College Football Betting Info. Week 4

[TheGame]

Saturday's Top 13 Games

Florida won its last eight games vs Tennessee, covering five of last six; Vols lost last four visits here, by 10-10-39-9 points (1-3 vs spread). In last 13 meetings, Gators are +13 in turnovers; last time Tennessee had a positive turnover ratio vs Florida was 1999. Nationwide, home favorites are 3-8 vs spread so far, in conference play. Florida is 5-7 as home fave under Muschamp, who covered once in last eight games as double digit favorite. Tennessee gave up 687 yards in 59-14 loss at Oregon last week; they're 2-6 in last eight games as a road underdog.

First ACC road game for Pitt squad that is 7-3 vs spread in last 10 games as a road favorite; Panthers have a senior QB, decent experience on OL- they split pair of home games, drilling New Mexico last week after FSU QB winston carved them up in opener. Since '05, Duke is 12-24 vs spread as a home underdog; they gave up 344 rushing yards in 38-14 loss to Georgia Tech in ACC opener last week. Nationwide, conference home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread so far this season.

Underdogs are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine North Carolina-Georgia Tech games; Tar Heels lost last seven visits here (1-4-1 vs spread in last six). Tech is 13-2 in last 15 series games, winning last four by average score of 39-27- they had 380 rushing yards in 68-50 win at UNC last year. Tech is 13-11-1 as home favorite under Johnson; they've got national TV game vs Va Tech coming up Thursday. Carolina lost six of last eight on ACC road, with four of six losses by 7 or less points- they're 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as a road underdog.

West Virginia won its last seven games vs Maryland, in series where the favorite is 10-5 vs spread in last 15 meetings. WVU scored 31+ points in last six series games, but they struggled on offense in first two games, vs Wm Mary/Oklahoma, before improving vs Georgia State last week. WV is 5-2 as underdog under Holgorsen, but they've got new QB, young OL. Terps are 4-5 as favorite under Edsall, 2-0 this year; Maryland gained 501 yards in 32-21 win (-6) at UConn last week, avenging LY's loss to the Huskies. Senior QB completed 67% of passes in first three games.

Air Force won six of last seven games vs Wyoming, in series where dog is 7-1 vs spread last eight years. Cowboys won two of last three series games; dogs covered five of last six series games played here. Air Force allowed 94 points in losing its two I-A games this year, getting smoked by Utah State (52-20), Boise (42-20). Inexperienced Falcons (30 starts back from LY on OL and new QB) are 5-2 as home dogs under Calhoun. Wyoming is 2-3 as road favorite under Christensen; they had 602 yards (219 running/383 passing) in 37-34 loss at Nebraska, a positive sign.

Utah-BYU is bitter rivalry where underdog is 12-4 vs spread the last 16 years, with three of last four meetings decided by 3 or less points; Utes are 5-3 in last eight visits here, with dogs 7-1 vs spread in eight games. BYU ran ball for 550 yards in 40-21 waxing of Texas last game, after it lost opener in monsoon at Virginia. Utah lost 51-48 at home to Oregon State last week; they're 10-10 as road dog under Whittingham. This used to be conference game, but BYU went independent, Utes went to Pac-12, which makes rivalry game little more important for Cougars.

Utah State is already playing third road game this month; since '07, State is 23-8 vs spread as road dog, going 14-2 under former coach Anderson (now at Wisconsin). Aggies have best QB (Keeton/24 starts) in this game vs USC, which is 8-4 in its last 12 games as home favorite. Trojans had excellent balance (257 yards running, 264 passing) in easy win over BC last week, after being held to 193 TY in upset loss to Wazzu. goes to Arizona State Thursday night, better not look past this gritty foe that lost its season opener 30-26 at end to Utah of Pac-12.

Houston is 8-3 in last 11 games vs inner-city rival Rice, winning last two years, 35-14/73-34; underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in last 12 series games, but this is no longer league rivalry, with Cougars in AAC now. Houston had last week off after winning AAC opener at Temple; they're 14-7 in last 21 games as favorite, 4-4 under Levine. Owls are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine games as underdog; they outgained Kansas by 100 yards in last week's 23-14 win, after hanging with A&M in the half Manziel sat out- they lost 52-31 when Manziel played the second half.

Underdogs are 10-5-1 vs spread in last 16 Michigan State-Notre Dame games, 6-2 in last eight series games played here; Irish whacked Spartans 31-13/20-3 last two years, after Spartans got win 34-31 two years ago, pulling fake FG in OT. State is 8-6 as road dog under Dantonio; they've struggled on offense so far, gaining 297-265 yards in two non-covers vs I-A foes. Irish are playing third straight Big Dozen foe and Oklahoma is coming to town next week; over last decade, ND is 18-32-2 when giving points at home, 8-9-3 under Kelly.

First road game for Kansas State squad that is 15-3 vs spread in last 18 games as road dog; they lost at home to I-AA team, then spanked couple of I-A stiffs. Texas is in freefall, giving up 84 points in losing last two games to BYU, Ole Miss; they've already axed their DC, the QB is hurt and rumors are everywhere that Mack Brown is lame duck. Longhornns gave up 550 rushing yards at BYU, then 272 at home to Rebels- they got outgained by total of 363 yards in two losses. Since 2009, Texas is 9-15 vs spread when laying points at home.

Arizona State won wild game at home last week, when refs screwed up spotting ball and didn't allow Wisconsin to try chip shot FG to win on last play, but a win is a win; ASU is facing Stanford for first time since 2010- favorites covered four of last five in series. Sun Devils lost five of last six visits here, with favorites 5-1 vs spread in those games- they are 12-20-2 as road dogs since '03. Stanford coasted past Army last week on east coast- they're 2-8 in last ten games as home favorites. Cardinal has experience edge on OL, ASU has it at QB. Interesting game.

