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SDQL Championship Week

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  • #1

    SDQL Championship Week

    Championship Week ATS:
    18-0 (on TOL, TUL) = play on Sat small conf marginally stronger win% not fav 17+
    16-1 (on NM State) = play on 10-27pt small conf dogs with 2 or less wins than the fav
    21-2 (on OKST, APPST) = oppose 4-22pt favs with 2+ more wins, elite defense not in big10 or sec, NMST very close to qualifying
    24-2 (on LIB, TUL, TROY) = oppose dog on 5-10 win streak, not 1 loss exact, line not 7.5+ diff than last meeting
    17-4 (on ALA, TEX, TUL) = play on 1-loss team on 3-10 win streak not a fav of 6-9
    17-1 (on NM State) = oppose unbeaten 4-18pt fav that won 8+ last year and has avg defense
    8-0 (on MICH) = play on unbeaten with 6+ rest and fav of 18+
    19-2 (on LVILLE, UNLV) = play on dog off a loss, wasn't just 10+ fav, opp wasn't 19+ fav
    27-2 SU 24-1-1 teaser (on LIB, ORE, TOL) = SU or tease 5.5+ fav in 2nd meeting of season and didn't lose first by 20+
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Thanks !!!

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    • #3
      Under wash
      wash
      Bama
      Louisville ml
      Tulane

      That who I be down with yo

      Comment

      • #4
        in the past 2 seasons troy is 18-0 SU with 15 covers in game 5+ ... interesting that all 3 failed covers came at home though

        note: The only other unbeaten team L2 season after week 4 is Georgia. Troy been playing some serious ball
        season > 2021 and game number > 4 and ...
        18 15-3-0 (6.94, 83.3%) -8.4 7-11-0 (-5.39, 38.9%) 47.8 18-0-0 (15.33, 100.0%) TROY
        19 10-9-0 (3.08, 52.6%) -19.6 12-7-0 (2.47, 63.2%) 54.5 19-0-0 (22.63, 100.0%) GEO
        18 12-5-1 (5.92, 70.6%) -16.8 11-7-0 (5.08, 61.1%) 48.9 17-1-0 (22.72, 94.4%) MICH
        18 12-6-0 (1.50, 66.7%) -7.9 8-10-0 (1.08, 44.4%) 55.0 17-1-0 (9.44, 94.4%) TLN
        18-0-0 (15.33, 100.0%)
        15-3-0 (6.94, 83.3%) avg line: -8.4 +6: 15-3-0 (83.3%) -6: 12-6-0 (66.7%) +10: 16-2-0 (88.9%) -10: 8-9-1 (47.1%)
        7-11-0 (-5.39, 38.9%) avg total: 47.8 +6: 4-13-1 (23.5%) -6: 9-9-0 (50.0%) +10: 3-15-0 (16.7%) -10: 11-7-0 (61.1%)
        37.1 143.3 27.7 233.7 17.1 1.0 3.7 8.5 5.8 10.8 28.9
        33.6 109.2 32.8 198.5 20.0 1.9 1.8 5.5 3.5 2.7 13.6
        Dec 02, 2023 box Saturday 14 2023 TROY APP home -5.0 52.5
        and since last NOV team = TROY and date>20221112 and game number>4
        12-0-0 (19.83, 100.0%)
        11-1-0 (9.50, 91.7%) avg line: -10.3 +6: 11-1-0 (91.7%) -6: 9-3-0 (75.0%) +10: 11-1-0 (91.7%) -10: 7-5-0 (58.3%)
        6-6-0 (-1.67, 50.0%) avg total: 48.3 +6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) -6: 7-5-0 (58.3%) +10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -10: 8-4-0 (66.7%)
        38.4 156.8 27.1 236.4 16.8 0.8 4.5 10.5 6.8 11.5 33.2
        32.9 104.8 32.3 199.5 19.6 2.1 2.2 4.4 3.6 3.2 13.4
        Dec 02, 2023 box Saturday 14 2023 TROY APP home -5.0 52.5

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        • #5
          FWIW, Saban is 10-1 SU in SEC Championships.

          Comment

          • #6

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            • #7
              since '06 the Big 12 conf title game has gone over just once and MAC favs have covered just 1/4 of the time

              game type = CH and conference = B12 and F
              16-5-0 (12.86, 76.2%)
              12-8-1 (2.26, 60.0%) avg line: -10.6 +6: 15-6-0 (71.4%) -6: 9-12-0 (42.9%) +10: 16-5-0 (76.2%) -10: 8-13-0 (38.1%)
              1-10-0 (-9.59, 9.1%) avg total: 60.0 +6: 0-11-0 (0.0%) -6: 2-8-1 (20.0%) +10: 0-11-0 (0.0%) -10: 4-6-1 (40.0%)
              39.5 133.5 34.6 275.2 22.1 1.2 6.5 10.6 7.1 5.9 32.8
              31.4 95.7 35.1 231.6 20.0 2.4 3.6 8.7 3.1 4.0 20.0
              Dec 02, 2023 box Saturday 14 2023 TEX OKST neutral -15.0 55.5
              game type = CH and conference = MAC and F and season>1997
              14-11-0 (3.72, 56.0%)
              6-17-2 (-5.00, 26.1%) avg line: -8.7 +6: 13-12-0 (52.0%) -6: 6-19-0 (24.0%) +10: 15-10-0 (60.0%) -10: 4-21-0 (16.0%)
              6-11-0 (-5.47, 35.3%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 4-12-1 (25.0%) -6: 8-8-1 (50.0%) +10: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -10: 11-6-0 (64.7%)
              40.2 177.8 36.2 242.6 22.2 2.2 6.4 9.1 6.2 6.2 30.6
              35.3 126.6 31.1 233.8 17.5 1.7 5.1 5.6 5.6 9.7 26.8
              Dec 02, 2023 box Saturday 14 2023 TOL MIAO neutral -7.0 43.5

              Comment

              • #8
                sec championship
                0 losses
                #1 rank
                favorite <=6
                op:won <=5 or lost
                2006

                0-2 (-23.50)

                23/24 optimal balance

                similiar line and total (-6/49) in 2021 between these 2 teams ..24-41


                https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                bama +5




                ​​​​​​​
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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                • #9
                  Rolll Tide all the way!

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                  • #10

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