,” Arians said. “See if they can keep catching it and throw it a little farther on the deep balls.” The Cardinals do have the luxury of a standout running back in David Johnson, who rumbled for 157 yards and two touchdowns at San Francisco and set a franchise record by going over 100 yards from scrimmage in each of the first five games. Arizona managed only 36 sacks last season, but is already halfway to that mark, led by linebacker Markus Golden with six.


    EXTRA POINTS


    1. Jets CB Darrelle Revis (hamstring), who missed last week's game, participated in individual drills on Thursday.


    2. Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald has 31 catches and is tied for the league lead with five touchdown receptions.


    3. Jets WR Brandon Marshall has gone over 100 yards in seven of his last 11 games.


    PREDICTION: Cardinals 23, Jets 17

  • #2
    Re: NFL Betting Info 10/17

    NFL
    Long Sheet


    Week 6


    Monday, October 17


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NY JETS (1 - 4) at ARIZONA (2 - 3) - 10/17/2016, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NFL Betting Info 10/17

      NFL


      Week 6


      Trend Report


      Monday, October 17


      8:30 PM
      NY JETS vs. ARIZONA
      NY Jets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games on the road
      NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Arizona
      Arizona is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NFL Betting Info 10/17

        NFL
        Short Sheet


        Week 6


        Mon – Oct. 17


        NY Jets at Arizona, 8:30 PM ET
        New York: 32-17 UNDER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game
        Arizona: 1-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: NFL Betting Info 10/17

          NFL


          Week 6


          Monday's game
          Jets (1-4) @ Cardinals (2-3)— Palmer (concussion) is expected back at QB here; Redbirds had three extra days to prep- they played on Thursday LW. Arizona scored 40-33 points in its two wins, 21 or less in its losses; they’re +7 in turnovers in wins, -8 in losses. Jets allowed 23+ points in all five games this year; they lost their last three games, outscored 37-7 in second half; they’ve allowed 7.8+ yds/pass attempt in four of five games, exception being game at Kansas City when Jets turned ball over eight times and KC didn’t have to try too hard on offense. Gang Green won last six series games; four of six were in New Jersey. Jets won last two visits here; their last loss at the Cardinals was in St Louis in 1971. NFC teams are 14-8 SU against AFC teams so far this season.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: NFL Betting Info 10/17

            Monday Night Football Picks: New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals Odds & Predictions
            by Alan Matthews


            I'm sure you have read where NFL TV ratings are down across the board this year. I don't think we have hit some sort of bubble and that the crazy presidential election has played a big role. I'm not into politics at all, but I've been watching a lot more CNN, MSNBC, Fox News, etc., instead of football at times to see what stupid thing Donald Trump says or does next.


            ESPN's Monday night package this season is way down ratings-wise, and I'll admit I didn't watch a second of last week's Bucs-Panthers game as I was watching baseball. Apparently I wasn't the only one as it got the lowest Week 5 MNF rating since ESPN acquired the rights a decade ago. Things should shoot up after the election, but, man, the games have been lousy. Tampa Bay's 17-14 upset of Carolina was the only close one all season on MNF but was completely uninteresting with Cam Newton on the sideline.


            Back in April when the schedule was released, this week's Jets at Cardinals game looked like one of the best MNF games of the year as Arizona won the NFC West in 2015 and reached the conference title game. The Jets won 10 games but just missed the playoffs. No reason both couldn't make the postseason in 2016. Except the Jets (1-4) pretty much have no shot because they have been getting the worst quarterback play in the NFL. The Cardinals (2-3) are seemingly too talented to miss out, but they will be in deep trouble with another home loss. Arizona is +130 to make the playoffs and -160 to miss.


            I just want the game to be interesting -- and of course be right on my pick. I've killed it on Sundays this year but haven't been as good on Mondays.