LSU won four of last five games with Auburn; favorites covered four of those five games. Auburn lost last six visits to LSU by average score of 31-14 (2-4 vs spread). This is first road game for Auburn QB Marshall, who has been shaky throwing ball but did lead game-winning drive in last minute vs Miss State last week. Auburn is 2-7 as road underdog since Cam Newton left town. LSU is 7-18-1 vs spread in its last 26 SEC home games- they beat TCU in Ft Worth (semi-road game) then crushed pair of stiffs. QB Mettenberger is playing great under OC Cam Cameron.

Missouri was outgained 387-384 in last game by Toledo; they had last week off, while Indiana was crushing pretty good Bowling Green squad 42-10 (-2.5) week after they lost at home to Navy. Big Dozen teams are 7-9 vs spread in non-league games; SEC teams 7-10, 1-3 on foreign soil. Hoosier QB Sudfeld is completing 71% of passes- Indiana is 7-4 in last 11 games as home underdog (4-4 under Wilson). Hoosiers have 19 of 22 starters back from LY; progress is expected. Missouri covered nine of last 12 games as a road favorite.

Rest of the Card; notes on rest of the games, except for the games where the spread is 30+

-- Western Michigan lost/covered by 13-21 already this year at Michigan State, Northwestern of Big Dozen. Iowa is 5-7 vs spread in its last dozen games as a HF.
-- Wake Forest (-7.5) ran ball for 296 yards in 49-37 home win vs Army LY; since '06, Deacons are 4-7 as a road favorite.
-- Over last decade, UConn is 15-6 as a home underdog, but they lost 32-21 at home to Maryland last week (+6.5) after losing to I-AA Towson. Michigan snuck by Akron 28-24 last week, they're 3-1 as road favorites under Hoke.
-- Wisconsin won its last seven games vs Purdue, covering last six, with average score 38-11. Boilers are 4-2 vs spread in last six as road dogs in conference play.

-- Ball State won six of last seven games with Eastern Michigan, with an average total of 59.9. Underdogs covered four of last five in series.
-- Kent State covered four of last five games as a road dog after losing at LSU last week 45-13 (+36). Penn State is 6-2 as a home favorite since O'Brien became coach.
-- Virginia Tech is 3-8 as a home favorite last two years; they've got TV game with Georgia Tech coming up Thursday. Since 2005, Marshall is 15-22-1 when getting points on the road (4-7-1 with Holliday).
-- Cincinnati won its last seven games with Miami O, covering six of the seven; Miami is 8-5 vs spread in its last 13 games as a home dog.

-- Minnesota is 4-2 as a home favorite under Kill; they open Big Dozen play with Iowa next week. Mountain West road underdogs are 5-7 vs spread in non-league games this season.
-- Over last 3+ years, Mississippi State is 10-4 as a home favorite, but they were outgained 572-457 in 30-24 (-14) win at Troy last year.
-- Underdogs covered six of last seven Hawai'i-Nevada games, with Wolf Pack winning three of last four meetings- they won 69-24 LY.
-- Texas A&M crushed SMU last two years, 48-3/46-14; Sumlin teams are 9-8 vs spread in games following a loss. SMU is 3-8 in its last 11 games as a road underdog.

-- Arkansas State beat Memphis last two years, 33-28/47-3; ASU is 7-1 in its last eight games as road favorites. AAC teams are 0-3 vs spread as as non-conference home underdogs this season.
-- Louisiana Tech lost its coach, 15 starters from LY; since '04, they are 15-30 vs spread as road underdogs. Kansas is 3-5 in last eight games as a home favorite (0-2 under Weis).
-- Rutgers (+9.5) upset Arkansas 35-26 LY, despite Hogs passing for 419 yards. Since 2009, Scarlet Knights are 5-10 as home favorites.
-- Akron lost 28-24 at Michigan last week, getting stopped at 5-yard line in last minute. Zips are 4-12 in last sixteen games as a home underdog.

-- Middle Tennessee won its last five games with FAU, covering three in row, winning by 14-24-24 points. Blue Raiders are 11-4 as favorites on the road under Stockstill. Owls are 9-7 in last 16 games as a home dog.
-- Syracuse is 6-8 in last 14 tries as a home favorite. Tulane is 9-7-1 in last 17 games as a road dog; their QB is Nick Montana, Joe's son- they won SU as an underdog at Louisiana Tech last week.
-- Toledo won its last three games vs Central Michigan, scoring 50-44-42 points; favorites covered five of last six series games. Chippewas are just 1-15 vs spread in last six games as a home underdog.

-- Texas Tech squashed Texas State last two years 58-10/50-10; Tech is 13-16 vs spread in last 29 games as a home favorite.
-- Oregon State won conference game in OT on road last week; since '07, Beavers are 3-5 as road favorites. San Diego State is 5-7 vs spread under Long in non-conference games.
-- UTEP scored 77 points in splitting first two games; Miners are 0-4-1 in last five tries as a home favorite. UTSA is on road for third time in last four weeks- they gave up 94 points last two weeks (Okla St/Arizona).

[TheGame]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Afternoon action
By Covers.com

We give a quick look at all of Saturday's Top 25 afternoon betting action from Week 4 of the college football schedule:

Florida International Golden Panthers at Louisville Cardinals (-43, 56.5)

Louisville will try to avoid a letdown Saturday at home when it hosts Florida International, a team that has given the Cardinals fits the last two years. Louisville is coming off a 27-13 victory at Kentucky in its first road game last Saturday, which vaulted the Cardinals to the No. 6 spot in the country. Teddy Bridgewater threw for 250 yards and a touchdown as Louisville won for the 14th time in its last 16 games.

The Golden Panthers had two turnovers and committed seven penalties in a 34-13 loss at home to Bethune-Cookman last weekend. More notable was the fact that they were outgained on the ground by a 311-73 margin, which does not bode well against a Louisville rushing attack that found its groove at Kentucky. Sophomore quarterback Jake Medlock threw for a season-high 149 yards and had his first passing touchdown in the loss.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 13 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Louisville opened as a 42-point favorite and is currently -43. The total has held firm at 56.5.
TRENDS:

* The Golden Panthers are 0-6 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
* The Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 versus CUSA.
* The Under is 5-1 in the Cardinals last six games overall.

Florida A&M Rattlers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-50)

The Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference representatives will be hard-pressed to keep pace with the explosive Buckeyes after mustering just nine first downs and 219 yards of total offense last week. Junior Damien Fleming has struggled mightily, throwing five interceptions while rolling up only 383 yards this season. Florida A&M has scored 54 points combined in its three games this season, which sits just nine better than Ohio State's average.

Ohio State anticipates the return of Heisman Trophy candidate Braxton Miller on Saturday to conclude the non-conference portion of its schedule. Sidelined with a sprained knee ligament, Miller expects to get the kinks out on Saturday afternoon as the third-ranked Buckeyes tune up for Big Ten play by hosting FCS representative Florida A&M. Senior quarterback Kenny Guiton didn't miss a beat last week as he threw for four touchdowns - including a school-record 90-yard scoring strike to Devin Smith on the team's second offensive play - in Ohio State's 52-34 triumph over California last week.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s and a 56 percent chance of rain is in the forecast.
LINE: Ohio State opened as a 50.5-point favorite and is currently -50.
TRENDS:

* Rattlers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Rattlers are 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games.

North Texas Mean Green at Georgia Bulldogs (-33.5, 67)

The Mean Green battled back from a 27-9 second-quarter deficit to earn a 34-27 win over Ball State last week behind a pounding running attack that churned out 231 yards. Quarterback Derek Thompson is part of that running game and led North Texas to 1,395 yards of total offense - the most for the school in its first three games since 1951. The Mean Green are getting plenty of help from their defense, which forced 11 turnovers in the first three contests.

The Bulldogs remade much of their defense in the offseason and believe they once again can return to an elite level on that side of the ball. While the defense gets settled, the offense has the ability to keep the team in the win column behind Aaron Murray, who threw for four touchdowns in a 41-30 victory over South Carolina on Sept. 7, and running back Todd Gurley.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 96 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.
LINE: Georgia opened as a 31.5-point favorite and is currently -33.5. The total opened at 67.
TRENDS:

* Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week.
* Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 9-3 in Bulldogs last 12 home games.

Idaho State Bengals at Washington Huskies (-49)

The Bengals rolled up the yardage against the two Division II opponents with junior quarterback Justin Arias (868 yards) topping 400 yards in each game and senior receiver Cameron Richmond making a combined 21 receptions for 301 yards. Arias is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for four touchdowns but will be hard-pressed to come close to a high-yardage output against a Pac-12 defense. They have lost 18 consecutive games against FBS opponents.

Huskies tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins had just three receptions for eight yards against the Fighting Illini after missing the opener due to a suspension, while sophomore wideout Jaydon Mickens has been highly productive in the first two games with 17 receptions. Junior defensive end Josh Shirley has three sacks, while junior middle linebacker John Timu (team-high 18 tackles) is questionable after bruising his right rotator cuff against Illinois.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 58 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Washington opened as a 49-point favorite.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Bengals last four road games.
* Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Bengals last four non-conference games.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5, 42)

Spartans QB Connor Cook threw for four first-half touchdowns and 202 yards overall to seize the starting job. Running back Jeremy Langford has scored four touchdowns and is averaging 4.5 yards per carry but coach Mark Dantonio termed him a player that can "pop a big one." Still, the onus will fall on Michigan State's defense, which ranks fifth nationally with an average of 126.7 passing yards against but has yet to face a high-powered offense.

Tommy Rees threw two scoring passes to DaVaris Daniels during a 21-point blitz in a span of 3 1/2 minutes against Purdue and can become the first Notre Dame QB to open a season with four consecutive 300-yard games. The more pressing concern for the Irish is plugging the holes in a defense that has surrendered 65 points in the last two games - one fewer than it allowed in the first seven contests last season.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s and wind will blow at 12 mph toward the south end zone.
LINE: Notre Dame opened as a 6.5-point favorite with the line now -5. The total opened at 40.5 and is up to 42.
TRENDS:

* Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Notre Dame.
* Road team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

Maine Black Bears at Northwestern Wildcats (-28)

The Black Bears, from the FCS Colonial Athletic Association, knocked off an FBS school in Massachusetts already this season and displayed a tight defense in their two road victories. That defense needs to find a way to contain the Wildcats’ running game, which is piling up an average of 249 yards. That ground game is supplemented by a two-quarterback system featuring Trevor Siemian and Kain Colter, who is also one of the team’s most effective runners.

Northwestern is getting used to strong starts under coach Pat Fitzgerald and 2013 is no exception. The 16th-ranked Wildcats are averaging over 500 yards of offense and already own wins over a pair of major-conference opponents as they gear up for the start of Big Ten play. Northwestern will get one more chance to pad its record before diving into the heart of the Big Ten when it hosts Maine on Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s and wind will blow toward the south end zone at 10 mph.
LINE: Northwestern opened as a 28-point home favorite.
TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
* Wildcats are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-16.5, 47)

The Volunteers have put up solid numbers on the ground - mostly in their first two contests - with running back Rajion Neal (257 rushing yards, 4 TDs) leading the way, but the passing game has left something to be desired. In fact, offensive coordinator Mike Bajakian told reporters Wednesday that junior quarterback Justin Worley is competing with freshmen Nathan Peterman, Joshua Dobbs and Riley Ferguson and "the process could go all the way into pregame warm-ups."

Florida ranks third in the nation in total defense (208.5 yards per game), but the offense was plagued by five turnovers against Miami. Quarterback Jeff Driskel's inconsistency has been emblematic of the Florida offense, as the junior passed for a career-high 291 yards against the Hurricanes but also threw two interceptions and lost a fumble.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with partly cloudy skies and a 19 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Florida opened as a 14.5-point favorite and is currently -16.5 The total opened at 47.
TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Volunteers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week.