            Jets at Cardinals Betting Story Lines


            New York was blown out a third straight week last Sunday, 31-13 in Pittsburgh and has scored 33 points in the losing streak while allowing 82. Coach Todd Bowles said this week he's getting more involved on both sides of the ball, but he's not an offensive guy so not sure what that means. That the offense isn't great doesn't shock me as I fully expected QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to come way back to earth after a career year in 2015. But the Jets' defense was supposed to be one of the NFL's best. On the bright side, Fitzpatrick wasn't picked off by Pittsburgh, but he's the lowest-rated QB in the NFL (64.7) and leads with 10 interceptions.


            That Jets offense got some bad news this week when No. 2 receiver Eric Decker was ruled out for the season. He was placed on injured reserve Wednesday with a torn rotator cuff. He will need surgery and eight months to recover. Decker had 80 catches for 1,027 yards and 12 scores last year and nine for 194 and two TDs in three games in 2016. Now opposing defenses can focus on Brandon Marshall, who has been targeted 37 times over the past three games.


            New York has two key defensive injuries to monitor: linebacker David Harris and cornerback Darrelle Revis. The latter, who has been burned repeatedly this year, missed last week with a hamstring injury. Harris hurt his hammy vs. the Steelers.


            Arizona is on extra rest as it won at San Francisco 33-21 last Thursday without a concussed Carson Palmer. Backup Drew Stanton was pretty terrible in completing just 11 of 28 for 124 yards, but he did throw two touchdown passes to Larry Fitzgerald. David Johnson was a fantasy beast in that game with 27 carries for 157 yards and two touchdowns while catching three passes. He leads the NFL with 695 yards from scrimmage.


            Palmer has been cleared and will play Monday. He's obviously a big upgrade on Stanton but hasn't played nearly as well as last year and has one TD and five picks in his past two games, both Arizona losses. It's always a good idea in fantasy football to take a guy in a contract year because he will play hard and through injury to get paid. Thus, I thought Arizona No. 2 receiver Michael Floyd would blow up this year. He has been a bust with 12 catches (three drops) for 170 yards and two scores. Coach Bruce Arians thinks Floyd is pressing.


            The Cardinals were hit hard by injuries on the offensive line vs. the Niners as left guard Mike Iupati will miss 2-4 weeks with a sprained ankle and right guard Evan Mathis was put on injured reserve with his own ankle problem. John Wetzel and Earl Watford are expected to replace Iupati and Mathis, respectively.


            Jets at Cardinals Betting Odds and Trends


            Arizona is a 9-point favorite (+105) with a total of 46.5. On the moneyline, the Cardinals are -330 and Jets +270. On the alternate lines, the Cards are -8.5 (+100), -8 (-105), -7.5 (-110) and -7 (-130). New York is 1-4 against the spread (1-2 on road) and 3-2 "over/under" (1-2 on road). Arizona is 2-3 ATS (1-2 at home) and 2-3 O/U (0-3 at home).


            The Jets are 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record. They are 1-5 in their past six after a loss of at least 14 points. The Cardinals have covered 20 of the past 27 vs. teams with a losing record. Arizona is 0-6 ATS in its past six on Monday. The under is 4-1 in the Jets' past five against teams below .500 and 6-2 in their past eight on Monday. The under is 7-0 in the Cards' past seven at home and past five on Monday.


            Jets at Cardinals Betting Prediction


            I'm sure the New York players would love to win this for Bowles, who prior to being hired in January 2015 was Arizona's defensive coordinator. Reports are that Bowles wasn't the Jets' first choice but that it was Seattle DC Dan Quinn, but the Jets didn't want to wait on Quinn back then because they couldn't interview him until the Seahawks' playoff run was over. Maybe Bowles is one of those guys who is better-suited as a coordinator (Norv Turner is one who comes to mind) than a head coach.


            I'm struggling to see how the Jets score much here as Patrick Peterson should shadow Marshall and Peterson hasn't allowed more than three catches or 38 total receiving yards into coverage this season. Give the 7-point alternate line to be safe and go under the total.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: NFL Betting Info 10/17

              Tech Trends - Week 6
              By Bruce Marshall


              Monday, Oct. 17


              NY JETS at ARIZONA (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)
              Jets no covers last 3 TY, but Cards only 4-8 vs. spread last 12 as reg season host.
              Tech Edge: Jets, based on team trends.

              Comment

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