UL Monroe Warhawks at Baylor Bears (-30, 75.5)

Baylor held on to beat the host Warhawks in last year’s meeting 47-42 and Louisiana-Monroe returns Kolton Browning at quarterback. He was named Sun Belt Conference Offensive Player of the Week after throwing for 315 yards and three touchdowns last weekend in a 21-19 victory at Wake Forest.

Baylor has outscored its first two opponents by a combined total of 139-16, so quarterback Bryce Petty hasn’t logged many second-half minutes. Still, he has connected on a nation-leading 80 percent of his passes and contributed four touchdowns through the air without an interception. Baylor running back Lache Seastrunk had just one carry when these teams last met, but has since reeled off six straight 100-yard games dating to last season.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.
LINE: Baylor opened as a 27-point favorite and is currently -30. The total opened at 74.5 and is up to 75.5.
TRENDS:

* Warhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
* Over is 6-0 in Bears last six games in September.

[TheGame]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Evening action
By Covers.com

Check out quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's evening college football Week 4 action:

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles (-40)

The Wildcats have wins in three straight games to start a season for the first time since 2010 and have won 10 of their past 11 contests. Bethune-Cookman's defense has been stout, holding opponents to less than 10 points per game and has also managed three defensive touchdowns. Senior linebacker Jarkevis Fields leads the team with 23 tackles and had a game-high six in the win over Florida International.

The Seminoles have been firing on all cylinders on offense, passing the century mark in points through their first two games for the second consecutive season, with nine different players scoring touchdowns. Against Nevada, Florida State compiled 617 yards and 59 unanswered points, coasting to a 62-7 victory. Junior Nick O'Leary has hauled in three touchdown catches, trailing only Indiana's Ted Bolser among FBS tight ends.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 43 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Florida State opened as a 40-point home fave.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last four games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Over is 3-0-1 in FSU's last four games after totaling more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 40 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Stanford opened as a 7-point home fave but is now -5.5. The total opened at 49.5 and is up to 51.5.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide (-39, 51)

The Rams are 39 1/2-point underdogs against the Crimson Tide, who have gone 27-3 against nonconference opponents under coach Nick Saban, including 20 straight victories. Rams coach Jim McElwain was Alabama's offensive coordinator from 2008-2011 before leaving for Colorado State last season.

Heisman Trophy candidate AJ McCarron, who had a career-high 334 passing yards and four touchdowns in last week’s win over the Aggies, could be in for a short night on Saturday if the Crimson Tide take control early. The rebuilding Rams, who are 2-11 all-time against SEC opponents, lost their first two games to Colorado and Tulsa before defeating Cal Poly 34-17 last Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 90 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Alabama opened as a 38-point home favorite and is now -39. The total opened at 51.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0-1 in the Crimson Tide's last five games overall.
* Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies (-28.5, 78)

Southern Methodist's visit to old Southwest Conference rival Texas A&M on Saturday could be a high-scoring affair. The ninth-ranked Aggies and the Mustangs have two of the most productive offenses in the country and struggling defenses. But the Mustangs have had little success recently against Texas A&M, going 0-11-1 in their last 12 meeting, including three straight losses since the SWC ended in 1995.

The Aggies — ranked 112 out of 123 FBS teams in total defense (489 yards allowed) and 115th in run defense (260 yards) — allowed 11 plays of 15-plus yards to Alabama. "We're going to have to defend the whole field — vertically and sideline to sideline — because (the Mustangs) are going to stretch us out to make us play in space," Sumlin said Tuesday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Texas A&M opened as a 28.5-point favorite. The total opened at 79.5 and is down to 78.
TRENDS:

* Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. SEC.
* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. loss.
* Over is 4-0 in Aggies last four home games.

Savannah State Tigers at Miami Hurricanes (-60)

The Tigers, who have registered only one victory in each of the previous three seasons, won for the first time since defeating Edward Waters 42-35 in October 2012. Savannah State was outgained 425-243 against the Wildcats and has mustered only 573 yards of total offense thus far. The Tigers have been particular woeful on the ground (rushing for a total of 52 yards this season, including no more than 21 in any contest) and holding onto the ball, committing 10 turnovers.

The Hurricanes were far from dominant in their win over the Gators, as they were outgained 413-212 and gave up more than twice as many first downs (22-10). One area on offense Miami has thrived is scoring quickly – all eight of its drives have taken less than three minutes.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.
LINE: Miami opened as a 59.5-point favorite and is currently -60.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last five games following a bye week.
* Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
* Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-16.5, 55)

Death Valley has long been a hostile environment for opponents, but the month of September has proven to be every bit as difficult. No. 7 Louisiana State, which hosts Auburn in a battle of two 3-0 SEC teams, is 26-1 over its last 27 home games - but has rolled off a FBS-best 28 consecutive victories in September since a 2006 setback against Saturday’s foe. LSU has blended its usual stout defense with a resurgent offense led by first-year offensive coordinator and former NFL coach Cam Cameron.

Auburn is coming off last Saturday’s dramatic 24-20 home victory over Mississippi State, which snapped its 10-game losing streak within the conference. Auburn will have its hands full in its first game away from home as it tries to end its seven-game road losing streak in a venue in which it has not won since 1999.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with an 83 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: LSU opened as a 16-point fave and is currently -16.5. The total opened at 56 and is now down to 55.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies (+17.5, 51)

A week after defeating rival Notre Dame in an emotional affair, No. 14 Michigan needed a goal-line stand in the final seconds to hold off an upset bid from Akron. Following a mass exhalation, the Wolverines travel to Connecticut looking to wrap up the non-conference portion of their schedule unbeaten. Michigan won the only meeting in the series 30-10 in 2010.

For UConn, a nationally televised date with Michigan is truly a step onto the big stage but the timing couldn't be worse. Not only are the Huskies winless but limp into the contest with many questions, especially on the offensive side of the ball. A few years after boasting one of the nation's best rushing attacks, UConn enters next-to-last in the nation at 59 yards per game.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 21 percent chance of rain.
LINE: The line opened at UConn +17.5. The total opened at 52 but has moved down to 51.
TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 4-0 in Huskies last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Huskies are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.

New Mexico State Aggies at UCLA Bruins (-42, 66.5)

After scoring 38 consecutive points to beat Nebraska 41-21 last week, 15th-ranked UCLA returns home Saturday to face winless New Mexico State. The Bruins are 42-point favorites over the Aggies, who have lost their first three games by a 93 combined points.

The Aggies are allowing an average of 47.3 points and scoring 16.3 per game under first-year coach Doug Martin. Bruins sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley entered the Heisman Trophy discussion with his play last week when he threw for 294 yards and three touchdowns and rushed 19 times for 61 yards.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow toward the north end zone at 6 mph.
LINE: UCLA opened as a 40-point home fave and is currently -42. The total opened at 66 and is up to 66.5.
TRENDS:

* Over is 7-0 in Aggies last seven games overall.
* Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Pac-12.

[TheGame]

Essential Betting Tidbits For Week 4 of College Football
By Covers.com

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The North Carolina Tar Heels and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets played in the highest scoring game in ACC history last November. The Jackets won 68-50 and the teams combined for 1,085 yards of total offense and 16 touchdowns. Total is 59.5 for Saturday's matchup.

- The Florida International Golden Panthers are 0-3 and have been outscored 115-23 in the process. The Panthers travel to Papa John's Cardinal Stadium to face No. 6 Louisville and are 42-point underdogs.

- The UMass Minutemen have just 21 first downs on offense but have allowed 106 this season. The Minutemen are 31-point home dogs to Vanderbilt.

- The San Jose State Spartans will be without star-WR Noel Grigsby (10 rec, 106 yards, 2 TDs) who injured his knee at practice Wednesday and did not travel to Minnesota. The Spartans are 4-point dogs Saturday.

- The Virginia Tech Hokies are on a seven-game winning streak against Marshall. Hokies are 10-point home faves Saturday.

- The Toledo Rockets are 0-9 O/U in their previous nine games. Total is 56.5 at Central Michigan.

- The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against Florida Atlantic. Raiders are 3.5-point road faves Saturday.

- The Western Michigan Broncos face their third Big Ten program in four weeks as they travel to Iowa. They are 0-2 SU but 2-0 ATS having covered at Michigan State and at Northwestern. Iowa is a 16-point home fave.

- The Kansas Jayhawks are currently riding a 22 game losing streak against Bowl Subdivision schools. 10.5-point faves with Louisiana Tech in town Saturday.

- Army hosts the ACC's Wake Forest Demon Deacons Saturday. The Deacons are 5-0-1 O/U in their last six versus ACC opponents. Saturday's total is 49.5.

- The North Texas Mean Green have lost 34 straight games to ranked opponents. They are 33.5-point road dogs as the face No. 10 Georgia Saturday.

- After starting QB Anthony Boone broke his collarbone against Memphis on Sept. 7, Brandon Connette is back under center for the Duke Blue Devils. He was 15-of-28 for 122 yards in his first start one week ago, which was a 38-14 loss to Georgia Tech. Duke is a 3.5-point home dog with Pitt in town.

- Syracuse will give QB Terrel Hunt his first career start versus Tulane. Six of the Orange's last seven starting quarterbacks have lose their first game.

- Eastern Michigan will play host to Ball State Saturday. The Over is 4-0 in the previous four meetings and 6-1 in the last seven between the two schools. Total is 57.5 for this matchup.

- Houston WR Markeith Ambles will likely make his debut versus Rice Saturday. The WR transferred from Arizona Western Community College after beginning his career at USC. Houston is a 3-point fave.

- Michigan State is No. 12 in the country in points against (12.0). Spartans are 5-point road dogs at Notre Dame.

- The last time Kent State played Penn State was in 2010. Penn State's defense pitched a shutout in a 24-0 victory. Nittany Lions are 22-point home faves.

- Tennessee has not fared well in its recent meetings with Florida. The Volunteers are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings with the Gators. Florida is a 16-point home fave.

- Wisconsin is No. 5 in the country averaging 337 rushing yards per game and Badgers RB Melvin Gordon is second in rushing yards with 477. The Purdue defense allowed Cincinnati to rumble for 221 rushing yards back in Week 1. Wisconsin is favored by 22 points at home.

- The Arkansas Razorbacks are tough down the stretch. They have outscored their first three opponents 21-0 and outgained them 308-78 in the fourth quarter. The Razorbacks are 2.5-point road dogs as they travel to Rutgers.

- Maryland is one of three teams in the country that has compiled 500-plus yards of total offense in the first three games of the season. The other two are Oregon and California. Maryland is a 5-point fave against rivals West Virginia.

- Utah State QB Chuckie Keeton is third in the country with a 78.1 completion percentage (82-of-105). Keeton has 12 TD passes and just one pick. Utah State is a 6.5-pont road underdog at USC Saturday.

- The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks are dead last in the nation with just 16 first downs. The RedHawks are 23-point home dogs with Cincinnati in town.

- Baylor defeated UL Monroe 47-42 last season. The Bears are 30.5-point faves and the total is 75 in this season's meeting.

- The Arkansas State Red Wolves have converted 26-of-47 third-down opportunities (55.3 percent), while Memphis has converted just 30.3 percent (10-of-33). Memphis is a 4-point home dog.

- The Akron Zips are 0-5 ATS and 1-4 SU in their last five home games. The Zips are 6-point home dogs with the UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns in town.

- The Arizona State Sun Devils have not fared well in recent trips to Stanford posting a 1-5 ATS mark in the last six meetings there. The Cardinal are 5.5-point home faves.

- The Texas A&M Aggies haven't lost a non-conference home game to a Texas school since 1954 (Texas Tech). -27.5 home faves with SMU in town Saturday.

- Alabama head coach Nick Saban faces his former offensive coordinator Jim McElwain who is the new head coach at Colorado State. Saban and the Tide are 39-point home faves.

- Texas State will have a tough test as they are away to Texas Tech Saturday. But the Bobcats are ranked No. 4 in the country allowing just 9.0 points against thus far. Tech is a 27.5-point home fave.

- San Diego State has lost 20 of its previous 21 games against the Pac-12. The Aztecs are 8-point home dogs as they host Oregon State.

- Troy's QB Corey Robinson is the NCAA's active leader is passing attempts, completions and yards. Troy is a 13.5-point road dog against Mississippi State Saturday.

- The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between LSU and Auburn. LSU is a 16.5-point home favorite Saturday evening.

- UConn is expecting a record crowd at 40,000 capacity Rentschler Field as the Huskies play host to Michigan. UConn is an 18.5-point home dog.

- The Kansas State Wildcats are on the road to face the Texas Longhorns. The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings and are 6.5-point road dogs Saturday.

- The Indiana Hoosiers average 50.0 points per game through their first three games and host the Missouri Tigers, who are averaging 48.0 ppg. The total is currently 71.

- The UTSA Roadrunners are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall and are 2.5-point road dogs at UTEP Saturday.

- Most shops opened the line in the Hawaii at Nevada game with Nevada as a 12.5-point favorite. That line has been coming down all week and is currently Nevada -7.

- It's an all Utah affair as BYU hosts Utah Saturday night. BYU is a 6.5-point home fave, but the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

- Wyoming is one of nine programs to begin the season 3-0 ATS. The Cowboys are 4-point road faves at Air Force Saturday night.

- The UCLA Bruins have outscored their opponents 72-7 in the second half of their first two games. The Bruins are 42-point home faves against New Mexico State.

- The Idaho Vandals lead the country with eight fumbles lost. +31 at Washington State Saturday night.

[TheGame]

Michigan State at Notre Dame: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5, 42)

An unblemished regular season in 2012 is a distant memory for No. 21 Notre Dame, which needed a spectacular comeback last week to avoid taking a losing record into Saturday's home matchup with 24th-ranked Michigan State. It marks the third consecutive Big Ten Conference opponent for the Fighting Irish and the first road test for the Spartans, who debuted in the Top 25 this week. Notre Dame turned in a suffocating defensive effort in a 20-3 win at Michigan State last season.

The matchup provides an intriguing contrast in styles: The Irish are averaging 29.7 points behind an outstanding passing game while the Spartans lead the nation with an average of 177 total yards allowed. "When you're talking about the No. 1 defense, there's a reason for it,” Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly said. "It's personnel-driven and certainly there's scheme. So you have to be aware of both." The Spartans are 11-2 in non-conference play since 2011 - with both losses coming to the Irish.

LINE: Notre Dame opened as high as -7.5 and has been bet down to -4.5. The total has moved from 41 to 42 points.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing NW at 11 mph.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (3-0, 1-2 ATS): The Spartans have been waiting for someone to emerge from a crowded quarterback competition and sophomore Connor Cook did just that in last week's 55-17 rout of FCS foe Youngstown State, throwing for four first-half touchdowns and 202 yards overall to seize the starting job. Running back Jeremy Langford has scored four touchdowns and is averaging 4.5 yards per carry but coach Mark Dantonio termed him a player that can "pop a big one." Still, the onus will fall on Michigan State's defense, which ranks fifth nationally with an average of 126.7 passing yards against but has yet to face a high-powered offense.

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (2-1, 0-3 ATS): The biggest concern entering the season was how to replace suspended quarterback Everett Golson (academics), but Tommy Rees has allayed any doubts by throwing for 969 yards in the first three games. He threw two scoring passes to DaVaris Daniels during a 21-point blitz in a span of 3 1/2 minutes against Purdue and can become the first Notre Dame QB to open a season with four consecutive 300-yard games. The more pressing concern for the Irish is plugging the holes in a defense that has surrendered 65 points in the last two games - one fewer than it allowed in the first seven contests last season.

TRENDS:

* Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Notre Dame.
* Road team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Notre Dame is 25-2 in games in which it has outrushed its opponent under Kelly.

2. Cook is the first Michigan State player to throw four TD passes in a half since Drew Stanton in 2005.

3. The Irish are seeking their 10th consecutive win in South Bend.

[TheGame]

Arizona State at Stanford: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

Arizona State is coming off a thrilling yet controversial win, but the Sun Devils have no time to celebrate as they face a tough challenge with Saturday’s road game against Stanford. The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

LINE: Stanford opened as a 7.5-point home favorite and has been bet down as low as -6. The total has moved from 48.5 to 51.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 40 percent chance of showers and winds blowing west at 9 mph.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (2-0, 1-1 ATS): “This is the game our players have looked toward all offseason,” said Arizona State coach Todd Graham, who added that Saturday’s showdown “is a great opportunity for us to take a step forward as a program.” For that to happen, the Sun Devils will need improved play out of a rushing offense that, despite Grice’s touchdown production, ranks just 85th in the nation with 137.5 yards per game. On the bright side, Taylor Kelly set a career high with 352 passing yards against Wisconsin and has thrown for at least 300 yards in both games this season.

ABOUT STANFORD (2-0, 0-2 ATS): The Cardinal defense, which statistically was the best in the Pac-12 last season, returns eight starters from 2012. However, Stanford has won its first two games on the heels of a dynamic offense led by Gaffney and junior Kevin Hogan, who has five passing touchdowns on the season, two of which have gone to Ty Montgomery. The Cardinal have scored exactly 34 points in each of their first two games – wins over San Jose State and Army – though it’s their pass defense (seventh nationally) that has really turned heads through the season’s first two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Sun Devils are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Cardinal and Sun Devils have not faced each other since 2010, when Andrew Luck led Stanford to a fourth-quarter comeback win at Arizona State.

2. Stanford is 8-2 at home against ranked opponents since 2009.

3. Arizona State’s All-American DT Will Sutton has had a quiet start to the season (three total tackles) after leading the Pac-12 with 23.5 tackles for loss in 2012.

[TheGame]

Auburn at LSU
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Auburn has jumped out to a 3-0 record with wins over Washington State, Arkansas State and Mississippi State at home on The Plains. In doing so, Gus Malzahn’s team has matched its season win total of a year ago.

With that said, didn’t we expect Auburn (3-0 straight up, 1-2 against the spread) to be unbeaten at this point? We won’t find out if this team is ready to return to the upper echelon of the SEC until we see it square off against LSU on Saturday night at Tiger Stadium.

As of Friday afternoon, most betting shops had LSU (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) listed as a 17-point favorite with a total of 54. Gamblers can take AU to win outright for a +650 payout (risk $100 to win $650). For first half-wagers, LSU is favored by 9.5 with a total of 28.

Les Miles’s team has picked up wins over TCU, UAB and Kent St. The Bayou Bengals spanked Kent St. by a 45-13 count last Saturday, but they failed to take the cash as 35.5-point home favorites.

Zach Mettenberger threw for 264 yards and three touchdowns. The senior QB has nine TD passes without an interception through three games. Jeremy Hill added 118 yards and a pair of TD runs on just 11 carries against the Flashes. Hill is averaging 9.8 yards per carry in the last two games after sitting out the opener vs. TCU due to a suspension.

Auburn had to mount a long drive late in the fourth quarter to pull out a 24-20 win over Mississippi St. in the SEC opener for both schools. With 10 seconds remaining, Nick Marshall hit C.J. Uzomah with an 11-yard scoring strike to cap the game-winning drive.

AU failed to cover the spread as a 6.5-point home favorite. The 44 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 50-point total.

Although he was intercepted twice, Marshall threw for 339 yards and a pair of TDs. For the season, Marshall has 585 yards passing and 102 yards rushing. The juco transfer, who will be making his first career road start at LSU, has a 4/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Since 2008, Auburn has been atrocious as a road underdog with a 4-12 spread record. During that same time frame, AU has gone 3-8 ATS in 11 games as a double-digit underdog.

In nine years under Miles, LSU owns a 20-31-1 spread record as a home favorite. Sine 2008, LSU has compiled a 15-20-1 ATS mark in 36 games as a double-digit favorite.

LSU safety Craig Loston, a second-team All-SEC selection last year, is ‘questionable’ with a leg injury that kept him out of last week’s win over Kent St. Auburn’s starting senior cornerback Chris Davis is also ‘questionable’ with a leg injury.

LSU has won five of the last six head-to-head meetings against Auburn, but AU has a respectable 3-3 spread record during that span. When these teams met on The Plains last season, LSU won a 12-10 decision but never threatened to cover the number as an 18-point road ‘chalk.’

In the last meeting in Baton Rouge, LSU cruised to a 45-10 win as a 21-point home favorite.

The ‘under’ is 10-3 in the last 13 head-to-head encounters between these SEC West rivals.

LSU has seen the ‘over’ hit in all three of its games to date. On the flip side, the ‘under’ is a perfect 3-0 for Auburn.

ESPN will provide television coverage at 7:45 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Texas QB David Ash was downgraded to ‘doubtful’ Friday for Saturday’s game vs. Kansas St.

Alabama has suspended RB T.J. Yeldon for the first quarter of Saturday’s home game vs. Colorado St. We presume the wrist tap is for the throat-slashing gesture he used after scoring a TD at Texas A&M last week.

CORRECTION: In the nuggets section of my Boise St.-Fresno St. preview, I wrote that North Texas is 10-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog on Dan McCarney’s watch. That was false because those double-digit ‘dog spots date back to before McCarney took over. The Mean Green, a 33-point ‘dog at Georgia, is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 double-digit ‘dog situations (with and before McCarney).

Michigan has been a double-digit road ‘chalk’ just once under Brady Hoke. In that spot last season, the Wolverines rolled to a 35-13 win at Minnesota as 10.5-point favorites. They are laying 18 points Saturday at UConn. The Huskies are 4-2 ATS as home underdogs during Paul Pasqualoni’s tenure.

With its backdoor spread cover in Thursday’s loss to Clemson, North Carolina St. improved to 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a home underdog.

Vandy owns a 6-1 spread record in seven games as a double-digit favorite on James Franklin’s watch. The Commodores are favored by 29 Saturday at UMass.

Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel had 562 yards of total offense against Alabama last week. That effort was the second-best in SEC history behind only his 576-yard output at La. Tech last season.

Mississippi St. senior quarterback Tyler Russell is ‘doubtful’ vs. Troy. Russell threw for 2,897 yards with a 24/10 TD-INT ratio last season, but he might have trouble getting his starting job back. In his absence, Dak Prescott has played well. Prescott provides more of a running dimension, rushing for 134 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s heartbreaking loss at Auburn. He completed 15-of-28 passes for 213 yards on The Plains.

Coaches on the Hot Seat:
1-Mack Brown (Texas)
2-Lane Kiffin (USC)
3-Paul Pasqualoni (UConn)
4-Bo Pelini (Nebraska)
5-Bobby Hauck (UNLV)

SEC Power Rankings:
1-Alabama
2-Georgia
3-LSU
4-South Carolina
5-Texas A&M
6-Florida
7-Ole Miss
8-Vanderbilt
9-Auburn
10-Arkansas
11-Missouri
12-Mississippi St.
13-Tennessee
14-Kentucky

[TheGame]

Line Moves - Week 4
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 3 Recap

Favorites: 4-2 ATS (6-0 SU)
Underdogs: 2-3 ATS (0-5 SU)
Totals: 3-1

Since we started tracking the line moves, bettors following the line moves on favorites have performed well. While the ‘chalk’ went 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread in Week 3, underdogs didn’t show up again, posting a 2-3 ATS mark for the second consecutive week. Totals that saw movement went 3-1 last week, which was an improvement from 3-5 in Week 2.

Week 4 Line Moves

Once again, the oddsmakers at the offshore sportsbooks CRIS opened up their college football lines just before 12:00 p.m. ET last Sunday. Below are all of the major moves of “Four Points” or more off the opening line from CRIS.

Favorites

Syracuse vs. Tulane
Open: Syracuse -10½
Friday: Syracuse -16

Penn State vs. Kent State
Open: Nittany Lions -14
Friday: Nittany Lions -22

Betting Note - Golden Flashes RB Dri Archer (ankle) is listed as 'doubtful' for Saturday. In case you're not familiar with Archer, he's the most explosive player on offense for Kent State.

UCLA vs. New Mexico State
Open: Bruins -38
Friday: Bruins -42½

Underdogs

North Texas at Georgia
Open: Mean Green +36½
Friday: Mean Green +32½

Vanderbilt at Massachusetts
Open: Minutemen +36
Friday: Minutemen +31

Hawaii at Nevada
Open: Warriors +14
Friday: Warriors +9

Betting Note – Wolfpack QB Cody Fajardo (knee) sat out last week’s loss at Florida State and is ‘questionable’ for Saturday.

Idaho at Washington State
Open: Vandals +35
Friday: Vandals +30½

Week 4 Total Moves

CRIS opened their ‘over/under’ numbers on Monday afternoon. There hasn’t been a lot of movement this week with the college football totals so we’re listing all of the moves of “2½ Points” or more off the opening line.

Wake Forest at Army
Open: 47½
Friday: 49½

North Carolina at Georgia Tech
Open: 56½
Friday: 59

Louisiana-Monroe at Baylor
Open: 72½
Friday: 75

Wyoming at Air Force
Open: 64
Friday: 66½

SMU at Texas A&M
Open: 82
Friday: 79

Idaho at Washington State
Open: 55½
Friday: 58

[TheGame]

Games to Watch - Week 4
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Arizona State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Stanford (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS)

Todd Graham’s team was extremely fortunate to beat Wisconsin 32-30 as a six-point home favorite Saturday night in Tempe. Stanford won 34-20 at Army but never threatened to cover the number. Most books are listing the Cardinal as a 7½ or eight-point ‘chalk.’ Stanford is an abysmal 2-7 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite. Since 2011, ASU is 1-4-1 ATS as a road underdog. These Pac-12 rivals haven’t met since 2010 when Jim Harbaugh’s last team picked up a 17-13 win at ASU. However, the Cardinal failed to cover as a 4½-point road favorite. Kickoff is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on FOX.

Michigan State (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Notre Dame (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)

As of early Sunday night, most books had Notre Dame favored by 6½ or seven. During Mark Dantonio’s tenure, Michigan St. owns an 11-3 spread record in 14 games as a road underdog. The Spartans are the nation’s top-ranked defense in total yards allowed, surrendering just 177.0 per game. They finally got decent quarterback play in Week 3 when Connor Cook threw four TD passes without an interception. Notre Dame is 0-3 ATS this year after failing to cover in Saturday’s 31-24 win at Purdue as a 17-point road favorite. Irish QB Tommy Rees has 960 passing yards and a 7/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Brian Kelly’s team has cashed tickets at a 7-9-3 ATS pace in 19 games as a home favorite on his watch. NBC will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

Tennessee (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Florida (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)

The Gators have won eight in a row over UT, including last season’s 37-20 victory in Knoxville as three-point underdogs. Most books had UF favored by 14 or 14½ on Sunday night. Will Muschamp’s team had an open date after losing a 21-16 decision at Miami. QB Jeff Driskel sprained his knee against the Hurricanes, but he’s ‘probable’ and expected to start vs. UT. UF starting OG Jon Halapio is poised to make his season debut after missing the first two games with a strained pectoral muscle. Butch Jones’s team took a 59-14 shellacking Saturday at Oregon as a 29-point road underdog. UF is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite under Muschamp. CBS will provide television coverage at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

North Carolina (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Georgia Tech (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)

North Carolina opened the season with a 27-10 loss at South Carolina. Next, the Tar Heels beat Middle Tennessee 40-20 as 19½-point home favorites. They had an open date following the win over the Blue Raiders. Senior QB Bryn Renner, who had a 28/7 TD-INT ratio last year, has thrown a pair of TD passes and one interception. RB Romar Morris has rushed for a pair of scores and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Ga. Tech has won four in a row and seven of the last eight against UNC, including a 68-50 triumph in Chapel Hill last season. The Yellow Jackets are 2-0 both SU and ATS with wins vs. Elon (70-0) and at Duke (38-14). Vad Lee threw four TD passes and ran for another score against the Blue Devils. Most books have tabbed Paul Johnson’s team as a six-point favorite. Johnson’s team is in the midst of a 7-1 ATS run dating back to 2012. ESPN will have the telecast at noon Eastern.

Arkansas (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Rutgers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Due to the uncertain status of Rutgers QB Gary Nova, there was no line as of early Sunday night. Arkansas will be seeking revenge for last season’s 35-26 loss to the Scarlet Knights as a 9½-point home favorite. The Razorbacks are off to a 3-0 start under new coach Brett Bielema, but they have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back outings. Arky is 1-5 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog. RU is 3-5 ATS as a home favorite during Kyle Flood’s tenure. Since losing a 52-51 overtime decision at Fresno St. in its opener, Rutgers has won a pair of games over Norfolk St. (38-0) and Eastern Michigan (28-10). Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.